Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 03/25/2026
  Indus: 46,429 +305.43 +0.7%  
  Trans: 18,441 +112.24 +0.6%  
  Utils: 1,140 +1.79 +0.2%  
  Nasdaq: 21,930 +167.94 +0.8%  
  S&P 500: 6,592 +35.53 +0.5%  
YTD
-3.4%  
 +6.2%  
 +6.7%  
-5.6%  
-3.7%  
  Targets    Overview: 03/13/2026  
  Down arrow44,000 or 48,800 by 04/01/2026
  Down arrow17,100 or 19,100 by 04/01/2026
  Up arrow1,300 or 1,090 by 04/01/2026
  Down arrow21,200 or 23,700 by 04/01/2026
  Down arrow6,350 or 6,900 by 04/01/2026
As of 03/25/2026
  Indus: 46,429 +305.43 +0.7%  
  Trans: 18,441 +112.24 +0.6%  
  Utils: 1,140 +1.79 +0.2%  
  Nasdaq: 21,930 +167.94 +0.8%  
  S&P 500: 6,592 +35.53 +0.5%  
YTD
-3.4%  
 +6.2%  
 +6.7%  
-5.6%  
-3.7%  
  Targets    Overview: 03/13/2026  
  Down arrow44,000 or 48,800 by 04/01/2026
  Down arrow17,100 or 19,100 by 04/01/2026
  Up arrow1,300 or 1,090 by 04/01/2026
  Down arrow21,200 or 23,700 by 04/01/2026
  Down arrow6,350 or 6,900 by 04/01/2026

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Picture of 'Invest for two-comma wealth, second edition' book.

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Thursday 3/26/26. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq climbed by 0.8% or 167.94 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 441 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.7% on 291 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.7% on 150 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 66.0% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 304/559 or 54.4% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 89/185 or 48.1% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

I've labeled some of the chart patterns that appear on the 5-minute scale. Let's talk about the ascending triangle at A. Point A doesn't appear to close above the top red line, so it's not a breakout. Rather, the breakout in this pattern is downward.

So far, the drop hasn't been far enough to meet the target, but it's close. The target is the height of the triangle (tallest, at the start) subtracted from the breakout price.

The target is just a number. It's a way of calculating the probability of the index reaching the target. In other words, the target is not a magnet sucking price to it.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 135 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ACN, ADBE, AMD, AES, AFL, APD, ALB, ALGT, AMZN, DOX, AEE, AFG, AIG, ARCB, ARW, ASH, AVA, AZTA, BCPC, BALL, BSET, BAX, BIO, BMRN, BAH, BSX, CACI, CAL, CE, CX, CNC, CENX, CHKP, CHD, CLF, CL, CMTL, CAG, CSGP, CRH, CTS, CMI, DHR, D, DTE, EFX, EVRG, EZPW, FAST, FMC, FTNT, FCX, FRD, GFS, GOOGL, THG, HLIT, HIG, IDA, ILMN, PODD, ITGR, JKHY, LAMR, LLY, LNC, RAMP, LMT, M, MRTN, MTRX, MRK, MRCY, MGEE, MLKN, MLI, NOV, NEU, ORI, OLN, ON, OUT, PKE, PAYX, PFG, PG, KWR, RGA, RLI, RCKY, SAIA, SLB, SCHW, SMG, SEIC, SCI, NOW, SKYW, SGI, SR, SSYS, SNPS, TPR, TDOC, TEVA, RIG, UIS, VMI, WAT, WU, WEX, WWD, IYK, IEZ, IDU, SOXX, EWZ, EWP, EWT, XLU, SMH. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Top

© 2026 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  20,560.50    
 Weekly S2  20,960.53  400.03   
 Monthly S1  21,245.17  284.64   
 Weekly S1  21,445.18  200.01   
 Daily S2  21,735.10  289.92   
 Daily S1  21,832.47  97.36   
 Low  21,865.46  32.99   
 Close  21,929.83  64.37   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  21,952.45  22.62   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Close.
 Daily Pivot  21,962.82  10.38   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 50% Down from Intraday High  21,979.32  16.50   Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  22,006.19  26.87   
 Open  22,006.43  0.24   Yes! The Open is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Weekly Pivot  22,007.41  0.98   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the Open.
 Daily R1  22,060.19  52.78   
 High  22,093.18  32.99   
 Daily R2  22,190.54  97.36   
 Monthly Pivot  22,207.42  16.88   Yes! The Monthly Pivot is close to the Daily R2.
 Weekly R1  22,492.06  284.64   
 Monthly R1  22,892.09  400.03   
 Weekly R2  23,054.29  162.20   
 Monthly R2  23,854.34  800.05   

Wednesday 3/25/26. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

The CPI has been bearish for about three weeks now, but is currently neutral. The value is 44.4, on a scale of 0 to 100 with bearish at 35 and below, and bullish at 65 and above.

The neutral bar is the vertical white one on the far right of the chart. It has bounced off the bottom on hope the Iran war will end.

I don't believe it. I think the index will drop again when unfavorable news about oil hits the waves.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 117 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ADBE, ALGT, DOX, AEO, AME, APA, AMAT, ARCB, ADM, BSET, BBY, BMRN, BMY, BG, CBT, CACI, CAL, CENX, CHKP, CVX, CHD, CSGP, CRH, CTS, FANG, DOV, ELV, EFX, EL, EXPI, FICO, FAST, FTNT, FWRD, FRD, GFS, GS, GOOGL, HQY, HTLD, HL, HOV, HUBG, HURC, IDA, IDXX, ITW, ILMN, JKHY, KLAC, RAMP, M, MRTN, MAS, MTRN, MRCY, MCO, NOV, NTAP, NJR, NEU, PKE, PAYX, PRU, RGS, ROP, ROST, R, SAIA, SLB, SMG, SRE, NOW, SKYW, SR, SPSC, SXI, SNPS, TPR, TXN, TXT, TMO, UIS, VMC, WRB, WAT, WERN, WSM, FDN, QTEC, AIQ, IAT, MXI, ILF, IGE, IHI, EWA, TUR, XLP, UNG, VHT, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Top


Tuesday 3/24/26. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 1.4% or 631 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 226 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.7% on 134 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.7% on 92 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 59.3% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 330/603 or 54.7% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 63/129 or 48.8% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Northwest Pipe 2 (NWPX) stock.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 197 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, MMM, ABM, ACIW, ADBE, AEIS, AMZN, AFG, AMN, APH, AMAT, ATR, ANET, AVY, AVNT, AXS, BMI, BZH, BIIB, BRC, BCO, BR, BRKR, BLDR, CACI, CDNS, CLS, CX, CF, CIEN, CSCO, CNX, CGNX, CMCO, CAG, CSGP, CROX, CCK, CTS, CMI, CW, XRAY, ^DJT, ^DJI, EXP, ECL, ELV, EMR, EOG, EQT, EL, EVH, EXPI, EZPW, FICO, FIVN, FLS, FORM, FCX, FDP, GAP, GIS, GFF, HE, HP, HSY, HNI, DHI, HOV, HWM, JBHT, IIIN, IBKR, TILE, JKHY, KALU, KBH, KLAC, KSS, LZB, LRCX, LAMR, LEG, LDOS, LEN, LNC, LOW, MHO, MTSI, MRTN, MLM, MTRN, MTRX, MU, MLKN, NBR, NOV, NTGR, NJR, NWL, NOC, NWPX, OMCL, ASGN, ORCL, OUT, PKG, PAYX, PCTY, PYPL, PFE, PLXS, PPG, PHM, DGX, RL, RJF, RGS, RNG, ROG, ROST, ^GSPC, SBH, SMG, SEE, SMTC, SHW, SGI, SCCO, SR, SNPS, TPR, TGT, TDOC, TER, TKR, TOL, RIG, TRV, TG, TWLO, UHAL, UIS, UPS, VLO, VECO, WRB, WMT, WSO, WU, WEX, WSM, WSC, WWW, WDAY, IYC, IYE, FDN, AIQ, BOTZ, IEV, IGV, MXI, IXN, ILF, IGE, ITB, EWA, EWO, EWZ, EWC, EEM, EWQ, EWG, EWI, EWM, EWP, EWD, EWL, EWT, THD, TUR, EWU, PEJ, PXJ, PHO, ROBO, XLY, XLP, XLE, XHB, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Top

© 2026 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  42,630.47    
 Weekly S2  44,276.60  1,646.13   
 Monthly S1  44,419.47  142.87   
 Weekly S1  45,242.54  823.07   
 Daily S2  45,333.03  90.50   Yes! The Daily S2 is close to the Weekly S1.
 Daily S1  45,770.75  437.72   
 Open  45,803.82  33.07   Yes! The Open is close to the Daily S1.
 Low  45,803.82  0.00   Yes! The Low is close to the Open.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  46,150.87  347.05   
 Close  46,208.47  57.60   Yes! The Close is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 Daily Pivot  46,241.54  33.07   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the Close.
 50% Down from Intraday High  46,258.07  16.54   Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 Weekly Pivot  46,335.33  77.25   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  46,365.28  29.95   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 Daily R1  46,679.26  313.98   
 High  46,712.33  33.07   Yes! The High is close to the Daily R1.
 Daily R2  47,150.05  437.72   
 Monthly Pivot  47,158.39  8.34   Yes! The Monthly Pivot is close to the Daily R2.
 Weekly R1  47,301.26  142.87   
 Weekly R2  48,394.06  1,092.80   
 Monthly R1  48,947.39  553.33   
 Monthly R2  51,686.31  2,738.92   

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