Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 04/23/2025
  Indus: 39,607 +419.59 +1.1%  
  Trans: 13,510 +141.53 +1.1%  
  Utils: 1,027 +1.67 +0.2%  
  Nasdaq: 16,708 +407.63 +2.5%  
  S&P 500: 5,376 +88.10 +1.7%  
YTD
-6.9%  
-15.0%  
 +4.5%  
-13.5%  
-8.6%  
  Targets    Overview: 04/11/2025  
  Down arrow37,700 or 42,000 by 05/01/2025
  Up arrow14,400 or 12,500 by 05/01/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 900 by 05/01/2025
  Down arrow15,250 or 17,600 by 05/01/2025
  Down arrow4,900 or 5,600 by 05/01/2025
As of 04/23/2025
  Indus: 39,607 +419.59 +1.1%  
  Trans: 13,510 +141.53 +1.1%  
  Utils: 1,027 +1.67 +0.2%  
  Nasdaq: 16,708 +407.63 +2.5%  
  S&P 500: 5,376 +88.10 +1.7%  
YTD
-6.9%  
-15.0%  
 +4.5%  
-13.5%  
-8.6%  
  Targets    Overview: 04/11/2025  
  Down arrow37,700 or 42,000 by 05/01/2025
  Up arrow14,400 or 12,500 by 05/01/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 900 by 05/01/2025
  Down arrow15,250 or 17,600 by 05/01/2025
  Down arrow4,900 or 5,600 by 05/01/2025

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Older Headlines

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Thursday 4/24/25. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq climbed by 2.5% or 407.63 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 39 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 1.4% on 18 occasions.
     Average loss was -1.1% on 21 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close lower 53.8% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 289/524 or 55.2% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 86/175 or 49.1% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

The green line is a trendline drawn along price bottoms (valleys). The index pierces the line and attempts a pullback to the trendline but doesn't quite make it.

Labeled in red is another chart pattern called a head-and-shoulders bottom. RS is the right shoulder and LS is the left. It confirms as a valid pattern when the index closes above the red line. That happens when the index gapped up at the open on Wednesday.

Now, it looks like it's attempting a throwback, which is similar to a pullback, except it happens on top of the pattern when price drops to the breakout price.

What does this mean? It suggests a bit more of a decline followed by a resumption of the upward move.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 110 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, AEIS, ANIK, APA, AAPL, AMAT, ADM, ARW, AVNT, BECN, BIO, BMRN, BA, BAH, BCO, BR, BBW, CALM, CLS, COR, CHKP, CGNX, CAG, GLW, COTY, CSGS, CW, XRAY, DFS, DSGR, EL, EXPI, EZPW, FAST, FLEX, FCX, GE, GPRO, HE, HUM, IDXX, ILMN, IBP, INTC, IPI, KFRC, KMB, KLIC, LZB, LEG, LMT, MTDR, MUR, NEU, OLN, OMCL, ON, PATK, PCG, PPL, QTWO, RL, ROK, ROL, RES, R, SBH, SAIC, SRE, STR, SCCO, TPR, TECH, TEVA, TKR, TOL, TRV, UNH, VFC, WSO, WERN, WSM, IYC, IEZ, QTEC, FXI, ICF, ILF, SOXX, EWK, EWZ, ECH, EEM, EWQ, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWM, EWW, EWS, EWY, EWU, IBB, PBE, GLD. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

Top

© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  13,093.97    
 Monthly S1  14,901.01  1,807.04   
 Weekly S2  15,566.93  665.92   
 Weekly S1  16,137.49  570.56   
 Daily S2  16,406.32  268.83   
 Daily S1  16,557.19  150.86   
 Monthly Pivot  16,591.07  33.88   Yes! The Monthly Pivot is close to the Daily S1.
 Weekly Pivot  16,637.02  45.95   
 Low  16,642.66  5.64   Yes! The Low is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 Close  16,708.05  65.39   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  16,790.57  82.52   
 Daily Pivot  16,793.52  2.95   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 50% Down from Intraday High  16,836.26  42.74   
 Open  16,880.29  44.03   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  16,881.95  1.66   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Open.
 Daily R1  16,944.39  62.44   
 High  17,029.86  85.47   
 Daily R2  17,180.72  150.86   
 Weekly R1  17,207.58  26.86   Yes! The Weekly R1 is close to the Daily R2.
 Weekly R2  17,707.11  499.53   
 Monthly R1  18,398.11  691.00   
 Monthly R2  20,088.17  1,690.06   

Wednesday 4/23/25. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

Lots of green (bullish) signals appear on the far right of the chart. The large daily swings have pushed the CPI from neutral to bullish and back again regularly. Neutral is a white bar. If you look closely, there are four neutral and three bullish bars in the last week or so.

The current reading, as I post this, is 98.1 with 100 being the max and 0 is the min.

The inset on the far left of the chart shows the indicator line.

Usually I'd say that the CPI can't rise much farther (meaning, it can drop a lot), but the index can rise. It could peg the CPI at scale top and the index could return to old highs. All of this depends on the politicians.

My guess is that we'll see the CPI fall along with the index.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 150 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: MMM, ALRM, ALL, AXP, AIG, AME, AON, ADM, AWI, AIZ, ATO, ADP, AXS, BCPC, BAH, BRC, BCO, BG, CDNS, CALM, CE, CI, CINF, CTAS, CSCO, CLX, CNA, CNO, CTSH, CL, CSGP, CR, CRH, FANG, DSGR, ^DJI, DOV, DTE, BOOM, EXP, ECL, EME, EMR, EG, XOM, FFIV, FDS, FDP, GL, THG, HLIT, HIG, HL, HD, HWM, HUM, ITW, IBP, IIIN, PODD, TILE, IPI, INTU, KMB, LNC, LMT, L, LPLA, MRCY, NEE, JWN, NWPX, NOVT, NTNX, OMCL, ASGN, OTEX, PKG, PATK, PCG, POR, PRU, DGX, ROP, R, ^GSPC, SEE, SEIC, SIGI, SMTC, SCI, SLGN, STR, SCS, SRDX, TXT, TREX, UHAL, UIS, UNH, UNM, VMI, VRSN, VRTX, VMC, WAT, WWW, IYM, IDU, DDM, FDN, IYZ, IGV, ILF, IGE, IYF, EWA, EWK, ECH, EEM, EWH, EIS, EWI, EWJ, EPP, EWS, EWD, THD, EWU, PEJ, PHO, SSO, XLP, XLF, GLD, XLI, XLB, SPY, UNG, USO, VIS, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

Top


Tuesday 4/22/25. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow dropped by -2.5% or -971.82 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 42 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 1.3% on 25 occasions.
     Average loss was -2.4% on 17 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 59.5% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 305/561 or 54.4% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 59/123 or 48.0% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Tuesday Morning: TUES stock.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 335 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: MMM, ACIW, ADTN, AEIS, AMD, AKAM, ALRM, ALK, ALL, AMZN, AEP, AXP, AIG, AME, AMGN, APH, APOG, AAPL, AMAT, ATR, ACGL, ADM, ANET, AWI, ARW, AIZ, ADSK, AVA, BMI, BIO, BA, BKNG, BSX, BFH, BMY, BRKR, BBW, CBT, CDNS, CAL, CLS, CX, COR, CNC, CDAY, CIEN, CSCO, CLF, CNO, CNX, CXW, GLW, CSGP, CR, CRH, CSGS, CTS, CMI, CW, DDS, DFS, ^DJI, DOV, DUK, EXP, EBAY, ELV, EME, EMR, EQT, EXC, EXPI, EZPW, FFIV, FDS, FICO, FARO, FIS, FLEX, FLS, FORM, FTNT, FTV, FNV, FCX, GAP, IT, GD, GE, GPN, GS, GGG, GFF, HLIT, HQY, HL, HWM, IEX, ITW, NSP, IIIN, ITGR, INTC, IBKR, IPI, INTU, ISRG, IRM, KALU, KEYS, KMB, KLAC, KLIC, LZB, LH, LRCX, LAMR, LEG, LDOS, LNC, RAMP, LPLA, LXU, MTSI, MANH, MTRN, MDT, META, MU, MSFT, MCO, MS, MOS, MLI, MYGN, ^IXIC, NFG, NFLX, NTGR, NTAP, JWN, NOVT, NTNX, NVDA, OGE, OLN, OTEX, ORCL, OUT, OMI, PKG, PANW, PKE, PATK, PAYX, PCTY, PYPL, PEN, PLXS, PFG, PGR, PEG, PSTG, QTWO, QCOM, RL, RMBS, RJF, RTX, RGS, ROK, ROG, R, ^GSPC, SAIA, CRM, SCHW, SEE, SEIC, SMTC, NOW, SHOP, SLGN, SKYW, SGI, SWX, SPSC, SXI, SSYS, SNPS, TGT, TDOC, TDY, TXT, TTD, TKR, TSCO, TDG, TRV, TZOO, TG, TREX, TWLO, UNH, UNM, VMI, VECO, V, WRB, WSO, WLK, WPM, WSC, WWD, WDAY, ITA, IAI, IYC, DDM, FTEC, FDN, QTEC, FXL, BOTZ, QQQ, IYH, IHF, IAT, IYZ, IEV, IGV, MXI, IXN, SOXX, SLV, IYF, EWA, EWO, EWK, EWC, EWQ, EWG, EIS, EWI, EWJ, EWM, EPP, EZA, EWY, EWP, EWD, EWL, EWT, THD, QLD, PPA, PEJ, SSO, ROBO, XLY, XLF, GLD, XLI, SPY, XAR, XLK, UNG, SMH, VIS, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

Top

© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  32,991.29    
 Monthly S1  35,580.85  2,589.56   
 Daily S2  37,226.99  1,646.14   
 Weekly S2  37,463.10  236.11   
 Daily S1  37,698.70  235.60   
 Weekly S1  37,816.75  118.05   
 Low  37,830.66  13.91   Yes! The Low is close to the Weekly S1.
 Close  38,170.41  339.75   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  38,241.46  71.05   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Close.
 Daily Pivot  38,302.37  60.91   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 50% Down from Intraday High  38,368.35  65.98   Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  38,495.25  126.89   
 Daily R1  38,774.08  278.83   
 Open  38,906.04  131.96   
 High  38,906.04  0.00   Yes! The High is close to the Open.
 Monthly Pivot  39,201.34  295.30   
 Weekly Pivot  39,303.96  102.63   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 Daily R2  39,377.75  73.79   Yes! The Daily R2 is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 Weekly R1  39,657.63  279.88   
 Weekly R2  41,144.84  1,487.21   
 Monthly R1  41,790.90  646.06   
 Monthly R2  45,411.39  3,620.49   

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