Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 05/04/2026
  Indus: 48,942 -557.37 -1.1%  
  Trans: 19,606 -992.51 -4.8%  
  Utils: 1,153 -4.13 -0.4%  
  Nasdaq: 25,068 -46.64 -0.2%  
  S&P 500: 7,201 -29.37 -0.4%  
YTD
 +1.8%  
 +13.0%  
 +7.9%  
 +7.9%  
 +5.2%  
  Targets    Overview: 04/30/2026  
  Up arrow51,000 or 47,000 by 05/15/2026
  Down arrow19,700 or 22,300 by 05/15/2026
  Up arrow1,200 or 1,120 by 05/15/2026
  Up arrow25,800 or 23,800 by 05/15/2026
  Up arrow7,300 or 6,800 by 05/15/2026
As of 05/04/2026
  Indus: 48,942 -557.37 -1.1%  
  Trans: 19,606 -992.51 -4.8%  
  Utils: 1,153 -4.13 -0.4%  
  Nasdaq: 25,068 -46.64 -0.2%  
  S&P 500: 7,201 -29.37 -0.4%  
YTD
 +1.8%  
 +13.0%  
 +7.9%  
 +7.9%  
 +5.2%  
  Targets    Overview: 04/30/2026  
  Up arrow51,000 or 47,000 by 05/15/2026
  Down arrow19,700 or 22,300 by 05/15/2026
  Up arrow1,200 or 1,120 by 05/15/2026
  Up arrow25,800 or 23,800 by 05/15/2026
  Up arrow7,300 or 6,800 by 05/15/2026

Recent Headlines

Picture of 'Invest for two-comma wealth, second edition' book.

Older Headlines

Archives


Tuesday 5/5/26. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow dropped by -1.1% or -557.37 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 331 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.9% on 152 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.7% on 179 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close lower 54.1% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 332/609 or 54.5% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 63/129 or 48.8% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Micron Technology: MU (actual trade).

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 130 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: MMM, ADBE, ALKS, ALL, DOX, AEO, AXP, AMGN, AR, AMAT, ARCB, AVY, BMRN, BKNG, BCO, BMY, CAL, CHD, CINF, CTAS, CLX, CNA, CAG, COP, CCRN, DVN, FANG, ^DJT, EBAY, EFX, EQT, EVH, FFIV, FICO, FIS, FORM, FWRD, FDP, IT, GFS, GFF, HD, DHI, PODD, IPAR, IBKR, IPI, JBLU, KBH, KELYA, KSS, LZB, LEG, LEN, RAMP, LOW, LXU, MHO, MGY, MAS, MTRN, MDT, MRK, MU, MLKN, MS, MLI, NTAP, NWL, NUS, OXY, ON, PG, PHM, QCOM, REGN, SAIA, SBH, SMG, SEIC, SGI, SCCO, TRGP, MZTI, TOL, TDG, UGI, UIS, UNH, VFC, VMI, WSO, WERN, WEX, WSM, WSC, IYE, FXL, IYZ, ITB, ECH, EIS, EWJ, EWD, TUR, PHO, XLE, GLD, XHB, UNG, USO, MGK. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Top

© 2026 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  43,064.63    
 Monthly S1  46,003.27  2,938.63   
 Weekly S2  47,933.02  1,929.75   
 Monthly Pivot  47,995.91  62.89   
 Weekly S1  48,437.46  441.55   
 Daily S2  48,570.43  132.96   
 Daily S1  48,756.16  185.74   
 Low  48,913.06  156.89   
 Close  48,941.90  28.84   Yes! The Close is close to the Low.
 Daily Pivot  49,098.80  156.90   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  49,114.90  16.10   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 50% Down from Intraday High  49,177.25  62.35   
 Weekly Pivot  49,213.01  35.77   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  49,239.59  26.58   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 Daily R1  49,284.54  44.94   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Open  49,416.66  132.13   
 High  49,441.43  24.77   Yes! The High is close to the Open.
 Daily R2  49,627.17  185.74   
 Weekly R1  49,717.45  90.28   
 Weekly R2  50,493.00  775.55   
 Monthly R1  50,934.55  441.55   
 Monthly R2  52,927.19  1,992.64   

Monday 5/4/26. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Dow transports on the daily scale.

The chart shows a graph of the Dow transports on the daily scale.

A chart pattern called an ascending scallop appears at A. I don't talk about them much because they happen too often. The red line overwrites most of it. Sorry about that. It's the best my version of Paint can do (or you can blame my inexperience with the program).

The pattern starts from the left lip and dips down to make a relatively smooth turn upward. The right side see price climb well above the left. It ends at B in this case.

I think the tall spike was due to the war and its effect on gas prices.

Looking forward, there's a support area outlined in green below the current price. It might support price. With events pushing the indices around, there's no telling if support will hold or not.

I'm looking for the index to decline over the next 2 weeks.

Top

A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Down 62.92 points.
Tuesday: Down 25.86 points.
Wednesday: Down 280.12 points.
Thursday: Up 790.33 points.
Friday: Down 152.87 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were up 268.56 points or 0.5%.
The Nasdaq composite was up 277.84 points or 1.1%.
The S&P 500 index was up 65.04 points or 0.9%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     2.0% down from the high of 50,512.79 on 02/10/2026.
     9.9% up from the low of 45,057.28 on 03/30/2026.
Nasdaq
     0.4% down from the high of 25,223.12 on 05/01/2026.
     21.4% up from the low of 20,690.25 on 03/30/2026.
S&P 500
     0.6% down from the high of 7,272.52 on 05/01/2026.
     14.5% up from the low of 6,316.91 on 03/30/2026.

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

Top

Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  49,169  49,334  49,661  49,826  50,154 
Weekly  48,119  48,809  49,399  50,089  50,679 
Monthly  43,250  46,375  48,182  51,306  53,113 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  7,201  7,215  7,244  7,259  7,287 
Weekly  7,039  7,134  7,204  7,299  7,368 
Monthly  5,984  6,607  6,940  7,563  7,895 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  24,846  24,980  25,102  25,236  25,358 
Weekly  24,212  24,663  24,943  25,394  25,674 
Monthly  19,143  22,129  23,676  26,662  28,209 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

Top

Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is either underway or should be starting soon. The sessions could be more volatile.

Here's a symbol list of 172 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: MMM, ACH, AMD, AES, AKAM, ALB, AEO, AXP, AIG, AME, ANIK, AR, AAPL, ATR, ARCB, AWI, ARW, ATO, AVY, BMI, BALL, BSET, BIO, BAH, BSX, BCO, CBT, CDNS, COR, CNC, CNP, CHKP, CHD, CINF, CTAS, CSCO, CLX, CNX, CL, CMTL, COP, COST, COTY, CR, CTS, DHR, DECK, XRAY, BOOM, EFX, EQT, EXPI, FIVN, FLS, FTNT, FTV, FDP, IT, GILD, GGG, HELE, HD, DHI, HUN, HURC, NSP, INTC, IPAR, IBKR, IPI, JBLU, KBH, KSS, LZB, LEG, LDOS, LEN, LNC, RAMP, LPLA, MHO, MGY, MA, META, MU, MSFT, MCO, MS, MLI, MYGN, ^IXIC, NWL, NI, NWPX, NTNX, OXY, ORI, OLN, ORCL, PEN, PETS, PLXS, PHM, QTWO, QCOM, RL, RJF, ROL, ^GSPC, SAIA, CRM, SMG, SEIC, SIGI, SHW, SGI, SNPS, TPR, TDY, MZTI, TTD, TKR, TOL, TSCO, TDG, TWLO, UGI, UIS, UNH, VFC, VRSN, WSO, WERN, WEX, WSM, WSC, ITA, IHE, FTEC, FDN, QTEC, FXL, FXI, AIQ, IYZ, IXN, SLV, ITB, ECH, EIS, EWM, EWD, TUR, PBE, SSO, XLY, SPY, XLK, VIS, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Telecom. Equipment1. Telecom. Equipment
2. Semiconductor2. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
3. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment3. Semiconductor
4. Petroleum (Producing)4. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
5. Semiconductor Cap Equip.5. Trucking/Transp. Leasing
6. Trucking/Transp. Leasing6. Petroleum (Producing)
7. Metals and Mining (Div.)7. Metals and Mining (Div.)
8. Electronics8. Machinery
9. Chemical (Diversified)9. Electronics
10. Petroleum (Integrated)10. Air Transport
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Financial Services50. Financial Services
51. Medical Supplies51. Toiletries/Cosmetics
52. Human Resources52. Short ETFs
53. Information Services53. Furn/Home Furnishings
54. Furn/Home Furnishings54. E-Commerce
55. E-Commerce55. Information Services
56. Short ETFs56. Healthcare Information
57. Healthcare Information57. Human Resources
58. Computer Software and Svcs58. Investment Co. (Domestic)
59. Investment Co. (Domestic)59. Computer Software and Svcs
60. IT Services60. IT Services

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Top


Friday 5/1/26. 2026 Market Forecast Update

Here's the link to the 2026 market forecast update, presented in slider format.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 195 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABM, AEIS, AKAM, ALK, ALB, AA, AEE, AEO, AXP, AFG, AIG, AR, AON, AMAT, AIZ, ATO, AVA, AXS, BALL, BBY, BIO, BKH, BRC, BCO, BMY, CALM, CPB, CX, CNP, CIEN, ED, CAG, COP, GLW, COST, COTY, CRH, CSGS, CMI, CW, DVN, ^DJU, ^DJT, ^DJI, DTE, DUK, EXP, EMR, EFX, EQT, EL, EG, EVRG, P, EVH, FAST, FTV, FDP, FRD, GAP, GNW, GOOGL, THG, HLIT, HD, HUBG, HUN, IDA, ITW, IIIN, ITGR, IPAR, IBKR, TILE, IPI, JBLU, KSS, LRCX, LEG, LLY, LNC, L, LPLA, MTSI, MGY, MRTN, MTRX, MRCY, META, MLKN, MS, MLI, NTAP, NJR, OXY, OMCL, PEN, PETS, PNW, PPG, PRU, PEG, QCOM, RRC, RGA, RLI, ROK, SLB, SEIC, SRE, SGI, LUV, SR, SXI, TPR, TDOC, TER, TXT, TKR, TDG, TG, UGI, UIS, UNH, VFC, WAT, WEX, WSM, WSC, XEL, IEZ, IHE, IDU, BOTZ, IAT, IEV, MXI, ILF, IYF, EWA, EWK, EWZ, EWC, ECH, EEM, EWQ, EWG, EWH, EWI, EWJ, EWW, EPP, EWS, EZA, EWP, EWD, EWL, EWT, THD, TUR, EWU, IBB, PBE, PXJ, PJP, ROBO, XLF, XHB, XLI, XRT, XAR, XLU, VIS. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

Top

Archives

 

Support this site! Clicking any of the books (below) takes you to Amazon.com If you buy ANYTHING while there, they pay for the referral.
Legal notice for paid links: "As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases."

My Stock Market Books
My Novels
Orb Foresight Rewrite Coming!

Copyright © 2005-2026 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved.
Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information.
Some pattern names are registered trademarks of their respective owners.
Home Advertise Contact Privacy/Disclaimer