As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
|
 44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025 16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/20251,050 or 975 by 01/01/202520,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/20256,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025 |
As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
| |
|
44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/202516,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/20251,050 or 975 by 01/01/202520,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/20256,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025 | ||
My book,
Trading Basics
If you click on the above link and then buy the book (or anything) while at Amazon.com, the referral will help support this site. Thanks.
$ $ $
Divergence occurs when an indicator trends in one direction and price trends in another direction. Specifically, an indicator will make lower highs while price makes higher peaks, or the indicator will make higher valleys even as price tumbles to new lows.
Divergence is a reliable trading signal, but it's not timely, meaning that price usually follows the direction of the indicator, but it make take months before it does.
Bearish divergence (see adjacent chart) occurs when price makes a higher high but the indicator forms lower highs. The two data streams diverge in direction. Price will eventually, usually, follow the indicator lower.
| Characteristic | Discussion |
| Price trend | Upward forming higher peaks. |
| Indicator trend | Lower peaks. |
| One month | I found that the best divergence signals in the RSI and CCI indicators are when the peaks are spaced less than 2 months apart – 1 month apart is best (daily charts only). |
| Trends | Draw a trendline along the price peaks and it should slope upward. A trendline drawn along the indicator peaks should trend downward. Don't draw trendlines along the valleys when looking for bearish divergence. |
If the price trend is up, then look for divergence among the peaks, not the valleys. When you spot divergence, recognize that the price trend may change. This doesn't mean an immediate sale, but you should be ready to flee.
Bullish divergence (see adjacent chart) occurs when price makes a lower low but the indicator forms higher lows. The two data streams diverge in direction. Price will eventually, usually, follow the indicator higher.
| Characteristic | Discussion |
| Price trend | Downward forming lower valleys. |
| Indicator trend | Higher valleys. |
| One month | I found that the best divergence signals in the RSI and CCI indicators are when the valleys are spaced less than 2 months apart – 1 month apart is best (daily charts only). |
| Trends | Draw a trendline along the price valleys and the trendline should slope downward. A trendline drawn along the indicator valleys must slope upward. Don't draw trendlines along the peaks looking for bullish divergence. |
If the price trend is down, then look for divergence among the valleys, not the peaks. When you spot divergence, recognize that the price trend may change. This doesn't mean an immediate buy, but consider taking a position soon, especially if you receive other confirming signals.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
Support this site! Clicking any of the books (below) takes you to
Amazon.com If you buy ANYTHING while there, they pay for the referral.
Legal notice for paid links: "As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases."
|
My Stock Market Books
|
My Novels
|
Some people are alive only because it's illegal to kill them.
on 