As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
|
 44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025 16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/20251,050 or 975 by 01/01/202520,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/20256,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025 |
As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
| |
|
44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/202516,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/20251,050 or 975 by 01/01/202520,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/20256,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025 | ||
Statistics from 7/25/2019. Revised 8/25/2020.
This article compares the performance of chart patterns over the decades. Do chart patterns perform worse or better now than in decades past? Let's find out.
Note: Because the rank and performance shown in the table only applies to the associated decade, the results will differ from other pages on this website.
The following table shows the average and median rises from the breakout to the ultimate high. There are 56 patterns shown.
| Average Rise | 2010s | Median Rise | |||||
| Chart Pattern | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | Rank | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s |
| AB=CD®, bearish*** | 42% | 44% | 43% | 19 | 22% | 25% | 22% |
| AB=CD®, bullish*** | 38% | 43% | 36% | 37 | 20% | 24% | 19% |
| Bat®, bearish*** | 42% | 50% | 38% | 30 | 22% | 31% | 24% |
| Bat®, bullish*** | 43% | 55% | 42% | 22 | 26% | 24% | 26% |
| Big W | 44% | 52% | 46% | 11 | 30% | 31% | 28% |
| Broadening bottom | 41% | 45% | 45% | 14 | 20% | 21% | 25% |
| Broadening top | 40% | 47% | 34% | 43 | 23% | 26% | 15% |
| Broadening formation, right-angled and ascending | 39% | 50% | 34% | 43 | 25% | 25% | 19% |
| Broadening formation, right-angled and descending | 34% | 53% | 36% | 37 | 23% | 28% | 18% |
| Broadening wedge, ascending | 44% | 43% | 41% | 23 | 30% | 29% | 18% |
| Broadening wedge, descending | 41% | 44% | 38% | 30 | 26% | 30% | 24% |
| Bump-and-run reversal bottom | 44% | 67% | 65% | 1 | 27% | 47% | 47% |
| Butterfly®, bearish*** | 44% | 50% | 43% | 19 | 29% | 29% | 23% |
| Butterfly®, bullish*** | 49%* | 44% | 31% | 51 | 27% | 26% | 18% |
| Crab®, bearish*** | 41% | 45% | 45% | 14 | 24% | 28% | 28% |
| Crab®, bullish*** | 42%* | 35%* | 48%* | 9 | 24%* | 30%* | 41%* |
| Cup with handle | 49% | 54% | 55% | 6 | 32% | 36% | 37% |
| Diamond bottom | 45% | 39% | 40% | 26 | 34% | 25% | 19% |
| Diamond top | 24% | 37% | 29% | 52 | 19% | 26% | 12% |
| Double bottom, Adam & Adam | 45% | 62% | 35% | 40 | 26% | 29% | 17% |
| Double bottom, Adam & Eve | 44% | 49% | 33% | 47 | 26% | 32% | 14% |
| Double bottom, Eve & Adam | 39% | 49% | 36% | 37 | 25% | 32% | 21% |
| Double bottom, Eve & Eve | 43% | 58% | 37% | 35 | 22% | 35% | 18% |
| Diving board | 91% | 56% | 58% | 4 | 45% | 37% | 38% |
| Flags** | 14% | 12% | 6% | 56 | 9% | 7% | 4% |
| Average Rise | 2010s | Median Rise | |||||
| Chart Pattern | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | Rank | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s |
| Flags, high and tight | 43% | 37% | 34% | 43 | 22% | 27% | 17% |
| Gartley, bear*** | 39% | 49% | 49% | 7 | 24% | 31% | 26% |
| Gartley, bull*** | 46% | 58% | 41% | 23 | 22% | 33% | 24% |
| Head-and-shoulders bottom | 45% | 46% | 44% | 17 | 30% | 31% | 23% |
| Head-and-shoulders bottom, complex | 41% | 45% | 62% | 2 | 29% | 28% | 35% |
| Horn bottom | 55% | 70% | 49% | 7 | 28% | 39% | 29% |
| Island bottoms | 26% | 30% | 37% | 35 | 11% | 19% | 11% |
| Island, long | 29% | 35% | 34% | 43 | 13% | 23% | 16% |
| Measured move down | 41% | 52% | 40% | 26 | 23% | 28% | 18% |
| Measured move up | 36% | 50% | 38% | 30 | 19% | 28% | 16% |
| Pennants** | 10% | 7% | 4% | 57 | 8% | 5% | 3% |
| Pipe bottom | 53% | 60% | 46% | 11 | 28% | 35% | 27% |
| Rectangle bottoms | 48% | 52% | 40% | 26 | 27% | 28% | 18% |
| Rectangle Tops | 55% | 59% | 38% | 30 | 31% | 32% | 18% |
| Roof | 30% | 46% | 32% | 49 | 15% | 24% | 14% |
| Roof, inverted | 29% | 29% | 44% | 17 | 21% | 13% | 14% |
| Rounding bottom | 55% | 66% | 56% | 5 | 36% | 41% | 39% |
| Rounding top | 53% | 78% | 60% | 3 | 33% | 41% | 43% |
| Scallop, ascending | 38% | 54% | 41% | 23 | 25% | 36% | 27% |
| Scallop, ascending and inverted | 43% | 55% | 38% | 30 | 28% | 33% | 23% |
| Scallop, descending | 37% | 39% | 45% | 14 | 21% | 27% | 24% |
| Scallop, descending and inverted | 38% | 53% | 46% | 11 | 29% | 30% | 24% |
| Three rising valleys | 45% | 50% | 47% | 10 | 30% | 32% | 28% |
| Triangle, ascending | 47% | 47% | 35% | 40 | 24% | 20% | 15% |
| Triangle, descending | 51% | 37% | 27% | 55 | 31% | 19% | 12% |
| Triangle, symmetrical | 41% | 38% | 29% | 52 | 24% | 21% | 12% |
| Triple bottoms | 43% | 45% | 43% | 19 | 28% | 25% | 22% |
| V-bottoms | 44% | 41% | 33% | 47 | 26% | 21% | 17% |
| V-bottoms, extended | 40% | 44% | 35% | 40 | 24% | 26% | 21% |
| Wedge, falling | 34% | 47% | 32% | 49 | 19% | 20% | 12% |
| Wedge, rising | 31% | 41% | 39% | 29 | 18% | 25% | 21% |
| Wolfe wave®, bullish | 28% | 30% | 28% | 54 | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Average Rise | 2010s | Median Rise | |||||
| Chart Pattern | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | Rank | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s |
The following table shows the average and median declines from the breakout to the ultimate low. There are 53 patterns shown.
| Average Decline | 2010s | Median Decline | |||||
| Chart Pattern | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | Rank | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s |
| AB=CD®, bearish*** | 14% | 13% | 12% | 38 | 11% | 9% | 8% |
| AB=CD®, bullish*** | 15% | 13% | 14% | 27 | 11% | 8% | 10% |
| Bat®, bearish*** | 16% | 12% | 12% | 38 | 14% | 11% | 7% |
| Bat®, bullish*** | 18% | 13% | 17% | 8 | 14% | 7% | 14% |
| Big M | 19% | 15% | 16% | 9 | 17% | 13% | 13% |
| Broadening bottom | 17% | 13% | 16% | 9 | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Broadening top | 16% | 13% | 13% | 34 | 13% | 9% | 8% |
| Broadening formation, right-angled and ascending | 16% | 13% | 14% | 27 | 11% | 9% | 9% |
| Broadening formation, right-angled and descending | 16% | 13% | 16% | 9 | 14% | 10% | 11% |
| Broadening wedge, ascending | 17% | 11% | 13% | 34 | 13% | 8% | 8% |
| Broadening wedge, descending | 17% | 12% | 14% | 27 | 13% | 8% | 10% |
| Bump-and-run reversal top | 19% | 18% | 19% | 1 | 17% | 15% | 15% |
| Butterfly®, bearish*** | 14% | 12% | 16% | 9 | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Butterfly®, bullish*** | 18% | 16%* | 16% | 9 | 16% | 12% | 12% |
| Crab®, bearish*** | 17% | 22%* | 15% | 19 | 16% | 16%* | 9% |
| Crab®, bullish*** | 16% | 13%* | 16% | 9 | 13% | 9%* | 12% |
| Cup with handle, inverted | 17% | 16% | 19% | 1 | 14% | 15% | 13% |
| Diamond bottom | 23% | 14% | 15% | 19 | 22% | 12% | 11% |
| Diamond top | 20% | 15% | 14% | 27 | 18% | 12% | 10% |
| Double top, Adam & Adam | 16% | 13% | 12% | 38 | 13% | 10% | 8% |
| Double top, Adam & Eve | 17% | 13% | 11% | 45 | 14% | 10% | 8% |
| Double top, Eve & Adam | 15% | 12% | 12% | 38 | 13% | 9% | 9% |
| Double top, Eve & Eve | 16% | 13% | 10% | 49 | 13% | 11% | 7% |
| Flags** | 11% | 8% | 6% | 52 | 9% | 7% | 5% |
| Average Decline | 2010s | Median Decline | |||||
| Chart Pattern | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | Rank | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s |
| Gartley, bear*** | 16% | 17% | 15% | 19 | 14% | 13% | 12% |
| Gartley, bull*** | 17% | 13% | 15% | 19 | 15% | 9% | 12% |
| Head-and-shoulders tops | 20% | 14% | 15% | 19 | 17% | 11% | 10% |
| Head-and-shoulders tops, complex | 20% | 13% | 16% | 9 | 18% | 9% | 11% |
| Horn tops | 19% | 18% | 19% | 1 | 16% | 14% | 15% |
| Island, long | 17% | 13% | 13% | 34 | 14% | 11% | 9% |
| Island tops | 14% | 15% | 12% | 38 | 10% | 11% | 8% |
| Measured move down | 13% | 12% | 11% | 45 | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| Measured move up | 13% | 13% | 11% | 45 | 10% | 9% | 8% |
| Pennants** | 9% | 6% | 5% | 53 | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Pipe top | 20% | 18% | 18% | 4 | 17% | 14% | 14% |
| Rectangle bottoms | 15% | 14% | 18% | 4 | 12% | 10% | 12% |
| Rectangle Tops | 16% | 10% | 12% | 38 | 15% | 7% | 7% |
| Roof | 18% | 9% | 14% | 27 | 17% | 6% | 12% |
| Roof, inverted | 17% | 12% | 13% | 34 | 13% | 10% | 10% |
| Rounding top | 21% | 16% | 18% | 4 | 20% | 13% | 15% |
| Scallop, ascending | 15% | 13% | 16% | 9 | 12% | 11% | 12% |
| Scallop, descending | 18% | 13% | 16% | 9 | 16% | 10% | 11% |
| Scallop, descending and inverted | 18% | 12% | 14% | 27 | 15% | 9% | 11% |
| Three falling peaks | 17% | 13% | 15% | 19 | 15% | 9% | 11% |
| Triangle, ascending | 17% | 11% | 11% | 45 | 15% | 6% | 6% |
| Triangle, descending | 16% | 14% | 16% | 9 | 14% | 9% | 10% |
| Triangle, symmetrical | 14% | 12% | 12% | 38 | 11% | 8% | 7% |
| Triple tops | 17% | 13% | 14% | 27 | 14% | 9% | 10% |
| V-tops | 16% | 14% | 15% | 19 | 12% | 10% | 11% |
| V-top, extended | 20% | 18% | 18% | 4 | 17% | 14% | 14% |
| Wedge, falling | 16% | 11% | 15% | 19 | 10% | 8% | 11% |
| Wedge, rising | 13% | 8% | 7% | 51 | 9% | 4% | 4% |
| Wolfe wave®, bearish | 12% | 11% | 10% | 49 | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| Average Decline | 2010s | Median Decline | |||||
| Chart Pattern | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | Rank | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s |
* Measure uses 30 samples or fewer, so results may be inaccurate.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
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