Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 03/13/2026
  Indus: 46,558 -119.38 -0.3%  
  Trans: 17,732 +20.92 +0.1%  
  Utils: 1,180 +10.91 +0.9%  
  Nasdaq: 22,105 -206.62 -0.9%  
  S&P 500: 6,632 -40.43 -0.6%  
YTD
-3.1%  
 +2.2%  
 +10.5%  
-4.9%  
-3.1%  
  Targets    Overview: 03/13/2026  
  Up arrow48,800 or 45,500 by 04/01/2026
  Up arrow19,100 or 17,100 by 04/01/2026
  Up arrow1,300 or 1,140 by 04/01/2026
  Up arrow23,700 or 21,200 by 04/01/2026
  Up arrow6,900 or 6,500 by 04/01/2026
As of 03/13/2026
  Indus: 46,558 -119.38 -0.3%  
  Trans: 17,732 +20.92 +0.1%  
  Utils: 1,180 +10.91 +0.9%  
  Nasdaq: 22,105 -206.62 -0.9%  
  S&P 500: 6,632 -40.43 -0.6%  
YTD
-3.1%  
 +2.2%  
 +10.5%  
-4.9%  
-3.1%  
  Targets    Overview: 03/13/2026  
  Up arrow48,800 or 45,500 by 04/01/2026
  Up arrow19,100 or 17,100 by 04/01/2026
  Up arrow1,300 or 1,140 by 04/01/2026
  Up arrow23,700 or 21,200 by 04/01/2026
  Up arrow6,900 or 6,500 by 04/01/2026

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Monday 3/16/26. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Dow utilities on the daily scale.

At A, we see what appears to be a head-and-shoulders top but is unconfirmed. That means the index hasn't closed below the low between the head and right shoulder (R). I show the price at A with a red horizontal line.

At B, we see a triple bottom. I highlight the three bottoms with a green line.

At C, we see the inverse, a triple top. After both triples (B and C) complete, we see good moves, especially after the triple bottom.

What does all of this mean? The head-and-shoulder top, if confirmed, will mean the market will fall. It may not drop far, and there's no guarantee that the pattern will confirm as valid anyway.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Up 239.25 points.
Tuesday: Down 34.29 points.
Wednesday: Down 289.24 points.
Thursday: Down 739.42 points.
Friday: Down 119.38 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were down 943.08 points or 2.0%.
The Nasdaq composite was down 282.32 points or 1.3%.
The S&P 500 index was down 107.83 points or 1.6%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     7.8% down from the high of 50,512.79 on 02/10/2026.
     0.1% up from the low of 46,494.63 on 03/13/2026.
Nasdaq
     7.8% down from the high of 23,988.27 on 01/28/2026.
     0.2% up from the low of 22,061.97 on 03/09/2026.
S&P 500
     5.3% down from the high of 7,002.28 on 01/28/2026.
     0.1% up from the low of 6,623.92 on 03/13/2026.

Options Expiration

Many options expire this week, so traders will be looking to close out their positions, and that suggests increased volatility (large daily price swings).

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  46,096  46,327  46,726  46,957  47,355 
Weekly  45,365  45,962  47,091  47,688  48,817 
Monthly  43,837  45,198  47,855  49,216  51,873 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  6,554  6,593  6,663  6,702  6,773 
Weekly  6,479  6,556  6,700  6,777  6,922 
Monthly  6,380  6,506  6,750  6,876  7,119 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  21,780  21,943  22,232  22,395  22,684 
Weekly  21,513  21,809  22,358  22,654  23,203 
Monthly  21,237  21,671  22,496  22,930  23,755 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is over.

Here's a symbol list of 182 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACIW, AMD, AFL, ALK, DOX, AEO, AXP, AFG, APH, AON, APOG, AAPL, ACGL, ANET, AWI, AVNT, AVA, BMI, BCPC, BAX, BOOT, CBT, CALM, CAL, CENX, CRL, CGNX, GLW, CSGP, CROX, CSGS, CW, XRAY, ^DJU, D, ECL, ELV, EVRG, EVH, EXPD, XOM, FDS, FAST, FWRD, FNV, GAP, IT, GE, GNW, GILD, GS, GFF, HSY, HD, HUBG, IIIN, PODD, IBKR, IRM, JBLU, KALU, KELYA, KEYS, KFRC, LOW, MGY, MANH, MAN, MAS, MTDR, META, MLI, MUR, ^IXIC, NFLX, NTAP, NWPX, NTNX, OGE, OMCL, ON, OR, PTEN, PAYX, PHM, QTWO, DGX, RL, RMBS, RJF, RGA, ROK, RCKY, ROP, RGLD, R, ^GSPC, CRM, SBH, SLB, SCHW, SEE, SRE, SMTC, SCI, SLGN, SO, SCCO, LUV, SR, SSYS, TER, TEVA, TXN, TXT, MZTI, TTD, TOL, TRV, TREX, UPS, VC, WMT, WU, WEX, WPM, WSC, XEL, IYC, IEZ, IDU, QQQ, IAT, MXI, ILF, SLV, ITB, EWO, EWK, EWZ, ECH, EEM, EWQ, EWH, EIS, EWI, EWJ, EWW, EPP, EZA, EWD, TUR, QLD, IBB, PBE, PEJ, XLY, XHB, XLI, XLU, VIS, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Semiconductor Cap Equip.1. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
2. Telecom. Equipment2. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
3. Semiconductor3. Telecom. Equipment
4. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment4. Semiconductor
5. Petroleum (Producing)5. Metals and Mining (Div.)
6. Metals and Mining (Div.)6. Machinery
7. Petroleum (Integrated)7. Petroleum (Producing)
8. Natural Gas (Diversified)8. Biotechnology
9. Machinery9. Natural Gas (Diversified)
10. Biotechnology10. Petroleum (Integrated)
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Healthcare Information50. Medical Services
51. Furn/Home Furnishings51. Toiletries/Cosmetics
52. IT Services52. Homebuilding
53. Internet53. Furn/Home Furnishings
54. E-Commerce54. E-Commerce
55. Building Materials55. Internet
56. Homebuilding56. Building Materials
57. Computer Software and Svcs57. Information Services
58. Investment Co. (Domestic)58. Computer Software and Svcs
59. Information Services59. Investment Co. (Domestic)
60. Human Resources60. Human Resources

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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Friday 3/13/26. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 164 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACIW, AYI, ALK, AEO, AEP, AFG, AIG, AMWD, APH, APOG, AAPL, ANET, AVNT, BA, BMY, CBT, CALM, CAL, CPB, CE, CNP, CF, CRL, CI, CLNE, CGNX, CMTL, ED, CAG, GLW, COST, CRH, CSGS, XRAY, EMR, EOG, EL, EXC, FAST, FTNT, FWRD, FNV, FDP, GE, GNW, GS, GFF, HSY, HD, DHI, HUBG, HURC, IEX, INCY, IBP, IIIN, ITGR, IPI, JBLU, KBH, KELYA, KEYS, KLAC, LEN, LOW, LXU, MHO, MANH, MAN, MRTN, MS, MOS, MLI, NI, NWPX, OGE, ORI, OLN, OMCL, ON, OR, OXM, PAYX, PETS, PNW, QTWO, ROK, RCKY, RGLD, RES, R, ^GSPC, SAIA, CRM, SBH, SLB, SCHW, SMTC, SCI, SLGN, SO, SCCO, LUV, SR, TDY, TEVA, TOL, UIS, UPS, WMT, WU, WEX, WPM, WMB, XEL, IAI, IYC, IYE, IEZ, IHE, DDM, IAT, IEV, ILF, SOXX, IEO, IYF, ITB, EWO, EWK, EEM, EWQ, EIS, EWI, EWJ, EWS, EWY, EWP, EWD, PBE, PEJ, PJP, PHO, SSO, XLY, XLF, XHB, XLI, SPY, USO, VIS. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
DDDPipe bottom      02/23/202603/02/2026Electronics
ANFDouble Top, Eve and Adam      01/15/202602/04/2026Apparel
ABMHead-and-shoulders top      01/23/202602/20/2026Industrial Services
ACHDiamond top      02/03/202603/12/2026Medical Supplies
AMZNHead-and-shoulders bottom      02/06/202603/03/2026Internet
AMEDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/12/202603/02/2026Industrial Services
AGODouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/06/202602/27/2026Insurance (Life)
BAXDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/11/202602/19/2026Medical Supplies
BKHDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/06/202603/04/2026Electric Utility (West)
BKNGPipe bottom      02/17/202602/23/2026Internet
BFHDiamond bottom      02/13/202603/12/2026Information Services
CALMUgly double bottom      01/14/202602/17/2026Food Processing
CALHead-and-shoulders complex top      12/05/202502/20/2026Shoe
CEDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      03/02/202603/09/2026Chemical (Basic)
EDTriangle, symmetrical      02/17/202603/11/2026Electric Utility (East)
CRHHead-and-shoulders top      02/03/202602/20/2026Cement and Aggregates
CROXDouble Top, Adam and Eve      02/12/202602/23/2026Shoe
EXPHead-and-shoulders top      02/13/202602/25/2026Cement and Aggregates
EMRPipe top      02/02/202602/09/2026Computers and Peripherals
GAPTriple top      01/09/202602/20/2026Apparel
GFSTriple top      02/12/202603/05/2026Semiconductor
GGGDouble Top, Eve and Adam      02/12/202603/02/2026Machinery
HEHead-and-shoulders top      01/29/202603/02/2026Electric Utility (West)
HELEDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/10/202602/20/2026Toiletries/Cosmetics
HSYPipe top      02/23/202603/02/2026Food Processing
HUMDouble Top, Eve and Adam      02/19/202602/27/2026Medical Services
JBHTDouble Top, Adam and Eve      02/11/202603/04/2026Trucking/Transp. Leasing
HURCDouble Top, Adam and Eve      01/12/202602/26/2026Machinery
INCYPipe top      02/02/202602/09/2026Drug
INTCTriple bottom      02/20/202603/09/2026Semiconductor
KMTDouble Top, Eve and Adam      02/11/202603/04/2026Metal Fabricating
LRCXDouble Top, Eve and Adam      01/30/202602/25/2026Semiconductor Cap Equip.
LEGPipe top      02/02/202602/09/2026Furn/Home Furnishings
LLYHead-and-shoulders top      11/26/202502/04/2026Drug
LMTDiamond top      02/19/202603/09/2026Aerospace/Defense
MLMDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/10/202602/25/2026Cement and Aggregates
MTRNDouble Top, Adam and Eve      02/12/202603/02/2026Metals and Mining (Div.)
MDTDouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/26/202502/04/2026Medical Supplies
MGEEDouble Top, Adam and Eve      02/17/202602/24/2026Electric Utility (Central)
MYGNTriangle, symmetrical      02/24/202603/10/2026Biotechnology
NOVTHead-and-shoulders complex top      01/22/202603/05/2026Precision Instrument
NUSHead-and-shoulders top      12/15/202502/06/2026Toiletries/Cosmetics
NTNXTriangle, symmetrical      01/26/202603/12/2026E-Commerce
NVDADouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      03/02/202603/09/2026Semiconductor
ORIDouble Top, Eve and Eve      02/17/202603/02/2026Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
OMCLDouble Top, Adam and Eve      02/26/202603/05/2026Healthcare Information
OXMDouble Top, Eve and Eve      02/12/202602/20/2026Apparel
PCTYHorn bottom      02/09/202602/23/2026E-Commerce
PFGDouble Top, Eve and Eve      02/06/202602/26/2026Insurance (Diversified)
DGXDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/12/202602/27/2026Medical Services
RLPipe top      02/17/202602/23/2026Apparel
RMBSTriangle, symmetrical      02/03/202603/02/2026Semiconductor Cap Equip.
RGADouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/06/202602/23/2026Insurance (Life)
ROGTriple top      02/12/202603/04/2026Electronics
RDouble Top, Adam and Eve      02/11/202602/26/2026Trucking/Transp. Leasing
SBHDouble Top, Adam and Eve      01/21/202602/09/2026Toiletries/Cosmetics
MZTIDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/26/202603/04/2026Food Processing
TSCOTriple top      01/26/202602/12/2026Retail Building Supply
TDGHead-and-shoulders top      02/12/202603/03/2026Aerospace/Defense
TGDouble Top, Eve and Eve      02/09/202603/02/2026Chemical (Specialty)
TREXTriple top      01/21/202602/25/2026Building Materials
UHALDouble Top, Eve and Eve      02/20/202603/02/2026Trucking/Transp. Leasing
VFCDouble Top, Eve and Adam      02/04/202602/20/2026Apparel
VCHead-and-shoulders top      02/04/202602/26/2026Electronics

 

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Thursday 3/12/26. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq climbed by 0.1% or 19.03 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 767 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.7% on 424 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.7% on 343 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 55.3% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 304/558 or 54.5% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 88/184 or 47.8% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

A chart pattern called a head-and-shoulders bottom appears as LS (left shoulder), head, and RS (right shoulder). At point A, the pattern confirms as valid when the index closes above the red neckline. The resulting rise was mouth-watering, to B.

BC is another chart pattern called a double top. It confirms when the index closes below the blue line, D. In this case, so far, the index hasn't dropped far. We'll have to wait and see if it drops more.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 107 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ACIW, AA, AMZN, AXP, AMGN, APA, ANET, ASH, AGO, AVY, AVNT, BKH, BFH, CBT, CACI, CAL, CPB, CENX, CHD, CNO, ED, CAG, CXW, GLW, DECK, XRAY, ECL, EQT, XOM, FFIV, FISV, FMC, FNV, FDP, GAP, GIS, GFS, GFF, HIG, HSY, HUM, HUN, IEX, IBP, IPI, KELYA, KEYS, RAMP, M, MANH, MAN, MGEE, MOS, MUR, NFG, NWPX, OXY, OGE, ORI, ON, OTEX, ORCL, OR, OXM, PANW, PYPL, PETS, QTWO, QCOM, ROL, RGLD, RES, SAIA, SCHW, SMTC, SCI, SLGN, SO, SCCO, SR, TRGP, TXT, TSCO, TG, VMI, WMT, WU, WEX, WPM, WMB, XEL, ZBRA, IYE, IEO, PBE, PHO, USO, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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© 2026 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  21,277.35    
 Weekly S2  21,810.50  533.15   
 Monthly S1  21,996.74  186.24   
 Weekly S1  22,263.31  266.57   
 Daily S2  22,456.68  193.36   
 Weekly Pivot  22,577.60  120.92   
 Daily S1  22,586.40  8.81   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 Low  22,602.33  15.93   Yes! The Low is close to the Daily S1.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  22,707.53  105.20   
 Close  22,716.13  8.61   Yes! The Close is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 Daily Pivot  22,732.06  15.93   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the Close.
 50% Down from Intraday High  22,740.02  7.96   Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 Open  22,771.27  31.25   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  22,772.52  1.25   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Open.
 Monthly Pivot  22,844.17  71.65   
 Daily R1  22,861.78  17.61   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 High  22,877.71  15.93   Yes! The High is close to the Daily R1.
 Daily R2  23,007.44  129.73   
 Weekly R1  23,030.41  22.98   Yes! The Weekly R1 is close to the Daily R2.
 Weekly R2  23,344.70  314.28   
 Monthly R1  23,563.56  218.86   
 Monthly R2  24,410.99  847.43   

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