As of 12/20/2024
  Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%  
  Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%  
  Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%  
  Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%  
  S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%  
YTD
 +13.7%  
0.0%  
 +11.9%  
 +30.4%  
 +24.3%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024  
  Up arrow44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025
  Down arrow16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025
As of 12/20/2024
  Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%  
  Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%  
  Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%  
  Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%  
  S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%  
YTD
 +13.7%  
0.0%  
 +11.9%  
 +30.4%  
 +24.3%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024  
  Up arrow44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025
  Down arrow16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025

Bulkowski on Horn Tops

Updated on 8/27/2020.

For more information on this pattern, read Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns Second EditionEncyclopedia of Chart Patterns 2nd Edition book., pictured on the right, pages 115 to 131.

If you click on the above link and then buy the book (or anything) while at Amazon.com, the referral will help support this site. Thanks.

-- Tom Bulkowski

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Horn tops are H-shaped chart patterns that perform best when found on the weekly charts. The performance is good, especially in a bear market. Discovered by Thomas Bulkowski in 1998. The statistics in this article were from the weekly scale.

Horn top chart pattern
Horn Top Chart Pattern

 

Horn Tops: Important Bull Market Results

Overall performance rank: 1 (best) out of 2 (weekly scale)
Break even failure rate: 9%
Average decline: 19%
Percentage meeting price target: 54%

The above numbers are based on 843 perfect trades on the weekly scale. See the glossary for definitions.

Horn Tops: Identification Guidelines

CharacteristicDiscussion
Weekly chartUse the weekly chart to locate horns.
Price trendUpward leading to the pattern.
ShapeLooks like a steer's horn, two parallel price spikes separated by a week.
SpikesThe spikes should be longer than most in the past year, but be flexible.
ConfirmationThe pattern confirms as valid when price closes below the lowest price in the 3-week pattern.

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Horn Tops: Trading Tips

Trading TacticExplanation Horn top chart pattern measure rule
The Measure Rule
Measure ruleSee the Measure Rule figure to the right. Compute the height between the highest high (A) and lowest low (B) in the 3-week pattern and then multiply it by the above 'percentage meeting price target.' Subtract the result from the lowest low (B) in the pattern to get a price target (C).
DowntrendsIf the horn appears near the end of a downtrend, then avoid it.
ConfirmationWait for confirmation before placing a trade.
Trend changeA horn top usually signals a trend change within 2 months.
PullbacksPullbacks hurt performance.

Horn Tops: Example

Horn top chart pattern example

The above figure shows an example of a horn top chart pattern. The two spikes tower above the surrounding price landscape, the trend to the chart pattern is upward and long, and price confirms the horn top when it closes below the lowest low in the 3-week pattern. Shown on the weekly scale.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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See Also

 

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