Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 01/14/2026
  Indus: 49,150 -42.36 -0.1%  
  Trans: 18,059 +3.71 +0.0%  
  Utils: 1,090 +7.63 +0.7%  
  Nasdaq: 23,472 -238.12 -1.0%  
  S&P 500: 6,927 -37.14 -0.5%  
YTD
 +2.3%  
 +4.0%  
 +2.0%  
 +1.0%  
 +1.2%  
  Targets    Overview: 01/01/2026  
  Up arrow50,000 or 48,000 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow18,400 or 16,800 by 01/15/2026
  Down arrow1,040 or 1,100 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow24,500 or 22,400 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow7,250 or 6,700 by 01/15/2026
As of 01/14/2026
  Indus: 49,150 -42.36 -0.1%  
  Trans: 18,059 +3.71 +0.0%  
  Utils: 1,090 +7.63 +0.7%  
  Nasdaq: 23,472 -238.12 -1.0%  
  S&P 500: 6,927 -37.14 -0.5%  
YTD
 +2.3%  
 +4.0%  
 +2.0%  
 +1.0%  
 +1.2%  
  Targets    Overview: 01/01/2026  
  Up arrow50,000 or 48,000 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow18,400 or 16,800 by 01/15/2026
  Down arrow1,040 or 1,100 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow24,500 or 22,400 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow7,250 or 6,700 by 01/15/2026

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Picture of Orb Foresight book. Picture of 'Invest for two-comma wealth' book.

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Thursday 1/15/26. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq dropped by -1.0% or -238.12 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 172 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 1.1% on 78 occasions.
     Average loss was -1.4% on 94 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close lower 54.7% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 303/552 or 54.9% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 87/182 or 47.8% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

I show a pattern that I rarely look for. It's a bump-and-run reversal top.

The BARR top is made of several parts. The lead-in phase is A to B. the bump phase is B to C with a dual bump (in this example only), at C to D. E is a pullback but not a good representation of one. Finally, the run phase is the drop after E.

The price target is the price at the start of the pattern which is A. As the chart shows, the pattern completed successfully. Refer to the link for more details about this pattern.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 121 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACN, ADBE, AES, AFL, AKAM, ALRM, AA, AMWD, AMN, ATR, ARCB, ADM, BBW, CBT, CAL, CE, CENX, CINF, CNA, CTSH, ED, CSGS, DSGR, ^DJI, DTE, BOOM, EMR, EPAM, EQT, EXC, EXPI, FIS, FLS, FMC, GD, GNW, GILD, IDA, IPAR, IBKR, IPI, INTU, ISRG, JKHY, KSS, KLIC, LMT, LXU, M, MGY, MANH, MTRN, MTRX, MU, MCO, MS, MOS, NFLX, NTGR, NJR, NOC, NOVT, ORI, OMC, ASGN, OR, OUT, PKE, PATK, PFG, PG, QTWO, QCOM, RJF, RCKY, SAIC, SMG, SIGI, SMTC, SCI, SPSC, TDOC, TDC, TXN, TG, WLK, WEX, WSC, WDAY, IYM, IEZ, IHE, FDN, SLV, IGE, IEO, IYF, EWK, EWG, EWH, EWS, EWY, EWU, PPA, DBA, PXJ, PHO, XLF, XAR, USO, VIS. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

Top

© 2026 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  22,264.34    
 Monthly S1  22,868.04  603.71   
 Weekly S2  23,117.98  249.93   
 Daily S2  23,172.66  54.69   
 Weekly S1  23,294.86  122.20   
 Monthly Pivot  23,295.71  0.84   Yes! The Monthly Pivot is close to the Weekly S1.
 Low  23,306.66  10.95   Yes! The Low is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 Daily S1  23,322.21  15.55   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Low.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  23,414.97  92.77   
 50% Down from Intraday High  23,448.43  33.46   
 Daily Pivot  23,456.20  7.77   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  23,471.75  15.55   Yes! The Close is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  23,481.89  10.14   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Close.
 Weekly Pivot  23,509.12  27.23   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Open  23,563.92  54.80   
 High  23,590.20  26.28   Yes! The High is close to the Open.
 Daily R1  23,605.75  15.55   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the High.
 Weekly R1  23,686.00  80.26   
 Daily R2  23,739.74  53.74   
 Monthly R1  23,899.41  159.67   
 Weekly R2  23,900.26  0.84   Yes! The Weekly R2 is close to the Monthly R1.
 Monthly R2  24,327.08  426.82   

Wednesday 1/14/26. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

Last week, I guessed correctly that the indictor would drop sharply, differing itself from the slow drop after A. That happened at B.

Since B, the markets firmed up and sent the CPI soaring until today (Tuesday). The indices eased lower, taking the CPI with it.

What's next for the CPI? I don't know. It's neutral with a reading of 62.1. Apparently, the markets didn't like a cap in interest rates credit card companies can charge consumers and the financials tumbled accompanied by weak results from JPMorgan Chase.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 185 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ACH, ACN, ACIW, ADBE, AMD, AES, AKAM, ALRM, ALB, ALGT, DOX, AXP, AFG, APA, AMAT, ATR, ACGL, ADM, AIZ, AGO, BIIB, BA, BAH, BFH, BRKR, CBT, CAL, CX, CDAY, CHKP, CHD, CLNE, CNA, CTSH, GLW, CCK, CMI, CW, DHR, XRAY, DVN, ^DJI, DUK, EMN, ECL, EMR, EPAM, EFX, EVH, EXPI, XOM, EZPW, FIVN, FLS, FTV, GPN, THG, HQY, HP, HNI, JBHT, HURC, IDA, NSP, JKHY, JAZZ, KELYA, KMT, KFRC, KLAC, KLIC, LHX, LNC, L, LXU, M, MANH, MKTX, MLM, MU, MS, MYGN, ^IXIC, NTGR, NEE, NOVT, OGE, ORI, OMC, ASGN, OTEX, OUT, PKG, PKE, PATK, PAYX, PFE, PLXS, PPG, PRU, QTWO, QCOM, RL, RGS, RNG, RLI, RCKY, RES, SAIC, SEIC, SMTC, NOW, SGI, SWX, SPSC, SSYS, TRGP, TGT, TDC, TXN, TJX, TOL, TRV, TREX, UIS, VFC, VMI, VMC, WRB, WSM, WSC, WDAY, ITA, IYK, BOTZ, IHF, IXC, IXN, ILF, SOXX, IGE, IYF, EWA, ECH, EWG, EWM, EWS, THD, TUR, PPA, DBA, PBE, PJP, XLF, XLV, XLI, USO, VIS. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

Top


Tuesday 1/13/26. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 0.2% or 86.13 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 1404 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 763 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.5% on 641 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 54.3% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 326/595 or 54.8% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 62/127 or 48.8% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Semtech: SMTC stock.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 144 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: MMM, ANF, ABM, AEIS, AES, AKAM, ALB, DOX, AEO, AXP, AFG, AMN, AMAT, ATR, BIIB, BAH, BFH, BRKR, CBT, CALM, CE, CHKP, CI, CSCO, CLNE, CLF, CNA, CAG, CR, DHR, XRAY, DDS, DOV, EPAM, EFX, EVRG, EXPD, FFIV, FIS, FTV, FNV, FCX, GFS, GL, HLIT, HL, HD, IEX, TILE, KELYA, KEYS, KSS, LDOS, LLY, LNC, LXU, MHO, M, NJR, NOC, NUS, OMC, OTEX, OR, OXM, PKE, PATK, PYPL, PFE, PNW, RJF, RTX, RHI, RES, SBH, SAIC, SEIC, SCI, NOW, SCCO, SWX, SXI, TDOC, TFX, TOL, TRV, TZOO, TG, UHAL, VECO, V, WPM, WMB, WSM, WSC, ITA, IYM, IAI, IYC, IEZ, IDU, FXI, BOTZ, IHF, IEV, MXI, IXN, ILF, SLV, IHI, EWK, ECH, EEM, EWG, EWI, EWJ, EWM, EWW, EZA, EWP, EWD, EWT, TUR, EWU, PPA, PBE, PHO, XLY, GLD, XLB, XLU, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

Top

© 2026 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  46,733.04    
 Weekly S2  48,048.61  1,315.57   
 Monthly S1  48,161.62  113.01   
 Daily S2  48,789.58  627.96   
 Weekly S1  48,819.40  29.82   Yes! The Weekly S1 is close to the Daily S2.
 Monthly Pivot  48,891.52  72.12   
 Low  49,011.31  119.79   
 Daily S1  49,189.89  178.58   
 Weekly Pivot  49,220.42  30.53   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the Daily S1.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  49,248.93  28.51   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 50% Down from Intraday High  49,322.33  73.40   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  49,395.73  73.40   
 Daily Pivot  49,411.62  15.89   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Open  49,499.67  88.05   
 Close  49,590.20  90.53   
 High  49,633.35  43.15   Yes! The High is close to the Close.
 Daily R1  49,811.93  178.58   
 Weekly R1  49,991.21  179.29   
 Daily R2  50,033.66  42.45   Yes! The Daily R2 is close to the Weekly R1.
 Monthly R1  50,320.11  286.45   
 Weekly R2  50,392.23  72.12   
 Monthly R2  51,050.01  657.79   

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