As of 12/20/2024   Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%     Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%     Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%     Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%     S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%	YTD  +13.7%   0.0%    +11.9%    +30.4%    +24.3%	Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024     44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025   16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/2025   1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025   20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025   6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025
Chart Pattern Indicator: on 12/5/24

As of 12/20/2024   Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%     Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%     Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%     Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%     S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%	YTD  +13.7%   0.0%    +11.9%    +30.4%    +24.3%
Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024     44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025   16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/2025   1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025   20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025   6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025
Chart Pattern Indicator: on 12/5/24

Bulkowski's Stock Market Studies

This page is the gateway to studies, listed by category, that I have conducted on price patterns and the stock market. Since the category assignment is almost arbitrary, meaning they can belong in more than one category, be sure to review each one.

Latest Releases

• August 9, 2024 Tall bars and gaps: Do they affect performance?
• October 31, 2023 Monthly candles: Do candle color, shape, volume at a peak predict a large drop?
• October 25, 2023 Trading Weinstein
• August 30, 2023: Updated research on the best months to buy and sell.
• June 1, 2023: How does crypto performance compare to stocks and ETFs?

Price Patterns

1. Bad quarterly earnings. What happens next?
2. Bearish reversal tests. Compare performance of short-term reversals.
3. Best performing chart patterns over 1, 2, and 3 months.
4. Compare performance of chart patterns over decades.
5. Candles & chart pattern breakouts: Which candlesticks appear most often before breakouts?
6. Dead-cat bounces: Which industries have fewest?
7. Double tops. Shows a new way to predict the time to reach a price target.
8. Dutch auction tender offers. Can you make money trading these?
9. Failures by month. Which months show the most failures?
10. Failure rates. Chart patterns fail more often than before.
11. High and tight flags: Do they live up to the promise of the best performing chart pattern?
12. Knots: Trading a pullback and how to predict a big decline.
13. Measured moved, retraces. Do large or small retraces result in better performance of measured moves?
14. Noise & trend. How long do stocks and ETFs trend?
15. Partial rises/declines and throws/pulls. Do throwbacks/pullbacks occur more often after partial rises and declines?
16. Pattern frequency. How often do patterns appear?
17. Pattern pairs trading. Buy a bullish pattern and later sell a bearish one.
18. Pattern width. I examined pattern width and time to reach the ultimate high/low.
19. Price mountains. How long to recover after a price run-up and run-down?
20. Can we predict the breakout (by knowing the trend start and width)?
21. Tall bars and gaps: Do they affect performance?
22. Trendiness. What patterns are best for swing traders?
23. Top 10 reversals and continuations. A short list plus download.
24. Triangle apex and turning points. Price turns at apex 60% of the time.
25. Ugly patterns: Do they outperform? Yes.
26. Width, peak and valley. Use the width of peaks or valleys to improve trading results.



Trading Tactics

27. Monthly candles: Do candle color, shape, volume at a peak predict a large drop?
28. Bear markets: How often do stocks, ETFs, and mutual funds drop 30% or more?
29. Best buy days. Which day of the week is the best one to buy or sell?
30. Best buy months. Can buying at the end of the worst performing month and selling at the best performing be profitable?
31. Best buy price. The best buy price is $20 or below.
32. Buy low or buy high? Buy near yearly low for larger gains, less risk.
33. How does crypto performance compare to stocks and ETFs?
34. Divergence testing. How well does divergence work? The results will surprise you.
35. Dollar cost averaging. This doesn't work...or does it?
36. Fibonacci extensions. Do they work?
37. Fibonacci retrace. Place a stop 67% of the prior rise.
38. Is gold a good investment?
39. Height and width study. Tall patterns outperform.
40. Hold time loss. This can help with initial stop placement.
41. Holidays. Does the market rise or fall before and after holidays?
42. Hold on. How long do you need to hold onto a stock? Find out...
43. As January goes, so does the Dow. True or false?
44. Long or short? Selling short is a losers game. Or is it?
45. Market cap. Chart patterns in small cap stocks outperform.
46. Market longevity. How long does the typical bull/bear market last?
47. Moving average study & stock trends. Buy in a downtrend, sell on the uptrend.
48. Meme Stocks: New research explores them.
49. Money management. Where should you place a stop on breakout day?
50. Monthly trends. A reliable sell signal for investors.
51. Moving averages. Boost performance using chart patterns with moving averages!
52. No-nines. Here's a way for traders to increase profit and reduce failures.
53. Percent-down indicator. A new indicator suggests weakness ahead.
54. Pivot points. For day traders, how well do pivots work?
55. Resistance. Describes research showing low priced stocks outperform.
56. Resistance study. This study identifies tips on how to momentum trade.
57. Retirement: How to boost that IRA balance.
58. Scaling in. Adding to a position may not pay.
59. Scaling out. Should you sell a portion of your stock?
60. Seasonality. What are the best months to buy and sell stocks?
61. Shadows. Do tall candle shadows predict price turns? Yes and no.
62. Stops. Research reveals how often stops are hit.
63. Can Stops Hurt?
64. Swing traders. Any retracement will do for a swing trade. Here are some tips.
65. Symmetry. Do head-and-shoulders with extended right shoulders underperform? Yes.
66. Tall candles at peaks and valleys. Tall candles appear at turning points.
67. Tall candles show support and resistance.
68. Tax loss selling. Which days of the month do stocks, ETFs, and mutual funds drop?
69. Throwbacks. After a throwback, when should you buy?
70. Trade with the trend. What's more important, the industry or market trend?
71. Trading Weinstein
72. Weinstein stages. Does Stan Weinstein's four stages work? Yes!
73. Overlap. Does congestion before the breakout matter? Yes.



Price Related Research

74. Countertrends. The market moves up, but a stock drops. Is that good or bad for the stock?
75. Day traders: When does price hit the day's high or low?
76. Pattern confirmation. Should you trade before price confirms the chart pattern?
77. Buying before or after confirmation. A new look.
78. Distribution days. Do distribution days foretell a coming price decline?
79. Low priced patterns: Do they outperform? Yes. Best is $0-$10 range.
80. Price doubles, then what? Stocks that double or drop in half show surprising performance a year later.
81. Price doubles. What chart patterns appear most often before price doubles?
82. Price recovery. Do stocks that decline least in a bear market rebound furthest?
83. Price trends. Consecutively higher/lower closes before the breakout offers performance clues.
84. Price trends. Price trends over the last year helps make buying stocks easier.
85. Price velocity is similar on entry and exit from chart patterns.
86. Price volatility. Stocks with volatility too high or low hurt profits.
87. Price volatility vs. performance. Higher volatility is good.
88. Quick rise, then what? A stock doubles within 6 months then moves sideways for how long?
89. Reversal times. When does price reverse during the day?

Relative Strength

90. Relative strength (industry). Holy Grail of investing?
91. Relative strength (stocks, part 1). Not a Holy Grail
92. Relative strength (stocks, part 2). Trading relative strength
93. Relative strength of a stock compared to the S&P 500 index. Find out more.
94. Relative strength Index (Wilder RSI). Works best with new settings.
95. Sector rotation: Of 9 sector ETFs, which should you trade and how often?

Other

96. Brokers & trading software. Survey results of brokers and software traders prefer.
97. Factors influencing stocks. Find out how important trends are.
98. Hardware survey. How many monitors, computers, etc. should you have?
99. Study of studies. An intriguing snapshot of various studies.
100. Volume. Does increasing volume suggest a more powerful and lasting breakout?
101. New volume study. After a high volume breakout, performance doesn't improve much but failures triple.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

See Also

• Visit the visual chart pattern index to hunt for other chart patterns.
• The alphabetical chart pattern index covers more topics than the visual index.
• What do you know about event patterns?
• If you prefer candlesticks, then visit over 100 of them in the alphabetical index.
• Click to view the visual candlestick index to make identification easier.

I can't remember what I forgot to forget.