As of 06/14/2024
  Indus: 38,589 -57.94 -0.1%  
  Trans: 14,807 -161.34 -1.1%  
  Utils: 917 -0.41 0.0%  
  Nasdaq: 17,689 +21.32 +0.1%  
  S&P 500: 5,432 -2.14 0.0%  
YTD
 +2.4%  
-6.9%  
 +4.0%  
 +17.8%  
 +13.9%  
  Targets    Overview: 06/13/2024  
  Up arrow39,900 or 37,650 by 07/01/2024
  Up arrow15,800 or 14,300 by 07/01/2024
  Up arrow960 or 890 by 07/01/2024
  Up arrow17,800 or 16,750 by 07/01/2024
  Up arrow5,500 or 5,250 by 07/01/2024
As of 06/14/2024
  Indus: 38,589 -57.94 -0.1%  
  Trans: 14,807 -161.34 -1.1%  
  Utils: 917 -0.41 0.0%  
  Nasdaq: 17,689 +21.32 +0.1%  
  S&P 500: 5,432 -2.14 0.0%  
YTD
 +2.4%  
-6.9%  
 +4.0%  
 +17.8%  
 +13.9%  
  Targets    Overview: 06/13/2024  
  Up arrow39,900 or 37,650 by 07/01/2024
  Up arrow15,800 or 14,300 by 07/01/2024
  Up arrow960 or 890 by 07/01/2024
  Up arrow17,800 or 16,750 by 07/01/2024
  Up arrow5,500 or 5,250 by 07/01/2024

Bulkowski on Market Cap versus Performance

Do small cap stocks outperform big caps? Yes. This study takes a closer look.

Background
Details
Results
See Also

 

Market Cap: Background

Market capitalization is the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the stock price (or in this case, the chart pattern breakout price). I classify capitalization into three categories: small cap stocks (up to $1 billion), mid caps ($1 billion to $5 billion), and large caps (over $5 billion).

Market Cap: Details

I measured the rise from the breakout price to the ultimate high (the highest high before price tumbled by at least 20%), or the decline to the ultimate low (the lowest low before price climbed by at least 20%). Then I sorted the stocks by market capitalization. I found that chart patterns in small cap stocks performed best, followed by mid caps, and then large caps.

For example, price after a head-and-shoulders bottom climbed an average of 42% in 154 samples taken from small cap stocks. Mid cap stocks (147 samples) climbed 33%, on average, after the breakout and large caps climbed 27% (64 samples) post breakout. Thus, small caps outperformed followed by mid and large cap stocks, respectively.

For more information (time period covered, sample size and so on), refer to my book, Trading Classic Chart Patterns. It shows the percentage rise or decline for each pattern, sorted by capitalization.

Top of page

Market Cap: Results

Nineteen patterns perform best in small cap stocks.

Six patterns perform best in mid cap stocks

Three patterns perform best in large cap stocks

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Top of page

See Also

 

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