Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 02/27/2026
  Indus: 48,978 -521.28 -1.1%  
  Trans: 19,689 -44.69 -0.2%  
  Utils: 1,190 +9.39 +0.8%  
  Nasdaq: 22,668 -210.17 -0.9%  
  S&P 500: 6,879 -29.98 -0.4%  
YTD
 +1.9%  
 +13.4%  
 +11.4%  
-2.5%  
 +0.5%  
  Targets    Overview: 02/13/2026  
  Up arrow50,500 or 48,300 by 03/01/2026
  Up arrow20,200 or 18,150 by 03/01/2026
  Up arrow1,250 or 1,125 by 03/01/2026
  Up arrow24,750 or 22,000 by 03/01/2026
  Up arrow7,250 or 6,600 by 03/01/2026
As of 02/27/2026
  Indus: 48,978 -521.28 -1.1%  
  Trans: 19,689 -44.69 -0.2%  
  Utils: 1,190 +9.39 +0.8%  
  Nasdaq: 22,668 -210.17 -0.9%  
  S&P 500: 6,879 -29.98 -0.4%  
YTD
 +1.9%  
 +13.4%  
 +11.4%  
-2.5%  
 +0.5%  
  Targets    Overview: 02/13/2026  
  Up arrow50,500 or 48,300 by 03/01/2026
  Up arrow20,200 or 18,150 by 03/01/2026
  Up arrow1,250 or 1,125 by 03/01/2026
  Up arrow24,750 or 22,000 by 03/01/2026
  Up arrow7,250 or 6,600 by 03/01/2026

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Monday 3/2/26. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Dow transport on the daily scale.

This is a chart of the Dow transports on the daily scale.

The only relevant chart pattern is the most recent one, highlighted here at A.

It's a symmetrical triangle. However, it's a flawed pattern. There's only one minor low on the bottom. The trendline cutting through price doesn't count as a touch.

On the top, you see two minor highs when I prefer to see three or more (same for the bottom).

Even so, the narrowing price movement is clear. The breakout direction is unknown. A downward breakout could see price fall dramatically and far. An upward breakout may see price struggle to rise.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Down 821.91 points.
Tuesday: Up 370.44 points.
Wednesday: Up 307.65 points.
Thursday: Up 17.05 points.
Friday: Down 521.28 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were down 648.05 points or 1.3%.
The Nasdaq composite was down 217.86 points or 1.0%.
The S&P 500 index was down 30.63 points or 0.4%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     3.0% down from the high of 50,512.79 on 02/10/2026.
     2.4% up from the low of 47,853.04 on 01/02/2026.
Nasdaq
     5.5% down from the high of 23,988.27 on 01/28/2026.
     1.8% up from the low of 22,256.76 on 02/17/2026.
S&P 500
     1.8% down from the high of 7,002.28 on 01/28/2026.
     1.5% up from the low of 6,775.50 on 02/17/2026.

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  48,395  48,687  48,970  49,261  49,545 
Weekly  48,021  48,499  49,157  49,636  50,294 
Monthly  47,264  48,121  49,317  50,174  51,370 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  6,813  6,846  6,865  6,897  6,916 
Weekly  6,745  6,812  6,882  6,949  7,019 
Monthly  6,659  6,769  6,886  6,996  7,112 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  22,450  22,559  22,647  22,757  22,845 
Weekly  22,147  22,408  22,789  23,049  23,430 
Monthly  21,240  21,954  22,971  23,685  24,703 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is either underway or should be starting soon. The sessions could be more volatile.

Here's a symbol list of 110 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, AEIS, AES, AFL, AKAM, ALB, AMGN, AMN, APH, APA, AAPL, ATR, AGO, BBY, BCO, CALM, CE, CNC, CRL, CHD, CLNE, CNX, CMCO, CAG, CCRN, XRAY, ECL, EME, EQT, FISV, FLS, FCX, THG, TILE, IPI, KSS, LAMR, LEN, M, MRK, MLKN, MCO, MUR, NFG, NFLX, NKE, NOC, OLN, OMCL, OR, OUT, PTEN, PETS, PPG, KWR, QCOM, RRC, REGN, ROG, RGLD, SMTC, SR, TGT, TDY, TFX, TER, MZTI, TG, TWLO, UNH, VFC, VLO, VECO, WMT, WSO, WLK, WSM, XEL, IHE, FTEC, FXL, FXI, BOTZ, IYH, IAT, IYZ, IXN, SLV, EWK, EWH, EIS, EWM, EWT, TUR, IBB, PBE, SSO, GLD, XLV, SPY, VHT, MGK. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Semiconductor Cap Equip.1. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
2. Telecom. Equipment2. Telecom. Equipment
3. Metals and Mining (Div.)3. Semiconductor
4. Semiconductor4. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
5. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment5. Metals and Mining (Div.)
6. Machinery6. Air Transport
7. Air Transport7. Machinery
8. Trucking/Transp. Leasing8. Trucking/Transp. Leasing
9. Biotechnology9. Apparel
10. Investment Co. (Foreign)10. Metal Fabricating
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Financial Services50. Financial Services
51. Healthcare Information51. Medical Services
52. Building Materials52. IT Services
53. IT Services53. Healthcare Information
54. Short ETFs54. Short ETFs
55. E-Commerce55. E-Commerce
56. Investment Co. (Domestic)56. Investment Co. (Domestic)
57. Internet57. Internet
58. Information Services58. Information Services
59. Computer Software and Svcs59. Computer Software and Svcs
60. Human Resources60. Human Resources

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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Friday 2/27/26. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 141 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ABM, ACN, ADTN, AEIS, AMD, AFL, AKAM, ALRM, ALGT, AMZN, DOX, AMGN, AMN, APH, ANIK, ATR, ADM, AWI, AGO, AVY, AVA, BAX, BAH, BFH, BCO, BR, BRKR, BG, CAL, CE, CRL, CVX, CIEN, CTAS, CLX, CTSH, CMCO, CSGP, CRH, CCRN, CSGS, BOOM, EOG, EFX, EVH, FICO, FLS, FTNT, FNV, GAP, GNW, GILD, THG, HE, HQY, HL, HOLX, HON, HUBG, HUM, HURC, IBP, PODD, INTU, KMB, KSS, LEG, LEN, RAMP, LXU, MGY, MAN, MRK, MCO, MUR, NTAP, OMC, ON, OR, PTEN, PEN, PPG, QTWO, KWR, QCOM, REGN, ROG, ROP, RGLD, RES, SAIA, SBH, SAIC, SIGI, SMTC, SGI, LUV, SR, TPR, TGT, TFX, TER, MZTI, TTD, TDG, RIG, UPS, VMI, VECO, WSO, WEX, WPM, WSM, XEL, ZBRA, FTEC, FXI, BOTZ, IXN, SLV, EIS, EZA, EWT, PBE, PEJ, SSO, XRT, SPY, UNG, MGK. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
ABTUgly double bottom      01/28/202602/20/2026Medical Supplies
ALBDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      02/05/202602/13/2026Chemical (Diversified)
AFGTriple bottom      01/23/202602/13/2026Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
AMWDPipe top      02/02/202602/09/2026Building Materials
ANIKUgly double bottom      01/28/202602/13/2026Biotechnology
AWITriple top      10/27/202502/11/2026Building Materials
ADSKDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      02/12/202602/24/2026Computer Software and Svcs
AVYBroadening top      02/12/202602/25/2026Packaging and Container
AVAHead-and-shoulders top      02/06/202602/23/2026Electric Utility (West)
BKHDiamond top      01/15/202602/26/2026Electric Utility (West)
BFHDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      02/13/202602/23/2026Information Services
CXTriangle, symmetrical      01/29/202602/26/2026Cement and Aggregates
GLWFlag, high and tight      01/08/202602/25/2026Telecom. Equipment
CCRNPipe bottom      02/09/202602/17/2026Human Resources
BOOMDead-cat bounce      02/24/202602/24/2026Metal Fabricating
EFXUgly double bottom      02/04/202602/12/2026Information Services
EVHDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      02/12/202602/25/2026Healthcare Information
FDSHead-and-shoulders bottom      02/12/202602/23/2026Information Services
FISDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      02/12/202602/23/2026Computer Software and Svcs
FIVNDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      02/05/202602/12/2026Computer Software and Svcs
FORMFlag, high and tight      12/31/202502/25/2026Semiconductor
FWRDPipe top      02/02/202602/09/2026Trucking/Transp. Leasing
FCXTriple bottom      01/30/202602/17/2026Metals and Mining (Div.)
GISPipe top      02/02/202602/09/2026Food Processing
THGDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      02/09/202602/13/2026Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
HIGTriangle, symmetrical      02/06/202602/26/2026Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
HTLDHead-and-shoulders top      02/04/202602/20/2026Trucking/Transp. Leasing
HNIPipe top      02/02/202602/09/2026Furn/Home Furnishings
IDXXHead-and-shoulders bottom      02/02/202602/24/2026Drug
INCYHead-and-shoulders top      11/12/202502/09/2026Drug
IBPPipe top      02/09/202602/17/2026Retail Building Supply
JAZZPipe bottom      01/05/202601/12/2026Biotechnology
LENPipe top      02/09/202602/17/2026Homebuilding
LNCDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/03/202602/17/2026Insurance (Life)
RAMPPipe bottom      02/02/202602/09/2026Computer Software and Svcs
MTriple top      02/06/202602/18/2026Retail Store
MCOPipe bottom      02/09/202602/17/2026Information Services
^IXICHead-and-shoulders bottom      02/05/202602/24/2026None
NFLXDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      02/12/202602/23/2026Internet
NOVTTriple top      02/12/202602/24/2026Precision Instrument
PCTYDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      02/12/202602/24/2026E-Commerce
PYPLDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      02/05/202602/12/2026Financial Services
KWRPipe top      02/09/202602/17/2026Chemical (Specialty)
SGIPipe top      02/02/202602/09/2026Furn/Home Furnishings
TDOCDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      02/12/202602/24/2026Healthcare Information
TREXDouble Top, Adam and Eve      01/21/202602/10/2026Building Materials
VRSNDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      02/06/202602/24/2026Internet
WPMDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      02/02/202602/05/2026Metals and Mining (Div.)
WSCPipe bottom      01/26/202602/02/2026Industrial Services
MGKHead-and-shoulders bottom      02/05/202602/23/2026None

 

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Thursday 2/26/26. A look at Bitcoin (BTC-USD)

The Nasdaq climbed by 1.3% or 288.4 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 178 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.9% on 113 occasions.
     Average loss was -1.0% on 65 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 63.5% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 304/556 or 54.7% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 88/184 or 47.8% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of bitcoin.

I show a picture of bitcoin on the daily scale.

The cryptocurrency has struggled over the past year. According to yahoo, it's down 23% over that period and down 22% so far this year.

Let's look at some of the chart patterns shown in the chart, starting with AB, which is a double top. Line C is the confirmation line. When the coin closed below the line, it confirms the double top as valid. In this case, the coin (currency, really) only dropped to D, so the bearish pattern was a dud.

To the right of that, we see a head-and-shoulders top. I show that as LS (left shoulder), head, and right shoulder (RS). The coin made a substantial drop after this pattern confirmed. Confirmation happens when the coin closes below the low price posted between the head and right shoulder.

In green is another head-and-shoulders top, but it's not perfect. The right shoulder looks as if it has a birth defect. It's too far below the left shoulder, but in the markets, it's rare to find a perfect looking pattern. Regardless, the pattern confirms (closes below the green line) and the coin made a nice drop to 1 (so far).

Now, it appears the coin is forming a base, the sideways move fron the February low. There's the potential of a double bottom forming. You have two valleys (1, 2). If the coin closes above the red line, it would confirm the double bottom and suggest, but not guarantee, that the price of the currency will rise.

Alternatively, the coin could drop below support and plunge.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 175 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ACH, ADBE, AMD, AKAM, ALK, ALB, ALKS, AXP, AMN, APOG, AMAT, ARCB, ADM, AWI, ASH, ADP, BMI, BSET, BZH, BRC, BLDR, BG, CE, CNP, CRL, CVX, CI, CLNE, CMTL, CAG, COP, GLW, CSGP, CRH, CCRN, CCK, CSGS, DOV, EXP, EMN, EME, EOG, EPAM, EG, FDS, FICO, FAST, FDX, FIS, FORM, FWRD, GD, GL, GGG, GFF, HNI, HD, HON, HOV, HUN, HURC, IEX, IDXX, ITW, INCY, IBP, ISRG, JAZZ, KMB, KLAC, KSS, LH, LRCX, LDOS, LEN, LOW, MRTN, MLM, MTRN, MRK, MLKN, MCO, MOS, MLI, MUR, NFG, NOV, NFLX, NTGR, NUS, NTNX, NVDA, ON, ORCL, OR, PANW, PPG, PPL, PSTG, KWR, RTX, RNG, RCKY, RES, SAIA, CRM, SMG, SHOP, SGI, SR, SNPS, TECH, TDOC, TEVA, TXT, TTD, TOL, RIG, TZOO, TG, UHAL, UPS, VECO, VMC, WAT, WSO, WERN, WSC, XEL, IYE, FDN, QTEC, BOTZ, IYH, IHF, IAT, IEV, IXN, SOXX, SLV, IEO, EWA, EWO, EWZ, ECH, EEM, EWG, EWI, EWJ, EPP, EZA, EWY, EWP, EWT, THD, EWU, PBE, PJP, SSO, SMH, VHT. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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© 2026 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  21,400.86    
 Weekly S2  22,093.79  692.93   
 Monthly S1  22,276.47  182.68   
 Weekly S1  22,622.94  346.47   
 Weekly Pivot  22,785.90  162.96   
 Daily S2  22,943.83  157.92   
 Low  23,004.69  60.86   
 Open  23,005.01  0.32   Yes! The Open is close to the Low.
 Daily S1  23,047.95  42.94   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  23,067.72  19.76   
 50% Down from Intraday High  23,087.19  19.47   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  23,106.65  19.47   
 Daily Pivot  23,108.82  2.16   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Monthly Pivot  23,132.37  23.55   
 Close  23,152.08  19.71   
 High  23,169.68  17.60   
 Daily R1  23,212.94  43.26   
 Daily R2  23,273.81  60.86   
 Weekly R1  23,315.05  41.24   
 Weekly R2  23,478.01  162.97   
 Monthly R1  24,007.98  529.97   
 Monthly R2  24,863.88  855.90   

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