Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 12/13/2024
  Indus: 43,828 -86.06 -0.2%  
  Trans: 16,711 -131.34 -0.8%  
  Utils: 1,004 +0.93 +0.1%  
  Nasdaq: 19,927 +23.88 +0.1%  
  S&P 500: 6,051 -0.16 0.0%  
YTD
 +16.3%  
 +5.1%  
 +13.8%  
 +32.7%  
 +26.9%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024  
  Down arrow43,350 or 45,000 by 01/01/2025
  Down arrow16,500 or 17,700 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 1,000 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
  Down arrow5,900 or 6,200 by 01/01/2025
As of 12/13/2024
  Indus: 43,828 -86.06 -0.2%  
  Trans: 16,711 -131.34 -0.8%  
  Utils: 1,004 +0.93 +0.1%  
  Nasdaq: 19,927 +23.88 +0.1%  
  S&P 500: 6,051 -0.16 0.0%  
YTD
 +16.3%  
 +5.1%  
 +13.8%  
 +32.7%  
 +26.9%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024  
  Down arrow43,350 or 45,000 by 01/01/2025
  Down arrow16,500 or 17,700 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 1,000 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
  Down arrow5,900 or 6,200 by 01/01/2025

December 2024 Headlines

Archives


Monday 12/16/24. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the S and P on the daily scale.

I show the S&P 500 index on the daily scale.

Two red lines hug price and they show an upward price channel.

There seemed to be a second trendline inside the channel. I show that as the green line. I thought it would split the channel in the middle but it slopes downward toward the lower red line.

I look for these types of lines because they often show support or resistance. That's clear as you look at the chart. Notice how the index touches each line and bounces off it (not always, though).

So what does all of this mean going forward? Hard to say. Because the index has dropped shy of the top red line, one could argue that it's a sign of weakness and that the index will drop. It has already started to do that.

It might find support at the green line. It looks to me that the index will continue lower for a time. Eventually, though, I expect to see it make a new high.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Down 240.59 points.
Tuesday: Down 154.1 points.
Wednesday: Down 99.27 points.
Thursday: Down 234.44 points.
Friday: Down 86.06 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were down 814.46 points or 1.8%.
The Nasdaq composite was up 66.95 points or 0.3%.
The S&P 500 index was down 39.18 points or 0.6%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     2.8% down from the high of 45,073.63 on 12/04/2024.
     18.1% up from the low of 37,122.95 on 01/18/2024.
Nasdaq
     0.7% down from the high of 20,061.65 on 12/13/2024.
     37.6% up from the low of 14,477.57 on 01/05/2024.
S&P 500
     0.8% down from the high of 6,099.97 on 12/06/2024.
     29.2% up from the low of 4,682.11 on 01/05/2024.

Options Expiration

Many options expire this week, so traders will be looking to close out their positions, and that suggests increased volatility (large daily price swings).

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  43,627  43,728  43,891  43,991  44,155 
Weekly  43,178  43,503  44,116  44,441  45,054 
Monthly  41,812  42,820  43,947  44,955  46,082 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  6,012  6,032  6,055  6,075  6,098 
Weekly  5,995  6,023  6,058  6,086  6,121 
Monthly  5,754  5,903  6,001  6,150  6,248 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  19,691  19,809  19,935  20,053  20,179 
Weekly  19,456  19,691  19,877  20,112  20,297 
Monthly  18,065  18,996  19,529  20,460  20,993 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is over.

Mutual funds will begin dividend distributions and rebalancing their portfolios for the approaching year end (starts in late November).

Here's a symbol list of 132 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: AXDX, ACN, ADBE, AMD, ALB, ALGT, AEO, AXP, APH, ARCB, ANET, ASH, AVNT, AVA, AZTA, BZH, BERY, BIO, BOOT, CBT, CNP, CENX, CLNE, CLF, CMTL, XRAY, DSGR, ECL, EMR, EXPI, XOM, FCX, GME, GMS, HLIT, HL, HSIC, DHI, HUN, ILMN, IBP, KALU, KBH, KEYS, LEG, LMT, MTRN, MU, MLKN, MS, MOS, NOV, NTAP, NWPX, NVDA, ORI, OLN, OMI, PANW, PATK, PCTY, PETS, PLXS, PHM, DGX, REGN, RGS, ROK, CRM, SAND, SCHW, SMG, SEIC, SKYW, SCCO, LUV, SWX, SR, SSYS, SRDX, TDOC, TER, TEVA, TOL, RIG, UGI, UNM, VMI, WDAY, IYM, IYK, IYC, IYE, FXL, BOTZ, ICF, IEV, MXI, IXN, SLV, IEO, ITB, EWA, EIS, EWJ, EPP, THD, TUR, PBE, PEJ, PJP, PHO, ROBO, XLE, GLD, XHB, XLB, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Internet1. IT Services
2. E-Commerce2. Internet
3. IT Services3. E-Commerce
4. Securities Brokerage4. Insurance (Diversified)
5. Financial Services5. Securities Brokerage
6. Insurance (Diversified)6. Machinery
7. Machinery7. Computers and Peripherals
8. Furn/Home Furnishings8. Furn/Home Furnishings
9. Investment Co. (Domestic)9. Financial Services
10. Natural Gas (Diversified)10. Natural Gas (Diversified)
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment50. Semiconductor
51. Chemical (Basic)51. Chemical (Basic)
52. Human Resources52. Petroleum (Integrated)
53. Toiletries/Cosmetics53. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
54. Semiconductor54. Medical Services
55. Drug55. Human Resources
56. Petroleum (Producing)56. Biotechnology
57. Medical Services57. Petroleum (Producing)
58. Biotechnology58. Toiletries/Cosmetics
59. Short ETFs59. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
60. Semiconductor Cap Equip.60. Short ETFs

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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Friday 12/13/24. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 102 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: AYI, ADBE, AEO, AFG, AIG, AMWD, AMN, AR, ARCB, ASH, AVA, BCPC, BSET, BRC, CACI, CNC, CENX, CIEN, CI, CLNE, CLF, COTY, DFS, ECL, EFX, FARO, FIS, GME, IT, GPN, GES, DHI, HWM, IBP, IIIN, IPG, INTU, KALU, KELYA, KFRC, KSS, LZB, LEN, LLY, LMT, L, MTRN, MGEE, NFG, NI, OUT, OMI, PDCO, PAYX, PETS, PPG, ROK, SKYW, SMAR, LUV, SWX, SXI, TDOC, TPX, TEVA, TRV, UGI, UPS, VMC, WMT, WDAY, ZBRA, ITA, IYM, IYC, IHE, IYH, MXI, IEO, ITB, EWA, EWK, EWH, EWI, EWM, EPP, EWP, TUR, PPA, PBE, PHO, XHB, XLB, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
DDDDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      11/14/202412/03/2024Electronics
ABTHead-and-shoulders top      10/18/202411/27/2024Medical Supplies
ANFHead-and-shoulders top      11/25/202412/04/2024Apparel
ALBTriangle, ascending      11/11/202412/03/2024Chemical (Diversified)
AADouble Top, Adam and Eve      11/07/202411/26/2024Aerospace/Defense
ARWPipe bottom      11/11/202411/18/2024Electronics
AGODouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/12/202411/25/2024Insurance (Life)
AVNTDouble Top, Adam and Eve      11/06/202411/25/2024Chemical (Specialty)
BRCUgly double bottom      11/18/202412/03/2024Chemical (Diversified)
CORDouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/11/202411/29/2024Biotechnology
CIHorn top      09/03/202409/16/2024Medical Services
CTASDouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/11/202411/26/2024Industrial Services
CLXDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/22/202412/06/2024Household Products
CRHDouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/27/202412/05/2024Cement and Aggregates
XRAYUgly double bottom      11/08/202412/10/2024Medical Supplies
EXPBroadening top      10/07/202412/10/2024Cement and Aggregates
ECLMulti-peaks      08/26/202412/12/2024Chemical (Specialty)
FASTDouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/11/202411/27/2024Retail Building Supply
GPROUgly double bottom      11/20/202412/05/2024Electronics
HETriangle, ascending      11/05/202412/09/2024Electric Utility (West)
HLHead-and-shoulders bottom      11/12/202412/06/2024Metals and Mining (Div.)
HDDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/26/202412/09/2024Retail Building Supply
IDXXDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      10/31/202411/21/2024Drug
ILMNUgly double bottom      11/19/202412/04/2024Biotechnology
INCYDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/27/202412/06/2024Drug
JKHYDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      11/20/202412/05/2024IT Services
KALUTriple top      11/25/202412/09/2024Metals and Mining (Div.)
LANCDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      11/19/202412/06/2024Food Processing
LENDouble Top, Adam and Eve      11/05/202411/25/2024Homebuilding
LXUTriangle, symmetrical      10/10/202412/12/2024Building Materials
MLMHead-and-shoulders top      10/30/202411/25/2024Cement and Aggregates
MASDouble Top, Adam and Eve      11/25/202412/09/2024Building Materials
NOVTriple top      11/06/202411/25/2024Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
NEUTriangle, descending      11/19/202412/12/2024Chemical (Specialty)
ORCLBroadening top      11/11/202412/09/2024Computer Software and Svcs
OXMDouble Top, Adam and Adam      12/02/202412/11/2024Apparel
PETSHorn bottom      11/18/202412/02/2024Medical Services
PCGBroadening top      10/15/202412/11/2024Electric Utility (West)
PFGDouble Top, Eve and Adam      11/11/202411/27/2024Insurance (Diversified)
RHITriangle, symmetrical      11/13/202412/12/2024Human Resources
RCKYTriangle, ascending      11/12/202412/09/2024Shoe
RGLDDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      11/26/202412/06/2024Metals and Mining (Div.)
SANDBroadening top, right-angled and ascending      11/22/202412/12/2024Metals and Mining (Div.)
SXITriangle, ascending      11/11/202412/12/2024Diversified Co.
TECHPipe bottom      11/11/202411/18/2024Biotechnology
TDOCPipe top      11/25/202412/02/2024Healthcare Information
UISDouble Top, Eve and Adam      11/08/202412/05/2024Computers and Peripherals
UNHDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/11/202412/04/2024Medical Services
VMIDouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/06/202411/27/2024Metal Fabricating

 

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Thursday 12/12/24. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq climbed by 1.8% or 347.65 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 68 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 1.1% on 39 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.8% on 29 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 57.4% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 286/512 or 55.9% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 81/169 or 47.9% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

I drew the trendline as a "best fit" line. That means at A, I sliced through prices, despite how loudly they yelled. Smile

At B, we see weakness in the indices taking stock lower.

At C, the index has climbed up to the trendline...and hit resistance. Ouch! Of course, if you look back to Monday and Tuesday, the index also touched the trendline and turned down. Will this third touch be the one to see price pierce resistance?

We already know the answer (No). The index is heading lower, but it could try again on Thursday.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 150 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABM, ACN, ADBE, AA, DOX, AEO, APH, AR, AAPL, ATR, ARCB, ASH, ATO, AXS, BZH, BKH, BA, BRC, BCO, CACI, CAL, CENX, CHD, CI, CLX, CNO, COTY, CCRN, CMI, XRAY, DFS, ^DJU, ^DJT, D, BOOM, EME, EFX, EG, EVH, EXPD, FDS, FNV, GME, GE, GIS, HIG, HOV, HUBG, NSP, IBKR, IPG, IPI, JBLU, KBH, KEYS, KFRC, KMB, KSS, LHX, LZB, LH, LEG, LEN, LMT, MHO, MCHX, MCO, MLI, NFLX, NTGR, NOC, NUS, NVDA, OLN, PANW, PKE, PDCO, PCTY, PYPL, PETS, PFE, PPL, PEG, ^GSPC, SAND, SAIC, SKYW, SSYS, SRDX, TGT, TDOC, TOL, UGI, UPS, V, VMC, WSO, WU, WLK, WWD, WDAY, XEL, IYM, IYK, IYC, IHE, FTEC, FXL, FXI, BOTZ, ICF, IYH, IEV, IXN, ITB, EWK, EWQ, EWH, EWJ, EZA, EWY, EWP, EWD, EWL, EWT, TUR, EWU, PPA, PXJ, PJP, SSO, XLP, GLD, XLB, SPY, XLK, XLU, USO, SMH. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  17,586.64    
 Monthly S1  18,810.77  1,224.12   
 Weekly S2  19,110.10  299.33   
 Monthly Pivot  19,336.95  226.86   
 Weekly S1  19,572.49  235.54   
 Weekly Pivot  19,717.82  145.32   
 Daily S2  19,748.53  30.71   
 Low  19,830.64  82.11   
 Open  19,832.96  2.32   Yes! The Open is close to the Low.
 Daily S1  19,891.71  58.75   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  19,916.70  24.99   
 50% Down from Intraday High  19,943.29  26.58   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  19,969.87  26.58   
 Daily Pivot  19,973.82  3.95   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  20,034.89  61.07   
 High  20,055.93  21.04   Yes! The High is close to the Close.
 Daily R1  20,117.00  61.07   
 Weekly R1  20,180.21  63.21   
 Daily R2  20,199.11  18.90   Yes! The Daily R2 is close to the Weekly R1.
 Weekly R2  20,325.54  126.43   
 Monthly R1  20,561.08  235.54   
 Monthly R2  21,087.26  526.19   

Wednesday 12/11/24. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

The CPI turned bearish about a week ago, according to this chart. The date of the signal changing is complicated because it can change for up to a week. That means a signal that didn't happen in real time a week ago, suddenly appears as if it signaled back then.

If you don't understand that, it's fine. Regardless, the CPI is bearish and it suggests the markets are going down. Indeed, we see the index rounding over and heading lower.

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is the same chart as the prior one except I removed the signal changes. You can see that the CPI peaked about two weeks ago and has been heading lower since.

It moved from bullish to neutral to bearish even as the index climbed for most of that period.

A read of 35 is neutral, so this is bearish at 10.3. With the CPI that low, it usually doesn't stay down long, so maybe we can expect a rebound soon. Of course, 10.3 isn't zero, so look for more weakness before that rebound.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 133 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACN, AMD, AFL, ALKS, AEO, AMWD, AMN, AON, AAPL, ATR, ARCB, ACGL, ADM, ANET, ASH, AIZ, BCPC, BALL, BBY, BOOT, BG, CRL, CVX, CNA, CNO, CL, CXW, CCK, DVN, ^DJU, D, DUK, BOOM, EMN, EG, FDS, FIS, FORM, FWRD, GME, GAP, GE, GIS, GILD, GPN, GL, GOOGL, GPRO, THG, HIG, IPI, ISRG, JNJ, KEYS, KLAC, LRCX, LAMR, LEG, LLY, RAMP, LMT, MTSI, MCHX, MLM, MTDR, MRK, MU, MUR, NOV, NTGR, NEU, NEE, ON, PDCO, PCTY, PETS, PFE, POR, PPL, PEG, QCOM, RLI, RHI, ROL, SAIC, NOW, SHOP, SLGN, SKYW, SMAR, SRDX, TDOC, TDY, TER, TOL, RIG, TWLO, UHAL, UGI, UIS, VFC, VECO, WSC, WDAY, IYM, IAI, IYK, IYC, IHE, FDN, ICF, IYH, IGV, SOXX, ITB, EWJ, EWW, THD, TUR, DBA, XLP, GLD, XLV, XHB, XLB, XLU, VHT. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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Tuesday 12/10/24. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow dropped by -0.5% or -240.59 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 805 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.7% on 409 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.8% on 396 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 50.8% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 297/547 or 54.3% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 55/118 or 46.6% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Vulcan materials: VMC stock.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 160 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, AXDX, ACIW, ADBE, AMD, AFL, AKAM, ALK, AA, ALKS, AXP, AR, AON, APA, AAPL, ATR, ACGL, ANET, ASH, AIZ, BCPC, BIO, BOOT, BRKR, CAL, CX, CVX, CHD, CLF, CMCO, CMTL, CW, D, BOOM, EQT, EL, XOM, FDS, FICO, FIVN, FMC, FTNT, FTV, FCX, GME, GAP, GPN, GFS, GFF, GES, HQY, HL, HSII, HWM, IDXX, INCY, INFN, IIIN, IBKR, IPG, ISRG, KELYA, LHX, LANC, LMT, LPLA, LXU, MTSI, MGY, MCHX, MRTN, MA, MDT, MRK, NTGR, NWL, NEU, NWPX, NTNX, ORI, OTEX, OR, OMI, PANW, PAYX, PCTY, POR, PFG, RL, RRC, RTX, ROL, RGLD, RES, CRM, SBH, SAND, SLB, SHOP, SCCO, TDOC, TDY, TKR, RIG, TWLO, UHAL, VEEV, VRSN, VRTX, V, WSC, WOLF, WDAY, IAI, IYK, IYC, IEZ, FDN, FXI, IYZ, IGV, MXI, ILF, EWA, EWO, EWZ, ECH, EEM, EWH, EIS, EWM, EPP, EZA, EWY, EWP, TUR, PEJ, PHO, ROBO, XLP, XHB, UNG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  40,280.89    
 Monthly S1  42,341.41  2,060.52   
 Monthly Pivot  43,707.52  1,366.11   
 Daily S2  44,158.74  451.22   
 Weekly S2  44,184.60  25.86   Yes! The Weekly S2 is close to the Daily S2.
 Daily S1  44,280.34  95.74   
 Weekly S1  44,293.26  12.93   Yes! The Weekly S1 is close to the Daily S1.
 Low  44,382.83  89.57   
 Close  44,401.93  19.10   Yes! The Close is close to the Low.
 Daily Pivot  44,504.42  102.49   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  44,514.88  10.46   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 50% Down from Intraday High  44,555.67  40.79   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  44,596.46  40.79   
 Daily R1  44,626.02  29.55   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Open  44,637.97  11.95   Yes! The Open is close to the Daily R1.
 Weekly Pivot  44,683.45  45.48   
 High  44,728.51  45.07   
 Weekly R1  44,792.11  63.60   
 Daily R2  44,850.10  57.99   
 Weekly R2  45,182.30  332.20   
 Monthly R1  45,768.04  585.74   
 Monthly R2  47,134.15  1,366.11   

Tuesday 12/10/24. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow dropped by -0.5% or -240.59 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 805 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.7% on 409 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.8% on 396 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 50.8% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 297/547 or 54.3% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 55/118 or 46.6% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Vulcan materials: VMC stock.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 160 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, AXDX, ACIW, ADBE, AMD, AFL, AKAM, ALK, AA, ALKS, AXP, AR, AON, APA, AAPL, ATR, ACGL, ANET, ASH, AIZ, BCPC, BIO, BOOT, BRKR, CAL, CX, CVX, CHD, CLF, CMCO, CMTL, CW, D, BOOM, EQT, EL, XOM, FDS, FICO, FIVN, FMC, FTNT, FTV, FCX, GME, GAP, GPN, GFS, GFF, GES, HQY, HL, HSII, HWM, IDXX, INCY, INFN, IIIN, IBKR, IPG, ISRG, KELYA, LHX, LANC, LMT, LPLA, LXU, MTSI, MGY, MCHX, MRTN, MA, MDT, MRK, NTGR, NWL, NEU, NWPX, NTNX, ORI, OTEX, OR, OMI, PANW, PAYX, PCTY, POR, PFG, RL, RRC, RTX, ROL, RGLD, RES, CRM, SBH, SAND, SLB, SHOP, SCCO, TDOC, TDY, TKR, RIG, TWLO, UHAL, VEEV, VRSN, VRTX, V, WSC, WOLF, WDAY, IAI, IYK, IYC, IEZ, FDN, FXI, IYZ, IGV, MXI, ILF, EWA, EWO, EWZ, ECH, EEM, EWH, EIS, EWM, EPP, EZA, EWY, EWP, TUR, PEJ, PHO, ROBO, XLP, XHB, UNG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  40,280.89    
 Monthly S1  42,341.41  2,060.52   
 Monthly Pivot  43,707.52  1,366.11   
 Daily S2  44,158.74  451.22   
 Weekly S2  44,184.60  25.86   Yes! The Weekly S2 is close to the Daily S2.
 Daily S1  44,280.34  95.74   
 Weekly S1  44,293.26  12.93   Yes! The Weekly S1 is close to the Daily S1.
 Low  44,382.83  89.57   
 Close  44,401.93  19.10   Yes! The Close is close to the Low.
 Daily Pivot  44,504.42  102.49   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  44,514.88  10.46   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 50% Down from Intraday High  44,555.67  40.79   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  44,596.46  40.79   
 Daily R1  44,626.02  29.55   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Open  44,637.97  11.95   Yes! The Open is close to the Daily R1.
 Weekly Pivot  44,683.45  45.48   
 High  44,728.51  45.07   
 Weekly R1  44,792.11  63.60   
 Daily R2  44,850.10  57.99   
 Weekly R2  45,182.30  332.20   
 Monthly R1  45,768.04  585.74   
 Monthly R2  47,134.15  1,366.11   

Monday 12/9/24. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Nasdaq on the daily scale.

There's not a lot to see on the chart, but I have some thoughts.

The chart is on the daily scale of the Nasdaq composite.

The BA combination forms an up-sloping channel. When the index soars above the top of the channel, it broke the shape of the channel.

The index returned to the channel but the lows had curved upward in an exponential race higher, at C. The two red lines narrow in a sort of rising wedge move upward.

Because the index has made such a sharp turn upward, the slope of the move is too steep to continue much longer. Indeed, the CPI has turned bearish, suggesting a bearish retrace is coming.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Down 128.65 points.
Tuesday: Down 76.47 points.
Wednesday: Up 308.51 points.
Thursday: Down 248.33 points.
Friday: Down 123.19 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were down 268.13 points or 0.6%.
The Nasdaq composite was up 641.6 points or 3.3%.
The S&P 500 index was up 57.89 points or 1.0%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     1.0% down from the high of 45,073.63 on 12/04/2024.
     20.3% up from the low of 37,122.95 on 01/18/2024.
Nasdaq
     0.0% down from the high of 19,863.14 on 12/06/2024.
     37.2% up from the low of 14,477.57 on 01/05/2024.
S&P 500
     0.2% down from the high of 6,099.97 on 12/06/2024.
     30.1% up from the low of 4,682.11 on 01/05/2024.

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  44,394  44,518  44,721  44,845  45,048 
Weekly  44,265  44,454  44,764  44,953  45,262 
Monthly  40,361  42,502  43,788  45,928  47,214 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  6,070  6,080  6,090  6,100  6,110 
Weekly  6,008  6,049  6,075  6,116  6,141 
Monthly  5,559  5,825  5,962  6,228  6,366 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  19,690  19,775  19,819  19,904  19,948 
Weekly  19,052  19,456  19,659  20,063  20,267 
Monthly  17,528  18,694  19,279  20,444  21,029 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is over.

Mutual funds will begin dividend distributions and rebalancing their portfolios for the approaching year end (starts in late November).

Here's a symbol list of 173 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACN, ADBE, AFL, ALK, AA, AFG, AR, APA, APOG, AAPL, ADM, AWI, BALL, BIO, BOOT, BAH, BRC, BCO, CX, CNP, CIEN, CLNE, CNA, CNO, CL, CAG, CSGP, COST, DVN, DSGR, ^DJI, D, DTE, BOOM, EXP, ECL, EIX, EPAM, EFX, EQT, EVRG, EXPD, XOM, EZPW, FFIV, FDS, FMC, FTV, FDP, GME, GIS, GPRO, HBI, HSII, HWM, IDXX, ITW, IPAR, IPG, JAZZ, LANC, LDOS, LMT, LOW, M, MGY, MCHX, MTDR, MTRX, MGEE, MOS, MUR, NOV, NTGR, NWL, NWPX, NTNX, OGE, ORI, OLN, OTEX, OMI, PKG, PTEN, PETS, PFE, PNW, POR, DGX, RL, RNG, RCKY, ROG, ROL, RGLD, RES, SAND, SLB, SAIC, SEIC, SRE, SHOP, SLGN, SNPS, TGT, TDY, TPX, TSCO, RIG, TREX, UIS, UNH, VLO, VMI, VEEV, MDRX, VRSN, VC, WU, IYM, IYC, IEZ, FXI, ICF, IYH, IHF, IXN, IEO, EWA, EWK, EEM, EWQ, EPP, EWY, EWP, THD, TUR, EWU, DBA, XLY, XLP, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLU, UNG, VIS, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. IT Services1. IT Services
2. Internet2. Internet
3. E-Commerce3. Insurance (Diversified)
4. Insurance (Diversified)4. E-Commerce
5. Securities Brokerage5. Securities Brokerage
6. Machinery6. Trucking/Transp. Leasing
7. Computers and Peripherals7. Natural Gas (Diversified)
8. Furn/Home Furnishings8. Financial Services
9. Financial Services9. Machinery
10. Natural Gas (Diversified)10. Homebuilding
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Semiconductor50. Chemical (Basic)
51. Chemical (Basic)51. Drug
52. Petroleum (Integrated)52. Semiconductor
53. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment53. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
54. Medical Services54. Biotechnology
55. Human Resources55. Shoe
56. Biotechnology56. Human Resources
57. Petroleum (Producing)57. Petroleum (Producing)
58. Toiletries/Cosmetics58. Toiletries/Cosmetics
59. Semiconductor Cap Equip.59. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
60. Short ETFs60. Short ETFs

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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Friday 12/6/24. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 155 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ABT, AXDX, ADTN, AKAM, ALK, ALKS, AMWD, AR, APOG, AAPL, AMAT, ATR, ADM, ANET, AWI, ARW, ATO, AVA, BALL, BIO, BIIB, BOOT, BMY, BBW, CBT, CAL, CPB, CE, CNP, CF, CLX, ED, GLW, CCK, DDS, ^DJI, DOV, BOOM, EQT, EG, EZPW, FDX, FISV, FMC, FTNT, FWRD, GME, GFS, HSII, HELE, HSIC, HON, DHI, JBHT, ITW, IBP, INTC, IPAR, JNJ, KFRC, KLIC, LZB, LRCX, LDOS, LEN, LNC, M, MGY, MTRX, MRCY, META, MSFT, NOVT, ORCL, OR, OMI, PDCO, PTEN, PCTY, PHM, DGX, RNG, RCKY, ROG, ROL, R, SAND, SLB, SAIC, SIGI, STR, LUV, SPSC, TECH, TDY, TPX, TOL, TSCO, RIG, TWLO, UIS, UNH, VECO, VC, WU, WOLF, ZBRA, ITA, IYM, IAI, IYC, QTEC, FXL, IHF, IEV, MXI, IXN, ILF, ITB, EWO, EWZ, ECH, EEM, EWQ, EWG, EIS, EWI, EWM, EWS, EZA, EWP, EWD, THD, TUR, EWU, PEJ, PHO, XLI, XLB, UNG, VHT, VIS, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

I released a pattern called the 3DC, which is a three-day trend compression pattern. Yes, it's a stinker.

You can find a list of small patterns and their rank here. The page is still under construction with more patterns to come but the results are worth looking at if you like using short patterns (up to 7 price bars long).

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
AMWDDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/11/202411/25/2024Building Materials
ASHDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/25/202412/02/2024Chemical (Basic)
BALLDouble Top, Adam and Eve      11/14/202411/27/2024Packaging and Container
BAPipe bottom      11/11/202411/18/2024Aerospace/Defense
BRKRPipe bottom      11/11/202411/18/2024Precision Instrument
CBTDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/25/202412/04/2024Chemical (Diversified)
CALDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/25/202412/04/2024Shoe
CHDDouble Top, Eve and Adam      11/22/202412/02/2024Household Products
CCRNPipe bottom      11/11/202411/18/2024Human Resources
FANGDouble Top, Adam and Eve      11/06/202411/22/2024Petroleum (Producing)
EMETriangle, symmetrical      11/14/202412/04/2024Industrial Services
FICOTriangle, ascending      11/13/202412/05/2024IT Services
GMSHead-and-shoulders top      11/12/202412/04/2024Cement and Aggregates
HLITUgly double bottom      10/29/202411/19/2024Telecom. Equipment
HUNTriple bottom      11/14/202411/26/2024Chemical (Specialty)
IDADouble Top, Adam and Eve      11/13/202411/25/2024Electric Utility (West)
IRMDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      11/06/202411/15/2024Industrial Services
MBroadening top      10/17/202412/02/2024Retail Store
MGYPipe top      11/18/202411/25/2024Petroleum (Producing)
MKTXDouble Top, Eve and Eve      10/18/202410/30/2024Securities Brokerage
MTRNDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/25/202412/03/2024Metals and Mining (Div.)
MOSTriple bottom      11/12/202411/26/2024Chemical (Diversified)
MURTriple top      11/12/202411/25/2024Petroleum (Integrated)
NBRPipe top      11/04/202411/11/2024Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
NWLDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      11/05/202411/18/2024Household Products
OXYHead-and-shoulders top      11/06/202411/22/2024Petroleum (Producing)
OLNDouble Top, Adam and Eve      11/25/202412/02/2024Chemical (Basic)
ONDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/25/202412/02/2024Semiconductor
OMIDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      11/05/202411/21/2024Medical Supplies
PETSDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      11/19/202412/02/2024Medical Services
PINCDouble Top, Eve and Adam      11/06/202411/25/2024Healthcare Information
RTXTriangle, descending      11/05/202412/04/2024Aerospace/Defense
RGADouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/15/202411/25/2024Insurance (Life)
SLBDouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/12/202411/25/2024Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
STRDouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/12/202411/21/2024Natural Gas (Diversified)
SOHead-and-shoulders top      09/05/202411/27/2024Electric Utility (East)
SRDXRising wedge      10/25/202412/05/2024Medical Supplies
TDOCDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/25/202412/02/2024Healthcare Information
TERDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      11/05/202411/20/2024Semiconductor Cap Equip.
TEVADouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      11/15/202411/29/2024Drug

 

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Thursday 12/5/24. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq climbed by 1.3% or 254.21 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 173 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.9% on 111 occasions.
     Average loss was -1.3% on 62 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 64.2% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 286/511 or 56.0% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 81/169 or 47.9% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

The measure rule for trendlines says that the move down (B) will mirror the move up (A). You can flip that around, and it suggests the rise at A will precede a fall to B. In this case, notice that B is taller than A. The move from C to the trendline better aligns with what we see at B.

The rise at D says something else about the trend. It is gaining momentum. I think that applies to lines drawn using linear regression (a way to draw a line between points so they are all have a minimum distance from the line). I did not use linear regression on this chart. When price rises above the line, momentum is increasing. When it's heading toward the line, momentum is falling.

If we use the measure rule, then look for the index to drop below the line by about 200 points.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 164 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, ANF, AXDX, ADBE, AES, ATSG, ALRM, AMZN, AMED, AMWD, AMN, APH, AR, AAPL, AMAT, ADM, ATO, BBY, BIO, BKNG, BRKR, CBT, CDNS, CPB, CE, CLS, CX, CF, CI, ED, COTY, CR, CCRN, CCK, BOOM, ECL, ELV, EQT, EG, XOM, FIS, FTNT, GME, GIS, GFS, GL, GOOGL, HL, HSII, HUBG, IBP, INTC, IPI, JBLU, JNJ, KLIC, LZB, LH, LDOS, LLY, LMT, MTSI, MGY, META, MSFT, MYGN, ^IXIC, NOV, NWL, OLN, OMC, PANW, PDCO, PYPL, PETS, PFE, PLXS, PINC, PHM, PSTG, RMBS, RTX, RNG, ROL, ROP, ^GSPC, SLB, SEIC, STR, SMAR, LUV, SPSC, SNPS, TECH, TOL, TDG, RIG, TWLO, UIS, VLO, VMI, MDRX, WEX, WSC, WOLF, WWD, IYK, IYC, FTEC, FDN, QTEC, FXL, FXI, BOTZ, QQQ, IYZ, IGV, IXN, SOXX, EWO, EEM, EWG, EWH, EWI, EZA, EWP, EWD, EWT, TUR, QLD, DBA, PXJ, SSO, ROBO, XLY, XLF, XRT, SPY, XLK, UNG, USO, SMH, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  17,779.59    
 Monthly S1  18,757.36  977.76   
 Weekly S2  18,997.65  240.29   
 Monthly Pivot  19,061.71  64.07   
 Weekly Pivot  19,305.94  244.22   
 Weekly S1  19,366.38  60.45   
 Daily S2  19,517.73  151.35   
 Low  19,575.40  57.67   
 Open  19,587.48  12.08   Yes! The Open is close to the Low.
 Weekly R2  19,614.23  26.75   
 Daily S1  19,626.43  12.20   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Weekly R2.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  19,638.95  12.52   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily S1.
 50% Down from Intraday High  19,658.58  19.63   
 Weekly R1  19,674.67  16.09   Yes! The Weekly R1 is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  19,678.21  3.54   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Weekly R1.
 Daily Pivot  19,684.09  5.88   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  19,735.12  51.03   
 High  19,741.76  6.64   Yes! The High is close to the Close.
 Daily R1  19,792.79  51.03   
 Daily R2  19,850.45  57.67   
 Monthly R1  20,039.48  189.02   
 Monthly R2  20,343.83  304.36   

Wednesday 12/4/24. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

The most recent signal is green, which is bullish. There's no change from last week except that the thin blue indicator line has rounded over and is heading lower.

Look at the index. It continues to rise even as the indicator drops. Uh-oh. That's bearish divergence. It suggests, but does not guarantee, that the index will follow the CPI lower.

I recently switched my targets (top of page) from up to down, based on weakness I saw in the price trend. I think it'll be a short retrace before a resumption of the upward move, but today's CPI chart seems to confirm my reasoning of a weakening general market.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 150 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ABT, AXDX, ACN, ACIW, ATSG, ALB, AR, ADM, ASH, ADP, AVNT, AVA, BBY, BAH, BCO, BG, CE, CNP, CENX, CHD, CI, CL, CR, ^DJU, ^DJT, BOOM, EMN, ELV, EQT, EVH, EZPW, FARO, FMC, FNV, FRD, GME, GIS, HL, HSII, HOLX, HUBG, HURC, IEX, INFN, INTC, IRM, JNJ, K, KELYA, LZB, LXU, MTSI, M, MGY, MAN, MCHX, MTRN, MGEE, MOS, NWL, NEE, NVDA, OLN, OMC, ASGN, OTEX, OUT, OXM, PKE, PAYX, PCG, PPG, PINC, PFG, PHM, PSTG, RTX, RNG, ROL, R, SAND, SAIC, SIGI, SLGN, SKX, SKYW, LUV, SXI, TDOC, TXT, TWLO, UPS, UNH, VLO, VMI, VMC, WU, WLK, WEX, IYM, FXI, ICF, IHF, IYZ, MXI, IXN, IHI, EWO, ECH, EEM, EWH, EIS, EWI, EWJ, EWS, EWY, EWP, EWD, THD, TUR, EWU, IBB, DBA, PJP, XAR, XLK, UNG, USO, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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Tuesday 12/3/24. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow dropped by -0.3% or -128.65 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 1100 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 521 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.6% on 579 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close lower 52.6% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 297/547 or 54.3% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 54/117 or 46.2% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Walmart: WMT stock.

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Here's a symbol list of 156 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ACIW, AKAM, AA, ALKS, AMZN, AMN, AR, ANET, ARW, ASH, ADP, AVY, AVA, BCPC, BALL, BSET, BA, BSX, BCO, BRKR, BBW, CPB, CE, CNC, CRL, CINF, CLF, CTSH, CMTL, CAG, COP, CR, CCRN, FANG, ^DJU, ^DJT, D, DTE, EIX, EQT, EZPW, FFIV, FMC, FTNT, GME, GAP, GIS, GILD, GPN, GL, THG, HSIC, HSY, HOV, HWM, HUBG, INCY, IBP, IPAR, IPG, JBLU, LEG, LDOS, RAMP, L, MTSI, MTDR, MRK, META, MLKN, MOS, MYGN, NTAP, NWL, NEU, NEE, NWPX, OMC, ON, ORCL, OR, OMI, PKG, PKE, PATK, PTEN, PAYX, PCTY, PETS, PNW, PFG, QTWO, KWR, RJF, RTX, RNG, RLI, RCKY, ROL, RGLD, R, SAIA, SRE, SCI, STR, SMAR, SO, LUV, SCS, TRGP, TECH, TDOC, TDY, TXT, TMO, TZOO, TG, TWLO, UPS, UNH, VRSN, VMC, WAT, WMB, WOLF, IYC, IYE, IHE, QTEC, ICF, IYZ, IHI, EIS, EWJ, EWT, PPA, DBA, PBE, PJP, XLY, XAR, XLK, USO, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

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The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  40,409.14    
 Monthly S1  42,595.57  2,186.43   
 Monthly Pivot  43,833.43  1,237.86   
 Weekly S2  44,060.46  227.03   
 Weekly S1  44,421.23  360.77   
 Daily S2  44,539.77  118.54   
 Daily S1  44,660.89  121.11   
 Low  44,710.16  49.27   
 Weekly Pivot  44,746.26  36.10   
 Close  44,782.00  35.74   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  44,821.51  39.51   
 Daily Pivot  44,831.27  9.76   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 50% Down from Intraday High  44,855.91  24.64   Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  44,890.31  34.40   
 Open  44,925.86  35.55   
 Daily R1  44,952.39  26.53   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the Open.
 High  45,001.66  49.27   
 Weekly R1  45,107.03  105.37   
 Daily R2  45,122.77  15.74   Yes! The Daily R2 is close to the Weekly R1.
 Weekly R2  45,432.06  309.29   
 Monthly R1  46,019.86  587.80   
 Monthly R2  47,257.72  1,237.86   

Monday 12/2/24. 2024 Forecast Update

Here's the updated 2024 market forecast, presented in slider format.

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Here's a symbol list of 109 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: APD, ATSG, ANET, AWI, ARW, AVY, BAX, BA, BFH, BCO, BRKR, BBW, CPB, CNC, CVX, CINF, CLF, CNO, CAG, COTY, CCRN, DTE, EBAY, EIX, EXPI, FMC, GME, GIS, GL, HSIC, HON, HOV, ITW, INCY, IBP, IIIN, IPAR, IBKR, IPG, JBLU, K, KELYA, KLAC, LRCX, LANC, L, MRK, MLKN, MUR, NUS, OMC, ON, OUT, PTEN, PAYX, PEN, PNW, PFG, RJF, RGS, RGA, RNG, RCKY, ROL, ROP, SRE, SCI, SMAR, SO, SSYS, TECH, TFX, TZOO, VFC, VECO, VRTX, WAT, WU, WEX, WOLF, IYM, IYK, ICF, ILF, SLV, EWG, EWJ, EWW, EWS, EWY, EWT, THD, DBA, PBE, ROBO, XLP, UNG, USO. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

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