Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 03/31/2026
  Indus: 46,342 +1,125.37 +2.5%  
  Trans: 18,610 +579.97 +3.2%  
  Utils: 1,159 +0.80 +0.1%  
  Nasdaq: 21,591 +795.99 +3.8%  
  S&P 500: 6,529 +184.80 +2.9%  
YTD
-3.6%  
 +7.2%  
 +8.5%  
-7.1%  
-4.6%  
  Targets    Overview: 03/30/2026  
  Down arrow44,000 or 47,000 by 04/15/2026
  Down arrow17,100 or 19,100 by 04/15/2026
  Up arrow1,200 or 1,120 by 04/15/2026
  Down arrow20,000 or 22,400 by 04/15/2026
  Down arrow6,200 or 6,675 by 04/15/2026
As of 03/31/2026
  Indus: 46,342 +1,125.37 +2.5%  
  Trans: 18,610 +579.97 +3.2%  
  Utils: 1,159 +0.80 +0.1%  
  Nasdaq: 21,591 +795.99 +3.8%  
  S&P 500: 6,529 +184.80 +2.9%  
YTD
-3.6%  
 +7.2%  
 +8.5%  
-7.1%  
-4.6%  
  Targets    Overview: 03/30/2026  
  Down arrow44,000 or 47,000 by 04/15/2026
  Down arrow17,100 or 19,100 by 04/15/2026
  Up arrow1,200 or 1,120 by 04/15/2026
  Down arrow20,000 or 22,400 by 04/15/2026
  Down arrow6,200 or 6,675 by 04/15/2026

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Picture of 'Invest for two-comma wealth, second edition' book.

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Wednesday 4/1/26. 2026 Market Forecast Update

Here's the link to the 2026 market forecast update, presented in slider format.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 262 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, MMM, ACIW, AYI, AES, ALRM, ALK, ALKS, ALGT, AMZN, DOX, AEO, AEP, AME, AMGN, AMN, APH, AR, APOG, AWI, ASH, ATO, ADP, AVY, AVNT, AVA, BCPC, BALL, BAX, BIO, BMRN, BA, BAH, BSX, BRC, BCO, BBW, BLDR, CACI, CDNS, CPB, COR, CRL, CHD, CLX, CNX, CL, CMCO, CMTL, COP, COTY, CR, CRH, CCK, CTS, CMI, XRAY, DVN, DDS, ^DJT, ^DJI, DOV, DUK, EXP, EBAY, ELV, EME, EMR, EPAM, EXC, EXPD, FDS, FAST, FDX, FTV, FWRD, GME, GS, GOOGL, GGG, GFF, HD, HON, DHI, HOV, HWM, HUN, HURC, IEX, IDXX, INCY, IIIN, ITGR, IBKR, TILE, IPI, ISRG, IRM, JAZZ, KALU, KBH, KELYA, KSS, LH, LRCX, LAMR, LEG, LLY, LNC, MHO, M, MGY, MLM, MAS, MTDR, MSFT, MS, MLI, MUR, NBR, ^IXIC, NFLX, NJR, NWL, NKE, NWPX, NOVT, NUS, ORI, OMCL, ON, ORCL, OR, OUT, OXM, PKG, PKE, PTEN, PEN, PGR, PHM, QCOM, DGX, RL, RRC, RJF, ROK, ROST, RGLD, RES, R, ^GSPC, SBH, SLB, SHW, SHOP, SLGN, SKYW, SGI, SO, SCCO, LUV, SR, SXI, SSYS, TPR, TEVA, TXN, TTD, TKR, TJX, TOL, RIG, TZOO, TREX, UHAL, UPS, VFC, VMI, VC, WMT, WSO, WERN, WSM, WSC, WWW, WWD, IYM, IAI, IYC, IHE, DDM, FTEC, FDN, QTEC, FXL, FXI, AIQ, BOTZ, QQQ, ICF, IYH, IHF, IAT, IEV, IGV, MXI, IXN, ILF, SLV, IEO, ITB, IHI, EWA, EWO, EWK, EWZ, EWC, ECH, EWQ, EWH, EIS, EWI, EWJ, EWM, EPP, EWS, EZA, EWP, EWD, EWT, THD, TUR, EWU, QLD, PEJ, PJP, PHO, SSO, ROBO, XLY, XLV, XHB, XLI, XRT, SPY, VHT, VIS, VAW, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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Tuesday 3/31/26. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 0.1% or 49.5 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 1447 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.5% on 743 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.6% on 704 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 51.3% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 330/604 or 54.6% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 63/129 or 48.8% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Northwest Pipe: NWPX (1-2-3 trend change, 2B). .

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 181 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ABM, ACN, AEIS, AMD, APD, ALK, ALKS, ALGT, AMZN, APH, AR, AMAT, ARCB, ACGL, ADM, AIZ, ATO, ADP, BBY, BKH, BA, BR, CACI, CALM, CAL, CLS, CX, CENX, CRL, CHKP, CIEN, CINF, CTAS, CLNE, CNX, CGNX, COP, GLW, CCK, CSGS, CTS, CW, DHR, DVN, ^DJI, EIX, EME, EMR, EFX, EZPW, FFIV, FICO, FDX, FLEX, FLS, FCX, FDP, FRD, GFS, THG, HIG, HOLX, INTC, IRM, JKHY, KMT, KEYS, KLAC, KLIC, LRCX, LNC, MTSI, M, MGY, MRTN, MTDR, MTRN, MTRX, MRK, MGEE, MCO, MUR, NBR, ^IXIC, NEU, NI, NOC, NWPX, NVDA, ON, ORCL, OXM, PKG, PANW, PKE, PTEN, PEN, PCG, PLXS, POR, PG, PSTG, RRC, ROK, ROG, ROL, ROST, RES, ^GSPC, SAIA, SLB, SEIC, SR, SSYS, TER, RIG, TZOO, UPS, VFC, VC, WRB, WWW, WDAY, XEL, ZBRA, ITA, IAI, IYC, IEZ, DDM, FTEC, FDN, QTEC, FXL, AIQ, BOTZ, QQQ, IHF, IXN, IEO, EWA, EWO, EWC, EWG, EWH, EIS, EWM, EWW, EPP, EWL, EWT, QLD, PPA, PBE, PEJ, PXJ, PJP, PHO, SSO, ROBO, XLY, SPY, XAR, XLK, USO, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

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The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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© 2026 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  41,946.34    
 Monthly S1  43,581.24  1,634.90   
 Weekly S2  44,010.88  429.64   
 Weekly S1  44,613.51  602.63   
 Daily S2  44,731.25  117.74   
 Daily S1  44,973.70  242.45   
 Low  45,057.28  83.59   
 Close  45,216.14  158.86   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  45,274.44  58.30   
 Open  45,283.06  8.62   Yes! The Open is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 Daily Pivot  45,299.73  16.67   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the Open.
 50% Down from Intraday High  45,341.52  41.79   Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  45,408.60  67.08   
 Daily R1  45,542.17  133.57   
 High  45,625.76  83.59   
 Weekly Pivot  45,665.96  40.20   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the High.
 Daily R2  45,868.21  202.24   
 Weekly R1  46,268.60  400.39   
 Monthly Pivot  46,698.23  429.63   
 Weekly R2  47,321.05  622.82   
 Monthly R1  48,333.13  1,012.07   
 Monthly R2  51,450.12  3,116.99   

Monday 3/30/26. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Dow industrials on the daily scale.

This is the Dow industrials on the weekly scale.

The horizontal red line is a potential support area, based on prior peaks.

Below that are two knots, which I show circled in green. Knots are potent support and resistance areas. If the index continues to drop, which is what I expect will happen, it might reverse when it reaches a knot. However, because Trump is driving the market, there's no telling what he'll crash into.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Up 631 points.
Tuesday: Down 84.41 points.
Wednesday: Up 305.43 points.
Thursday: Down 469.38 points.
Friday: Down 793.47 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were down 410.83 points or 0.9%.
The Nasdaq composite was down 699.25 points or 3.2%.
The S&P 500 index was down 137.63 points or 2.1%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     10.6% down from the high of 50,512.79 on 02/10/2026.
     0.2% up from the low of 45,063.33 on 03/27/2026.
Nasdaq
     12.7% down from the high of 23,988.27 on 01/28/2026.
     0.2% up from the low of 20,909.93 on 03/27/2026.
S&P 500
     9.0% down from the high of 7,002.28 on 01/28/2026.
     0.2% up from the low of 6,356.08 on 03/27/2026.

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  44,537  44,852  45,378  45,693  46,219 
Weekly  43,994  44,581  45,649  46,236  47,305 
Monthly  41,930  43,548  46,682  48,300  51,434 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  6,295  6,332  6,393  6,430  6,491 
Weekly  6,163  6,266  6,459  6,562  6,754 
Monthly  5,963  6,166  6,559  6,762  7,156 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  20,667  20,808  21,051  21,191  21,434 
Weekly  20,070  20,509  21,349  21,788  22,629 
Monthly  19,416  20,182  21,676  22,442  23,936 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is over.

Here's a symbol list of 156 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ABT, AFL, ALGT, ALL, AFG, AIG, AMGN, AON, AAPL, AMAT, ARCB, ACGL, AGO, ATO, BIO, BIIB, BMRN, BA, BMY, BG, CACI, CALM, CAL, CENX, CHD, CI, CLNE, CLF, CNA, CAG, CSGP, CR, CRH, CTS, CMI, ^DJI, ECL, EIX, ELV, FDX, FIS, FISV, FMC, FTNT, FRD, GIS, GFS, GL, GOOGL, HIG, HON, HWM, ILMN, INCY, IIIN, IPI, IRM, JAZZ, LRCX, RAMP, L, M, MRTN, MTDR, META, MSFT, MUR, ^IXIC, NEU, NOC, NVDA, ON, ORCL, PANW, PTEN, PEN, PFE, PRU, PEG, PSTG, RLI, ROST, ^GSPC, SAIA, SLB, SMG, SEIC, SKYW, SR, SNPS, TFX, TTD, RIG, TRV, TREX, UIS, UNM, WAT, WPM, WSM, ITA, IAI, IYC, DDM, FTEC, FDN, QTEC, FXL, FXI, AIQ, BOTZ, QQQ, IYH, IHF, IGV, IXN, SOXX, EWO, EWK, EEM, EWG, EWH, EIS, EWJ, EWY, EWP, EWD, EWT, TUR, QLD, PPA, DBA, PBE, PHO, SSO, XLY, GLD, SPY, XAR, XLK, USO, SMH, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment1. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
2. Telecom. Equipment2. Telecom. Equipment
3. Petroleum (Producing)3. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
4. Semiconductor Cap Equip.4. Semiconductor
5. Semiconductor5. Petroleum (Producing)
6. Petroleum (Integrated)6. Petroleum (Integrated)
7. Natural Gas (Diversified)7. Natural Gas (Diversified)
8. Metals and Mining (Div.)8. Machinery
9. Machinery9. Air Transport
10. Biotechnology10. Metals and Mining (Div.)
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Building Materials50. Healthcare Information
51. Healthcare Information51. IT Services
52. Furn/Home Furnishings52. Internet
53. Toiletries/Cosmetics53. Furn/Home Furnishings
54. IT Services54. Homebuilding
55. Information Services55. Building Materials
56. Internet56. Information Services
57. Human Resources57. E-Commerce
58. E-Commerce58. Computer Software and Svcs
59. Investment Co. (Domestic)59. Investment Co. (Domestic)
60. Computer Software and Svcs60. Human Resources

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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