Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 01/09/2026
  Indus: 49,504 +237.96 +0.5%  
  Trans: 18,185 +126.20 +0.7%  
  Utils: 1,069 +13.75 +1.3%  
  Nasdaq: 23,671 +191.33 +0.8%  
  S&P 500: 6,966 +44.82 +0.6%  
YTD
 +3.0%  
 +4.8%  
 +0.1%  
 +1.8%  
 +1.8%  
  Targets    Overview: 01/01/2026  
  Up arrow50,000 or 48,000 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow18,400 or 16,800 by 01/15/2026
  Down arrow1,040 or 1,100 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow24,500 or 22,400 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow7,250 or 6,700 by 01/15/2026
As of 01/09/2026
  Indus: 49,504 +237.96 +0.5%  
  Trans: 18,185 +126.20 +0.7%  
  Utils: 1,069 +13.75 +1.3%  
  Nasdaq: 23,671 +191.33 +0.8%  
  S&P 500: 6,966 +44.82 +0.6%  
YTD
 +3.0%  
 +4.8%  
 +0.1%  
 +1.8%  
 +1.8%  
  Targets    Overview: 01/01/2026  
  Up arrow50,000 or 48,000 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow18,400 or 16,800 by 01/15/2026
  Down arrow1,040 or 1,100 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow24,500 or 22,400 by 01/15/2026
  Up arrow7,250 or 6,700 by 01/15/2026

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Picture of Orb Foresight book. Picture of 'Invest for two-comma wealth' book.

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Monday 1/12/26. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Dow transports on the daily scale.

This is a chart of the Dow transports on the daily scale.

AB is an unusual looking double bottom chart pattern. I say it's unusual because the left side enters the pattern from the bottom, not the top.

The pattern confirms as valid when the index closes above the green line at C. The height of the pattern gives us a target when it's added to the green line. The move after the breakout (a close above the green line) looks to approach the height of the pattern. So price meets the target. You might see the index throwback to the breakout price or below.

The triple bottom also confirms at a different C, as shown on the chart.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Up 594.79 points.
Tuesday: Up 484.9 points.
Wednesday: Down 466 points.
Thursday: Up 270.03 points.
Friday: Up 237.96 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were up 1121.68 points or 2.3%.
The Nasdaq composite was up 435.72 points or 1.9%.
The S&P 500 index was up 107.81 points or 1.6%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     0.2% down from the high of 49,621.43 on 01/07/2026.
     3.5% up from the low of 47,853.04 on 01/02/2026.
Nasdaq
     0.2% down from the high of 23,723.37 on 01/07/2026.
     2.4% up from the low of 23,119.49 on 01/02/2026.
S&P 500
     0.2% down from the high of 6,978.36 on 01/09/2026.
     2.1% up from the low of 6,824.31 on 01/02/2026.

Options Expiration

Many options expire this week, so traders will be looking to close out their positions, and that suggests increased volatility (large daily price swings).

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  49,050  49,277  49,424  49,651  49,799 
Weekly  48,020  48,762  49,192  49,934  50,364 
Monthly  46,704  48,104  48,863  50,263  51,021 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  6,893  6,930  6,954  6,991  7,015 
Weekly  6,859  6,912  6,945  6,999  7,032 
Monthly  6,630  6,798  6,888  7,056  7,146 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  23,312  23,492  23,606  23,786  23,901 
Weekly  23,185  23,428  23,576  23,819  23,967 
Monthly  22,331  23,001  23,362  24,032  24,394 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season will be starting in about 4 days.

Here's a symbol list of 146 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ANF, ABM, APD, ALK, ALB, AEO, AXP, AIG, AMWD, AMAT, ATR, AWI, ARW, ADSK, ADP, AVY, BZH, BRC, BFH, BLDR, BG, CBT, CF, CI, CINF, CSCO, CLNE, CMTL, CXW, CSGP, CR, CRH, DDS, BOOM, EXP, EPAM, EFX, EL, FNV, FDP, GFF, THG, HLIT, HIG, HTLD, HL, HSY, DHI, HOV, ILMN, IBP, IPAR, TILE, IPI, JKHY, KBH, KFRC, LZB, LH, LDOS, LEN, LNC, LOW, MHO, M, MLM, MAS, MLI, NWL, NOC, NWPX, NVDA, OMC, ASGN, OTEX, OXM, PATK, PYPL, PG, PHM, KWR, ROK, ROG, ROL, SBH, SEIC, SRE, NOW, SHW, SGI, SCCO, LUV, SXI, TECH, TDOC, TDC, TOL, TSCO, TRV, TREX, VFC, VECO, VMC, WRB, WSO, WPM, WMB, WSC, WDAY, IYM, IYK, IYC, BOTZ, IHF, ILF, SOXX, IGE, ITB, IHI, EWZ, EIS, TUR, PHO, XLP, GLD, XHB, USO, SMH. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Semiconductor Cap Equip.1. Telecom. Equipment
2. Telecom. Equipment2. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
3. Metals and Mining (Div.)3. Metals and Mining (Div.)
4. Semiconductor4. Apparel
5. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment5. Semiconductor
6. Drug6. Drug
7. Apparel7. Biotechnology
8. Machinery8. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
9. Biotechnology9. Machinery
10. Retail (Special Lines)10. Air Transport
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Electric Utility (Central)50. Advertising
51. E-Commerce51. E-Commerce
52. Chemical (Basic)52. IT Services
53. Advertising53. Toiletries/Cosmetics
54. Computer Software and Svcs54. Computer Software and Svcs
55. Toiletries/Cosmetics55. Information Services
56. Information Services56. Chemical (Basic)
57. Short ETFs57. Household Products
58. Household Products58. Short ETFs
59. Investment Co. (Domestic)59. Investment Co. (Domestic)
60. Human Resources60. Human Resources

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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Friday 1/9/26. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 200 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ANF, ABM, ACH, ACN, ALK, AMWD, AAPL, ARCB, ACGL, ADM, ADP, AVNT, AVA, BMI, BALL, BA, BRC, BCO, BG, CBT, CACI, CAL, CLS, CHD, CTAS, CSCO, CNO, CTSH, ED, CXW, GLW, CSGP, COST, CR, CTS, CW, XRAY, FANG, DDS, ^DJT, EXP, EMN, EOG, EXPI, EXPD, FFIV, FDS, FAST, FIS, FISV, FMC, FORM, FTNT, FTV, FNV, FDP, GAP, GE, GS, GGG, GFF, THG, HLIT, HIG, HTLD, HSIC, HNI, HD, HON, HOV, HWM, HUBG, HUN, IEX, ILMN, IIIN, ITGR, IPAR, TILE, JKHY, KELYA, KMT, KFRC, LHX, LEG, LDOS, LOW, LXU, M, MAN, MKTX, MRTN, MAS, MTRN, MRCY, MLKN, MLI, NWL, NOVT, NUS, NVDA, OLN, OMCL, OMC, ASGN, ORCL, OUT, PKG, PATK, PYPL, PFG, PGR, PHM, KWR, RMBS, RJF, RGS, RHI, RCKY, ROL, ROST, RES, SAIA, SBH, SGI, SR, SXI, TPR, TGT, TDY, TKR, TRV, TG, TREX, UHAL, UPS, VFC, VECO, VRSN, VC, WSO, WERN, WU, WLK, WMB, WSM, IYM, IYK, IYC, FDN, IAT, MXI, IGE, IEO, ITB, EWA, EWO, EWK, EWQ, EWH, EWW, EWS, EZA, THD, DBA, PEJ, PHO, XLY, XHB, XLB, XRT, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
DDDPipe bottom      12/22/202512/29/2025Electronics
MMMDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/23/202501/02/2026Diversified Co.
ACNDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/18/202501/02/2026IT Services
AYIDouble Top, Eve and Eve      12/04/202501/05/2026Furn/Home Furnishings
AESTriple bottom      11/04/202512/17/2025Electric Utility (East)
ALKDouble Top, Adam and Adam      12/12/202512/22/2025Air Transport
ALKSDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/16/202501/06/2026Drug
AMZNThree Rising Valleys      11/21/202501/02/2026Internet
ARHead-and-shoulders top      11/11/202512/30/2025Natural Gas (Diversified)
AAPLHead-and-shoulders top      10/31/202501/02/2026Computers and Peripherals
ADMTriple bottom      12/10/202501/02/2026Food Processing
ANETPipe bottom      11/17/202511/24/2025E-Commerce
AVAHead-and-shoulders bottom      12/08/202501/05/2026Electric Utility (West)
AZTAHorn top      11/24/202512/08/2025Semiconductor Cap Equip.
BIIBTriple bottom      12/10/202501/05/2026Biotechnology
BSXPipe bottom      12/08/202512/15/2025Medical Services
BRDiamond top      11/21/202512/29/2025Information Services
CBTUgly double bottom      11/20/202512/23/2025Chemical (Diversified)
CFHead-and-shoulders bottom      11/24/202512/31/2025Chemical (Basic)
CLDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/08/202501/05/2026Household Products
CMTLFlag, high and tight      10/31/202501/07/2026Telecom. Equipment
COPDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/16/202512/26/2025Petroleum (Integrated)
CRDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/17/202501/02/2026Diversified Co.
CRHTriple top      12/16/202501/07/2026Cement and Aggregates
CROXDouble Top, Eve and Adam      12/16/202512/26/2025Shoe
XRAYUgly double bottom      11/20/202512/24/2025Medical Supplies
DVNDouble Top, Eve and Adam      12/10/202501/02/2026Natural Gas (Diversified)
DDSDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/22/202501/02/2026Retail Store
^DJUDouble Top, Eve and Adam      12/16/202501/02/2026None
^DJTDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/15/202501/02/2026None
^DJIDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/17/202501/02/2026None
BOOMUgly double bottom      11/19/202512/17/2025Metal Fabricating
EMRUgly double bottom      11/20/202512/17/2025Computers and Peripherals
EPAMDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/18/202501/02/2026IT Services
EZPWDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/19/202512/31/2025Financial Services
FISVUgly double bottom      11/21/202501/05/2026IT Services
FLEXPipe top      12/08/202512/15/2025Electronics
FMCTriangle, symmetrical      11/28/202512/29/2025Chemical (Basic)
GISDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/21/202512/18/2025Food Processing
HTLDDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/19/202501/02/2026Trucking/Transp. Leasing
HSICBroadening top      12/15/202501/06/2026Medical Supplies
JBHTDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/18/202501/02/2026Trucking/Transp. Leasing
INCYPipe bottom      12/08/202512/15/2025Drug
IBPDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/17/202501/02/2026Retail Building Supply
IBKRUgly double bottom      11/21/202512/17/2025Securities Brokerage
KMTDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/19/202501/02/2026Metal Fabricating
KLICDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/17/202512/31/2025Semiconductor Cap Equip.
LDOSDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/17/202501/02/2026IT Services
MASDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/23/202501/02/2026Building Materials
MRCYUgly double bottom      11/21/202512/18/2025Computers and Peripherals
^IXICTriangle, ascending      11/10/202501/06/2026None
NOVTUgly double bottom      11/19/202501/02/2026Precision Instrument
ONDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/16/202512/29/2025Semiconductor
PFEBroadening top      11/25/202512/23/2025Drug
PLXSDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/17/202512/31/2025Electronics
PGRHead-and-shoulders top      12/01/202512/31/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
RJFUgly double bottom      11/20/202512/18/2025Securities Brokerage
ROKDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/17/202512/31/2025Diversified Co.
SLBDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/16/202512/26/2025Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
SMGTriple bottom      10/31/202512/09/2025Chemical (Basic)
SEICUgly double bottom      11/20/202501/02/2026IT Services
SHWTriple bottom      12/10/202512/30/2025Chemical (Basic)
SXIDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/17/202512/31/2025Diversified Co.
SSYSUgly double bottom      11/21/202512/31/2025Electronics
TXNDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/17/202512/31/2025Semiconductor
TKRDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/17/202512/31/2025Metal Fabricating
UISUgly double bottom      11/20/202501/05/2026Computers and Peripherals
VLODouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/17/202512/31/2025Petroleum (Integrated)
VECODouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/17/202512/31/2025Precision Instrument
VEEVDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/17/202501/05/2026Healthcare Information
WATDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/19/202501/02/2026Precision Instrument
WSCDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/19/202512/31/2025Industrial Services

 

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Thursday 1/8/26. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq climbed by 0.2% or 37.11 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 741 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.8% on 428 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.9% on 313 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 57.8% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 303/551 or 55.0% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 87/182 or 47.8% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

Line A is a trendline beneath the valleys. The index follows the uptrend until late in today's (Wednesday's) trading when it dropped below the line.

Line B highlights a pattern called rising wedge. That's a two-trendline pattern (A and B) that has the trendlines slope upward and converge. This wedge breaks out upward when the index closes above the top trendline.

CD is another chart pattern called a double top. That's two peaks near the same price which confirms as a valid chart pattern when the index closes below green line E.

What does all of this mean? We can discount the rising wedge because it has an upward breakout and price has made its move. Likewise, the height of the double top suggests the drop has already met the target (pattern height minus the green line is the target). The current price is also resting on support which I show as a blue circle.

Bottom line: I don't know which way the index will close tomorrow. It could continue down on general market weakness (after bouncing higher at the open). That's my best guess.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 161 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ABM, ACH, ALK, AEE, AEP, AXP, AFG, AIG, AMGN, AMN, ASH, ATO, BCPC, BSET, BZH, BA, BKNG, BR, BLDR, CPB, CNP, CRL, CI, CSCO, CMCO, CSGP, CR, CRH, CCK, CSGS, CW, XRAY, DDS, DTE, DUK, EXP, EMR, EXC, GD, GE, GILD, GFS, GS, GGG, THG, HELE, HON, HWM, IEX, ITW, INCY, IBP, IPAR, JKHY, KBH, KFRC, KSS, LHX, LH, LDOS, LEN, LLY, LMT, M, MANH, MLM, MAS, MTRX, MRCY, MGEE, MYGN, NTAP, NWL, NKE, NI, OMC, OTEX, PANW, PTEN, PYPL, PCG, PNW, PPL, PHM, RMBS, RTX, ROG, SBH, SRE, SLGN, SGI, SO, SXI, TDOC, TEVA, TXT, TOL, TZOO, TG, TREX, UNH, VECO, VMC, WRB, WSO, WERN, WLK, XEL, ITA, IAI, IYC, IEZ, IDU, BOTZ, ICF, IYZ, IXN, IYF, ITB, EWK, EWC, EWG, EWS, EWP, EWD, PPA, PBE, PEJ, PHO, ROBO, XLP, XHB, XLI, XLU, USO, VIS. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2026 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  22,314.71    
 Monthly S1  22,949.49  634.79   
 Weekly S2  22,963.44  13.95   Yes! The Weekly S2 is close to the Monthly S1.
 Weekly S1  23,273.86  310.42   
 Monthly Pivot  23,326.79  52.93   
 Daily S2  23,384.79  58.01   
 Weekly Pivot  23,429.91  45.12   
 Daily S1  23,484.54  54.63   
 Low  23,504.21  19.67   Yes! The Low is close to the Daily S1.
 Open  23,544.89  40.68   
 Close  23,584.28  39.39   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  23,587.93  3.65   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Close.
 Daily Pivot  23,603.95  16.02   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 50% Down from Intraday High  23,613.79  9.84   Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  23,639.65  25.86   
 Daily R1  23,703.70  64.05   
 High  23,723.37  19.67   Yes! The High is close to the Daily R1.
 Weekly R1  23,740.33  16.96   Yes! The Weekly R1 is close to the High.
 Daily R2  23,823.11  82.78   
 Weekly R2  23,896.38  73.27   
 Monthly R1  23,961.57  65.19   
 Monthly R2  24,338.87  377.29   

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