Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 09/15/2025
  Indus: 45,883 +49.23 +0.1%  
  Trans: 15,575 -52.80 -0.3%  
  Utils: 1,101 +0.17 +0.0%  
  Nasdaq: 22,349 +207.65 +0.9%  
  S&P 500: 6,615 +30.99 +0.5%  
YTD
 +7.8%  
-2.0%  
 +12.1%  
 +15.7%  
 +12.5%  
  Targets    Overview: 09/15/2025  
  Up arrow46,700 or 44,700 by 10/01/2025
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,200 by 10/01/2025
  Up arrow1,150 or 1,050 by 10/01/2025
  Up arrow22,700 or 21,400 by 10/01/2025
  Up arrow6,750 or 6,400 by 10/01/2025
As of 09/15/2025
  Indus: 45,883 +49.23 +0.1%  
  Trans: 15,575 -52.80 -0.3%  
  Utils: 1,101 +0.17 +0.0%  
  Nasdaq: 22,349 +207.65 +0.9%  
  S&P 500: 6,615 +30.99 +0.5%  
YTD
 +7.8%  
-2.0%  
 +12.1%  
 +15.7%  
 +12.5%  
  Targets    Overview: 09/15/2025  
  Up arrow46,700 or 44,700 by 10/01/2025
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,200 by 10/01/2025
  Up arrow1,150 or 1,050 by 10/01/2025
  Up arrow22,700 or 21,400 by 10/01/2025
  Up arrow6,750 or 6,400 by 10/01/2025

Recent Headlines

Picture of Orb Foresight book. Picture of 'Invest for two-comma wealth' book.

Older Headlines

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Tuesday 9/16/25. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 0.1% or 49.23 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 1435 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.5% on 738 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.6% on 697 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 51.4% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 317/580 or 54.7% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 61/125 or 48.8% of the time.

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I show another slider trading quiz featuring Standex International: SXI (2) stock.

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Here's a symbol list of 117 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, ANF, ACIW, ADTN, AEIS, ALB, AA, ALKS, AEO, AMN, APH, ARCB, ASH, AIZ, BALL, CHKP, CINF, CLF, CMCO, CMTL, DVN, DDS, ^DJU, DUK, EIX, EOG, EL, EXPI, FDX, FMC, FWRD, FNV, FCX, FDP, GNW, GFS, GOOGL, HE, HL, HOLX, HUN, IBKR, IRM, JKHY, KMB, LHX, RAMP, LPLA, LXU, M, MDT, META, MUR, ^IXIC, NI, OTEX, ORCL, PAYX, PNW, PFG, RJF, REGN, ^GSPC, SAND, SEE, SMTC, SCCO, TRGP, TXN, RIG, WPM, WSM, WOLF, ITA, IYC, IEZ, FXI, QQQ, IAT, IEV, IGV, ILF, SOXX, IEO, IHI, EWA, EEM, EWQ, EWI, EPP, EWY, EWP, EWD, QLD, DBA, SSO, XLY, SPY, UNG, USO, SMH, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

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The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  43,084.76    
 Monthly S1  44,484.11  1,399.34   
 Weekly S2  44,906.66  422.55   
 Monthly Pivot  45,310.65  404.00   
 Weekly S1  45,395.05  84.40   
 Daily S2  45,671.37  276.32   
 Weekly Pivot  45,766.13  94.75   
 Low  45,771.88  5.75   Yes! The Low is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 Daily S1  45,777.41  5.53   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Low.
 Open  45,848.40  70.99   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  45,850.78  2.38   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Open.
 50% Down from Intraday High  45,875.16  24.38   
 Daily Pivot  45,877.92  2.77   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  45,883.45  5.53   Yes! The Close is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  45,899.53  16.08   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Close.
 High  45,978.43  78.90   
 Daily R1  45,983.96  5.53   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the High.
 Daily R2  46,084.47  100.51   
 Weekly R1  46,254.52  170.05   
 Weekly R2  46,625.60  371.07   
 Monthly R1  46,710.00  84.40   
 Monthly R2  47,536.54  826.55   

Monday 9/15/25. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

A friend of mine has cancer. Almost 70,000 people visited this website in August. If we all get together and pray for her, maybe we can make a difference. Send your prayers to Mrs. P.

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My Prediction

Picture of the Dow industrials on the daily scale.

This is a chart of the Dow industrials on the daily scale.

I drew the red trendlines, connecting the points with straight segments instead of a curved line.

Notice the difference in slope from B to A (a steeper slope), suggesting the market is getting more excited.

I also highlight a double top chart pattern at CD It confirmed as valid when the index closed below the lowest valley between the two peaks (E, the green line). That happens at F. However, the drop wasn't far and the index climbed to bust the downward breakout when it closed above the top of the chart pattern.

Based on the chart, it looks to me like the uptrend will continue.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Up 114.09 points.
Tuesday: Up 196.39 points.
Wednesday: Down 220.42 points.
Thursday: Up 617.08 points.
Friday: Down 273.78 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were up 433.36 points or 1.0%.
The Nasdaq composite was up 440.71 points or 2.0%.
The S&P 500 index was up 102.79 points or 1.6%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     0.7% down from the high of 46,137.20 on 09/11/2025.
     25.2% up from the low of 36,611.78 on 04/07/2025.
Nasdaq
     0.2% down from the high of 22,182.34 on 09/12/2025.
     49.8% up from the low of 14,784.03 on 04/07/2025.
S&P 500
     0.2% down from the high of 6,600.21 on 09/12/2025.
     36.2% up from the low of 4,835.04 on 04/07/2025.

Options Expiration

Many options expire this week, so traders will be looking to close out their positions, and that suggests increased volatility (large daily price swings).

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  45,645  45,740  45,908  46,003  46,172 
Weekly  44,890  45,362  45,750  46,222  46,609 
Monthly  43,068  44,451  45,294  46,677  47,520 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  6,567  6,576  6,588  6,597  6,609 
Weekly  6,439  6,512  6,556  6,629  6,673 
Monthly  6,253  6,419  6,509  6,675  6,766 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  21,968  22,054  22,118  22,205  22,269 
Weekly  21,567  21,854  22,018  22,305  22,469 
Monthly  20,467  21,304  21,743  22,580  23,019 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is over.

Here's a symbol list of 99 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ANF, ACN, ACIW, AEIS, AFL, AA, AXP, AMN, AR, APA, APOG, AWI, ATO, BBY, CENX, COP, CCRN, DVN, FANG, BOOM, ELV, EOG, EL, FFIV, FLS, FORM, FTNT, GME, GNW, GFS, GFF, HE, HELE, HP, HOLX, ILMN, IIIN, IPAR, JBLU, KMT, LEN, RAMP, MGY, MANH, MAN, MRTN, NFG, NWPX, OXY, OMCL, OTEX, ORCL, PKE, PCTY, PFG, RRC, RJF, RGA, ROK, ROG, ROL, RES, SAIC, SCCO, SPSC, TECH, TDC, TDG, RIG, WSM, WOLF, IEZ, IHE, FXL, SLV, IEO, IYF, EWM, QLD, PBE, PXJ, PJP, GLD, SMH, VIS. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Electronics1. Electronics
2. Semiconductor Cap Equip.2. Semiconductor
3. Telecom. Equipment3. Homebuilding
4. Semiconductor4. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
5. Apparel5. Cement and Aggregates
6. Homebuilding6. Telecom. Equipment
7. Internet7. Metals and Mining (Div.)
8. Securities Brokerage8. Internet
9. Cement and Aggregates9. Furn/Home Furnishings
10. Chemical (Specialty)10. Apparel
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Trucking/Transp. Leasing50. Insurance (Diversified)
51. Insurance (Diversified)51. Chemical (Diversified)
52. IT Services52. Precision Instrument
53. Petroleum (Producing)53. IT Services
54. Toiletries/Cosmetics54. Toiletries/Cosmetics
55. Precision Instrument55. Trucking/Transp. Leasing
56. Household Products56. Biotechnology
57. Medical Services57. Household Products
58. Biotechnology58. Medical Services
59. Short ETFs59. Short ETFs
60. Human Resources60. Human Resources

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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Friday 9/12/25. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 118 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABM, ADTN, AEIS, A, ALGT, ALL, AEO, AFG, AME, AMN, ARCB, AGO, ADP, BCPC, BSET, BAX, BZH, CBT, CAL, CNC, CLF, CNO, CMCO, CXW, COTY, CCRN, CSGS, CTS, CW, EIX, EMR, EOG, EL, FDX, GD, GES, HE, IEX, KLAC, LHX, LH, LRCX, LAMR, LDOS, LMT, MANH, MDT, MU, MYGN, NTNX, OXY, ORCL, PTEN, PETS, PLXS, PFG, PGR, KWR, REGN, RNG, ROK, ROL, SEE, SCI, SCCO, SNPS, MZTI, TMO, RIG, TZOO, TG, UHAL, UGI, UIS, VFC, VRTX, VMC, WAT, WLK, WEX, WSM, IYM, FXI, IEV, MXI, SOXX, IYF, EWA, EEM, EWQ, EWH, EWI, EWJ, EWM, EWW, EWS, EWY, EWL, THD, QLD, PXJ, PJP, PHO, ROBO, UNG, SMH, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

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You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
ABMDouble Top, Adam and Eve      08/13/202508/22/2025Industrial Services
AEISDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      08/20/202509/02/2025Semiconductor
AMDDouble Top, Eve and Adam      07/29/202508/13/2025Semiconductor
ALRMDouble Top, Adam and Adam      08/22/202508/29/2025Computer Software and Svcs
ALBDouble Top, Adam and Adam      08/11/202508/27/2025Chemical (Diversified)
AEEDouble Top, Eve and Adam      08/04/202508/20/2025Electric Utility (Central)
AMEHead-and-shoulders bottom      08/08/202508/21/2025Industrial Services
APOGHead-and-shoulders top      08/13/202509/05/2025Building Materials
ADPHead-and-shoulders top      07/01/202508/20/2025IT Services
BCPCHead-and-shoulders top      08/13/202509/05/2025Chemical (Specialty)
BKHDouble Top, Adam and Adam      08/14/202508/20/2025Electric Utility (West)
BRDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      09/03/202509/10/2025Information Services
CNCUgly double bottom      08/07/202508/28/2025Medical Services
CNADouble Top, Adam and Eve      08/22/202508/29/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
CTSHDouble Top, Eve and Adam      08/22/202509/05/2025IT Services
CSGPDouble Top, Adam and Adam      08/22/202509/05/2025Information Services
CCRNDead-cat bounce      09/11/202509/11/2025Human Resources
CSGSTriple bottom      07/15/202508/21/2025IT Services
CMITriple bottom      08/21/202509/09/2025Machinery
BOOMUgly double bottom      08/08/202508/28/2025Metal Fabricating
EMNDouble Top, Adam and Adam      08/29/202509/05/2025Chemical (Diversified)
EPAMDouble Top, Adam and Eve      08/22/202508/29/2025IT Services
ELDouble Top, Adam and Adam      07/31/202508/13/2025Toiletries/Cosmetics
FLEXBroadening bottom      08/04/202508/20/2025Electronics
ITDouble Top, Eve and Eve      08/22/202508/29/2025IT Services
GPNHead-and-shoulders top      08/15/202509/05/2025Computer Software and Svcs
HLFlag, high and tight      08/01/202509/11/2025Metals and Mining (Div.)
HUNDiamond top      08/25/202509/11/2025Chemical (Specialty)
ITGRTriple top      07/30/202508/22/2025Electronics
IPGDouble Top, Eve and Adam      08/22/202509/05/2025Advertising
KLICUgly double bottom      08/06/202508/20/2025Semiconductor Cap Equip.
LXUHead-and-shoulders top      08/26/202509/08/2025Building Materials
MTRXDouble Top, Adam and Eve      07/30/202508/28/2025Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
MUDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      08/20/202509/02/2025Semiconductor
MLKNHead-and-shoulders top      08/13/202509/05/2025Furn/Home Furnishings
MOSDouble Top, Adam and Adam      08/25/202508/29/2025Chemical (Diversified)
MYGNFlag, high and tight      08/01/202509/11/2025Biotechnology
^IXICDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      08/20/202509/02/2025None
NEEDouble Top, Adam and Eve      07/23/202508/21/2025Electric Utility (East)
NVDATriple top      07/31/202508/28/2025Semiconductor
OGETriple top      07/23/202508/14/2025Electric Utility (Central)
OMCDouble Top, Eve and Adam      08/22/202509/05/2025Advertising
OXMDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      06/25/202508/01/2025Apparel
PNWDouble Top, Adam and Adam      07/23/202508/07/2025Electric Utility (West)
PPLDouble Top, Eve and Adam      08/14/202508/20/2025Electric Utility (East)
DGXDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      08/25/202509/03/2025Medical Services
RGSDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      08/01/202508/20/2025Toiletries/Cosmetics
SCHWDouble Top, Adam and Adam      07/29/202508/13/2025Securities Brokerage
SHWDouble Top, Adam and Adam      08/22/202509/05/2025Chemical (Basic)
SNPSDead-cat bounce      09/10/202509/10/2025Computer Software and Svcs
TDYHead-and-shoulders bottom      08/18/202509/09/2025Aerospace/Defense
TTDDouble Top, Adam and Adam      08/18/202508/28/2025Advertising
TWLOUgly double bottom      08/11/202508/20/2025E-Commerce
UPSDouble Top, Eve and Adam      08/15/202508/22/2025Air Transport
VRSNDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      08/04/202508/13/2025Internet
WMBDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      08/19/202509/05/2025Natural Gas (Distributor)

 

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