As of 01/17/2025
Indus: 43,488 +334.70 +0.8%
Trans: 16,431 -169.75 -1.0%
Utils: 1,013 +1.53 +0.2%
Nasdaq: 19,630 +291.91 +1.5%
S&P 500: 5,997 +59.32 +1.0%
|
YTD
+2.2%
+3.4%
+3.0%
+1.7%
+2.0%
|
 44,700 or 41,600 by 02/01/202517,200 or 15,700 by 02/01/20251,050 or 950 by 02/01/202520,500 or 18,670 by 02/01/20256,100 or 5,700 by 02/01/2025 |
As of 01/17/2025
Indus: 43,488 +334.70 +0.8%
Trans: 16,431 -169.75 -1.0%
Utils: 1,013 +1.53 +0.2%
Nasdaq: 19,630 +291.91 +1.5%
S&P 500: 5,997 +59.32 +1.0%
|
YTD
+2.2%
+3.4%
+3.0%
+1.7%
+2.0%
| |
|
44,700 or 41,600 by 02/01/202517,200 or 15,700 by 02/01/20251,050 or 950 by 02/01/202520,500 or 18,670 by 02/01/20256,100 or 5,700 by 02/01/2025 | ||
Statistics from 7/25/2019. Revised 8/25/2020.
This article compares the performance of chart patterns over the decades. Do chart patterns perform worse or better now than in decades past? Let's find out.
Note: Because the rank and performance shown in the table only applies to the associated decade, the results will differ from other pages on this website.
The following table shows the average and median rises from the breakout to the ultimate high. There are 56 patterns shown.
| Average Rise | 2010s | Median Rise | |||||
| Chart Pattern | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | Rank | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s |
| AB=CD®, bearish*** | 42% | 44% | 43% | 19 | 22% | 25% | 22% |
| AB=CD®, bullish*** | 38% | 43% | 36% | 37 | 20% | 24% | 19% |
| Bat®, bearish*** | 42% | 50% | 38% | 30 | 22% | 31% | 24% |
| Bat®, bullish*** | 43% | 55% | 42% | 22 | 26% | 24% | 26% |
| Big W | 44% | 52% | 46% | 11 | 30% | 31% | 28% |
| Broadening bottom | 41% | 45% | 45% | 14 | 20% | 21% | 25% |
| Broadening top | 40% | 47% | 34% | 43 | 23% | 26% | 15% |
| Broadening formation, right-angled and ascending | 39% | 50% | 34% | 43 | 25% | 25% | 19% |
| Broadening formation, right-angled and descending | 34% | 53% | 36% | 37 | 23% | 28% | 18% |
| Broadening wedge, ascending | 44% | 43% | 41% | 23 | 30% | 29% | 18% |
| Broadening wedge, descending | 41% | 44% | 38% | 30 | 26% | 30% | 24% |
| Bump-and-run reversal bottom | 44% | 67% | 65% | 1 | 27% | 47% | 47% |
| Butterfly®, bearish*** | 44% | 50% | 43% | 19 | 29% | 29% | 23% |
| Butterfly®, bullish*** | 49%* | 44% | 31% | 51 | 27% | 26% | 18% |
| Crab®, bearish*** | 41% | 45% | 45% | 14 | 24% | 28% | 28% |
| Crab®, bullish*** | 42%* | 35%* | 48%* | 9 | 24%* | 30%* | 41%* |
| Cup with handle | 49% | 54% | 55% | 6 | 32% | 36% | 37% |
| Diamond bottom | 45% | 39% | 40% | 26 | 34% | 25% | 19% |
| Diamond top | 24% | 37% | 29% | 52 | 19% | 26% | 12% |
| Double bottom, Adam & Adam | 45% | 62% | 35% | 40 | 26% | 29% | 17% |
| Double bottom, Adam & Eve | 44% | 49% | 33% | 47 | 26% | 32% | 14% |
| Double bottom, Eve & Adam | 39% | 49% | 36% | 37 | 25% | 32% | 21% |
| Double bottom, Eve & Eve | 43% | 58% | 37% | 35 | 22% | 35% | 18% |
| Diving board | 91% | 56% | 58% | 4 | 45% | 37% | 38% |
| Flags** | 14% | 12% | 6% | 56 | 9% | 7% | 4% |
| Average Rise | 2010s | Median Rise | |||||
| Chart Pattern | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | Rank | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s |
| Flags, high and tight | 43% | 37% | 34% | 43 | 22% | 27% | 17% |
| Gartley, bear*** | 39% | 49% | 49% | 7 | 24% | 31% | 26% |
| Gartley, bull*** | 46% | 58% | 41% | 23 | 22% | 33% | 24% |
| Head-and-shoulders bottom | 45% | 46% | 44% | 17 | 30% | 31% | 23% |
| Head-and-shoulders bottom, complex | 41% | 45% | 62% | 2 | 29% | 28% | 35% |
| Horn bottom | 55% | 70% | 49% | 7 | 28% | 39% | 29% |
| Island bottoms | 26% | 30% | 37% | 35 | 11% | 19% | 11% |
| Island, long | 29% | 35% | 34% | 43 | 13% | 23% | 16% |
| Measured move down | 41% | 52% | 40% | 26 | 23% | 28% | 18% |
| Measured move up | 36% | 50% | 38% | 30 | 19% | 28% | 16% |
| Pennants** | 10% | 7% | 4% | 57 | 8% | 5% | 3% |
| Pipe bottom | 53% | 60% | 46% | 11 | 28% | 35% | 27% |
| Rectangle bottoms | 48% | 52% | 40% | 26 | 27% | 28% | 18% |
| Rectangle Tops | 55% | 59% | 38% | 30 | 31% | 32% | 18% |
| Roof | 30% | 46% | 32% | 49 | 15% | 24% | 14% |
| Roof, inverted | 29% | 29% | 44% | 17 | 21% | 13% | 14% |
| Rounding bottom | 55% | 66% | 56% | 5 | 36% | 41% | 39% |
| Rounding top | 53% | 78% | 60% | 3 | 33% | 41% | 43% |
| Scallop, ascending | 38% | 54% | 41% | 23 | 25% | 36% | 27% |
| Scallop, ascending and inverted | 43% | 55% | 38% | 30 | 28% | 33% | 23% |
| Scallop, descending | 37% | 39% | 45% | 14 | 21% | 27% | 24% |
| Scallop, descending and inverted | 38% | 53% | 46% | 11 | 29% | 30% | 24% |
| Three rising valleys | 45% | 50% | 47% | 10 | 30% | 32% | 28% |
| Triangle, ascending | 47% | 47% | 35% | 40 | 24% | 20% | 15% |
| Triangle, descending | 51% | 37% | 27% | 55 | 31% | 19% | 12% |
| Triangle, symmetrical | 41% | 38% | 29% | 52 | 24% | 21% | 12% |
| Triple bottoms | 43% | 45% | 43% | 19 | 28% | 25% | 22% |
| V-bottoms | 44% | 41% | 33% | 47 | 26% | 21% | 17% |
| V-bottoms, extended | 40% | 44% | 35% | 40 | 24% | 26% | 21% |
| Wedge, falling | 34% | 47% | 32% | 49 | 19% | 20% | 12% |
| Wedge, rising | 31% | 41% | 39% | 29 | 18% | 25% | 21% |
| Wolfe wave®, bullish | 28% | 30% | 28% | 54 | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Average Rise | 2010s | Median Rise | |||||
| Chart Pattern | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | Rank | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s |
The following table shows the average and median declines from the breakout to the ultimate low. There are 53 patterns shown.
| Average Decline | 2010s | Median Decline | |||||
| Chart Pattern | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | Rank | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s |
| AB=CD®, bearish*** | 14% | 13% | 12% | 38 | 11% | 9% | 8% |
| AB=CD®, bullish*** | 15% | 13% | 14% | 27 | 11% | 8% | 10% |
| Bat®, bearish*** | 16% | 12% | 12% | 38 | 14% | 11% | 7% |
| Bat®, bullish*** | 18% | 13% | 17% | 8 | 14% | 7% | 14% |
| Big M | 19% | 15% | 16% | 9 | 17% | 13% | 13% |
| Broadening bottom | 17% | 13% | 16% | 9 | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Broadening top | 16% | 13% | 13% | 34 | 13% | 9% | 8% |
| Broadening formation, right-angled and ascending | 16% | 13% | 14% | 27 | 11% | 9% | 9% |
| Broadening formation, right-angled and descending | 16% | 13% | 16% | 9 | 14% | 10% | 11% |
| Broadening wedge, ascending | 17% | 11% | 13% | 34 | 13% | 8% | 8% |
| Broadening wedge, descending | 17% | 12% | 14% | 27 | 13% | 8% | 10% |
| Bump-and-run reversal top | 19% | 18% | 19% | 1 | 17% | 15% | 15% |
| Butterfly®, bearish*** | 14% | 12% | 16% | 9 | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Butterfly®, bullish*** | 18% | 16%* | 16% | 9 | 16% | 12% | 12% |
| Crab®, bearish*** | 17% | 22%* | 15% | 19 | 16% | 16%* | 9% |
| Crab®, bullish*** | 16% | 13%* | 16% | 9 | 13% | 9%* | 12% |
| Cup with handle, inverted | 17% | 16% | 19% | 1 | 14% | 15% | 13% |
| Diamond bottom | 23% | 14% | 15% | 19 | 22% | 12% | 11% |
| Diamond top | 20% | 15% | 14% | 27 | 18% | 12% | 10% |
| Double top, Adam & Adam | 16% | 13% | 12% | 38 | 13% | 10% | 8% |
| Double top, Adam & Eve | 17% | 13% | 11% | 45 | 14% | 10% | 8% |
| Double top, Eve & Adam | 15% | 12% | 12% | 38 | 13% | 9% | 9% |
| Double top, Eve & Eve | 16% | 13% | 10% | 49 | 13% | 11% | 7% |
| Flags** | 11% | 8% | 6% | 52 | 9% | 7% | 5% |
| Average Decline | 2010s | Median Decline | |||||
| Chart Pattern | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | Rank | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s |
| Gartley, bear*** | 16% | 17% | 15% | 19 | 14% | 13% | 12% |
| Gartley, bull*** | 17% | 13% | 15% | 19 | 15% | 9% | 12% |
| Head-and-shoulders tops | 20% | 14% | 15% | 19 | 17% | 11% | 10% |
| Head-and-shoulders tops, complex | 20% | 13% | 16% | 9 | 18% | 9% | 11% |
| Horn tops | 19% | 18% | 19% | 1 | 16% | 14% | 15% |
| Island, long | 17% | 13% | 13% | 34 | 14% | 11% | 9% |
| Island tops | 14% | 15% | 12% | 38 | 10% | 11% | 8% |
| Measured move down | 13% | 12% | 11% | 45 | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| Measured move up | 13% | 13% | 11% | 45 | 10% | 9% | 8% |
| Pennants** | 9% | 6% | 5% | 53 | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Pipe top | 20% | 18% | 18% | 4 | 17% | 14% | 14% |
| Rectangle bottoms | 15% | 14% | 18% | 4 | 12% | 10% | 12% |
| Rectangle Tops | 16% | 10% | 12% | 38 | 15% | 7% | 7% |
| Roof | 18% | 9% | 14% | 27 | 17% | 6% | 12% |
| Roof, inverted | 17% | 12% | 13% | 34 | 13% | 10% | 10% |
| Rounding top | 21% | 16% | 18% | 4 | 20% | 13% | 15% |
| Scallop, ascending | 15% | 13% | 16% | 9 | 12% | 11% | 12% |
| Scallop, descending | 18% | 13% | 16% | 9 | 16% | 10% | 11% |
| Scallop, descending and inverted | 18% | 12% | 14% | 27 | 15% | 9% | 11% |
| Three falling peaks | 17% | 13% | 15% | 19 | 15% | 9% | 11% |
| Triangle, ascending | 17% | 11% | 11% | 45 | 15% | 6% | 6% |
| Triangle, descending | 16% | 14% | 16% | 9 | 14% | 9% | 10% |
| Triangle, symmetrical | 14% | 12% | 12% | 38 | 11% | 8% | 7% |
| Triple tops | 17% | 13% | 14% | 27 | 14% | 9% | 10% |
| V-tops | 16% | 14% | 15% | 19 | 12% | 10% | 11% |
| V-top, extended | 20% | 18% | 18% | 4 | 17% | 14% | 14% |
| Wedge, falling | 16% | 11% | 15% | 19 | 10% | 8% | 11% |
| Wedge, rising | 13% | 8% | 7% | 51 | 9% | 4% | 4% |
| Wolfe wave®, bearish | 12% | 11% | 10% | 49 | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| Average Decline | 2010s | Median Decline | |||||
| Chart Pattern | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | Rank | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s |
* Measure uses 30 samples or fewer, so results may be inaccurate.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
Support this site! Clicking any of the books (below) takes you to
Amazon.com If you buy ANYTHING while there, they pay for the referral.
Legal notice for paid links: "As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases."
|
My Stock Market Books
|
My Novels
|
If God had wanted us to be naked, we would have been born that way.
® These patterns are trademarked by their respective owners.
on