Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 01/17/2025
  Indus: 43,488 +334.70 +0.8%  
  Trans: 16,431 -169.75 -1.0%  
  Utils: 1,013 +1.53 +0.2%  
  Nasdaq: 19,630 +291.91 +1.5%  
  S&P 500: 5,997 +59.32 +1.0%  
YTD
 +2.2%  
 +3.4%  
 +3.0%  
 +1.7%  
 +2.0%  
  Targets    Overview: 01/15/2025  
  Up arrow44,700 or 41,600 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow17,200 or 15,700 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 950 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 18,670 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,700 by 02/01/2025
As of 01/17/2025
  Indus: 43,488 +334.70 +0.8%  
  Trans: 16,431 -169.75 -1.0%  
  Utils: 1,013 +1.53 +0.2%  
  Nasdaq: 19,630 +291.91 +1.5%  
  S&P 500: 5,997 +59.32 +1.0%  
YTD
 +2.2%  
 +3.4%  
 +3.0%  
 +1.7%  
 +2.0%  
  Targets    Overview: 01/15/2025  
  Up arrow44,700 or 41,600 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow17,200 or 15,700 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 950 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 18,670 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,700 by 02/01/2025

January 2025 Headlines

Archives


Tuesday 1/21/25. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 0.8% or 334.7 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 614 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 339 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.6% on 275 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 55.2% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 299/551 or 54.3% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 57/120 or 47.5% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Varian Semiconductor: VSEA stock.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 182 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: A, ALK, ALB, AMZN, AME, ANIK, APA, ARCB, ADP, AXS, AZTA, BSET, BAX, BZH, BRKR, BLDR, CDAY, CRL, CINF, CTAS, CLX, CNO, CGNX, CMTL, GLW, CRH, CCK, CMI, ^DJT, ^DJI, BOOM, EXP, EME, EMR, EFX, EXPI, FFIV, FICO, FIVN, FTNT, FTV, FWRD, GME, GIS, GPN, GFS, GL, GMS, GFF, GES, DHI, HOV, HUBG, HUN, HURC, IDA, IDXX, NSP, INTC, IPI, KALU, KBH, KEYS, LZB, LEG, LNC, RAMP, MTSI, MANH, MLM, MAS, MRK, MCO, NBR, NFG, NWL, NEU, NKE, JWN, NOVT, NTNX, OGE, ORI, OMC, OTEX, OUT, PTEN, PAYX, PCTY, PPG, PPL, PINC, PFG, RMBS, RGS, RCKY, RES, ^GSPC, SLB, SAIC, SMG, SEE, SEIC, SIGI, SMAR, SR, SXI, TPR, TRGP, TPX, TDC, TEVA, TXN, TXT, TTD, TOL, TZOO, TWLO, UGI, UIS, UNM, VFC, WRB, WU, WOLF, WDAY, IYM, IAI, IYC, IEZ, IHE, DDM, QTEC, FXL, FXI, BOTZ, IYZ, IGV, MXI, IXN, IGE, EWO, EWK, EWQ, EWG, EWH, EWI, EZA, EWP, EWD, TUR, EWU, PPA, DBA, PEJ, PXJ, PHO, SSO, ROBO, XLY, XLI, XLB, SPY, XAR, VIS, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  40,919.64    
 Weekly S2  41,186.96  267.32   
 Monthly S1  42,203.74  1,016.77   
 Weekly S1  42,337.40  133.66   
 Weekly Pivot  42,995.32  657.93   
 Monthly Pivot  43,128.98  133.66   
 Daily S2  43,143.84  14.86   Yes! The Daily S2 is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 Low  43,312.55  168.71   
 Open  43,312.55  0.00   Yes! The Open is close to the Low.
 Daily S1  43,315.84  3.29   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Open.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  43,442.70  126.86   
 50% Down from Intraday High  43,482.90  40.20   
 Daily Pivot  43,484.54  1.64   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  43,487.83  3.29   Yes! The Close is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  43,523.10  35.27   
 High  43,653.25  130.15   
 Daily R1  43,656.54  3.29   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the High.
 Daily R2  43,825.24  168.71   
 Weekly R1  44,145.76  320.52   
 Monthly R1  44,413.08  267.32   
 Weekly R2  44,803.68  390.61   
 Monthly R2  45,338.32  534.64   

Friday 1/17/25. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 140 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, AXDX, AMZN, DOX, AEP, AFG, AIG, AMWD, AMGN, AMAT, ACGL, ASH, ATO, ADP, BSET, BAX, BKNG, BMY, BR, CPB, CLS, CNP, CRL, CTAS, CSCO, CNO, CL, CMTL, COTY, CSGS, DHR, DFS, D, DTE, DUK, BOOM, EMR, EL, EVRG, EXC, FFIV, FICO, FIVN, FTV, FNV, GME, GAP, GD, GL, HQY, HTLD, HELE, HUBG, PODD, TILE, IPI, KLAC, LHX, LRCX, LPLA, LXU, MTSI, MGY, MS, MUR, ^IXIC, NFG, NJR, NI, NOC, NVDA, OGE, PDCO, PTEN, PCTY, PNW, POR, PPG, PPL, PINC, PFG, PEG, QCOM, RL, RGA, RLI, ROL, RES, SAIA, SCHW, SEE, SHW, SO, LUV, SWX, SPSC, TPX, TDC, TMO, TSCO, TRV, TWLO, UGI, UPS, VFC, WLK, WEX, WPM, XEL, IAI, IYK, IHE, FTEC, IEV, IXC, IXN, EWK, EWQ, EWM, EWS, EWY, EWD, EWL, EWT, TUR, QLD, ROBO, GLD, XLK, XLU, SMH, VHT. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
ANFPipe bottom      12/09/202412/16/2024Apparel
ABMDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/18/202401/07/2025Industrial Services
ACIWDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/30/202401/07/2025IT Services
AESDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/19/202412/30/2024Electric Utility (East)
AFLDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/18/202401/13/2025Insurance (Diversified)
ALBDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      01/02/202501/10/2025Chemical (Diversified)
AEEDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202401/06/2025Electric Utility (Central)
AEPDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202401/08/2025Electric Utility (Central)
AIGDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/18/202401/10/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
ARCBDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/30/202401/13/2025Trucking/Transp. Leasing
ACGLDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/20/202401/13/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
ATODouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202401/06/2025Natural Gas (Diversified)
BMRNTriangle, ascending      11/11/202401/03/2025Biotechnology
BRBroadening bottom      12/20/202401/10/2025Information Services
CORDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/19/202401/02/2025Biotechnology
CNPDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/10/202401/08/2025Electric Utility (Central)
CENXDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/20/202401/03/2025Metals and Mining (Div.)
CTASDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/20/202412/30/2024Industrial Services
CNODouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/18/202401/10/2025Insurance (Diversified)
CMTLDead-cat bounce      01/13/202501/13/2025Telecom. Equipment
GLWTriple bottom      12/18/202401/13/2025Telecom. Equipment
CTSPipe top      11/04/202411/11/2024Electronics
CMITriple bottom      12/20/202401/03/2025Machinery
CWDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/18/202401/13/2025Machinery
DFSDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/18/202401/10/2025Financial Services
DTEHead-and-shoulders bottom      12/10/202412/30/2024Electric Utility (Central)
EBAYDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/30/202401/03/2025Internet
ELDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      01/03/202501/10/2025Toiletries/Cosmetics
EVRGDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/19/202401/13/2025Electric Utility (Central)
FFIVTriple bottom      12/20/202401/13/2025Internet
FAROTriple bottom      12/20/202401/13/2025Precision Instrument
FRDPipe top      12/02/202412/09/2024Building Materials
GMEHorn top      12/23/202401/06/2025Retail (Special Lines)
GLPipe bottom      12/02/202412/09/2024Insurance (Life)
GSDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/18/202401/13/2025Securities Brokerage
GFFDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/30/202401/08/2025Building Materials
HIGDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/20/202401/10/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
HDDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/20/202401/08/2025Retail Building Supply
DHIDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202401/13/2025Homebuilding
HUBGDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/20/202401/13/2025Trucking/Transp. Leasing
IEXDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      01/03/202501/13/2025Machinery
PODDDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/19/202401/02/2025Medical Supplies
IPARTriple bottom      12/23/202401/13/2025Toiletries/Cosmetics
IBKRDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/20/202401/02/2025Securities Brokerage
KALUTriple bottom      12/20/202401/08/2025Metals and Mining (Div.)
LZBTriple bottom      12/20/202401/10/2025Furn/Home Furnishings
LLYDouble Top, Adam and Adam      12/20/202401/13/2025Drug
LDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/19/202401/13/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
LOWTriple bottom      12/20/202401/08/2025Retail Building Supply
MTSIDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      01/02/202501/13/2025Semiconductor
MTRXDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/30/202401/13/2025Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
^IXICTriple top      12/16/202401/06/2025None
NFGDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      11/07/202412/20/2024Natural Gas (Diversified)
NIDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/19/202401/06/2025Electric Utility (Central)
NTNXDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      01/02/202501/13/2025E-Commerce
OXMDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/12/202412/30/2024Apparel
PAYXDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/18/202401/06/2025IT Services
PPGDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      01/03/202501/10/2025Chemical (Diversified)
PPLDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/19/202401/13/2025Electric Utility (East)
RTXTriple bottom      12/09/202401/06/2025Aerospace/Defense
ROGHorn top      11/25/202412/09/2024Electronics
SAIADouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      01/02/202501/10/2025Trucking/Transp. Leasing
SKYWDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/18/202412/30/2024Air Transport
SODouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      01/06/202501/13/2025Electric Utility (East)
SNPSHead-and-shoulders bottom      12/20/202401/14/2025Computer Software and Svcs
TDYDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      01/06/202501/13/2025Aerospace/Defense
TPXTriple bottom      12/10/202401/08/2025Furn/Home Furnishings
TXNDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/20/202401/02/2025Semiconductor
TDGTriple bottom      11/22/202401/08/2025Aerospace/Defense
TWLOTriple bottom      12/20/202401/13/2025E-Commerce
UGIHead-and-shoulders bottom      12/06/202401/07/2025Natural Gas (Distributor)
UPSDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/20/202401/13/2025Air Transport
VFCTriple bottom      12/30/202401/08/2025Apparel
VMITriple bottom      12/20/202401/13/2025Metal Fabricating
WRBDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/20/202401/10/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
WSCDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/20/202412/30/2024Industrial Services
ZBRATriple bottom      12/18/202401/13/2025Computers and Peripherals

 

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Thursday 1/16/25. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq climbed by 2.5% or 466.84 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 38 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 1.4% on 18 occasions.
     Average loss was -1.1% on 20 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close lower 52.6% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 286/515 or 55.5% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 83/171 or 48.5% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

I don't have a lot to say about the chart. The index followed the channel down. I show the channel as two nearly parallel lines.

At A, the index completed what's called a throwback. That's when a chart pattern (in this case, the channel) breaks out upward but quickly (within a month but it usually happens in about a week to 10 days) returns to the breakout price. That's what you see at A.

As to what all of this means for the index going forward, I haven't a clue.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 214 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, AES, AFL, ATSG, ALGT, AMZN, AEO, AFG, AIG, AMWD, AMN, AAPL, ARCB, ACGL, AWI, AGO, AVNT, BECN, BZH, BIO, BMRN, BKH, BFH, BLDR, CX, COR, CIEN, CTAS, CNO, CNX, CMTL, COP, COST, COTY, CCK, DHR, DFS, ^DJT, DOV, DUK, EXP, EME, EFX, EQT, EXPI, FFIV, FICO, FAST, FLS, FWRD, FNV, GME, IT, GE, GL, GMS, GGG, GFF, HQY, HTLD, HSII, HNI, HD, DHI, HOV, HWM, HUBG, JBHT, IDA, ITW, IBP, IIIN, IPI, ISRG, IRM, K, KELYA, KFRC, KLAC, LZB, LANC, LEG, LNC, LOW, LXU, MHO, MTSI, MGY, MAN, MLM, MAS, META, MGEE, MLKN, MCO, MLI, MUR, NFG, NFLX, NTAP, NEU, NOC, NUS, OGE, OLN, ORCL, OMI, PATK, PDCO, PTEN, PYPL, PFE, POR, PPG, PFG, PHM, RMBS, RRC, RJF, RHI, ROK, RES, R, SAIA, SBH, SEE, SIGI, SMTC, NOW, SHW, SLGN, SCCO, LUV, SCS, SSYS, SRDX, TPX, TXT, TOL, TSCO, TREX, UHAL, VFC, VLO, VMI, VRTX, V, VMC, WRB, WSO, WERN, WLK, WEX, XEL, ITA, IYM, IAI, IYC, IYE, IEZ, FXL, FXI, IAT, IYZ, IGV, IXC, MXI, ILF, IGE, IEO, IYF, ITB, IHI, EWK, EWZ, EEM, EWQ, EWG, EWH, EIS, EWI, EWM, EZA, EWY, EWP, EWD, EWT, IBB, PEJ, PXJ, PJP, PHO, XLE, XLF, GLD, XHB, XLI, XLB, XRT, USO, VIS, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

Top

© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  18,392.36    
 Weekly S2  18,523.44  131.09   
 Monthly S1  18,951.79  428.35   
 Weekly S1  19,017.34  65.54   
 Daily S2  19,203.57  186.23   
 Low  19,299.32  95.75   
 Open  19,350.31  50.99   
 Daily S1  19,357.40  7.09   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Open.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  19,394.66  37.26   
 50% Down from Intraday High  19,424.11  29.45   
 Daily Pivot  19,453.15  29.04   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  19,453.56  0.41   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 Close  19,511.23  57.67   
 Weekly Pivot  19,512.64  1.41   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the Close.
 High  19,548.90  36.26   
 Monthly Pivot  19,578.19  29.29   
 Daily R1  19,606.98  28.79   
 Daily R2  19,702.73  95.75   
 Weekly R1  20,006.54  303.81   
 Monthly R1  20,137.62  131.09   
 Weekly R2  20,501.84  364.22   
 Monthly R2  20,764.02  262.17   

Wednesday 1/15/25. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

The CPI flipped from neutral (white bar) to bullish (green bar) in the most recent reading. That means the green bar on the far right of the chart appeared today (Tuesday, after the close).

Keep in mind that signals can change for up to a week, but are usually stable after 3 trading days. What does that mean? The red bar on the far right of the chart likely won't change but the signals to the right of that could change.

I'm tempted to believe that the bullish signal will remain, but that's just a guess.

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This chart shows bullish divergence between the CPI and the index. The CPI shows higher lows even as the index shows lower highs.

It suggests, but does not guarantee, that the index will following the indicator higher. Keep in mind that divergence can last for months without the index paying attention to the signal.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 159 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ANF, AYI, AFL, APD, ALRM, AA, AMZN, DOX, AMWD, AME, AMN, ANIK, AR, AAPL, ADP, AVY, BCPC, BECN, BZH, BBY, BIO, BMRN, BBW, BLDR, CAL, CE, CSCO, CNO, CGNX, CMCO, CMTL, CCRN, CSGS, CMI, ^DJU, DOV, BOOM, ECL, EMR, EVRG, EXPI, FARO, FDX, FIVN, FLS, FTV, FRD, GME, GAP, IT, GD, GOOGL, GGG, HBI, THG, HIG, HSIC, HNI, HWM, HUBG, IDA, IEX, ITW, ILMN, IIIN, IBKR, TILE, KELYA, KFRC, LANC, LXU, MHO, MANH, MLM, MAS, MTRN, MTRX, MLI, MYGN, NFLX, NEU, NOC, NWPX, NUS, OLN, OMC, PKG, PKE, PTEN, PFE, PLXS, POR, PFG, PRU, KWR, RRC, RTX, RLI, RHI, ROK, ROP, RES, R, SBH, SCHW, SEE, STR, SKX, SCS, TECH, TDY, TFX, TTD, TKR, TSCO, TDG, TG, VFC, VMI, VMC, WRB, WERN, WU, WLK, WEX, WSM, WOLF, WDAY, ITA, IYM, IDU, ICF, IAT, MXI, ITB, EWO, ECH, EWQ, EWW, THD, PBE, PJP, PHO, XHB, XLI, XLB, XRT, UNG, VIS, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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Tuesday 1/14/25. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 0.9% or 358.67 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 532 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 309 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.6% on 223 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 58.1% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 298/550 or 54.2% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 57/120 or 47.5% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Verisign: VRSN stock.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 135 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: MMM, ANF, ABM, ALRM, ALKS, AFG, APH, ARCB, AWI, ADSK, BMRN, BRC, BFH, CBT, CAL, CENX, CF, CSCO, CGNX, CMCO, CMTL, GLW, DECK, DDS, DSGR, EVRG, FDS, FARO, FIVN, FLS, GAP, IT, GL, GOOGL, GPRO, GGG, GFF, HNI, HWM, HUM, JBHT, ILMN, INFN, INTC, IPAR, TILE, JBLU, KLAC, KSS, KLIC, LDOS, RAMP, M, MRTN, MLM, MTRN, MU, MUR, MYGN, NTAP, NJR, NI, JWN, NUS, NVDA, OMCL, OMI, PANW, PKE, PCTY, PCG, KWR, RJF, RTX, ROG, ROP, SIGI, SRE, SLGN, SKX, SXI, SCS, TJX, TOL, TDG, TZOO, VMI, VECO, VC, WEX, WOLF, WDAY, ITA, IYM, IYC, FTEC, FXL, BOTZ, ICF, IAT, IEV, IGV, MXI, IXN, EWO, EEM, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWM, EZA, EWD, EWT, THD, TUR, EWU, PJP, ROBO, XRT, XLK, XLU, UNG, VAW, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  39,986.28    
 Monthly S1  41,141.70  1,155.42   
 Weekly S2  41,191.90  50.20   
 Daily S2  41,679.16  487.26   
 Weekly S1  41,744.51  65.35   
 Low  41,844.89  100.38   
 Open  41,924.68  79.79   
 Daily S1  41,988.14  63.46   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  42,026.23  38.09   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily S1.
 50% Down from Intraday High  42,082.25  56.02   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  42,138.26  56.02   
 Daily Pivot  42,153.87  15.61   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  42,297.12  143.25   
 High  42,319.60  22.48   Yes! The High is close to the Close.
 Weekly Pivot  42,429.91  110.31   
 Daily R1  42,462.85  32.94   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 Daily R2  42,628.58  165.73   
 Weekly R1  42,982.52  353.94   
 Monthly Pivot  43,032.72  50.20   
 Weekly R2  43,667.92  635.20   
 Monthly R1  44,188.14  520.22   
 Monthly R2  46,079.16  1,891.02   

Tuesday 1/14/25. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 0.9% or 358.67 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 532 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 309 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.6% on 223 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 58.1% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 298/550 or 54.2% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 57/120 or 47.5% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Verisign: VRSN stock.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 135 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: MMM, ANF, ABM, ALRM, ALKS, AFG, APH, ARCB, AWI, ADSK, BMRN, BRC, BFH, CBT, CAL, CENX, CF, CSCO, CGNX, CMCO, CMTL, GLW, DECK, DDS, DSGR, EVRG, FDS, FARO, FIVN, FLS, GAP, IT, GL, GOOGL, GPRO, GGG, GFF, HNI, HWM, HUM, JBHT, ILMN, INFN, INTC, IPAR, TILE, JBLU, KLAC, KSS, KLIC, LDOS, RAMP, M, MRTN, MLM, MTRN, MU, MUR, MYGN, NTAP, NJR, NI, JWN, NUS, NVDA, OMCL, OMI, PANW, PKE, PCTY, PCG, KWR, RJF, RTX, ROG, ROP, SIGI, SRE, SLGN, SKX, SXI, SCS, TJX, TOL, TDG, TZOO, VMI, VECO, VC, WEX, WOLF, WDAY, ITA, IYM, IYC, FTEC, FXL, BOTZ, ICF, IAT, IEV, IGV, MXI, IXN, EWO, EEM, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWM, EZA, EWD, EWT, THD, TUR, EWU, PJP, ROBO, XRT, XLK, XLU, UNG, VAW, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  39,986.28    
 Monthly S1  41,141.70  1,155.42   
 Weekly S2  41,191.90  50.20   
 Daily S2  41,679.16  487.26   
 Weekly S1  41,744.51  65.35   
 Low  41,844.89  100.38   
 Open  41,924.68  79.79   
 Daily S1  41,988.14  63.46   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  42,026.23  38.09   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily S1.
 50% Down from Intraday High  42,082.25  56.02   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  42,138.26  56.02   
 Daily Pivot  42,153.87  15.61   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  42,297.12  143.25   
 High  42,319.60  22.48   Yes! The High is close to the Close.
 Weekly Pivot  42,429.91  110.31   
 Daily R1  42,462.85  32.94   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 Daily R2  42,628.58  165.73   
 Weekly R1  42,982.52  353.94   
 Monthly Pivot  43,032.72  50.20   
 Weekly R2  43,667.92  635.20   
 Monthly R1  44,188.14  520.22   
 Monthly R2  46,079.16  1,891.02   

Monday 1/13/25. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Nasdaq on the daily scale.

The pattern highlighted in green is a broadening top. Those breakout upward 60% of the time, according to my book, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, 3rd Edition (#ad). After a throwback to the breakout price, the index continued rising. It more than met the measure rule target, which was the height of the pattern added to the top of it.

Now, we're in a down-sloping channel (A). The Nasdaq is holding its value much better than the Dow industrials. Maybe that's a small consolation to your wallet or purse.

You might consider this a long flag. I think the reason for the drop from the peak about a month ago is a strong economy, forcing the FED to delay dropping interest rates. I think the market's decline is overblown, so I'm looking for a reversal. However, I'm waiting to see what the market does in the next few days before I buy more.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Down 25.57 points.
Tuesday: Down 178.2 points.
Wednesday: Up 106.84 points.
Friday: Down 696.75 points.
Saturday: Holiday or other weird event!

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were down 793.68 points or 1.9%.
The Nasdaq composite was down 460.05 points or 2.3%.
The S&P 500 index was down 115.43 points or 1.9%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     2.7% down from the high of 43,115.31 on 01/06/2025.
     0.1% up from the low of 41,877.30 on 01/10/2025.
Nasdaq
     4.2% down from the high of 20,007.95 on 01/06/2025.
     0.8% up from the low of 19,018.75 on 01/10/2025.
S&P 500
     3.2% down from the high of 6,021.04 on 01/06/2025.
     0.3% up from the low of 5,807.79 on 01/10/2025.

Options Expiration

Many options expire this week, so traders will be looking to close out their positions, and that suggests increased volatility (large daily price swings).

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  41,456  41,697  42,119  42,360  42,782 
Weekly  41,072  41,505  42,310  42,743  43,548 
Monthly  39,867  40,903  42,913  43,949  45,960 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  5,759  5,793  5,842  5,876  5,924 
Weekly  5,672  5,750  5,885  5,963  6,099 
Monthly  5,619  5,723  5,912  6,015  6,204 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  18,869  19,015  19,165  19,312  19,462 
Weekly  18,407  18,784  19,396  19,773  20,385 
Monthly  18,276  18,719  19,462  19,905  20,647 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season will be starting in about 3 days.

Here's a symbol list of 144 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ADBE, AMD, AES, APD, ALRM, ALKS, ALL, AIG, AR, APOG, ADM, AGO, ADSK, AVNT, BIIB, BOOT, CACI, CALM, CNP, CINF, CLNE, CL, CMCO, CMTL, CTS, DVN, DFS, ^DJT, EIX, EOG, FDS, FIVN, GNW, GPN, GFS, GOOGL, THG, HTLD, HSII, HP, HUN, HURC, ILMN, IIIN, INTC, IPAR, TILE, IPG, KBH, KMB, KLIC, LRCX, LNC, RAMP, MGY, MRTN, MTDR, META, MU, MSFT, MUR, NFLX, NJR, OMCL, ON, ORCL, PKE, PAYX, PCTY, PCG, QTWO, RRC, RNG, RLI, RHI, ROG, CRM, SAND, SLB, SIGI, SRE, NOW, STR, SKX, SMAR, SR, SXI, SSYS, TFX, TG, UHAL, VLO, VEEV, VC, WAT, WEX, WOLF, XEL, IYC, IHE, IDU, FTEC, QTEC, FXI, ICF, IAT, IGV, IXN, ILF, IEO, EWK, EWZ, EEM, EWQ, EWH, EWJ, EWM, EZA, EWD, EWT, THD, IBB, DBA, PEJ, GLD, XLK, XLU, UNG, USO, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Internet1. Internet
2. E-Commerce2. Securities Brokerage
3. Natural Gas (Diversified)3. Insurance (Diversified)
4. Financial Services4. Retail (Special Lines)
5. Securities Brokerage5. Financial Services
6. Insurance (Diversified)6. E-Commerce
7. IT Services7. Furn/Home Furnishings
8. Medical Supplies8. Machinery
9. Furn/Home Furnishings9. Natural Gas (Diversified)
10. Retail (Special Lines)10. IT Services
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Petroleum (Producing)50. Chemical (Basic)
51. Chemical (Specialty)51. Petroleum (Integrated)
52. Homebuilding52. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
53. Medical Services53. Medical Services
54. Drug54. Semiconductor
55. Human Resources55. Drug
56. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment56. Petroleum (Producing)
57. Chemical (Basic)57. Short ETFs
58. Semiconductor58. Toiletries/Cosmetics
59. Semiconductor Cap Equip.59. Biotechnology
60. Biotechnology60. Semiconductor Cap Equip.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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Friday 1/10/25. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 4 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: HBI, ILMN, MU, NWL. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
AEISDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/20/202412/30/2024Semiconductor
AMDDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/20/202401/02/2025Semiconductor
ADouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202401/03/2025Precision Instrument
APOGHead-and-shoulders top      10/04/202411/25/2024Building Materials
AMATDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/20/202412/30/2024Semiconductor Cap Equip.
ADSKTriangle, descending      11/29/202401/07/2025Computer Software and Svcs
BERYDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/20/202412/30/2024Packaging and Container
BFHPipe top      12/09/202412/16/2024Information Services
BRDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/20/202412/30/2024Information Services
CNPTriple top      12/03/202412/20/2024Electric Utility (Central)
CRLDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202412/30/2024Biotechnology
CLNETriple bottom      12/20/202412/30/2024Natural Gas (Distributor)
CGNXDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/18/202412/30/2024Precision Instrument
GLWDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/18/202401/02/2025Telecom. Equipment
CROXRoof, inverted      12/04/202401/07/2025Shoe
ELVDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/19/202401/02/2025Medical Services
EMRHead-and-shoulders top      11/13/202412/13/2024Computers and Peripherals
FFIVDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/20/202401/02/2025Internet
FDSTriple top      11/14/202412/19/2024Information Services
FMCDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/19/202412/30/2024Chemical (Basic)
FNVDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      11/14/202412/20/2024Metals and Mining (Div.)
FCXDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202401/03/2025Metals and Mining (Div.)
GAPDouble Top, Adam and Eve      11/22/202412/09/2024Apparel
GILDTriple top      12/02/202412/26/2024Biotechnology
GOOGLDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/20/202401/02/2025Internet
HLITTriangle, ascending      12/12/202401/08/2025Telecom. Equipment
HETriple top      11/05/202412/09/2024Electric Utility (West)
HLDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/19/202412/30/2024Metals and Mining (Div.)
HONDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/12/202412/17/2024Aerospace/Defense
IDXXDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/20/202412/30/2024Drug
ILMNDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202401/02/2025Biotechnology
INCYDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202412/30/2024Drug
INTCHead-and-shoulders bottom      12/11/202412/30/2024Semiconductor
ISRGDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/20/202412/31/2024Medical Supplies
KEYSDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202401/02/2025Precision Instrument
KLACDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      11/19/202412/20/2024Semiconductor Cap Equip.
LHDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/19/202401/03/2025Medical Services
LDOSDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/20/202412/30/2024IT Services
LXUDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/25/202412/03/2024Building Materials
MTDRPipe bottom      12/16/202412/23/2024Petroleum (Producing)
MDTDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/19/202412/30/2024Medical Supplies
METADouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/20/202412/31/2024E-Commerce
MUDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/20/202412/31/2024Semiconductor
MOSHead-and-shoulders complex top      09/19/202412/13/2024Chemical (Diversified)
MLITriangle, symmetrical      12/05/202401/06/2025Metal Fabricating
MYGNDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/19/202412/30/2024Biotechnology
NFLXHead-and-shoulders top      12/06/202412/24/2024Internet
NVDAUgly double bottom      12/17/202412/31/2024Semiconductor
QCOMHead-and-shoulders bottom      11/20/202401/02/2025Telecom. Equipment
RMBSDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/20/202412/30/2024Semiconductor Cap Equip.
RGLDHead-and-shoulders bottom      12/23/202401/06/2025Metals and Mining (Div.)
SAICDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/19/202412/30/2024IT Services
SMTCRectangle top      11/27/202401/08/2025Semiconductor Cap Equip.
SHOPDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/20/202412/30/2024E-Commerce
SKXDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/20/202412/30/2024Shoe
SCCODouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202412/30/2024Metals and Mining (Div.)
SSYSDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/13/202412/13/2024Electronics
SRDXTriple top      12/11/202401/06/2025Medical Supplies
TGTUgly double bottom      11/20/202412/20/2024Retail Store
TECHDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202401/03/2025Biotechnology
TDCScallop, ascending and inverted      11/19/202401/03/2025Computer Software and Svcs
TMOHead-and-shoulders bottom      12/13/202412/30/2024Precision Instrument
TKRDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/20/202401/03/2025Metal Fabricating
WWDDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/20/202412/31/2024Precision Instrument

 

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Thursday 1/9/25. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq dropped by -0.1% or -10.8 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 650 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.8% on 359 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.9% on 291 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 55.2% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 286/514 or 55.6% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 83/171 or 48.5% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

At A, we see the shape of a chart pattern called a head-and-shoulders bottom. Depending on what you think is the right shoulder (and neckline), the pattern either confirmed as valid or it hasn't.

I think it might have confirmed. A closer look of the chart shows that it closed above the neckline today around 2:30. You can see that on the chart as a little nubbin above the red line to the lower right of A.

At B, we see a knot of congestion that I believe has acted as support. The pattern at A seems to be hung up at or near the price of B.

At C, is a small pattern with a few valleys bottoming near the same price level. This might act as overhead resistance to a move higher. It has already impeded upward movement today, but maybe the index can push through it going higher, Frday.

Alternatively, we might see the index plummet to tie the low price on the chart. My guess is the index will rise.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 141 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: AEIS, AMD, AES, ALRM, ALK, ALB, AA, ALKS, AMWD, ANIK, AR, APOG, ACGL, ADM, ATO, ADP, BSX, CE, CNC, CENX, CDAY, CINF, CSCO, CL, CMCO, CMTL, CAG, CXW, CRH, CSGS, CTS, XRAY, DFS, ^DJT, EBAY, EIX, ELV, EVH, EXC, EZPW, FIVN, GNW, GFS, GPRO, HBI, HE, HTLD, HL, HSII, JBHT, HUN, IDXX, ILMN, NSP, IIIN, PODD, TILE, IPG, JBLU, KBH, MAN, MU, MUR, ^IXIC, NJR, NWL, NKE, NWPX, NVDA, OMCL, ON, OMI, PKG, PANW, PKE, PCTY, PYPL, PPL, PEG, KWR, RNG, RLI, RCKY, ROG, R, SMG, SIGI, SRE, SMAR, SCCO, LUV, SR, SSYS, TJX, TSCO, TG, VC, WRB, WEX, WPM, WMB, WOLF, FTEC, QTEC, FXL, FXI, SOXX, EWO, EWH, EWM, EWD, EWL, EWT, TUR, PPA, PBE, ROBO, XRT, XLK, XLU, USO, SMH. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  18,513.36    
 Weekly S2  18,890.64  377.28   
 Monthly S1  18,996.12  105.48   
 Weekly S1  19,184.76  188.64   
 Daily S2  19,208.01  23.25   Yes! The Daily S2 is close to the Weekly S1.
 Low  19,308.54  100.53   
 Daily S1  19,343.45  34.91   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  19,398.68  55.23   
 Weekly Pivot  19,411.71  13.04   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 50% Down from Intraday High  19,426.52  14.81   Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 Daily Pivot  19,443.97  17.45   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  19,454.36  10.39   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 Open  19,469.36  15.00   Yes! The Open is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  19,478.88  9.52   Yes! The Close is close to the Open.
 High  19,544.50  65.62   
 Daily R1  19,579.41  34.91   
 Monthly Pivot  19,600.35  20.94   Yes! The Monthly Pivot is close to the Daily R1.
 Daily R2  19,679.93  79.58   
 Weekly R1  19,705.83  25.90   
 Weekly R2  19,932.78  226.95   
 Monthly R1  20,083.11  150.33   
 Monthly R2  20,687.34  604.23   

Wednesday 1/8/25. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

The indicator slid from neutral to bearish today (Tuesday). The chart shows the signals, where a red vertical bar is bearish and the white ones are neutral.

Notice that on the prior red bar, about 2 weeks ago, it took 3 days before the index made a new low. Will that happen again?

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

Here's the same chart without signal changes shown. A bearish CPI has a reading of 35 so this 34.6 tucked under that value.

Notice that the CPI line looks like a rising wedge pattern, where trendlines drawn along the peaks and valleys converge. A rising wedge has a downward breakout 60% of the time (in stocks, bull market).

What does this mean? I'd be cautious here and wait to see if the market begins a sustained retrace (move down).

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 179 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, MMM, ACIW, AMD, AES, ALRM, ALB, ALKS, ALL, AMZN, APOG, ANET, AGO, AVA, BFH, BCO, BLDR, BG, CALM, CX, CDAY, CIEN, CLNE, CLX, CNX, CL, CMCO, CMTL, CSGS, CTS, CW, DFS, EXP, EME, EXC, EZPW, FISV, FIVN, FCX, GFS, GPRO, HBI, THG, HLIT, HE, HQY, HTLD, HOLX, ILMN, INFN, IBKR, TILE, IPI, ISRG, JBLU, KALU, K, KSS, LZB, LH, LAMR, RAMP, LMT, LOW, MTSI, MAN, MCHX, MLM, MU, MS, ^IXIC, NWL, NOC, NWPX, NTNX, NVDA, OXY, OMCL, ASGN, ON, OXM, PATK, PCTY, PYPL, PG, PRU, PEG, PSTG, KWR, RMBS, RNG, RLI, RHI, ROG, RGLD, SAND, SCHW, SRE, SHOP, SLGN, SKX, SR, SXI, SSYS, SRDX, SNPS, TPR, TECH, TJX, TG, TREX, TWLO, UHAL, UNM, MDRX, VRSN, V, VC, WMT, WEX, WMB, XEL, ITA, IDU, FTEC, FDN, QTEC, FXL, FXI, BOTZ, QQQ, ICF, IXN, SOXX, EWO, EWK, EIS, EWD, EWL, EWT, THD, TUR, QLD, SSO, ROBO, XLK, XLU, SMH, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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Tuesday 1/7/25. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow dropped by -0.1% or -25.57 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 1403 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 733 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.7% on 670 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 52.2% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 298/549 or 54.3% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 57/120 or 47.5% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Verisign 2: VRSN stock.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 190 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ACIW, ADTN, AEIS, AES, APD, ALK, ALGT, ALL, AEE, AMWD, ANIK, APA, APOG, AMAT, ANET, AGO, BSET, BCO, BRKR, CALM, CLS, CX, CENX, CF, CVX, CHD, CSCO, CLNE, CLF, CNX, CL, CMTL, COP, CTS, DDS, DFS, D, EXP, EME, EMR, EFX, EL, EVH, EZPW, FFIV, FIS, FISV, FLEX, FMC, FTNT, FWRD, FNV, FCX, GNW, GFS, GL, GOOGL, GPRO, GGG, GFF, THG, HOV, HURC, ITW, INCY, NSP, INTC, KEYS, KLAC, KSS, LRCX, LEN, LLY, LMT, LXU, MHO, MTSI, M, MGY, MAN, MKTX, MTDR, MRK, MU, MS, NOVT, NTNX, NVDA, OXY, OTEX, OMI, OXM, PTEN, PYPL, PEN, PCG, PNW, PINC, PG, PRU, QCOM, RL, RMBS, RGS, ROG, RGLD, RES, R, ^GSPC, CRM, SAND, SRE, SMTC, SHOP, SKX, SR, SXI, SNPS, TDY, TER, TOL, TDG, TG, UGI, MDRX, VRSN, V, WU, WMB, WSM, WOLF, WWD, XEL, ZBRA, ITA, IAI, IYE, IHE, IDU, QTEC, FXL, FXI, BOTZ, ICF, IXN, ILF, SOXX, IEO, EWA, EWZ, EWC, ECH, EWH, EIS, EWJ, EWW, EPP, EWY, EWD, EWT, THD, TUR, PPA, DBA, PXJ, SSO, ROBO, XLE, XLF, SPY, XLU, UNG, USO, SMH. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  40,381.54    
 Monthly S1  41,544.05  1,162.51   
 Weekly S2  41,865.19  321.14   
 Weekly S1  42,285.88  420.68   
 Daily S2  42,306.86  20.98   Yes! The Daily S2 is close to the Weekly S1.
 Daily S1  42,506.71  199.85   
 Weekly Pivot  42,595.48  88.77   
 Low  42,611.16  15.68   Yes! The Low is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 Close  42,706.56  95.40   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  42,803.75  97.19   
 Daily Pivot  42,811.01  7.27   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 Open  42,835.52  24.51   Yes! The Open is close to the Daily Pivot.
 50% Down from Intraday High  42,863.23  27.71   Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Open.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  42,922.73  59.49   
 Daily R1  43,010.86  88.13   
 Weekly R1  43,016.17  5.31   Yes! The Weekly R1 is close to the Daily R1.
 High  43,115.31  99.14   
 Monthly Pivot  43,308.84  193.53   
 Daily R2  43,315.16  6.32   Yes! The Daily R2 is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 Weekly R2  43,325.77  10.61   Yes! The Weekly R2 is close to the Daily R2.
 Monthly R1  44,471.35  1,145.58   
 Monthly R2  46,236.14  1,764.79   

Monday 1/6/25. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Dow industrials on the daily scale.

I show the Dow industrials on the daily charts.

At AB, we see a nice image of an Adam & Adam double top. It confirms as a valid chart pattern when the index closes below the valley between the two peaks.

The drop that followed looks to have met the measure rule target. The target is the height of the pattern subtracted from the low between the two peaks.

I drew a horizontal red line across support in October and early November, just to show where the index might find support should it fall that far.

For grins, I drew another trendline along the peaks. Together, a pattern forms, called a broadening formation, right-angled and ascending. Yes, it's not ideal because of no bottom trendline touches after November. However, the top trendline has a number of spread out touches. This would be a better looking pattern if I chopped it off after the bottom November touch, but sometimes it helps to extended the trendlines.

If the index drops, look for it to bounce off the bottom trendline. I think it might rise from here and form a double bottom. I highlight those bottoms at CD.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Down 418.48 points.
Tuesday: Down 29.51 points.
Thursday: Down 151.95 points.
Friday: Up 339.86 points.
Saturday: Holiday or other weird event!

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were down 260.08 points or 0.6%.
The Nasdaq composite was down 100.35 points or 0.5%.
The S&P 500 index was down 28.37 points or 0.5%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     0.4% down from the high of 42,905.09 on 01/02/2025.
     1.3% up from the low of 42,174.80 on 01/02/2025.
Nasdaq
     0.1% down from the high of 19,638.66 on 01/03/2025.
     2.6% up from the low of 19,117.59 on 01/02/2025.
S&P 500
     0.1% down from the high of 5,949.34 on 01/03/2025.
     1.9% up from the low of 5,829.53 on 01/02/2025.

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  42,305  42,518  42,651  42,864  42,996 
Weekly  41,874  42,303  42,604  43,033  43,334 
Monthly  40,390  41,561  43,317  44,488  46,245 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  5,866  5,904  5,927  5,965  5,988 
Weekly  5,787  5,865  5,907  5,985  6,027 
Monthly  5,687  5,815  5,957  6,085  6,228 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  19,288  19,455  19,547  19,714  19,806 
Weekly  18,938  19,280  19,459  19,801  19,980 
Monthly  18,561  19,091  19,648  20,178  20,735 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season will be starting in about 10 days.

Here's a symbol list of 110 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ADBE, ALRM, ALB, AA, AEO, APA, APOG, ATR, BAH, BRKR, CACI, CX, COR, CENX, CTAS, CLF, CNX, CL, CXW, CSGS, EBAY, EVH, EZPW, FAST, FMC, IT, GL, GPRO, HTLD, HUBG, ITW, TILE, JAZZ, K, KELYA, KEYS, LHX, LDOS, MKTX, MTDR, MS, NTAP, JWN, NWPX, NUS, ORI, PATK, PRU, PHM, QCOM, RGS, RNG, ROG, R, SCHW, SIGI, SMAR, SCCO, LUV, SPSC, SSYS, SRDX, TRGP, TDC, TER, TXN, TMO, TJX, TOL, TSCO, TZOO, TREX, WERN, WSC, ZBRA, IYC, FXL, FXI, IXN, ILF, IYF, EWA, EWO, ECH, EIS, EWI, EWW, EPP, EZA, EWY, EWL, TUR, EWU, SSO, XLF, XRT, SPY, XLK. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Internet1. Internet
2. Securities Brokerage2. Securities Brokerage
3. Insurance (Diversified)3. E-Commerce
4. Retail (Special Lines)4. Financial Services
5. Financial Services5. Insurance (Diversified)
6. E-Commerce6. IT Services
7. Furn/Home Furnishings7. Retail (Special Lines)
8. Machinery8. Furn/Home Furnishings
9. Natural Gas (Diversified)9. Machinery
10. IT Services10. Computers and Peripherals
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Chemical (Basic)50. Human Resources
51. Petroleum (Integrated)51. Chemical (Basic)
52. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment52. Drug
53. Medical Services53. Medical Services
54. Semiconductor54. Short ETFs
55. Drug55. Petroleum (Integrated)
56. Petroleum (Producing)56. Petroleum (Producing)
57. Short ETFs57. Biotechnology
58. Toiletries/Cosmetics58. Toiletries/Cosmetics
59. Biotechnology59. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
60. Semiconductor Cap Equip.60. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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Friday 1/3/25. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 157 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: AYI, AFL, ALRM, ALGT, ALL, AEP, AFG, APH, ANIK, AON, APA, APOG, AAPL, ATR, ARCB, ASH, AIZ, AGO, BIIB, BRC, BCO, BBW, CBT, CPB, CE, CRL, CHKP, CHD, CI, CINF, CGNX, CL, GLW, CCK, CSGS, CTS, XRAY, DVN, FANG, DSGR, DOV, DTE, EL, EZPW, FDS, FAST, FRD, GME, GE, GGG, GES, HIG, HTLD, HP, HWM, HUBG, IEX, ITW, IPAR, TILE, KMT, LAMR, LDOS, LMT, M, MRTN, MTDR, META, MLKN, MUR, NFG, NTGR, NKE, NI, NWPX, NUS, NTNX, OUT, PKE, PTEN, PETS, PCG, POR, PPL, PG, PRU, RMBS, RHI, RCKY, ROG, RES, SAND, SCHW, SEE, SRE, SHW, SLGN, STR, SMAR, LUV, SWX, SCS, TDY, TER, TKR, TSCO, RIG, TZOO, TREX, UPS, VMI, WAT, WU, WLK, WWD, XEL, IYM, IYK, IYC, DDM, FXI, ICF, IGV, IEO, EWO, ECH, EWH, EIS, EWJ, EWM, EWY, THD, TUR, PXJ, SSO, XLP, XLB, XRT, UNG, USO, SMH, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
AEODouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/20/202412/30/2024Apparel
ARDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/06/202412/18/2024Natural Gas (Diversified)
APAPipe bottom      12/16/202412/23/2024Petroleum (Producing)
ARWBroadening top      11/25/202412/16/2024Electronics
CALMDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/23/202412/27/2024Food Processing
CFDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/20/202412/30/2024Chemical (Basic)
DSGRDouble Top, Eve and Eve      10/16/202411/11/2024Metal Fabricating
EPAMHead-and-shoulders top      11/25/202412/19/2024IT Services
EQTDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/10/202412/19/2024Natural Gas (Diversified)
FTVTriple top      11/25/202412/06/2024Industrial Services
GISTriangle, symmetrical      12/18/202401/02/2025Food Processing
LOWDouble Top, Eve and Adam      11/12/202412/09/2024Retail Building Supply
MPipe bottom      12/09/202412/16/2024Retail Store
MANHDouble Top, Eve and Adam      10/15/202412/12/2024IT Services
MOSDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/23/202412/30/2024Chemical (Diversified)
PENFalling wedge      12/09/202412/30/2024Medical Supplies
PSTGTriangle, symmetrical      12/05/202412/26/2024Computers and Peripherals
ROPTriple top      07/23/202412/04/2024Industrial Services
WDAYPipe top      12/09/202412/16/2024Computer Software and Svcs

 

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Thursday 1/2/25. 2025 Forecast Update

The Nasdaq dropped by -0.9% or -175.99 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 226 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 1.1% on 109 occasions.
     Average loss was -1.1% on 117 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close lower 51.8% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 286/514 or 55.6% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 82/170 or 48.2% of the time.

$ $ $

Here's the updated 2025 market forecast, presented in slider format.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 6 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: APA, EZPW, MTDR, ROG, TZOO, EWM. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  18,216.81    
 Monthly S1  18,763.80  546.99   
 Weekly S2  19,063.12  299.32   
 Daily S2  19,105.66  42.55   
 Weekly S1  19,186.95  81.29   
 Daily S1  19,208.23  21.27   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Weekly S1.
 Low  19,283.41  75.18   
 Close  19,310.79  27.38   Yes! The Close is close to the Low.
 Daily Pivot  19,385.97  75.18   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  19,390.49  4.52   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 50% Down from Intraday High  19,423.56  33.08   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  19,456.64  33.08   
 Monthly Pivot  19,484.19  27.55   Yes! The Monthly Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Daily R1  19,488.54  4.35   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 Open  19,551.36  62.82   
 High  19,563.72  12.36   Yes! The High is close to the Open.
 Weekly Pivot  19,628.52  64.80   
 Daily R2  19,666.28  37.77   
 Weekly R1  19,752.35  86.07   
 Monthly R1  20,031.18  278.83   
 Weekly R2  20,193.92  162.74   
 Monthly R2  20,751.57  557.65   

 

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