Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 01/13/2026
  Indus: 49,192 -398.21 -0.8%  
  Trans: 18,055 -115.55 -0.6%  
  Utils: 1,082 +6.53 +0.6%  
  Nasdaq: 23,710 -24.03 -0.1%  
  S&P 500: 6,964 -13.53 -0.2%  
YTD
 +2.3%  
 +4.0%  
 +1.3%  
 +2.0%  
 +1.7%  
  Targets    Overview: 01/01/2026  
  Up arrow50,000 or 48,000 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow18,400 or 16,800 by 01/15/2026
  Down arrow1,040 or 1,100 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow24,500 or 22,400 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow7,250 or 6,700 by 01/15/2026
As of 01/13/2026
  Indus: 49,192 -398.21 -0.8%  
  Trans: 18,055 -115.55 -0.6%  
  Utils: 1,082 +6.53 +0.6%  
  Nasdaq: 23,710 -24.03 -0.1%  
  S&P 500: 6,964 -13.53 -0.2%  
YTD
 +2.3%  
 +4.0%  
 +1.3%  
 +2.0%  
 +1.7%  
  Targets    Overview: 01/01/2026  
  Up arrow50,000 or 48,000 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow18,400 or 16,800 by 01/15/2026
  Down arrow1,040 or 1,100 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow24,500 or 22,400 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow7,250 or 6,700 by 01/15/2026

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Picture of Orb Foresight book. Picture of 'Invest for two-comma wealth' book.

Older Headlines

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Wednesday 1/14/26. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

Last week, I guessed correctly that the indictor would drop sharply, differing itself from the slow drop after A. That happened at B.

Since B, the markets firmed up and sent the CPI soaring until today (Tuesday). The indices eased lower, taking the CPI with it.

What's next for the CPI? I don't know. It's neutral with a reading of 62.1. Apparently, the markets didn't like a cap in interest rates credit card companies can charge consumers and the financials tumbled accompanied by weak results from JPMorgan Chase.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 185 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ACH, ACN, ACIW, ADBE, AMD, AES, AKAM, ALRM, ALB, ALGT, DOX, AXP, AFG, APA, AMAT, ATR, ACGL, ADM, AIZ, AGO, BIIB, BA, BAH, BFH, BRKR, CBT, CAL, CX, CDAY, CHKP, CHD, CLNE, CNA, CTSH, GLW, CCK, CMI, CW, DHR, XRAY, DVN, ^DJI, DUK, EMN, ECL, EMR, EPAM, EFX, EVH, EXPI, XOM, EZPW, FIVN, FLS, FTV, GPN, THG, HQY, HP, HNI, JBHT, HURC, IDA, NSP, JKHY, JAZZ, KELYA, KMT, KFRC, KLAC, KLIC, LHX, LNC, L, LXU, M, MANH, MKTX, MLM, MU, MS, MYGN, ^IXIC, NTGR, NEE, NOVT, OGE, ORI, OMC, ASGN, OTEX, OUT, PKG, PKE, PATK, PAYX, PFE, PLXS, PPG, PRU, QTWO, QCOM, RL, RGS, RNG, RLI, RCKY, RES, SAIC, SEIC, SMTC, NOW, SGI, SWX, SPSC, SSYS, TRGP, TGT, TDC, TXN, TJX, TOL, TRV, TREX, UIS, VFC, VMI, VMC, WRB, WSM, WSC, WDAY, ITA, IYK, BOTZ, IHF, IXC, IXN, ILF, SOXX, IGE, IYF, EWA, ECH, EWG, EWM, EWS, THD, TUR, PPA, DBA, PBE, PJP, XLF, XLV, XLI, USO, VIS. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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Tuesday 1/13/26. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 0.2% or 86.13 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 1404 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 763 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.5% on 641 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 54.3% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 326/595 or 54.8% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 62/127 or 48.8% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Semtech: SMTC stock.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 144 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: MMM, ANF, ABM, AEIS, AES, AKAM, ALB, DOX, AEO, AXP, AFG, AMN, AMAT, ATR, BIIB, BAH, BFH, BRKR, CBT, CALM, CE, CHKP, CI, CSCO, CLNE, CLF, CNA, CAG, CR, DHR, XRAY, DDS, DOV, EPAM, EFX, EVRG, EXPD, FFIV, FIS, FTV, FNV, FCX, GFS, GL, HLIT, HL, HD, IEX, TILE, KELYA, KEYS, KSS, LDOS, LLY, LNC, LXU, MHO, M, NJR, NOC, NUS, OMC, OTEX, OR, OXM, PKE, PATK, PYPL, PFE, PNW, RJF, RTX, RHI, RES, SBH, SAIC, SEIC, SCI, NOW, SCCO, SWX, SXI, TDOC, TFX, TOL, TRV, TZOO, TG, UHAL, VECO, V, WPM, WMB, WSM, WSC, ITA, IYM, IAI, IYC, IEZ, IDU, FXI, BOTZ, IHF, IEV, MXI, IXN, ILF, SLV, IHI, EWK, ECH, EEM, EWG, EWI, EWJ, EWM, EWW, EZA, EWP, EWD, EWT, TUR, EWU, PPA, PBE, PHO, XLY, GLD, XLB, XLU, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2026 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  46,733.04    
 Weekly S2  48,048.61  1,315.57   
 Monthly S1  48,161.62  113.01   
 Daily S2  48,789.58  627.96   
 Weekly S1  48,819.40  29.82   Yes! The Weekly S1 is close to the Daily S2.
 Monthly Pivot  48,891.52  72.12   
 Low  49,011.31  119.79   
 Daily S1  49,189.89  178.58   
 Weekly Pivot  49,220.42  30.53   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the Daily S1.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  49,248.93  28.51   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 50% Down from Intraday High  49,322.33  73.40   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  49,395.73  73.40   
 Daily Pivot  49,411.62  15.89   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Open  49,499.67  88.05   
 Close  49,590.20  90.53   
 High  49,633.35  43.15   Yes! The High is close to the Close.
 Daily R1  49,811.93  178.58   
 Weekly R1  49,991.21  179.29   
 Daily R2  50,033.66  42.45   Yes! The Daily R2 is close to the Weekly R1.
 Monthly R1  50,320.11  286.45   
 Weekly R2  50,392.23  72.12   
 Monthly R2  51,050.01  657.79   

Monday 1/12/26. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Dow transports on the daily scale.

This is a chart of the Dow transports on the daily scale.

AB is an unusual looking double bottom chart pattern. I say it's unusual because the left side enters the pattern from the bottom, not the top.

The pattern confirms as valid when the index closes above the green line at C. The height of the pattern gives us a target when it's added to the green line. The move after the breakout (a close above the green line) looks to approach the height of the pattern. So price meets the target. You might see the index throwback to the breakout price or below.

The triple bottom also confirms at a different C, as shown on the chart.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Up 594.79 points.
Tuesday: Up 484.9 points.
Wednesday: Down 466 points.
Thursday: Up 270.03 points.
Friday: Up 237.96 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were up 1121.68 points or 2.3%.
The Nasdaq composite was up 435.72 points or 1.9%.
The S&P 500 index was up 107.81 points or 1.6%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     0.2% down from the high of 49,621.43 on 01/07/2026.
     3.5% up from the low of 47,853.04 on 01/02/2026.
Nasdaq
     0.2% down from the high of 23,723.37 on 01/07/2026.
     2.4% up from the low of 23,119.49 on 01/02/2026.
S&P 500
     0.2% down from the high of 6,978.36 on 01/09/2026.
     2.1% up from the low of 6,824.31 on 01/02/2026.

Options Expiration

Many options expire this week, so traders will be looking to close out their positions, and that suggests increased volatility (large daily price swings).

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  49,050  49,277  49,424  49,651  49,799 
Weekly  48,020  48,762  49,192  49,934  50,364 
Monthly  46,704  48,104  48,863  50,263  51,021 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  6,893  6,930  6,954  6,991  7,015 
Weekly  6,859  6,912  6,945  6,999  7,032 
Monthly  6,630  6,798  6,888  7,056  7,146 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  23,312  23,492  23,606  23,786  23,901 
Weekly  23,185  23,428  23,576  23,819  23,967 
Monthly  22,331  23,001  23,362  24,032  24,394 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season will be starting in about 4 days.

Here's a symbol list of 146 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ANF, ABM, APD, ALK, ALB, AEO, AXP, AIG, AMWD, AMAT, ATR, AWI, ARW, ADSK, ADP, AVY, BZH, BRC, BFH, BLDR, BG, CBT, CF, CI, CINF, CSCO, CLNE, CMTL, CXW, CSGP, CR, CRH, DDS, BOOM, EXP, EPAM, EFX, EL, FNV, FDP, GFF, THG, HLIT, HIG, HTLD, HL, HSY, DHI, HOV, ILMN, IBP, IPAR, TILE, IPI, JKHY, KBH, KFRC, LZB, LH, LDOS, LEN, LNC, LOW, MHO, M, MLM, MAS, MLI, NWL, NOC, NWPX, NVDA, OMC, ASGN, OTEX, OXM, PATK, PYPL, PG, PHM, KWR, ROK, ROG, ROL, SBH, SEIC, SRE, NOW, SHW, SGI, SCCO, LUV, SXI, TECH, TDOC, TDC, TOL, TSCO, TRV, TREX, VFC, VECO, VMC, WRB, WSO, WPM, WMB, WSC, WDAY, IYM, IYK, IYC, BOTZ, IHF, ILF, SOXX, IGE, ITB, IHI, EWZ, EIS, TUR, PHO, XLP, GLD, XHB, USO, SMH. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Semiconductor Cap Equip.1. Telecom. Equipment
2. Telecom. Equipment2. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
3. Metals and Mining (Div.)3. Metals and Mining (Div.)
4. Semiconductor4. Apparel
5. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment5. Semiconductor
6. Drug6. Drug
7. Apparel7. Biotechnology
8. Machinery8. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
9. Biotechnology9. Machinery
10. Retail (Special Lines)10. Air Transport
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Electric Utility (Central)50. Advertising
51. E-Commerce51. E-Commerce
52. Chemical (Basic)52. IT Services
53. Advertising53. Toiletries/Cosmetics
54. Computer Software and Svcs54. Computer Software and Svcs
55. Toiletries/Cosmetics55. Information Services
56. Information Services56. Chemical (Basic)
57. Short ETFs57. Household Products
58. Household Products58. Short ETFs
59. Investment Co. (Domestic)59. Investment Co. (Domestic)
60. Human Resources60. Human Resources

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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