Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 01/06/2026
  Indus: 49,462 +484.90 +1.0%  
  Trans: 18,034 +295.73 +1.7%  
  Utils: 1,074 +9.10 +0.9%  
  Nasdaq: 23,547 +151.35 +0.6%  
  S&P 500: 6,945 +42.77 +0.6%  
YTD
 +2.9%  
 +3.9%  
 +0.5%  
 +1.3%  
 +1.5%  
  Targets    Overview: 01/01/2026  
  Up arrow50,000 or 48,000 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow18,400 or 16,800 by 01/15/2026
  Down arrow1,040 or 1,100 by 01/15/2026
  Down arrow22,400 or 24,500 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow7,250 or 6,700 by 01/15/2026
As of 01/06/2026
  Indus: 49,462 +484.90 +1.0%  
  Trans: 18,034 +295.73 +1.7%  
  Utils: 1,074 +9.10 +0.9%  
  Nasdaq: 23,547 +151.35 +0.6%  
  S&P 500: 6,945 +42.77 +0.6%  
YTD
 +2.9%  
 +3.9%  
 +0.5%  
 +1.3%  
 +1.5%  
  Targets    Overview: 01/01/2026  
  Up arrow50,000 or 48,000 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow18,400 or 16,800 by 01/15/2026
  Down arrow1,040 or 1,100 by 01/15/2026
  Down arrow22,400 or 24,500 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow7,250 or 6,700 by 01/15/2026

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Picture of Orb Foresight book. Picture of 'Invest for two-comma wealth' book.

Older Headlines

Archives


Wednesday 1/7/26. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

With large gains in the index today and yesterday, the CPI is nearly at the top of the scale, at 96.7, where 100 is max and 0 is min.

The inset shows the upward move. I included a similar move higher in November. Notice that when the CPI reached near the top of the scale, it backtracked, slowly easing to the late December low before it rebounded this month.

Will that happen this time around? My guess is we'll see the CPI drop, more sharply than the slow slide of November-December. It's possible, however, that the index will continue rising throughout, forming bearish divergence.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 163 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ABT, ABM, ACIW, AKAM, ALK, ALB, ALKS, DOX, AFG, AIG, APH, ANIK, APOG, AAPL, AMAT, ARCB, ADM, ARW, ADP, AVA, BMRN, BRKR, CAL, CE, CX, CNC, CHD, CIEN, CSCO, CTSH, GLW, CR, CMI, DHR, XRAY, FANG, DDS, DUK, EMR, EPAM, EFX, EVRG, EXPI, EXPD, FICO, FIVN, FMC, FCX, FDP, GAP, GD, GIS, GILD, GES, THG, HQY, HOV, IDA, INCY, NSP, ITGR, IPAR, IBKR, JKHY, KSS, KLIC, LZB, LEG, LDOS, LMT, LOW, LPLA, MAN, MAS, MTDR, MTRX, NFLX, NWL, NEU, NUS, NTNX, OMCL, OMC, ON, OUT, OXM, PTEN, PYPL, PNW, PLXS, POR, RL, ROP, SBH, SEE, SGI, SCCO, LUV, SPSC, SXI, TPR, TRGP, TDOC, TEVA, TRV, TZOO, TREX, UNM, VFC, VLO, V, WMT, WU, WLK, WMB, WSC, IYM, IYC, IYH, IXC, MXI, IXN, ILF, SLV, IEO, IHI, EWO, EWK, EWZ, ECH, EEM, EWH, EIS, EWS, EZA, EWY, EWP, EWT, TUR, EWU, IBB, PPA, DBA, PEJ, GLD, XLV, USO, VHT. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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Tuesday 1/6/26. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 1.2% or 594.79 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 332 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 184 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.7% on 148 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 55.4% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 325/594 or 54.7% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 62/127 or 48.8% of the time.

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I show another slider trading quiz featuring SJW (symbol: SJW) stock.

$ $ $

This year marks the 20th anniversary of the existence of this website. The actual birthday is in November of this year. I don't charge anything to access the research I've posted nor do you have to dream up a login ID or password to access that data. It's all free. I don't support cookies (meaning the website doesn't have any), but I understand that google or Amazon may want to use cookies when you visit this website.

In December, my internet service provider says that the site had over 116,000 unique visitors, the highest monthly total ever.

Welcome to all of you.

This blog page is not the main entrance to the site. If you go to the home page, you'll find links to all of the data I mentioned, including research studies, tutorials, and information on chart patterns and candlesticks.

As a reminder, I released a new version of Patternz, my Windows (only) pattern recognition software. It's free to download and free to use. There's no adware nor spyware in the program, just make sure you download it from this website so you're getting a virus-free copy.

When I started the site, some wondered how long access would remain free. They thought it was a teaser before I started charging. Nearly twenty years later, I've proven them wrong. Let me be clear, I like free. I want to continue to give free access to the site without you having to log in.

Yes, there are ads all over the place. Google determines where those ads appear and how many. Clicking on ads helps provide monetary support for the site. Only click on an ad if it interests you, not to help boost payment to this site.

There's also a referral payment that Amazon.com gives the website when you click on a link to them and buy something while there (during that visit). That fee does not increase the cost of what you're buying, but it does help support this website. If you don't like to click on a google ad, then click on an Amazon link (click the image/text of one of my books at page top or bottom. The click will take you to Amazon and automatically pass a code to them) and do your Internet shopping during that visit.

Thanks, and I hope you will continue to visit this website. Tell your friends, your neighbors, and even your enemies. I could use more viral activity (I'm not talking about the flu). Smiley

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 164 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, MMM, ABT, ABM, ACH, ACIW, ADBE, AEIS, AA, AFG, APA, AMAT, ADM, AIZ, AGO, BSET, BZH, BRC, BCO, CLS, COR, CNC, CDAY, CVX, CHD, CIEN, CSCO, CLF, CLX, CNX, CL, COP, CXW, GLW, CR, CROX, CCRN, CMI, DHR, DECK, XRAY, FANG, DDS, ^DJU, D, BOOM, EMR, FFIV, FORM, FCX, FDP, GD, GE, GIS, GILD, THG, HLIT, HL, HSY, HUBG, HUM, IBP, ITGR, IPAR, IPI, INTU, JKHY, JBLU, KALU, KMB, KLIC, LHX, LRCX, LDOS, RAMP, LMT, MTSI, MGY, MRTN, MLM, MTDR, MLKN, MUR, NBR, ^IXIC, NEU, NEE, NOC, OXY, OMC, OUT, PANW, PKE, PCG, PNW, PRU, RJF, RGLD, SLB, SCHW, SHW, SCCO, SSYS, TRGP, TECH, TDY, TER, TTD, TREX, VECO, VMC, WRB, WERN, WMB, ITA, IYK, IEZ, QTEC, FXL, QQQ, IHF, IXC, IXN, SOXX, SLV, IYF, EEM, EWQ, EIS, EWJ, EWS, EWY, EWD, EWL, EWT, THD, TUR, QLD, PPA, PBE, PXJ, PJP, ROBO, XLP, XLF, XLU, UNG, SMH, VHT, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

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The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2026 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  46,753.05    
 Weekly S2  47,659.89  906.85   
 Monthly S1  47,865.11  205.22   
 Daily S2  48,118.59  253.47   
 Weekly S1  48,318.54  199.95   
 Monthly Pivot  48,375.99  57.45   Yes! The Monthly Pivot is close to the Weekly S1.
 Low  48,449.62  73.63   Yes! The Low is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 Open  48,475.81  26.19   Yes! The Open is close to the Low.
 Weekly Pivot  48,511.68  35.88   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the Open.
 Daily S1  48,547.88  36.20   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  48,740.07  192.18   
 50% Down from Intraday High  48,829.79  89.72   
 Daily Pivot  48,878.92  49.13   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  48,919.50  40.59   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 Close  48,977.18  57.68   Yes! The Close is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Weekly R1  49,170.33  193.15   
 High  49,209.95  39.62   Yes! The High is close to the Weekly R1.
 Daily R1  49,308.21  98.27   
 Weekly R2  49,363.47  55.26   Yes! The Weekly R2 is close to the Daily R1.
 Monthly R1  49,488.05  124.58   
 Daily R2  49,639.25  151.19   
 Monthly R2  49,998.93  359.68   

Monday 1/5/26. 2026 Market Forecast

My Prediction

Here's the link to the 2026 market forecast, presented in slider format.

A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Up 227.79 points.
Tuesday: Up 79.73 points.
Wednesday: Up 288.75 points.
Friday: Down 20.19 points.
Monday: Down 249.04 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were down 71.6 points or 0.1%.
The Nasdaq composite was down 65.63 points or 0.3%.
The S&P 500 index was up 11 points or 0.2%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
Nasdaq
S&P 500

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  47,826  47,945  48,170  48,288  48,513 
Weekly  47,765  47,914  48,348  48,497  48,931 
Monthly  44,907  46,485  47,686  49,264  50,465 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  6,807  6,826  6,864  6,883  6,921 
Weekly  6,792  6,819  6,882  6,909  6,972 
Monthly  6,492  6,669  6,807  6,984  7,122 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  23,101  23,171  23,308  23,379  23,516 
Weekly  23,121  23,182  23,423  23,484  23,726 
Monthly  21,916  22,579  23,141  23,805  24,367 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season will be starting in about 12 days.

Here's a symbol list of 2 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: RRC, UNG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Telecom. Equipment1. Telecom. Equipment
2. Semiconductor Cap Equip.2. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
3. Metals and Mining (Div.)3. Metals and Mining (Div.)
4. Apparel4. Apparel
5. Semiconductor5. Semiconductor
6. Drug6. Drug
7. Biotechnology7. Biotechnology
8. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment8. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
9. Machinery9. Machinery
10. Air Transport10. Air Transport
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Advertising50. Advertising
51. E-Commerce51. E-Commerce
52. IT Services52. IT Services
53. Toiletries/Cosmetics53. Toiletries/Cosmetics
54. Computer Software and Svcs54. Computer Software and Svcs
55. Information Services55. Information Services
56. Chemical (Basic)56. Chemical (Basic)
57. Household Products57. Household Products
58. Short ETFs58. Short ETFs
59. Investment Co. (Domestic)59. Investment Co. (Domestic)
60. Human Resources60. Human Resources

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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