As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
|
 44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025 16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/20251,050 or 975 by 01/01/202520,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/20256,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025 |
As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
| |
|
44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/202516,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/20251,050 or 975 by 01/01/202520,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/20256,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025 | ||
My book,
Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns Second Edition
If you click on the above link and then buy the book (or anything) while at Amazon.com, the referral will help support this site. Thanks.
$ $ $
How often does a chart pattern appear? To answer that, I scanned my database of 500 stocks during the bull market of July 1991 to July 1996. Here are the results of the top five frequently appearing chart patterns for up and down breakouts.
| Upward breakouts: 1 is most common out of 35 | Average Rise Rank | Failure Rate Rank | Overall Rank |
| 1. Pipe bottoms | 4 out of 22 | 5 out of 16 | 2 out of 23 |
| 2. Ascending triangles, up breakout | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 3. Ascending scallops | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 4. Head-and-shoulders bottoms | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 5. Bump-and-run reversal bottoms | 9 | 2 | 8 |
For example, pipe bottoms occur most often in the database followed by ascending triangles with upward breakouts, and so on down the list. Each of those patterns have the associated performance rankings, for reference. The rankings had nothing to do with how often a pattern appears.
The average rise measures from the breakout price to the ultimate high before price tumbles at least 20%. Failures are a count of how many chart patterns fail to rise at least 5% after the breakout. The overall rank is the average rise rank plus the failure rate rank plus the change after the trend ends rank (not shown). A rank of 1 is best. Ties were given the same rank.
| Downward breakouts: 1 is most common out of 34 | Average Decline Rank | Failure Rate Rank | Overall Rank |
| 1. Bump-and-run reversal tops | 5 out of 10 | 10 our to 19 | 3 out of 20 |
| 2. Descending triangles | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3. Head-and-shoulders tops | 2 | 14 | 1 |
| 4. Inverted and descending scallops | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 5. Pipe tops | 4 | 8 | 4 |
Performance for downward breakouts is the same as upward breakouts, but I looked for the lowest low before price climbed by at least 20%.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
Support this site! Clicking any of the books (below) takes you to
Amazon.com If you buy ANYTHING while there, they pay for the referral.
Legal notice for paid links: "As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases."
|
My Stock Market Books
|
My Novels
|
Any minute now I'll jump in with pointless observations.
on 