As of 11/01/2024
Indus: 42,052 +288.73 +0.7%
Trans: 16,351 +99.18 +0.6%
Utils: 1,019 -17.89 -1.7%
Nasdaq: 18,240 +144.77 +0.8%
S&P 500: 5,729 +23.35 +0.4%
|
YTD
+11.6%
+2.8%
+15.6%
+21.5%
+20.1%
|
43,100 or 41,250 by 11/15/2024
16,800 or 15,700 by 11/15/2024
1,075 or 1,000 by 11/15/2024
19,000 or 17,600 by 11/15/2024
5,900 or 5,600 by 11/15/2024
|
As of 11/01/2024
Indus: 42,052 +288.73 +0.7%
Trans: 16,351 +99.18 +0.6%
Utils: 1,019 -17.89 -1.7%
Nasdaq: 18,240 +144.77 +0.8%
S&P 500: 5,729 +23.35 +0.4%
|
YTD
+11.6%
+2.8%
+15.6%
+21.5%
+20.1%
| |
43,100 or 41,250 by 11/15/2024
16,800 or 15,700 by 11/15/2024
1,075 or 1,000 by 11/15/2024
19,000 or 17,600 by 11/15/2024
5,900 or 5,600 by 11/15/2024
| ||
For more information on this pattern, read Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns Second Edition, pictured on the right, pages 196 to 212.
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Statistics updated on 8/26/2020.
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Diamond tops with upward breakouts in a bull market rank last for performance. Like diamonds bottoms, the top variety (with downward breakouts) can show a fast decline post breakout if a quick rise preceded the diamond reversal. The crash site (downtrend end) is often near the price level of the launch site (uptrend start).
Diamond Top
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|
The above numbers are based on 733 perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions.
Characteristic | Discussion |
Price trend | Upward leading to the pattern. |
Shape | Looks like a diamond, but one usually tilted to the side. |
Trendlines | Prices form higher peaks and lower valleys (a broadening pattern) in the first part of the pattern, then price action narrows with lower peaks and higher valleys. Trendlines connect the peaks and valleys for a diamond shape. |
Touches | Prices will touch each trendline once or twice. Don't worry if your lines cross some of the price outliers. |
Volume trend | Downward trend 55% to 59% of the time. |
Breakout | Downward 54% of the time. |
Consult the associated figure on the right.
Trading Tactic | Explanation |
The Measure Rule
Price Trend
Half Staff
|
Measure rule | See the measure rule figure to the right. Compute the height from the highest peak (A) to the lowest valley (B) in the pattern and then multiply it by the above 'percentage meeting price target.' Add it (upward breakouts) or subtract it (downward breakouts) from the breakout price (the blue line) to get the price target (C). | |
Price trend | See the price trend figure to the right. If price makes a quick, nearly vertical rise (A) leading to the diamond and the breakout is downward, expect price to drop back to the price at which it started (B) the rise. However, the drop won't be as fast. Also, price must have something to reverse. Diamonds with short-term (less than three months) or intermediate-term (three to six months) price trends leading to the diamond perform best post breakout (depending on the breakout direction). | |
Half staff | See the half staff figure to the right. If the diamond acts as a continuation pattern, meaning that price exits (C to D) in the same direction as it entered the pattern (A to B), then the diamond can act as a half-staff pattern (half the move is still ahead). The move after the breakout (CD) will often fall short, so look for overhead resistance where price might stall. | |
Price velocity | High velocity moves after the pattern often follow high velocity moves leading to the pattern. | |
Yearly low | For best performance, diamonds with breakouts in the lowest third of the yearly price range perform best. | |
Volume trend | A rising volume trend (upward breakouts) results in the best post breakout performance. | |
Throwbacks and pullbacks | Throwbacks and pullbacks hurt post breakout performance. |
The above figure shows an example of a diamond top chart pattern. Price begins the rise at point A and then forms the diamond top. The breakout from this diamond top is downward but it does not last long. Price pulls back and busts the diamond when price closes above the top of the diamond top chart pattern. The rise is also short and price plunges, stopping at B, near the launch price of A.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
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