Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 04/08/2026
  Indus: 47,910 +1,325.46 +2.8%  
  Trans: 20,169 +630.50 +3.2%  
  Utils: 1,179 +8.26 +0.7%  
  Nasdaq: 22,635 +617.14 +2.8%  
  S&P 500: 6,783 +165.96 +2.5%  
YTD
-0.3%  
 +16.2%  
 +10.4%  
-2.6%  
-0.9%  
  Targets    Overview: 03/30/2026  
  Down arrow44,000 or 47,000 by 04/15/2026
  Down arrow17,100 or 19,100 by 04/15/2026
  Up arrow1,200 or 1,120 by 04/15/2026
  Down arrow20,000 or 22,400 by 04/15/2026
  Down arrow6,200 or 6,675 by 04/15/2026
As of 04/08/2026
  Indus: 47,910 +1,325.46 +2.8%  
  Trans: 20,169 +630.50 +3.2%  
  Utils: 1,179 +8.26 +0.7%  
  Nasdaq: 22,635 +617.14 +2.8%  
  S&P 500: 6,783 +165.96 +2.5%  
YTD
-0.3%  
 +16.2%  
 +10.4%  
-2.6%  
-0.9%  
  Targets    Overview: 03/30/2026  
  Down arrow44,000 or 47,000 by 04/15/2026
  Down arrow17,100 or 19,100 by 04/15/2026
  Up arrow1,200 or 1,120 by 04/15/2026
  Down arrow20,000 or 22,400 by 04/15/2026
  Down arrow6,200 or 6,675 by 04/15/2026

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Thursday 4/9/26. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq climbed by 2.8% or 617.14 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 21 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 1.1% on 8 occasions.
     Average loss was -2.0% on 13 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close lower 61.9% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 305/561 or 54.4% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 89/185 or 48.1% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

There's not a lot to say about this chart. The two sets of parallel red lines are rectangle top chart patterns. A holiday shows no trading and it connects the two rectangles.

A head-and-shoulders bottom shows on the chart as LS (left shoulder), H (head), and RS (right shoulder). A blue neckline connects the armpits and it serves as confirmation when the index closes above it. Once confirmed, it means the pattern is valid and price will rise, which it does.

A double bottom appears at A and its inverse, a double top appears at B. Both confirm as valid chart patterns, with B saying price will fall and A saying it will rise.

The double bottom suggests more of an up move is coming. I agree until the Iran ceasefire ends and chaos resumes.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 354 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ANF, ABM, ACIW, AYI, ADTN, AEIS, AMD, AES, A, APD, ALRM, ALK, ALKS, AMZN, AEE, AEO, AXP, AME, AMGN, APH, AR, AON, APOG, AAPL, ARCB, ACGL, ANET, ARW, ASH, AGO, AVY, BCPC, BALL, BSET, BZH, BIO, BA, BKNG, BAH, BFH, BCO, BRKR, CBT, CLS, CX, CNC, CNP, CRL, CHKP, CVX, CHD, CIEN, CTAS, CSCO, CLF, CNO, CNX, CMCO, COP, GLW, CSGP, COST, COTY, CRH, CROX, CCRN, CTS, CMI, CW, DHR, DECK, DVN, FANG, DDS, DSGR, ^DJT, ^DJI, EMN, ECL, EME, EMR, EOG, XOM, EZPW, FFIV, FICO, FAST, FDX, FLEX, FLS, FMC, FORM, FTV, FWRD, FNV, FCX, FRD, GME, GNW, GILD, GFS, GL, GS, GOOGL, HLIT, HTLD, HELE, HP, HD, HON, DHI, HUBG, JBHT, HUN, IDA, IDXX, NSP, IBP, IIIN, ITGR, INTC, IBKR, IRM, JBLU, KALU, KBH, KEYS, KMB, KLAC, KSS, KLIC, LHX, LZB, LAMR, LPLA, LXU, MHO, MTSI, M, MGY, MANH, MKTX, MLM, MAS, MA, MTRN, MTRX, MRK, META, MLKN, MCO, MS, MOS, MLI, NBR, ^IXIC, NTAP, NWPX, NUS, NTNX, NVDA, OXY, OMCL, ASGN, ON, OUT, OXM, PANW, PKE, PATK, PTEN, PYPL, PLXS, PPL, PFG, PG, PRU, PHM, QTWO, RL, RMBS, RRC, RTX, RNG, ROK, RCKY, ROG, RGLD, RES, R, ^GSPC, SAIA, SBH, SLB, SCHW, SEIC, SMTC, SHW, SHOP, SKYW, SGI, SO, SCCO, SPSC, SSYS, TPR, TRGP, TDY, TDC, TER, TXN, TXT, TMO, TSCO, TDG, TZOO, TG, TREX, TWLO, UHAL, UNH, UNM, VFC, VECO, VRTX, V, VC, VMC, WMT, WAT, WSO, WERN, WPM, WMB, WSM, WSC, WWD, ZBRA, ITA, IYM, IAI, IYC, IYE, IHE, DDM, FTEC, FDN, QTEC, FXL, AIQ, QQQ, ICF, IYH, IHF, IAT, IYZ, IEV, IGV, MXI, IXN, ILF, SOXX, IEO, IYF, ITB, EWA, EWO, EWK, EWZ, EWC, ECH, EEM, EWQ, EWG, EWH, EIS, EWI, EWJ, EWW, EPP, EWS, EZA, EWP, EWD, EWL, EWT, THD, EWU, QLD, PPA, PEJ, PXJ, PHO, SSO, ROBO, XLP, XLF, XLV, XHB, XLI, XLB, XRT, SPY, XAR, XLK, UNG, USO, SMH, VHT, VIS, VAW, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Top

© 2026 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  19,860.85    
 Weekly S2  20,476.62  615.77   
 Monthly S1  21,247.92  771.30   
 Weekly S1  21,555.80  307.88   
 Weekly Pivot  21,769.44  213.63   
 Monthly Pivot  22,077.32  307.88   
 Daily S2  22,332.56  255.24   
 Daily S1  22,483.78  151.21   
 Low  22,501.28  17.50   Yes! The Low is close to the Daily S1.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  22,623.49  122.21   
 Close  22,634.99  11.50   Yes! The Close is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 Daily Pivot  22,652.49  17.50   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the Close.
 50% Down from Intraday High  22,661.24  8.75   Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  22,699.00  37.75   
 Daily R1  22,803.71  104.71   
 Open  22,821.21  17.50   Yes! The Open is close to the Daily R1.
 High  22,821.21  0.00   Yes! The High is close to the Open.
 Weekly R1  22,848.62  27.41   Yes! The Weekly R1 is close to the High.
 Daily R2  22,972.42  123.80   
 Weekly R2  23,062.26  89.83   
 Monthly R1  23,464.39  402.13   
 Monthly R2  24,293.79  829.40   

Wednesday 4/8/26. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

I show when Trump started the war with Iran. Notice that the markets were slumping for about a month before it started. However, once the bombs started dropping (a week before, really), the CPI turned bearish. It might be finding some footing here, but I have my doubts.

I am reminded of the movie, "The Money Pit" where Tom Hanks is told that to fix his house, it'll take two weeks (it took many months). That was a joke but whenever he asked the contractor for a completion estimate, the answer was always two weeks. Reminds me of what Trump says.

Today, the CPI is bullish (at 66.7) but just barely above a neutral reading of 65. I expect this to transition to bearish as more war news arrives. Circled in the inset is the latest downturn. Again, I expect that downtrend to continue.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 140 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ACH, AYI, ADTN, AEIS, AES, DOX, AEE, AEO, AMN, ANIK, ANET, AVY, BCPC, CNC, CNP, CENX, CVX, CLNE, CNX, CAG, COP, GLW, COST, DHR, DECK, DVN, FANG, D, EMN, ELV, EOG, EXC, EXPD, XOM, EZPW, FICO, FISV, FORM, FTNT, GME, GOOGL, HELE, HOV, HUM, IDA, IBP, ITGR, IPI, JAZZ, KEYS, LH, LPLA, LXU, MGY, MANH, MKTX, META, MSFT, MOS, MUR, NBR, NOV, NTAP, NI, NTNX, OXY, OXM, PANW, PKE, PTEN, PLXS, POR, PPG, PPL, PEG, QTWO, DGX, RRC, RES, SAIA, SLB, SAIC, SEE, SEIC, SRE, SMTC, SHOP, SO, SR, TGT, TDY, RIG, TWLO, UIS, UNH, VLO, VRSN, VC, WSO, WSC, IYK, IYE, IEZ, IHE, IDU, FDN, QTEC, AIQ, BOTZ, QQQ, IHF, IYZ, IXC, IXN, IGE, IEO, EIS, EWY, QLD, SSO, XLK, USO, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Top


Tuesday 4/7/26. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 0.4% or 165.21 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 1162 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 617 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.6% on 545 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 53.1% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 331/605 or 54.7% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 63/129 or 48.8% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Noven Pharmaceutical: NOVN (actual trade).

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 74 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACH, AES, AEE, AEP, AIG, AMWD, AAPL, ADP, AVNT, BMI, BCPC, BKNG, BOOT, BFH, CPB, CNP, CIEN, CSCO, CXW, CR, DECK, DSGR, ECL, EIX, EL, EXC, FFIV, FISV, GNW, GFF, HLIT, HSY, HOLX, HWM, HUN, IDA, ILMN, IPI, KALU, LRCX, MHO, NFLX, NTGR, NEU, NI, NUS, ORI, OLN, ON, OXM, PKE, PETS, PPL, RNG, ROP, CRM, SEE, SCI, SO, SR, TEVA, MZTI, TJX, UHAL, WMB, IYM, ILF, IGE, TUR, PEJ, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Top

© 2026 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  42,923.22    
 Weekly S2  44,430.76  1,507.54   
 Monthly S1  44,796.55  365.79   
 Weekly S1  45,550.32  753.77   
 Weekly Pivot  46,176.84  626.52   
 Daily S2  46,229.16  52.32   
 Low  46,354.95  125.79   
 Daily S1  46,449.52  94.57   
 Open  46,472.20  22.68   Yes! The Open is close to the Daily S1.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  46,487.18  14.98   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Open.
 50% Down from Intraday High  46,528.02  40.84   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  46,568.87  40.85   
 Daily Pivot  46,575.31  6.44   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  46,669.88  94.57   
 High  46,701.10  31.22   Yes! The High is close to the Close.
 Daily R1  46,795.67  94.57   
 Daily R2  46,921.46  125.79   
 Monthly Pivot  46,930.61  9.15   Yes! The Monthly Pivot is close to the Daily R2.
 Weekly R1  47,296.40  365.79   
 Weekly R2  47,922.92  626.52   
 Monthly R1  48,803.94  881.02   
 Monthly R2  50,938.00  2,134.06   

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