Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 02/20/2025
  Indus: 44,177 -450.94 -1.0%  
  Trans: 16,465 -82.30 -0.5%  
  Utils: 1,019 +0.28 +0.0%  
  Nasdaq: 19,962 -90.89 -0.5%  
  S&P 500: 6,118 -26.63 -0.4%  
YTD
 +3.8%  
 +3.6%  
 +3.7%  
 +3.4%  
 +4.0%  
  Targets    Overview: 02/13/2025  
  Down arrow43,500 or 45,250 by 03/01/2025
  Up arrow16,900 or 15,800 by 03/01/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 970 by 03/01/2025
  Down arrow19,200 or 20,500 by 03/01/2025
  Down arrow5,875 or 6,200 by 03/01/2025
As of 02/20/2025
  Indus: 44,177 -450.94 -1.0%  
  Trans: 16,465 -82.30 -0.5%  
  Utils: 1,019 +0.28 +0.0%  
  Nasdaq: 19,962 -90.89 -0.5%  
  S&P 500: 6,118 -26.63 -0.4%  
YTD
 +3.8%  
 +3.6%  
 +3.7%  
 +3.4%  
 +4.0%  
  Targets    Overview: 02/13/2025  
  Down arrow43,500 or 45,250 by 03/01/2025
  Up arrow16,900 or 15,800 by 03/01/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 970 by 03/01/2025
  Down arrow19,200 or 20,500 by 03/01/2025
  Down arrow5,875 or 6,200 by 03/01/2025

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Friday 2/21/25. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 114 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: AXDX, AMD, AKAM, ALB, AEP, AMN, ANIK, APA, ARCB, ANET, ARW, AVA, BMI, BAX, BMRN, BAH, BRKR, CBT, CDNS, CE, CHD, CNX, CMTL, CRH, CCK, CSGS, DVN, ^DJU, EXP, ECL, EME, EOG, EVH, FICO, FARO, FISV, FLS, GNW, GPN, GFS, HTLD, HELE, INTC, IRM, LANC, LEG, L, MTSI, M, MTRN, MOS, OXY, PAYX, PCTY, QTWO, KWR, QCOM, RJF, RGS, ROK, ROL, ROP, SLB, SMG, SEE, TRGP, TTD, TKR, TJX, TOL, TZOO, UIS, UNM, VFC, VLO, VMI, VECO, VRTX, VMC, WSO, WMB, WSM, IYK, IDU, SLV, EWO, EEM, EWM, EWW, EWP, THD, TUR, PPA, PXJ, PJP, ROBO, XLE, XRT, VIS. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
ATriple top      01/22/202501/31/2025Precision Instrument
ALBPipe bottom      02/03/202502/10/2025Chemical (Diversified)
AMZNDouble Top, Eve and Adam      01/28/202502/04/2025Internet
AMEDTriple top      01/27/202502/19/2025Medical Services
AEPUgly double bottom      01/08/202502/03/2025Electric Utility (Central)
AXPTriple top      01/23/202502/06/2025Financial Services
AMNDouble Top, Adam and Eve      01/14/202501/27/2025Human Resources
ARCBTriple top      01/15/202501/31/2025Trucking/Transp. Leasing
ARWDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      02/06/202502/13/2025Electronics
AVNTUgly double bottom      01/10/202502/03/2025Chemical (Specialty)
CDNSDiamond top      12/27/202402/11/2025Computer Software and Svcs
CALMTriple top      01/21/202502/12/2025Food Processing
CEDead-cat bounce      02/19/202502/19/2025Chemical (Basic)
CDAYDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      02/05/202502/12/2025Information Services
CCKDiamond top      01/28/202502/20/2025Packaging and Container
CMIPipe bottom      01/27/202502/03/2025Machinery
^DJIDiamond top      01/23/202502/18/2025None
EPAMDouble Top, Adam and Eve      02/07/202502/13/2025IT Services
EFXDouble Top, Adam and Eve      12/18/202401/27/2025Information Services
GNWHead-and-shoulders top      01/30/202502/18/2025Insurance (Life)
GPNDouble Top, Adam and Adam      01/06/202501/31/2025Computer Software and Svcs
GFSPipe bottom      02/03/202502/10/2025Semiconductor
GGGPipe bottom      01/27/202502/03/2025Machinery
HDHead-and-shoulders top      01/21/202502/06/2025Retail Building Supply
LBroadening top      01/15/202502/20/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
MGYDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      02/07/202502/13/2025Petroleum (Producing)
MTRNDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      02/03/202502/14/2025Metals and Mining (Div.)
MDTDouble Top, Eve and Adam      01/28/202502/14/2025Medical Supplies
MUTriple bottom      01/29/202502/12/2025Semiconductor
MSHead-and-shoulders top      01/29/202502/20/2025Securities Brokerage
ORITriangle, symmetrical      01/23/202502/13/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
PTENPipe bottom      01/27/202502/03/2025Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
PORTriple bottom      01/13/202502/10/2025Electric Utility (West)
PSTGTriangle, symmetrical      01/22/202502/19/2025Computers and Peripherals
KWRUgly double bottom      01/13/202502/03/2025Chemical (Specialty)
RGADouble Top, Eve and Adam      01/30/202502/06/2025Insurance (Life)
RDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      02/03/202502/12/2025Trucking/Transp. Leasing
^GSPCDiamond top      01/21/202502/12/2025None
SAIADiamond top      01/15/202502/11/2025Trucking/Transp. Leasing
SCCORoof, inverted      01/17/202502/20/2025Metals and Mining (Div.)
SPSCDouble Top, Eve and Eve      12/18/202401/23/2025E-Commerce
TDYDouble Top, Eve and Eve      01/23/202501/31/2025Aerospace/Defense
TXNDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      02/05/202502/12/2025Semiconductor
TJXHead-and-shoulders top      01/30/202502/14/2025Retail Store
TRVFalling wedge      01/21/202502/20/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
TZOOTriple bottom      12/30/202402/03/2025Internet
UHALUgly double bottom      01/13/202502/06/2025Trucking/Transp. Leasing
UISDead-cat bounce      02/20/202502/20/2025Computers and Peripherals
UNHHead-and-shoulders complex top      01/13/202502/11/2025Medical Services
VFCPipe bottom      02/03/202502/10/2025Apparel
WSODouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      01/10/202502/10/2025Retail Building Supply
WMBDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      01/28/202502/13/2025Natural Gas (Distributor)
WWWDead-cat bounce      02/19/202502/19/2025Shoe
XELHead-and-shoulders bottom      12/19/202402/10/2025Electric Utility (West)

 

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Thursday 2/20/25. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq climbed by 0.1% or 11.99 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 758 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.7% on 422 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.8% on 336 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 55.7% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 289/518 or 55.8% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 84/173 or 48.6% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

At B, we see the index making a chart pattern called a rising wedge. Those breakout downward 60% of the time in bull markets. This one broke out downward at the right tip.

At A, we see the index in a channel marked by the green line on top and the red trendline on the bottom.

Notice how the slopes of the lower lines on B and A have gentled, for lack of a better word. When a trendline goes from steep to shallow, it's a loss of momentum. It might indicate a trend change.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 128 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: MMM, ANF, AXDX, ADBE, AKAM, ALB, DOX, AEP, ANIK, ANET, ADP, BSET, BBY, BMRN, BCO, BLDR, CDNS, CE, CF, CNX, CMTL, COP, CROX, CSGS, DVN, ^DJU, ^DJT, ^DJI, DTE, EXP, EOG, EXPD, FICO, FARO, FAST, FLS, FTNT, GFS, HSIC, HOLX, DHI, HUM, HURC, INFN, TILE, IRM, KEYS, KFRC, KMB, LAMR, LANC, LEG, RAMP, MTSI, M, MAN, MAS, NEU, OXY, PATK, PDCO, PAYX, PEN, QTWO, KWR, QCOM, RRC, REGN, RGS, RNG, ROP, ^GSPC, CRM, SMG, SCI, SGI, SCS, TRGP, TFX, TXN, TOL, TDG, TZOO, VFC, VECO, VRTX, WSO, WLK, WMB, WSM, WWW, IYK, IHE, IDU, FDN, FXL, IYH, IHF, IEO, IYF, ITB, EWA, EWW, EZA, EWY, TUR, PBE, PXJ, PJP, SSO, XLE, XHB, XLU, UNG, USO, VHT. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  18,381.22    
 Weekly S2  19,207.88  826.66   
 Monthly S1  19,217.24  9.35   Yes! The Monthly S1 is close to the Weekly S2.
 Weekly S1  19,630.57  413.33   
 Monthly Pivot  19,667.92  37.36   
 Weekly Pivot  19,838.16  170.24   
 Daily S2  19,856.68  18.51   
 Low  19,928.89  72.21   
 Daily S1  19,954.96  26.07   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  19,994.02  39.06   
 Open  19,994.50  0.48   Yes! The Open is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 50% Down from Intraday High  20,014.14  19.64   
 Daily Pivot  20,027.18  13.04   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  20,034.26  7.08   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 Close  20,053.25  18.99   
 High  20,099.39  46.14   
 Daily R1  20,125.46  26.07   
 Daily R2  20,197.68  72.21   
 Weekly R1  20,260.85  63.17   
 Weekly R2  20,468.44  207.60   
 Monthly R1  20,503.94  35.49   
 Monthly R2  20,954.62  450.69   

Wednesday 2/19/25. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

The most recent signal is bullish with a reading of 78.9 out of 100, where below 35 is bearish and above 65 is bullish. I show that with the vertical green bar on the far right of the chart.

If the market were to make a big move down, the green bar could change to red for up to a week. So the green bar might not be as bullish as it appears.

The inset in the far upper center of the chart shows the CPI made a U-shaped turn. Such a gentle turn is unusual. Normally, it's a sharper turn.

If the market were to drop just a bit, we could see the bullish signal change to neutral (white).

My guess as to direction? I thought that overhead resistance would stop an upward advance and it has, with several attempts to rise above the December peak not making much headway. We'll have to see what happens next because I don't have a good feeling as to what will happen.

$ $ $

With cold snap approaching, I came up with a new idea. I've doors that leak air into the house. They have seals which came with the door but with foundation shifting, gaps have appeared.

As a bicycle rider, I took a bad inner tube (it sprung a leak) and cut off the valve. Then I nailed it to the door jam, right over the old seal (the tube is almost as tall as the door. Yippee!). I did that for the top and door knob edges (not bottom or hinge side) of the door.

Worked great! The existing strip was glued or somehow fastened to the door frame, so it would have been tough to remove.

One lesson I learned. Nail on the surface that the door will not press against. If you nail it on the same side as the door presses against, it'll depress the tire enough to allow air infiltration. So nail it on the adjacent side to hold the tire in place.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 139 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, ANF, AXDX, ACN, APD, ATSG, AEP, AXP, ANIK, AON, ANET, AZTA, BSET, BAX, BZH, BA, BAH, BRC, CHD, CTAS, CAG, CXW, CRH, CCK, CSGS, CTS, FANG, ^DJU, ELV, EVRG, FDS, FARO, FLS, FTNT, GIS, GL, GOOGL, HE, HSIC, HSY, HUN, ITW, TILE, INTU, IRM, JBLU, KMB, LAMR, LANC, LMT, L, M, MCHX, MAS, MU, MS, NFG, NFLX, NJR, NEU, ORI, ON, ORCL, OUT, OXM, PATK, PNW, POR, PPG, PINC, QTWO, KWR, QCOM, DGX, ROP, R, SAND, SCHW, SHOP, SKYW, SGI, LUV, SR, SSYS, TPR, TRGP, TDOC, TEVA, TJX, RIG, TWLO, UGI, UNH, UNM, VMI, MDRX, VRTX, V, WSO, WEX, WMB, WDAY, XEL, ITA, FDN, QTEC, BOTZ, IXN, EWO, EWK, EEM, EWG, EIS, EWI, EWJ, EWW, EWS, EWY, EWP, EWT, EWU, PPA, PJP, ROBO, USO, SMH. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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