Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 12/26/2025
  Indus: 48,711 -20.19 0.0%  
  Trans: 17,647 -22.18 -0.1%  
  Utils: 1,070 -1.59 -0.1%  
  Nasdaq: 23,593 -20.21 -0.1%  
  S&P 500: 6,930 -2.11 0.0%  
YTD
 +14.5%  
 +11.0%  
 +8.9%  
 +22.2%  
 +17.8%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/12/2025  
  Up arrow49,500 or 47,000 by 01/01/2026
  Up arrow18,750 or 17,000 by 01/01/2026
  Up arrow1,100 or 1,040 by 01/01/2026
  Up arrow24,500 or 22,400 by 01/01/2026
  Up arrow7,250 or 6,650 by 01/01/2026
As of 12/26/2025
  Indus: 48,711 -20.19 0.0%  
  Trans: 17,647 -22.18 -0.1%  
  Utils: 1,070 -1.59 -0.1%  
  Nasdaq: 23,593 -20.21 -0.1%  
  S&P 500: 6,930 -2.11 0.0%  
YTD
 +14.5%  
 +11.0%  
 +8.9%  
 +22.2%  
 +17.8%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/12/2025  
  Up arrow49,500 or 47,000 by 01/01/2026
  Up arrow18,750 or 17,000 by 01/01/2026
  Up arrow1,100 or 1,040 by 01/01/2026
  Up arrow24,500 or 22,400 by 01/01/2026
  Up arrow7,250 or 6,650 by 01/01/2026

Recent Headlines

Picture of Orb Foresight book. Picture of 'Invest for two-comma wealth' book.

Older Headlines

Archives


Monday 12/29/25. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Dow utilities on the daily scale.

This is a chart of the Dow utilities on the daily scale.

I drew an odd looking head-and-shoulders top chart pattern. LS is the left shoulder, RS is the right one, and Head is the, well, head.

The horizontal red line at A shows where the squiggles turn into a valid chart pattern. That happens when the index closes below the red line.

BC looks like a potential double bottom. That chart pattern has two bottoms near the same price with a peak between the two bottoms. A close above that central peak at D confirms the pattern as valid. Confirmation hasn't happened yet, but I expect it to.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Up 227.79 points.
Tuesday: Up 79.73 points.
Wednesday: Up 288.75 points.
Friday: Down 20.19 points.
Saturday: Holiday or other weird event!

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were up 576.08 points or 1.2%.
The Nasdaq composite was up 285.48 points or 1.2%.
The S&P 500 index was up 95.44 points or 1.4%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     0.4% down from the high of 48,886.86 on 12/12/2025.
     33.0% up from the low of 36,611.78 on 04/07/2025.
Nasdaq
     1.8% down from the high of 24,019.99 on 10/29/2025.
     59.6% up from the low of 14,784.03 on 04/07/2025.
S&P 500
     0.2% down from the high of 6,945.77 on 12/26/2025.
     43.3% up from the low of 4,835.04 on 04/07/2025.

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  48,501  48,606  48,694  48,799  48,887 
Weekly  47,981  48,346  48,564  48,929  49,147 
Monthly  45,123  46,917  47,902  49,696  50,681 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  6,908  6,919  6,932  6,943  6,957 
Weekly  6,820  6,875  6,910  6,965  7,001 
Monthly  6,520  6,725  6,835  7,040  7,151 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  23,511  23,552  23,609  23,650  23,706 
Weekly  23,238  23,416  23,540  23,718  23,843 
Monthly  22,033  22,813  23,258  24,039  24,484 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is over.

Mutual funds will begin dividend distributions and rebalancing their portfolios for the approaching year end (starts in late November).

Here's a symbol list of 89 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABM, AES, ALGT, APH, APOG, AMAT, BSET, BSX, BCO, CBT, CALM, CLS, CENX, CINF, CLX, CNO, CNX, CCK, CMI, DHR, ELV, FAST, FIVN, FLEX, FMC, FTV, FWRD, FCX, GFS, THG, HLIT, HON, HOV, HUBG, IEX, INCY, IBP, IRM, JKHY, KSS, LRCX, LDOS, LNC, MTDR, MDT, NFG, NOC, NWPX, NUS, ORI, OMCL, OMC, PCTY, PETS, PNW, PLXS, RNG, SBH, SRE, SMTC, SHW, TXT, TG, WU, WSC, ITA, FXL, MXI, IXN, SLV, EWA, EWZ, ECH, EEM, EWH, EPP, EWY, PPA, DBA, PXJ, GLD, XHB, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Telecom. Equipment1. Telecom. Equipment
2. Semiconductor Cap Equip.2. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
3. Metals and Mining (Div.)3. Apparel
4. Apparel4. Semiconductor
5. Semiconductor5. Metals and Mining (Div.)
6. Drug6. Drug
7. Biotechnology7. Biotechnology
8. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment8. Machinery
9. Machinery9. Furn/Home Furnishings
10. Air Transport10. Air Transport
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Advertising50. Petroleum (Integrated)
51. E-Commerce51. IT Services
52. IT Services52. Electric Utility (Central)
53. Toiletries/Cosmetics53. Computer Software and Svcs
54. Computer Software and Svcs54. Petroleum (Producing)
55. Information Services55. Information Services
56. Chemical (Basic)56. Chemical (Basic)
57. Household Products57. Household Products
58. Short ETFs58. Short ETFs
59. Investment Co. (Domestic)59. Investment Co. (Domestic)
60. Human Resources60. Human Resources

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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Friday 12/26/25. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 90 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ALB, ALGT, AEE, APH, APOG, ADM, AWI, BSET, BSX, BR, CBT, CPB, CMTL, CAG, COST, ^DJT, D, ELV, EG, EVRG, EXPD, EZPW, FAST, FIS, FIVN, FLEX, IT, GFS, GL, GES, THG, HLIT, HE, HL, HOLX, HURC, ITW, INCY, IIIN, PODD, TILE, JKHY, LXU, MCO, MOS, NFG, NOV, OMC, ORCL, PETS, PLXS, KWR, RGS, RNG, SAIA, SMG, SMTC, SR, TGT, TDOC, RIG, VECO, VC, WPM, IYK, IYC, IEV, EEM, EWG, EWI, EWM, EWY, THD, PPA, PBE, XLI, XLB, XRT, VIS, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
ANFFlag, high and tight      11/24/202512/24/2025Apparel
ACNDouble Top, Adam and Adam      12/04/202512/16/2025IT Services
ACIWDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      11/20/202512/10/2025IT Services
ALRMDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      11/06/202511/20/2025Computer Software and Svcs
AWIDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/09/202512/17/2025Building Materials
AIZDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/03/202512/09/2025Insurance (Diversified)
ATOTriple top      10/15/202511/13/2025Natural Gas (Diversified)
AZTADouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/25/202512/10/2025Semiconductor Cap Equip.
BALLHead-and-shoulders bottom      10/14/202512/10/2025Packaging and Container
BAXDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      11/05/202511/20/2025Medical Supplies
BBYDouble Top, Eve and Adam      10/27/202511/26/2025Retail (Special Lines)
BKHHead-and-shoulders top      11/12/202512/12/2025Electric Utility (West)
BBWTriple bottom      11/11/202512/04/2025Retail (Special Lines)
CLSDouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/28/202512/10/2025Electronics
CHKPDouble Top, Adam and Adam      12/05/202512/12/2025E-Commerce
CTASTriple bottom      11/03/202512/10/2025Industrial Services
CNAPipe bottom      12/01/202512/08/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
CNOTriple bottom      11/04/202512/08/2025Insurance (Diversified)
CNXPipe top      12/01/202512/08/2025Natural Gas (Diversified)
CLHead-and-shoulders bottom      11/20/202512/18/2025Household Products
CMTLBroadening top, right-angled and ascending      10/16/202512/17/2025Telecom. Equipment
CAGPipe bottom      12/01/202512/08/2025Food Processing
CXWHorn bottom      11/03/202511/17/2025Industrial Services
CCKDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      11/19/202512/10/2025Packaging and Container
CTSTriangle, symmetrical      12/09/202512/24/2025Electronics
CWRectangle bottom      11/14/202512/24/2025Machinery
DDSPipe top      12/01/202512/08/2025Retail Store
DSGRTriple bottom      11/07/202511/28/2025Metal Fabricating
EOGPipe top      12/01/202512/08/2025Natural Gas (Distributor)
EQTDouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/13/202512/05/2025Natural Gas (Diversified)
EVHTriangle, symmetrical      11/24/202512/24/2025Healthcare Information
FISRising wedge      11/11/202512/16/2025Computer Software and Svcs
FTNTPipe top      12/01/202512/08/2025Computer Software and Svcs
FRDPipe bottom      12/01/202512/08/2025Building Materials
ITTriple bottom      11/06/202512/10/2025IT Services
GDTriple bottom      12/01/202512/17/2025Aerospace/Defense
GILDDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/10/202512/16/2025Biotechnology
HIGPipe bottom      12/01/202512/08/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
HWMTriple bottom      12/05/202512/17/2025Aerospace/Defense
IBPDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      11/04/202511/18/2025Retail Building Supply
IIINDouble Top, Adam and Adam      12/12/202512/18/2025Building Materials
ITGRPipe bottom      10/27/202511/03/2025Electronics
KALUDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      10/30/202511/18/2025Metals and Mining (Div.)
KBHDouble Top, Adam and Eve      12/03/202512/15/2025Homebuilding
KMBPipe top      11/24/202512/01/2025Household Products
LZBDouble Top, Eve and Eve      12/03/202512/16/2025Furn/Home Furnishings
LHDouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/11/202512/01/2025Medical Services
LEGDouble Top, Adam and Eve      12/01/202512/12/2025Furn/Home Furnishings
LDOSHead-and-shoulders top      11/26/202512/12/2025IT Services
LNCDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      11/18/202511/21/2025Insurance (Life)
LOWBroadening top      12/02/202512/23/2025Retail Building Supply
MHOTriangle, symmetrical      11/18/202512/18/2025Homebuilding
MTSIPipe top      12/01/202512/08/2025Semiconductor
MANHead-and-shoulders bottom      11/10/202512/09/2025Human Resources
MKTXHead-and-shoulders bottom      10/06/202512/02/2025Securities Brokerage
MRKDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/09/202512/16/2025Drug
MGEEBroadening wedge, descending      11/10/202512/16/2025Electric Utility (Central)
MOSDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      11/24/202512/10/2025Chemical (Diversified)
NOCHead-and-shoulders complex bottom      11/14/202512/17/2025Aerospace/Defense
NVDADouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      11/25/202512/17/2025Semiconductor
OXYDouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/11/202512/05/2025Petroleum (Producing)
ORIPipe bottom      12/01/202512/08/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
OMIPipe bottom      12/01/202512/08/2025Medical Supplies
PKGTriple bottom      11/20/202512/09/2025Packaging and Container
PANWPipe top      12/01/202512/08/2025Computer Software and Svcs
PKEDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      04/07/202505/16/2025Chemical (Specialty)
PCTYUgly double bottom      11/06/202511/20/2025E-Commerce
PHMDouble Top, Eve and Eve      12/04/202512/11/2025Homebuilding
KWRUgly double bottom      11/20/202512/09/2025Chemical (Specialty)
RLDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/04/202512/10/2025Apparel
RMBSHorn top      10/27/202511/10/2025Semiconductor Cap Equip.
RTXHead-and-shoulders bottom      11/21/202512/10/2025Aerospace/Defense
RLIUgly double bottom      11/03/202512/08/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
RHIDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      11/03/202511/20/2025Human Resources
RCKYRectangle top      11/07/202512/24/2025Shoe
SRETriple top      10/08/202511/24/2025Electric Utility (West)
SMTCPipe top      12/01/202512/08/2025Semiconductor Cap Equip.
SLGNDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      11/10/202511/18/2025Packaging and Container
TDYDouble Top, Eve and Eve      12/08/202512/11/2025Aerospace/Defense
TZOODouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      11/21/202512/10/2025Internet
TREXRoof, inverted      11/28/202512/24/2025Building Materials
UNMDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      11/03/202512/08/2025Insurance (Diversified)
WEXHead-and-shoulders bottom      10/31/202512/02/2025Information Services

 

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Wednesday 12/24/25. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

The most recent signal is bearish, which appears as the red vertical bar on the far right of the chart. The CPI has a reading of 14.8 in a range of 0 to 100.

I drew a violet line across the peaks of both the CPI and the index. Notice that they diverge. The theory says that sooner or later the index will follow the CPI lower. That's not true, as I recall. Sometimes divergence can last for months and then it fades away.

Look back at April-May for an example. The CPI eases lower. The index ignores it and keeps rising. However, the index does dip when the CPI turns bearish, so maybe this isn't a good example of divergence not working.

Returning to the most recent signal, with light trading ahead, you might expect the CPI to bounce around. Signals can change for up to a week. The bearish signal suggests the index is going to retrace in the coming days.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 123 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ALRM, ALK, ALGT, AEO, AFG, AME, APH, ANIK, APOG, ADP, AVNT, BSET, BIIB, BKNG, BSX, BLDR, CBT, CE, CLNE, CAG, COP, COTY, DVN, ECL, ELV, EPAM, EXC, EXPD, EZPW, FICO, FIVN, FLEX, FORM, FCX, GME, GAP, GIS, GNW, GPN, GFS, GOOGL, HLIT, HIG, HE, HTLD, HL, HWM, HURC, INCY, IIIN, PODD, JKHY, KEYS, KFRC, KSS, L, MHO, MTRN, META, MLKN, ^IXIC, NOV, NWPX, NVDA, OMCL, OMC, OMI, PETS, PFE, PLXS, PGR, DGX, RTX, RNG, RLI, SBH, SMG, SEIC, SLGN, TGT, TSCO, VEEV, VC, WSO, ITA, FTEC, AIQ, QQQ, IEV, MXI, IXN, IHI, EWA, EWK, EWG, EWM, EPP, EWS, EZA, EWD, EWL, EWU, QLD, PPA, PXJ, XLP, XHB, XRT, SMH, VAW, MGK. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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Tuesday 12/23/25. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 0.5% or 227.79 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 982 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 531 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.6% on 451 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 54.1% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 324/592 or 54.7% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 62/127 or 48.8% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Southern Company: SO, support and resistance.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 143 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: MMM, ANF, AA, AEO, AFG, ANIK, AR, AON, APOG, ACGL, AWI, ARW, ATO, AZTA, BALL, BSET, BZH, BBY, BG, CDNS, CF, CI, CTAS, CLF, CNA, CNX, CGNX, CMTL, COTY, CSGS, ^DJT, DOV, EOG, EG, EXPD, FTNT, FCX, FDP, FRD, GAP, GIS, GNW, HIG, HE, HQY, DHI, HOV, HURC, IIIN, INTC, ISRG, JKHY, JBLU, KSS, LEN, L, LPLA, MTSI, NFLX, NTGR, NEU, NEE, NKE, NWPX, NVDA, ORI, OMCL, OMC, ASGN, OMI, PANW, PTEN, PYPL, PCG, PLXS, POR, PHM, PSTG, KWR, QCOM, RLI, R, ^GSPC, SBH, SMTC, TGT, TDY, TER, TMO, TJX, TREX, UGI, VRTX, WAT, WU, WPM, WWD, ITA, IYM, IYZ, MXI, IXN, SLV, IGE, ITB, EWA, EWO, EWQ, EIS, EWM, EPP, EZA, EWY, PPA, DBA, PHO, SSO, XLY, XLP, GLD, XHB, XRT, XAR, XLK, XLU, UNG, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  44,501.56    
 Monthly S1  46,432.12  1,930.56   
 Weekly S2  47,467.44  1,035.32   
 Monthly Pivot  47,659.49  192.05   
 Weekly S1  47,915.06  255.57   
 Daily S2  48,081.42  166.36   
 Low  48,199.13  117.71   
 Open  48,211.88  12.75   Yes! The Open is close to the Low.
 Daily S1  48,222.05  10.17   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Open.
 Weekly Pivot  48,297.10  75.05   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  48,297.82  0.71   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 50% Down from Intraday High  48,328.30  30.48   
 Daily Pivot  48,339.76  11.46   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  48,358.79  19.02   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 Close  48,362.68  3.89   Yes! The Close is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 High  48,457.47  94.79   
 Daily R1  48,480.39  22.92   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the High.
 Daily R2  48,598.10  117.71   
 Weekly R1  48,744.72  146.62   
 Weekly R2  49,126.76  382.04   
 Monthly R1  49,590.05  463.29   
 Monthly R2  50,817.42  1,227.37   

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