As of 12/13/2024
Indus: 43,828 -86.06 -0.2%
Trans: 16,711 -131.34 -0.8%
Utils: 1,004 +0.93 +0.1%
Nasdaq: 19,927 +23.88 +0.1%
S&P 500: 6,051 -0.16 0.0%
|
YTD
+16.3%
+5.1%
+13.8%
+32.7%
+26.9%
|
43,350 or 45,000 by 01/01/2025
16,500 or 17,700 by 01/01/2025
1,050 or 1,000 by 01/01/2025
20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
5,900 or 6,200 by 01/01/2025
|
As of 12/13/2024
Indus: 43,828 -86.06 -0.2%
Trans: 16,711 -131.34 -0.8%
Utils: 1,004 +0.93 +0.1%
Nasdaq: 19,927 +23.88 +0.1%
S&P 500: 6,051 -0.16 0.0%
|
YTD
+16.3%
+5.1%
+13.8%
+32.7%
+26.9%
| |
43,350 or 45,000 by 01/01/2025
16,500 or 17,700 by 01/01/2025
1,050 or 1,000 by 01/01/2025
20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
5,900 or 6,200 by 01/01/2025
| ||
I show the S&P 500 index on the daily scale.
Two red lines hug price and they show an upward price channel.
There seemed to be a second trendline inside the channel. I show that as the green line. I thought it would split the channel in the middle but it slopes downward toward the lower red line.
I look for these types of lines because they often show support or resistance. That's clear as you look at the chart. Notice how the index touches each line and bounces off it (not always, though).
So what does all of this mean going forward? Hard to say. Because the index has dropped shy of the top red line, one could argue that it's a sign of weakness and that the index will drop. It has already started to do that.
It might find support at the green line. It looks to me that the index will continue lower for a time. Eventually, though, I expect to see it make a new high.
The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.
Many options expire this week, so traders will be looking to close out their positions, and that suggests increased volatility (large daily price swings).
The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.
Index | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily | 43,627 | 43,728 | 43,891 | 43,991 | 44,155 |
Weekly | 43,178 | 43,503 | 44,116 | 44,441 | 45,054 |
Monthly | 41,812 | 42,820 | 43,947 | 44,955 | 46,082 |
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily | 6,012 | 6,032 | 6,055 | 6,075 | 6,098 |
Weekly | 5,995 | 6,023 | 6,058 | 6,086 | 6,121 |
Monthly | 5,754 | 5,903 | 6,001 | 6,150 | 6,248 |
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily | 19,691 | 19,809 | 19,935 | 20,053 | 20,179 |
Weekly | 19,456 | 19,691 | 19,877 | 20,112 | 20,297 |
Monthly | 18,065 | 18,996 | 19,529 | 20,460 | 20,993 |
Here are the formulas:
Earnings season is over.
Mutual funds will begin dividend distributions and rebalancing their portfolios for the approaching year end (starts in late November).
Here's a symbol list of 132 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: AXDX, ACN, ADBE, AMD, ALB, ALGT, AEO, AXP, APH, ARCB, ANET, ASH, AVNT, AVA, AZTA, BZH, BERY, BIO, BOOT, CBT, CNP, CENX, CLNE, CLF, CMTL, XRAY, DSGR, ECL, EMR, EXPI, XOM, FCX, GME, GMS, HLIT, HL, HSIC, DHI, HUN, ILMN, IBP, KALU, KBH, KEYS, LEG, LMT, MTRN, MU, MLKN, MS, MOS, NOV, NTAP, NWPX, NVDA, ORI, OLN, OMI, PANW, PATK, PCTY, PETS, PLXS, PHM, DGX, REGN, RGS, ROK, CRM, SAND, SCHW, SMG, SEIC, SKYW, SCCO, LUV, SWX, SR, SSYS, SRDX, TDOC, TER, TEVA, TOL, RIG, UGI, UNM, VMI, WDAY, IYM, IYK, IYC, IYE, FXL, BOTZ, ICF, IEV, MXI, IXN, SLV, IEO, ITB, EWA, EIS, EWJ, EPP, THD, TUR, PBE, PEJ, PJP, PHO, ROBO, XLE, GLD, XHB, XLB, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).
For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.
The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.
|
-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)
Here's a symbol list of 102 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: AYI, ADBE, AEO, AFG, AIG, AMWD, AMN, AR, ARCB, ASH, AVA, BCPC, BSET, BRC, CACI, CNC, CENX, CIEN, CI, CLNE, CLF, COTY, DFS, ECL, EFX, FARO, FIS, GME, IT, GPN, GES, DHI, HWM, IBP, IIIN, IPG, INTU, KALU, KELYA, KFRC, KSS, LZB, LEN, LLY, LMT, L, MTRN, MGEE, NFG, NI, OUT, OMI, PDCO, PAYX, PETS, PPG, ROK, SKYW, SMAR, LUV, SWX, SXI, TDOC, TPX, TEVA, TRV, UGI, UPS, VMC, WMT, WDAY, ZBRA, ITA, IYM, IYC, IHE, IYH, MXI, IEO, ITB, EWA, EWK, EWH, EWI, EWM, EPP, EWP, TUR, PPA, PBE, PHO, XHB, XLB, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).
For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.
$ $ $
You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.
The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.
In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.
For details about the chart patterns, click here.
-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)
Symbol | Chart Pattern | Bullish Bearish | Start | End | Industry |
DDD | Double Bottom, Eve and Eve | 11/14/2024 | 12/03/2024 | Electronics | |
ABT | Head-and-shoulders top | 10/18/2024 | 11/27/2024 | Medical Supplies | |
ANF | Head-and-shoulders top | 11/25/2024 | 12/04/2024 | Apparel | |
ALB | Triangle, ascending | 11/11/2024 | 12/03/2024 | Chemical (Diversified) | |
AA | Double Top, Adam and Eve | 11/07/2024 | 11/26/2024 | Aerospace/Defense | |
ARW | Pipe bottom | 11/11/2024 | 11/18/2024 | Electronics | |
AGO | Double Top, Adam and Adam | 11/12/2024 | 11/25/2024 | Insurance (Life) | |
AVNT | Double Top, Adam and Eve | 11/06/2024 | 11/25/2024 | Chemical (Specialty) | |
BRC | Ugly double bottom | 11/18/2024 | 12/03/2024 | Chemical (Diversified) | |
COR | Double Top, Eve and Eve | 11/11/2024 | 11/29/2024 | Biotechnology | |
CI | Horn top | 09/03/2024 | 09/16/2024 | Medical Services | |
CTAS | Double Top, Eve and Eve | 11/11/2024 | 11/26/2024 | Industrial Services | |
CLX | Double Top, Adam and Adam | 11/22/2024 | 12/06/2024 | Household Products | |
CRH | Double Top, Eve and Eve | 11/27/2024 | 12/05/2024 | Cement and Aggregates | |
XRAY | Ugly double bottom | 11/08/2024 | 12/10/2024 | Medical Supplies | |
EXP | Broadening top | 10/07/2024 | 12/10/2024 | Cement and Aggregates | |
ECL | Multi-peaks | 08/26/2024 | 12/12/2024 | Chemical (Specialty) | |
FAST | Double Top, Eve and Eve | 11/11/2024 | 11/27/2024 | Retail Building Supply | |
GPRO | Ugly double bottom | 11/20/2024 | 12/05/2024 | Electronics | |
HE | Triangle, ascending | 11/05/2024 | 12/09/2024 | Electric Utility (West) | |
HL | Head-and-shoulders bottom | 11/12/2024 | 12/06/2024 | Metals and Mining (Div.) | |
HD | Double Top, Adam and Adam | 11/26/2024 | 12/09/2024 | Retail Building Supply | |
IDXX | Double Bottom, Adam and Adam | 10/31/2024 | 11/21/2024 | Drug | |
ILMN | Ugly double bottom | 11/19/2024 | 12/04/2024 | Biotechnology | |
INCY | Double Top, Adam and Adam | 11/27/2024 | 12/06/2024 | Drug | |
JKHY | Double Bottom, Eve and Eve | 11/20/2024 | 12/05/2024 | IT Services | |
KALU | Triple top | 11/25/2024 | 12/09/2024 | Metals and Mining (Div.) | |
LANC | Double Bottom, Eve and Adam | 11/19/2024 | 12/06/2024 | Food Processing | |
LEN | Double Top, Adam and Eve | 11/05/2024 | 11/25/2024 | Homebuilding | |
LXU | Triangle, symmetrical | 10/10/2024 | 12/12/2024 | Building Materials | |
MLM | Head-and-shoulders top | 10/30/2024 | 11/25/2024 | Cement and Aggregates | |
MAS | Double Top, Adam and Eve | 11/25/2024 | 12/09/2024 | Building Materials | |
NOV | Triple top | 11/06/2024 | 11/25/2024 | Oilfield Svcs/Equipment | |
NEU | Triangle, descending | 11/19/2024 | 12/12/2024 | Chemical (Specialty) | |
ORCL | Broadening top | 11/11/2024 | 12/09/2024 | Computer Software and Svcs | |
OXM | Double Top, Adam and Adam | 12/02/2024 | 12/11/2024 | Apparel | |
PETS | Horn bottom | 11/18/2024 | 12/02/2024 | Medical Services | |
PCG | Broadening top | 10/15/2024 | 12/11/2024 | Electric Utility (West) | |
PFG | Double Top, Eve and Adam | 11/11/2024 | 11/27/2024 | Insurance (Diversified) | |
RHI | Triangle, symmetrical | 11/13/2024 | 12/12/2024 | Human Resources | |
RCKY | Triangle, ascending | 11/12/2024 | 12/09/2024 | Shoe | |
RGLD | Double Bottom, Adam and Adam | 11/26/2024 | 12/06/2024 | Metals and Mining (Div.) | |
SAND | Broadening top, right-angled and ascending | 11/22/2024 | 12/12/2024 | Metals and Mining (Div.) | |
SXI | Triangle, ascending | 11/11/2024 | 12/12/2024 | Diversified Co. | |
TECH | Pipe bottom | 11/11/2024 | 11/18/2024 | Biotechnology | |
TDOC | Pipe top | 11/25/2024 | 12/02/2024 | Healthcare Information | |
UIS | Double Top, Eve and Adam | 11/08/2024 | 12/05/2024 | Computers and Peripherals | |
UNH | Double Top, Adam and Adam | 11/11/2024 | 12/04/2024 | Medical Services | |
VMI | Double Top, Eve and Eve | 11/06/2024 | 11/27/2024 | Metal Fabricating |
$ $ $
I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.
I drew the trendline as a "best fit" line. That means at A, I sliced through prices, despite how loudly they yelled.
At B, we see weakness in the indices taking stock lower.
At C, the index has climbed up to the trendline...and hit resistance. Ouch! Of course, if you look back to Monday and Tuesday, the index also touched the trendline and turned down. Will this third touch be the one to see price pierce resistance?
We already know the answer (No). The index is heading lower, but it could try again on Thursday.
$ $ $
Here's a symbol list of 150 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABM, ACN, ADBE, AA, DOX, AEO, APH, AR, AAPL, ATR, ARCB, ASH, ATO, AXS, BZH, BKH, BA, BRC, BCO, CACI, CAL, CENX, CHD, CI, CLX, CNO, COTY, CCRN, CMI, XRAY, DFS, ^DJU, ^DJT, D, BOOM, EME, EFX, EG, EVH, EXPD, FDS, FNV, GME, GE, GIS, HIG, HOV, HUBG, NSP, IBKR, IPG, IPI, JBLU, KBH, KEYS, KFRC, KMB, KSS, LHX, LZB, LH, LEG, LEN, LMT, MHO, MCHX, MCO, MLI, NFLX, NTGR, NOC, NUS, NVDA, OLN, PANW, PKE, PDCO, PCTY, PYPL, PETS, PFE, PPL, PEG, ^GSPC, SAND, SAIC, SKYW, SSYS, SRDX, TGT, TDOC, TOL, UGI, UPS, V, VMC, WSO, WU, WLK, WWD, WDAY, XEL, IYM, IYK, IYC, IHE, FTEC, FXL, FXI, BOTZ, ICF, IYH, IEV, IXN, ITB, EWK, EWQ, EWH, EWJ, EZA, EWY, EWP, EWD, EWL, EWT, TUR, EWU, PPA, PXJ, PJP, SSO, XLP, GLD, XLB, SPY, XLK, XLU, USO, SMH. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).
For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.
$ $ $
The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.
-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)
© 2024 ThePatternSite.com Metric | Value | Diff | Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? |
Monthly S2 | 17,586.64 | ||
Monthly S1 | 18,810.77 | 1,224.12 | |
Weekly S2 | 19,110.10 | 299.33 | |
Monthly Pivot | 19,336.95 | 226.86 | |
Weekly S1 | 19,572.49 | 235.54 | |
Weekly Pivot | 19,717.82 | 145.32 | |
Daily S2 | 19,748.53 | 30.71 | |
Low | 19,830.64 | 82.11 | |
Open | 19,832.96 | 2.32 | Yes! The Open is close to the Low. |
Daily S1 | 19,891.71 | 58.75 | |
61.8% Down from Intraday High | 19,916.70 | 24.99 | |
50% Down from Intraday High | 19,943.29 | 26.58 | |
38.2% Down from Intraday High | 19,969.87 | 26.58 | |
Daily Pivot | 19,973.82 | 3.95 | Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High. |
Close | 20,034.89 | 61.07 | |
High | 20,055.93 | 21.04 | Yes! The High is close to the Close. |
Daily R1 | 20,117.00 | 61.07 | |
Weekly R1 | 20,180.21 | 63.21 | |
Daily R2 | 20,199.11 | 18.90 | Yes! The Daily R2 is close to the Weekly R1. |
Weekly R2 | 20,325.54 | 126.43 | |
Monthly R1 | 20,561.08 | 235.54 | |
Monthly R2 | 21,087.26 | 526.19 |
This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.
The CPI turned bearish about a week ago, according to this chart. The date of the signal changing is complicated because it can change for up to a week. That means a signal that didn't happen in real time a week ago, suddenly appears as if it signaled back then.
If you don't understand that, it's fine. Regardless, the CPI is bearish and it suggests the markets are going down. Indeed, we see the index rounding over and heading lower.
This is the same chart as the prior one except I removed the signal changes. You can see that the CPI peaked about two weeks ago and has been heading lower since.
It moved from bullish to neutral to bearish even as the index climbed for most of that period.
A read of 35 is neutral, so this is bearish at 10.3. With the CPI that low, it usually doesn't stay down long, so maybe we can expect a rebound soon. Of course, 10.3 isn't zero, so look for more weakness before that rebound.
$ $ $
Here's a symbol list of 133 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACN, AMD, AFL, ALKS, AEO, AMWD, AMN, AON, AAPL, ATR, ARCB, ACGL, ADM, ANET, ASH, AIZ, BCPC, BALL, BBY, BOOT, BG, CRL, CVX, CNA, CNO, CL, CXW, CCK, DVN, ^DJU, D, DUK, BOOM, EMN, EG, FDS, FIS, FORM, FWRD, GME, GAP, GE, GIS, GILD, GPN, GL, GOOGL, GPRO, THG, HIG, IPI, ISRG, JNJ, KEYS, KLAC, LRCX, LAMR, LEG, LLY, RAMP, LMT, MTSI, MCHX, MLM, MTDR, MRK, MU, MUR, NOV, NTGR, NEU, NEE, ON, PDCO, PCTY, PETS, PFE, POR, PPL, PEG, QCOM, RLI, RHI, ROL, SAIC, NOW, SHOP, SLGN, SKYW, SMAR, SRDX, TDOC, TDY, TER, TOL, RIG, TWLO, UHAL, UGI, UIS, VFC, VECO, WSC, WDAY, IYM, IAI, IYK, IYC, IHE, FDN, ICF, IYH, IGV, SOXX, ITB, EWJ, EWW, THD, TUR, DBA, XLP, GLD, XLV, XHB, XLB, XLU, VHT. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).
For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.
-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)
$ $ $
I show another slider trading quiz featuring Vulcan materials: VMC stock.
$ $ $
Here's a symbol list of 160 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, AXDX, ACIW, ADBE, AMD, AFL, AKAM, ALK, AA, ALKS, AXP, AR, AON, APA, AAPL, ATR, ACGL, ANET, ASH, AIZ, BCPC, BIO, BOOT, BRKR, CAL, CX, CVX, CHD, CLF, CMCO, CMTL, CW, D, BOOM, EQT, EL, XOM, FDS, FICO, FIVN, FMC, FTNT, FTV, FCX, GME, GAP, GPN, GFS, GFF, GES, HQY, HL, HSII, HWM, IDXX, INCY, INFN, IIIN, IBKR, IPG, ISRG, KELYA, LHX, LANC, LMT, LPLA, LXU, MTSI, MGY, MCHX, MRTN, MA, MDT, MRK, NTGR, NWL, NEU, NWPX, NTNX, ORI, OTEX, OR, OMI, PANW, PAYX, PCTY, POR, PFG, RL, RRC, RTX, ROL, RGLD, RES, CRM, SBH, SAND, SLB, SHOP, SCCO, TDOC, TDY, TKR, RIG, TWLO, UHAL, VEEV, VRSN, VRTX, V, WSC, WOLF, WDAY, IAI, IYK, IYC, IEZ, FDN, FXI, IYZ, IGV, MXI, ILF, EWA, EWO, EWZ, ECH, EEM, EWH, EIS, EWM, EPP, EZA, EWY, EWP, TUR, PEJ, PHO, ROBO, XLP, XHB, UNG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).
For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.
$ $ $
The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.
-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)
© 2024 ThePatternSite.com Metric | Value | Diff | Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? |
Monthly S2 | 40,280.89 | ||
Monthly S1 | 42,341.41 | 2,060.52 | |
Monthly Pivot | 43,707.52 | 1,366.11 | |
Daily S2 | 44,158.74 | 451.22 | |
Weekly S2 | 44,184.60 | 25.86 | Yes! The Weekly S2 is close to the Daily S2. |
Daily S1 | 44,280.34 | 95.74 | |
Weekly S1 | 44,293.26 | 12.93 | Yes! The Weekly S1 is close to the Daily S1. |
Low | 44,382.83 | 89.57 | |
Close | 44,401.93 | 19.10 | Yes! The Close is close to the Low. |
Daily Pivot | 44,504.42 | 102.49 | |
61.8% Down from Intraday High | 44,514.88 | 10.46 | Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot. |
50% Down from Intraday High | 44,555.67 | 40.79 | |
38.2% Down from Intraday High | 44,596.46 | 40.79 | |
Daily R1 | 44,626.02 | 29.55 | Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High. |
Open | 44,637.97 | 11.95 | Yes! The Open is close to the Daily R1. |
Weekly Pivot | 44,683.45 | 45.48 | |
High | 44,728.51 | 45.07 | |
Weekly R1 | 44,792.11 | 63.60 | |
Daily R2 | 44,850.10 | 57.99 | |
Weekly R2 | 45,182.30 | 332.20 | |
Monthly R1 | 45,768.04 | 585.74 | |
Monthly R2 | 47,134.15 | 1,366.11 |
$ $ $
I show another slider trading quiz featuring Vulcan materials: VMC stock.
$ $ $
Here's a symbol list of 160 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, AXDX, ACIW, ADBE, AMD, AFL, AKAM, ALK, AA, ALKS, AXP, AR, AON, APA, AAPL, ATR, ACGL, ANET, ASH, AIZ, BCPC, BIO, BOOT, BRKR, CAL, CX, CVX, CHD, CLF, CMCO, CMTL, CW, D, BOOM, EQT, EL, XOM, FDS, FICO, FIVN, FMC, FTNT, FTV, FCX, GME, GAP, GPN, GFS, GFF, GES, HQY, HL, HSII, HWM, IDXX, INCY, INFN, IIIN, IBKR, IPG, ISRG, KELYA, LHX, LANC, LMT, LPLA, LXU, MTSI, MGY, MCHX, MRTN, MA, MDT, MRK, NTGR, NWL, NEU, NWPX, NTNX, ORI, OTEX, OR, OMI, PANW, PAYX, PCTY, POR, PFG, RL, RRC, RTX, ROL, RGLD, RES, CRM, SBH, SAND, SLB, SHOP, SCCO, TDOC, TDY, TKR, RIG, TWLO, UHAL, VEEV, VRSN, VRTX, V, WSC, WOLF, WDAY, IAI, IYK, IYC, IEZ, FDN, FXI, IYZ, IGV, MXI, ILF, EWA, EWO, EWZ, ECH, EEM, EWH, EIS, EWM, EPP, EZA, EWY, EWP, TUR, PEJ, PHO, ROBO, XLP, XHB, UNG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).
For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.
$ $ $
The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.
-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)
© 2024 ThePatternSite.com Metric | Value | Diff | Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? |
Monthly S2 | 40,280.89 | ||
Monthly S1 | 42,341.41 | 2,060.52 | |
Monthly Pivot | 43,707.52 | 1,366.11 | |
Daily S2 | 44,158.74 | 451.22 | |
Weekly S2 | 44,184.60 | 25.86 | Yes! The Weekly S2 is close to the Daily S2. |
Daily S1 | 44,280.34 | 95.74 | |
Weekly S1 | 44,293.26 | 12.93 | Yes! The Weekly S1 is close to the Daily S1. |
Low | 44,382.83 | 89.57 | |
Close | 44,401.93 | 19.10 | Yes! The Close is close to the Low. |
Daily Pivot | 44,504.42 | 102.49 | |
61.8% Down from Intraday High | 44,514.88 | 10.46 | Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot. |
50% Down from Intraday High | 44,555.67 | 40.79 | |
38.2% Down from Intraday High | 44,596.46 | 40.79 | |
Daily R1 | 44,626.02 | 29.55 | Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High. |
Open | 44,637.97 | 11.95 | Yes! The Open is close to the Daily R1. |
Weekly Pivot | 44,683.45 | 45.48 | |
High | 44,728.51 | 45.07 | |
Weekly R1 | 44,792.11 | 63.60 | |
Daily R2 | 44,850.10 | 57.99 | |
Weekly R2 | 45,182.30 | 332.20 | |
Monthly R1 | 45,768.04 | 585.74 | |
Monthly R2 | 47,134.15 | 1,366.11 |
There's not a lot to see on the chart, but I have some thoughts.
The chart is on the daily scale of the Nasdaq composite.
The BA combination forms an up-sloping channel. When the index soars above the top of the channel, it broke the shape of the channel.
The index returned to the channel but the lows had curved upward in an exponential race higher, at C. The two red lines narrow in a sort of rising wedge move upward.
Because the index has made such a sharp turn upward, the slope of the move is too steep to continue much longer. Indeed, the CPI has turned bearish, suggesting a bearish retrace is coming.
The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.
No options expire this week.
The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.
Index | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily | 44,394 | 44,518 | 44,721 | 44,845 | 45,048 |
Weekly | 44,265 | 44,454 | 44,764 | 44,953 | 45,262 |
Monthly | 40,361 | 42,502 | 43,788 | 45,928 | 47,214 |
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily | 6,070 | 6,080 | 6,090 | 6,100 | 6,110 |
Weekly | 6,008 | 6,049 | 6,075 | 6,116 | 6,141 |
Monthly | 5,559 | 5,825 | 5,962 | 6,228 | 6,366 |
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily | 19,690 | 19,775 | 19,819 | 19,904 | 19,948 |
Weekly | 19,052 | 19,456 | 19,659 | 20,063 | 20,267 |
Monthly | 17,528 | 18,694 | 19,279 | 20,444 | 21,029 |
Here are the formulas:
Earnings season is over.
Mutual funds will begin dividend distributions and rebalancing their portfolios for the approaching year end (starts in late November).
Here's a symbol list of 173 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACN, ADBE, AFL, ALK, AA, AFG, AR, APA, APOG, AAPL, ADM, AWI, BALL, BIO, BOOT, BAH, BRC, BCO, CX, CNP, CIEN, CLNE, CNA, CNO, CL, CAG, CSGP, COST, DVN, DSGR, ^DJI, D, DTE, BOOM, EXP, ECL, EIX, EPAM, EFX, EQT, EVRG, EXPD, XOM, EZPW, FFIV, FDS, FMC, FTV, FDP, GME, GIS, GPRO, HBI, HSII, HWM, IDXX, ITW, IPAR, IPG, JAZZ, LANC, LDOS, LMT, LOW, M, MGY, MCHX, MTDR, MTRX, MGEE, MOS, MUR, NOV, NTGR, NWL, NWPX, NTNX, OGE, ORI, OLN, OTEX, OMI, PKG, PTEN, PETS, PFE, PNW, POR, DGX, RL, RNG, RCKY, ROG, ROL, RGLD, RES, SAND, SLB, SAIC, SEIC, SRE, SHOP, SLGN, SNPS, TGT, TDY, TPX, TSCO, RIG, TREX, UIS, UNH, VLO, VMI, VEEV, MDRX, VRSN, VC, WU, IYM, IYC, IEZ, FXI, ICF, IYH, IHF, IXN, IEO, EWA, EWK, EEM, EWQ, EPP, EWY, EWP, THD, TUR, EWU, DBA, XLY, XLP, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLU, UNG, VIS, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).
For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.
The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.
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-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)
Here's a symbol list of 155 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ABT, AXDX, ADTN, AKAM, ALK, ALKS, AMWD, AR, APOG, AAPL, AMAT, ATR, ADM, ANET, AWI, ARW, ATO, AVA, BALL, BIO, BIIB, BOOT, BMY, BBW, CBT, CAL, CPB, CE, CNP, CF, CLX, ED, GLW, CCK, DDS, ^DJI, DOV, BOOM, EQT, EG, EZPW, FDX, FISV, FMC, FTNT, FWRD, GME, GFS, HSII, HELE, HSIC, HON, DHI, JBHT, ITW, IBP, INTC, IPAR, JNJ, KFRC, KLIC, LZB, LRCX, LDOS, LEN, LNC, M, MGY, MTRX, MRCY, META, MSFT, NOVT, ORCL, OR, OMI, PDCO, PTEN, PCTY, PHM, DGX, RNG, RCKY, ROG, ROL, R, SAND, SLB, SAIC, SIGI, STR, LUV, SPSC, TECH, TDY, TPX, TOL, TSCO, RIG, TWLO, UIS, UNH, VECO, VC, WU, WOLF, ZBRA, ITA, IYM, IAI, IYC, QTEC, FXL, IHF, IEV, MXI, IXN, ILF, ITB, EWO, EWZ, ECH, EEM, EWQ, EWG, EIS, EWI, EWM, EWS, EZA, EWP, EWD, THD, TUR, EWU, PEJ, PHO, XLI, XLB, UNG, VHT, VIS, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).
For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.
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I released a pattern called the 3DC, which is a three-day trend compression pattern. Yes, it's a stinker.
You can find a list of small patterns and their rank here. The page is still under construction with more patterns to come but the results are worth looking at if you like using short patterns (up to 7 price bars long).
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You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.
The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.
In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.
For details about the chart patterns, click here.
-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)
Symbol | Chart Pattern | Bullish Bearish | Start | End | Industry |
AMWD | Double Top, Adam and Adam | 11/11/2024 | 11/25/2024 | Building Materials | |
ASH | Double Top, Adam and Adam | 11/25/2024 | 12/02/2024 | Chemical (Basic) | |
BALL | Double Top, Adam and Eve | 11/14/2024 | 11/27/2024 | Packaging and Container | |
BA | Pipe bottom | 11/11/2024 | 11/18/2024 | Aerospace/Defense | |
BRKR | Pipe bottom | 11/11/2024 | 11/18/2024 | Precision Instrument | |
CBT | Double Top, Adam and Adam | 11/25/2024 | 12/04/2024 | Chemical (Diversified) | |
CAL | Double Top, Adam and Adam | 11/25/2024 | 12/04/2024 | Shoe | |
CHD | Double Top, Eve and Adam | 11/22/2024 | 12/02/2024 | Household Products | |
CCRN | Pipe bottom | 11/11/2024 | 11/18/2024 | Human Resources | |
FANG | Double Top, Adam and Eve | 11/06/2024 | 11/22/2024 | Petroleum (Producing) | |
EME | Triangle, symmetrical | 11/14/2024 | 12/04/2024 | Industrial Services | |
FICO | Triangle, ascending | 11/13/2024 | 12/05/2024 | IT Services | |
GMS | Head-and-shoulders top | 11/12/2024 | 12/04/2024 | Cement and Aggregates | |
HLIT | Ugly double bottom | 10/29/2024 | 11/19/2024 | Telecom. Equipment | |
HUN | Triple bottom | 11/14/2024 | 11/26/2024 | Chemical (Specialty) | |
IDA | Double Top, Adam and Eve | 11/13/2024 | 11/25/2024 | Electric Utility (West) | |
IRM | Double Bottom, Adam and Eve | 11/06/2024 | 11/15/2024 | Industrial Services | |
M | Broadening top | 10/17/2024 | 12/02/2024 | Retail Store | |
MGY | Pipe top | 11/18/2024 | 11/25/2024 | Petroleum (Producing) | |
MKTX | Double Top, Eve and Eve | 10/18/2024 | 10/30/2024 | Securities Brokerage | |
MTRN | Double Top, Adam and Adam | 11/25/2024 | 12/03/2024 | Metals and Mining (Div.) | |
MOS | Triple bottom | 11/12/2024 | 11/26/2024 | Chemical (Diversified) | |
MUR | Triple top | 11/12/2024 | 11/25/2024 | Petroleum (Integrated) | |
NBR | Pipe top | 11/04/2024 | 11/11/2024 | Oilfield Svcs/Equipment | |
NWL | Double Bottom, Eve and Eve | 11/05/2024 | 11/18/2024 | Household Products | |
OXY | Head-and-shoulders top | 11/06/2024 | 11/22/2024 | Petroleum (Producing) | |
OLN | Double Top, Adam and Eve | 11/25/2024 | 12/02/2024 | Chemical (Basic) | |
ON | Double Top, Adam and Adam | 11/25/2024 | 12/02/2024 | Semiconductor | |
OMI | Double Bottom, Adam and Eve | 11/05/2024 | 11/21/2024 | Medical Supplies | |
PETS | Double Bottom, Eve and Adam | 11/19/2024 | 12/02/2024 | Medical Services | |
PINC | Double Top, Eve and Adam | 11/06/2024 | 11/25/2024 | Healthcare Information | |
RTX | Triangle, descending | 11/05/2024 | 12/04/2024 | Aerospace/Defense | |
RGA | Double Top, Eve and Eve | 11/15/2024 | 11/25/2024 | Insurance (Life) | |
SLB | Double Top, Eve and Eve | 11/12/2024 | 11/25/2024 | Oilfield Svcs/Equipment | |
STR | Double Top, Eve and Eve | 11/12/2024 | 11/21/2024 | Natural Gas (Diversified) | |
SO | Head-and-shoulders top | 09/05/2024 | 11/27/2024 | Electric Utility (East) | |
SRDX | Rising wedge | 10/25/2024 | 12/05/2024 | Medical Supplies | |
TDOC | Double Top, Adam and Adam | 11/25/2024 | 12/02/2024 | Healthcare Information | |
TER | Double Bottom, Adam and Eve | 11/05/2024 | 11/20/2024 | Semiconductor Cap Equip. | |
TEVA | Double Bottom, Adam and Eve | 11/15/2024 | 11/29/2024 | Drug |
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I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.
The measure rule for trendlines says that the move down (B) will mirror the move up (A). You can flip that around, and it suggests the rise at A will precede a fall to B. In this case, notice that B is taller than A. The move from C to the trendline better aligns with what we see at B.
The rise at D says something else about the trend. It is gaining momentum. I think that applies to lines drawn using linear regression (a way to draw a line between points so they are all have a minimum distance from the line). I did not use linear regression on this chart. When price rises above the line, momentum is increasing. When it's heading toward the line, momentum is falling.
If we use the measure rule, then look for the index to drop below the line by about 200 points.
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Here's a symbol list of 164 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, ANF, AXDX, ADBE, AES, ATSG, ALRM, AMZN, AMED, AMWD, AMN, APH, AR, AAPL, AMAT, ADM, ATO, BBY, BIO, BKNG, BRKR, CBT, CDNS, CPB, CE, CLS, CX, CF, CI, ED, COTY, CR, CCRN, CCK, BOOM, ECL, ELV, EQT, EG, XOM, FIS, FTNT, GME, GIS, GFS, GL, GOOGL, HL, HSII, HUBG, IBP, INTC, IPI, JBLU, JNJ, KLIC, LZB, LH, LDOS, LLY, LMT, MTSI, MGY, META, MSFT, MYGN, ^IXIC, NOV, NWL, OLN, OMC, PANW, PDCO, PYPL, PETS, PFE, PLXS, PINC, PHM, PSTG, RMBS, RTX, RNG, ROL, ROP, ^GSPC, SLB, SEIC, STR, SMAR, LUV, SPSC, SNPS, TECH, TOL, TDG, RIG, TWLO, UIS, VLO, VMI, MDRX, WEX, WSC, WOLF, WWD, IYK, IYC, FTEC, FDN, QTEC, FXL, FXI, BOTZ, QQQ, IYZ, IGV, IXN, SOXX, EWO, EEM, EWG, EWH, EWI, EZA, EWP, EWD, EWT, TUR, QLD, DBA, PXJ, SSO, ROBO, XLY, XLF, XRT, SPY, XLK, UNG, USO, SMH, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).
For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.
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The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.
-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)
© 2024 ThePatternSite.com Metric | Value | Diff | Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? |
Monthly S2 | 17,779.59 | ||
Monthly S1 | 18,757.36 | 977.76 | |
Weekly S2 | 18,997.65 | 240.29 | |
Monthly Pivot | 19,061.71 | 64.07 | |
Weekly Pivot | 19,305.94 | 244.22 | |
Weekly S1 | 19,366.38 | 60.45 | |
Daily S2 | 19,517.73 | 151.35 | |
Low | 19,575.40 | 57.67 | |
Open | 19,587.48 | 12.08 | Yes! The Open is close to the Low. |
Weekly R2 | 19,614.23 | 26.75 | |
Daily S1 | 19,626.43 | 12.20 | Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Weekly R2. |
61.8% Down from Intraday High | 19,638.95 | 12.52 | Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily S1. |
50% Down from Intraday High | 19,658.58 | 19.63 | |
Weekly R1 | 19,674.67 | 16.09 | Yes! The Weekly R1 is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High. |
38.2% Down from Intraday High | 19,678.21 | 3.54 | Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Weekly R1. |
Daily Pivot | 19,684.09 | 5.88 | Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High. |
Close | 19,735.12 | 51.03 | |
High | 19,741.76 | 6.64 | Yes! The High is close to the Close. |
Daily R1 | 19,792.79 | 51.03 | |
Daily R2 | 19,850.45 | 57.67 | |
Monthly R1 | 20,039.48 | 189.02 | |
Monthly R2 | 20,343.83 | 304.36 |
This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.
The most recent signal is green, which is bullish. There's no change from last week except that the thin blue indicator line has rounded over and is heading lower.
Look at the index. It continues to rise even as the indicator drops. Uh-oh. That's bearish divergence. It suggests, but does not guarantee, that the index will follow the CPI lower.
I recently switched my targets (top of page) from up to down, based on weakness I saw in the price trend. I think it'll be a short retrace before a resumption of the upward move, but today's CPI chart seems to confirm my reasoning of a weakening general market.
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Here's a symbol list of 150 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ABT, AXDX, ACN, ACIW, ATSG, ALB, AR, ADM, ASH, ADP, AVNT, AVA, BBY, BAH, BCO, BG, CE, CNP, CENX, CHD, CI, CL, CR, ^DJU, ^DJT, BOOM, EMN, ELV, EQT, EVH, EZPW, FARO, FMC, FNV, FRD, GME, GIS, HL, HSII, HOLX, HUBG, HURC, IEX, INFN, INTC, IRM, JNJ, K, KELYA, LZB, LXU, MTSI, M, MGY, MAN, MCHX, MTRN, MGEE, MOS, NWL, NEE, NVDA, OLN, OMC, ASGN, OTEX, OUT, OXM, PKE, PAYX, PCG, PPG, PINC, PFG, PHM, PSTG, RTX, RNG, ROL, R, SAND, SAIC, SIGI, SLGN, SKX, SKYW, LUV, SXI, TDOC, TXT, TWLO, UPS, UNH, VLO, VMI, VMC, WU, WLK, WEX, IYM, FXI, ICF, IHF, IYZ, MXI, IXN, IHI, EWO, ECH, EEM, EWH, EIS, EWI, EWJ, EWS, EWY, EWP, EWD, THD, TUR, EWU, IBB, DBA, PJP, XAR, XLK, UNG, USO, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).
For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.
-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)
$ $ $
I show another slider trading quiz featuring Walmart: WMT stock.
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Here's a symbol list of 156 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ACIW, AKAM, AA, ALKS, AMZN, AMN, AR, ANET, ARW, ASH, ADP, AVY, AVA, BCPC, BALL, BSET, BA, BSX, BCO, BRKR, BBW, CPB, CE, CNC, CRL, CINF, CLF, CTSH, CMTL, CAG, COP, CR, CCRN, FANG, ^DJU, ^DJT, D, DTE, EIX, EQT, EZPW, FFIV, FMC, FTNT, GME, GAP, GIS, GILD, GPN, GL, THG, HSIC, HSY, HOV, HWM, HUBG, INCY, IBP, IPAR, IPG, JBLU, LEG, LDOS, RAMP, L, MTSI, MTDR, MRK, META, MLKN, MOS, MYGN, NTAP, NWL, NEU, NEE, NWPX, OMC, ON, ORCL, OR, OMI, PKG, PKE, PATK, PTEN, PAYX, PCTY, PETS, PNW, PFG, QTWO, KWR, RJF, RTX, RNG, RLI, RCKY, ROL, RGLD, R, SAIA, SRE, SCI, STR, SMAR, SO, LUV, SCS, TRGP, TECH, TDOC, TDY, TXT, TMO, TZOO, TG, TWLO, UPS, UNH, VRSN, VMC, WAT, WMB, WOLF, IYC, IYE, IHE, QTEC, ICF, IYZ, IHI, EIS, EWJ, EWT, PPA, DBA, PBE, PJP, XLY, XAR, XLK, USO, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).
For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.
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The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.
-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)
© 2024 ThePatternSite.com Metric | Value | Diff | Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? |
Monthly S2 | 40,409.14 | ||
Monthly S1 | 42,595.57 | 2,186.43 | |
Monthly Pivot | 43,833.43 | 1,237.86 | |
Weekly S2 | 44,060.46 | 227.03 | |
Weekly S1 | 44,421.23 | 360.77 | |
Daily S2 | 44,539.77 | 118.54 | |
Daily S1 | 44,660.89 | 121.11 | |
Low | 44,710.16 | 49.27 | |
Weekly Pivot | 44,746.26 | 36.10 | |
Close | 44,782.00 | 35.74 | |
61.8% Down from Intraday High | 44,821.51 | 39.51 | |
Daily Pivot | 44,831.27 | 9.76 | Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High. |
50% Down from Intraday High | 44,855.91 | 24.64 | Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot. |
38.2% Down from Intraday High | 44,890.31 | 34.40 | |
Open | 44,925.86 | 35.55 | |
Daily R1 | 44,952.39 | 26.53 | Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the Open. |
High | 45,001.66 | 49.27 | |
Weekly R1 | 45,107.03 | 105.37 | |
Daily R2 | 45,122.77 | 15.74 | Yes! The Daily R2 is close to the Weekly R1. |
Weekly R2 | 45,432.06 | 309.29 | |
Monthly R1 | 46,019.86 | 587.80 | |
Monthly R2 | 47,257.72 | 1,237.86 |
Here's the updated 2024 market forecast, presented in slider format.
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Here's a symbol list of 109 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: APD, ATSG, ANET, AWI, ARW, AVY, BAX, BA, BFH, BCO, BRKR, BBW, CPB, CNC, CVX, CINF, CLF, CNO, CAG, COTY, CCRN, DTE, EBAY, EIX, EXPI, FMC, GME, GIS, GL, HSIC, HON, HOV, ITW, INCY, IBP, IIIN, IPAR, IBKR, IPG, JBLU, K, KELYA, KLAC, LRCX, LANC, L, MRK, MLKN, MUR, NUS, OMC, ON, OUT, PTEN, PAYX, PEN, PNW, PFG, RJF, RGS, RGA, RNG, RCKY, ROL, ROP, SRE, SCI, SMAR, SO, SSYS, TECH, TFX, TZOO, VFC, VECO, VRTX, WAT, WU, WEX, WOLF, IYM, IYK, ICF, ILF, SLV, EWG, EWJ, EWW, EWS, EWY, EWT, THD, DBA, PBE, ROBO, XLP, UNG, USO. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).
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