Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 03/06/2026
  Indus: 47,502 -453.19 -0.9%  
  Trans: 18,461 -673.17 -3.5%  
  Utils: 1,168 -2.75 -0.2%  
  Nasdaq: 22,388 -361.31 -1.6%  
  S&P 500: 6,740 -90.69 -1.3%  
YTD
-1.2%  
 +6.4%  
 +9.4%  
-3.7%  
-1.5%  
  Targets    Overview: 02/27/2026  
  Up arrow49,800 or 46,500 by 03/15/2026
  Up arrow20,200 or 18,150 by 03/15/2026
  Up arrow1,300 or 1,160 by 03/15/2026
  Up arrow24,750 or 21,800 by 03/15/2026
  Up arrow7,250 or 6,600 by 03/15/2026
As of 03/06/2026
  Indus: 47,502 -453.19 -0.9%  
  Trans: 18,461 -673.17 -3.5%  
  Utils: 1,168 -2.75 -0.2%  
  Nasdaq: 22,388 -361.31 -1.6%  
  S&P 500: 6,740 -90.69 -1.3%  
YTD
-1.2%  
 +6.4%  
 +9.4%  
-3.7%  
-1.5%  
  Targets    Overview: 02/27/2026  
  Up arrow49,800 or 46,500 by 03/15/2026
  Up arrow20,200 or 18,150 by 03/15/2026
  Up arrow1,300 or 1,160 by 03/15/2026
  Up arrow24,750 or 21,800 by 03/15/2026
  Up arrow7,250 or 6,600 by 03/15/2026

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Monday 3/9/26. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the S and P 500 on the daily scale.

I show the S&P 500 index on the daily scale.

There's not a lot to say about this chart. Curve A shows a chart pattern called a rounding top or a multi-peak.

The multi-peak is bearish but the rounded top is bullish if the index rises above the top of it. I suspect, and it's just a guess, that the rounded top is the more valid of the two patterns. Of course, it all depends on what Trump does. A lot of that will be related to the price of oil.

Line B shows support. I base that one the depth of the two trendline touches on the left of the line. It's meager, but it's there. Maybe we'll see the index rebound off that line. However, the index could plunge through it, depending on Trump's war.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Down 73.14 points.
Tuesday: Down 403.51 points.
Wednesday: Up 238.14 points.
Thursday: Down 784.67 points.
Friday: Down 453.19 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were down 1476.37 points or 3.0%.
The Nasdaq composite was down 280.53 points or 1.2%.
The S&P 500 index was down 138.86 points or 2.0%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     6.0% down from the high of 50,512.79 on 02/10/2026.
     1.0% up from the low of 47,009.01 on 03/06/2026.
Nasdaq
     6.7% down from the high of 23,988.27 on 01/28/2026.
     1.2% up from the low of 22,124.78 on 03/03/2026.
S&P 500
     3.7% down from the high of 7,002.28 on 01/28/2026.
     0.4% up from the low of 6,710.42 on 03/03/2026.

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  46,756  47,129  47,382  47,754  48,007 
Weekly  45,803  46,652  47,858  48,708  49,914 
Monthly  44,837  46,169  48,341  49,673  51,845 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  6,680  6,710  6,742  6,772  6,804 
Weekly  6,593  6,667  6,784  6,857  6,974 
Monthly  6,532  6,636  6,815  6,919  7,098 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  22,157  22,272  22,443  22,559  22,730 
Weekly  21,701  22,044  22,468  22,811  23,235 
Monthly  21,168  21,778  22,735  23,345  24,302 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is over.

Here's a symbol list of 182 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: MMM, ABT, AFL, A, ALK, ALKS, ALGT, AEO, AXP, AMWD, AME, APH, ANIK, AON, APOG, ATR, ARCB, ADM, ASH, AIZ, AGO, ADSK, AVY, AVNT, BAX, BMRN, BKNG, BLDR, CALM, CX, CI, CLF, CNO, CNX, CGNX, COTY, CRH, CCRN, CSGS, CTS, CMI, XRAY, D, DOV, EMN, EMR, EL, EVH, EXC, EXPI, EXPD, FDX, FLEX, FWRD, FCX, GAP, GGG, GFF, HLIT, HE, HQY, HL, HSIC, HSY, DHI, HURC, IEX, IIIN, ITGR, KALU, KELYA, KMT, KLAC, LH, LEG, LMT, MAS, MDT, MU, MS, MLI, NFG, ON, PTEN, PCTY, PETS, PNW, PPG, PPL, PFG, PG, PRU, PHM, KWR, DGX, RL, RGS, RLI, ROK, RES, R, SIGI, SHW, SKYW, SGI, SO, SCCO, LUV, SR, TPR, TECH, TFX, TKR, TOL, TREX, UPS, VFC, VMI, VECO, WSO, WU, WEX, WSC, WWD, XEL, IYM, DDM, IHF, IAT, IGV, MXI, SLV, IYF, ITB, IHI, EWK, EWQ, THD, TUR, IBB, DBA, PBE, PEJ, PJP, PHO, XLF, XHB, XLB, XRT, USO, VHT, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Semiconductor Cap Equip.1. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
2. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment2. Telecom. Equipment
3. Telecom. Equipment3. Metals and Mining (Div.)
4. Semiconductor4. Semiconductor
5. Metals and Mining (Div.)5. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
6. Machinery6. Machinery
7. Petroleum (Producing)7. Air Transport
8. Biotechnology8. Trucking/Transp. Leasing
9. Natural Gas (Diversified)9. Biotechnology
10. Petroleum (Integrated)10. Investment Co. (Foreign)
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Medical Services50. Financial Services
51. Toiletries/Cosmetics51. Healthcare Information
52. Homebuilding52. Building Materials
53. Furn/Home Furnishings53. IT Services
54. E-Commerce54. Short ETFs
55. Internet55. E-Commerce
56. Building Materials56. Investment Co. (Domestic)
57. Information Services57. Internet
58. Computer Software and Svcs58. Information Services
59. Investment Co. (Domestic)59. Computer Software and Svcs
60. Human Resources60. Human Resources

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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Friday 3/6/26. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 141 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, ACN, ALK, AA, ALGT, AEO, AIG, APH, ANIK, AR, APA, ASH, ADSK, BAX, BZH, BMRN, BKNG, BAH, COR, CIEN, CTAS, CL, CMCO, CCRN, DVN, DSGR, ^DJT, EOG, EVH, EXPD, EZPW, FISV, FLEX, FMC, FWRD, FNV, GAP, GPN, GFF, HQY, HL, HSY, HUN, IIIN, TILE, JBLU, JNJ, KALU, KFRC, KLAC, LH, LEG, LDOS, LLY, MLM, MAS, MA, MTDR, MDT, NFG, NOV, PCTY, PETS, PG, DGX, RL, RNG, RLI, ROK, ROST, RES, SIGI, SHW, SKYW, SO, SCCO, LUV, SR, SSYS, TPR, TFX, TTD, TKR, TSCO, TZOO, TREX, UNM, VEEV, WRB, WMT, WSO, WU, WSC, WWD, XEL, IYM, IYK, IHE, DDM, FXI, IYH, IEV, MXI, IEO, ITB, EWA, EWZ, EWQ, EWG, EIS, EWJ, EWS, EZA, EWL, THD, EWU, IBB, DBA, PBE, PHO, XLP, UNG, USO, VHT, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
AYIPipe top      02/02/202602/09/2026Furn/Home Furnishings
AADouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      02/05/202602/17/2026Aerospace/Defense
AEOHead-and-shoulders complex top      02/03/202602/26/2026Apparel
AXPDouble Top, Adam and Adam      01/22/202602/10/2026Financial Services
AMNPipe bottom      02/09/202602/17/2026Human Resources
APHPipe top      02/17/202602/23/2026Electronics
ARWDouble Top, Eve and Adam      02/06/202602/24/2026Electronics
ASHTriple top      01/13/202602/24/2026Chemical (Basic)
ADSKHorn bottom      02/09/202602/23/2026Computer Software and Svcs
BSXDouble Top, Eve and Eve      02/19/202602/27/2026Medical Services
BFHPipe top      02/09/202602/09/2026Information Services
BCODead-cat bounce      02/27/202602/27/2026Industrial Services
CINFDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      02/10/202602/24/2026Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
CLXDouble Top, Eve and Eve      02/17/202602/26/2026Household Products
CCKDouble Top, Adam and Eve      02/05/202602/24/2026Packaging and Container
DSGRDead-cat bounce      03/05/202603/05/2026Metal Fabricating
^DJTBroadening top, right-angled and descending      02/18/202603/05/2026None
DOVDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/12/202602/20/2026Machinery
ELVDouble Top, Eve and Eve      01/30/202602/17/2026Medical Services
ELPipe top      02/17/202602/23/2026Toiletries/Cosmetics
EVHHorn bottom      02/09/202602/23/2026Healthcare Information
FLSDouble Top, Eve and Adam      02/18/202602/26/2026Machinery
GDDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      02/17/202602/25/2026Aerospace/Defense
GLTriangle, ascending      02/10/202603/05/2026Insurance (Life)
HLBroadening bottom      02/02/202603/05/2026Metals and Mining (Div.)
HDHead-and-shoulders top      02/03/202602/24/2026Retail Building Supply
HUNDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      02/26/202603/03/2026Chemical (Specialty)
IBKRDouble Top, Eve and Eve      01/26/202602/10/2026Securities Brokerage
JKHYDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      02/12/202602/25/2026IT Services
JBLUDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/06/202602/18/2026Air Transport
LENDouble Top, Eve and Eve      01/14/202602/13/2026Homebuilding
LPLATriple top      10/31/202502/04/2026Securities Brokerage
METADouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      02/18/202602/24/2026E-Commerce
MURHead-and-shoulders bottom      01/07/202602/26/2026Petroleum (Integrated)
NOVDouble Top, Eve and Adam      02/24/202603/02/2026Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
PLXSHead-and-shoulders top      02/03/202602/24/2026Electronics
PPGPipe top      02/09/202602/17/2026Chemical (Diversified)
PGDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/24/202602/27/2026Household Products
PEGDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/17/202602/26/2026Electric Utility (East)
RTXTriple bottom      01/26/202602/25/2026Aerospace/Defense
ROLDouble Top, Eve and Eve      02/23/202603/02/2026Industrial Services
NOWDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      02/09/202602/23/2026IT Services
SHWHead-and-shoulders top      02/04/202602/24/2026Chemical (Basic)
SHOPUgly double bottom      02/12/202603/03/2026E-Commerce
SKYWDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/18/202602/26/2026Air Transport
LUVDouble Top, Eve and Eve      02/06/202602/17/2026Air Transport
TDYDouble Top, Adam and Eve      02/25/202603/02/2026Aerospace/Defense
TKRDouble Top, Eve and Eve      02/11/202603/02/2026Metal Fabricating
TWLODouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      02/04/202602/13/2026E-Commerce
UGIPipe top      01/26/202602/02/2026Natural Gas (Distributor)
VFCBroadening top, right-angled and ascending      12/08/202503/03/2026Apparel
VEEVDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      02/12/202602/23/2026Healthcare Information
VRTXDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/13/202602/27/2026Biotechnology
WSMTriple top      01/22/202602/20/2026Retail (Special Lines)

 

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Thursday 3/5/26. 2026 Market Forecast Update

The Nasdaq climbed by 1.3% or 290.79 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 179 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.9% on 113 occasions.
     Average loss was -1.1% on 66 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 63.1% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 304/557 or 54.6% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 88/184 or 47.8% of the time.

$ $ $

Here's the link to the 2026 market forecast update, presented in slider format.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 114 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: AYI, AEIS, AMD, A, ALK, AA, ALGT, DOX, AEP, AFG, AIG, AMGN, APH, AR, APOG, AAPL, ATR, ANET, ARW, ADSK, AZTA, BALL, BZH, BIIB, BMRN, BA, BKNG, BRC, BMY, BRKR, BLDR, BG, CX, COR, CIEN, CLNE, CNX, CMTL, CCRN, DECK, EXP, EVH, EXPD, EZPW, FLS, FRD, THG, HL, HSY, ITW, INTC, TILE, KBH, KMT, KMB, KLIC, LH, LRCX, LDOS, M, MU, MYGN, NFG, NTGR, NUS, OR, PTEN, PCTY, PFE, PG, QCOM, RL, RMBS, RLI, RHI, ROK, RGLD, RES, R, SMG, SEE, SO, SR, TFX, TXN, TKR, TZOO, UGI, UPS, VLO, WAT, WSO, WU, XEL, IYK, IHE, SOXX, EWW, THD, IBB, DBA, PBE, PJP, XLP, XAR, SMH. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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© 2026 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  21,285.99    
 Monthly S1  22,046.74  760.74   
 Weekly S2  22,193.72  146.98   
 Daily S2  22,435.47  241.75   
 Weekly S1  22,500.60  65.13   
 Low  22,570.67  70.07   
 Open  22,620.89  50.22   
 Daily S1  22,621.47  0.58   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Open.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  22,693.37  71.90   
 50% Down from Intraday High  22,731.28  37.90   
 Daily Pivot  22,756.68  25.40   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  22,769.18  12.50   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 Close  22,807.48  38.30   
 Weekly Pivot  22,835.14  27.66   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the Close.
 High  22,891.88  56.74   
 Daily R1  22,942.68  50.80   
 Monthly Pivot  23,017.50  74.82   
 Daily R2  23,077.89  60.38   
 Weekly R1  23,142.02  64.13   
 Weekly R2  23,476.56  334.54   
 Monthly R1  23,778.25  301.69   
 Monthly R2  24,749.01  970.77   

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