Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 11/06/2025
  Indus: 46,912 -398.70 -0.8%  
  Trans: 15,957 -94.83 -0.6%  
  Utils: 1,113 -0.39 0.0%  
  Nasdaq: 23,054 -445.81 -1.9%  
  S&P 500: 6,720 -75.97 -1.1%  
YTD
 +10.3%  
 +0.4%  
 +13.3%  
 +19.4%  
 +14.3%  
  Targets    Overview: 10/30/2025  
  Up arrow49,500 or 46,400 by 11/15/2025
  Up arrow16,500 or 15,200 by 11/15/2025
  Up arrow1,150 or 1,075 by 11/15/2025
  Up arrow25,000 or 22,700 by 11/15/2025
  Up arrow7,000 or 6,700 by 11/15/2025
As of 11/06/2025
  Indus: 46,912 -398.70 -0.8%  
  Trans: 15,957 -94.83 -0.6%  
  Utils: 1,113 -0.39 0.0%  
  Nasdaq: 23,054 -445.81 -1.9%  
  S&P 500: 6,720 -75.97 -1.1%  
YTD
 +10.3%  
 +0.4%  
 +13.3%  
 +19.4%  
 +14.3%  
  Targets    Overview: 10/30/2025  
  Up arrow49,500 or 46,400 by 11/15/2025
  Up arrow16,500 or 15,200 by 11/15/2025
  Up arrow1,150 or 1,075 by 11/15/2025
  Up arrow25,000 or 22,700 by 11/15/2025
  Up arrow7,000 or 6,700 by 11/15/2025

November 2025 Headlines

Archives


Friday 11/7/25. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 131 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, AYI, ADBE, AEIS, ALB, AA, AIG, AMN, APA, APOG, AMAT, ACGL, ANET, ARW, AVA, BSET, BBY, BIO, BIIB, BOOT, BRC, BBW, CRL, CHKP, CLNE, CLF, CNA, COTY, CCK, CSGS, XRAY, BOOM, EMN, ELV, EME, EOG, FDS, FTNT, FCX, FRD, GAP, IT, GD, GNW, GFS, GS, GFF, HLIT, HD, HON, HURC, IEX, ILMN, IIIN, IPI, INTU, JKHY, JAZZ, KELYA, LEN, RAMP, LOW, LXU, MRTN, MAS, MSFT, MLKN, NWL, NEU, NWPX, PEN, PETS, PGR, PSTG, QTWO, RL, RRC, CRM, SBH, SGI, SR, SNPS, TPR, TECH, TDOC, TDY, TTD, TREX, TWLO, UIS, UNH, VFC, VECO, WMT, WAT, WEX, WSC, WWW, WDAY, IYM, FTEC, FXL, EWZ, EWC, EWQ, EWH, EWM, EZA, TUR, EWU, PPA, DBA, PBE, PEJ, ROBO, GLD, XLB, SMH, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
ADTNDouble Top, Eve and Eve      09/11/202510/31/2025Telecom. Equipment
AESTriangle, descending      10/01/202510/30/2025Electric Utility (East)
ALKSHead-and-shoulders bottom      10/17/202511/03/2025Drug
ALLDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      10/29/202511/03/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
AFGDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      10/21/202511/03/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
AMNHead-and-shoulders top      10/15/202511/06/2025Human Resources
ARCBDouble Top, Adam and Adam      10/09/202510/21/2025Trucking/Transp. Leasing
ANETDouble Top, Eve and Eve      10/10/202510/30/2025E-Commerce
AIZDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      10/17/202510/29/2025Insurance (Diversified)
AZTATriple top      10/06/202510/24/2025Semiconductor Cap Equip.
CRLPipe top      10/20/202510/27/2025Biotechnology
CVXDouble Top, Adam and Adam      10/23/202510/31/2025Petroleum (Integrated)
CINFDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      10/16/202510/29/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
CLNEDead-cat bounce      11/05/202511/05/2025Natural Gas (Distributor)
CRHTriple top      10/01/202510/27/2025Cement and Aggregates
XRAYDouble Top, Adam and Eve      10/03/202510/27/2025Medical Supplies
DDSTriangle, symmetrical      09/22/202511/06/2025Retail Store
^DJTTriangle, ascending      10/03/202511/04/2025None
BOOMTriple top      09/24/202510/27/2025Metal Fabricating
EBAYBig M      08/15/202510/29/2025Internet
EMRDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      09/26/202510/14/2025Computers and Peripherals
EXPDPipe bottom      10/06/202510/13/2025Air Transport
FTNTTriple top      10/03/202511/03/2025Computer Software and Svcs
HLPipe top      10/13/202510/20/2025Metals and Mining (Div.)
HSICDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      10/16/202510/29/2025Medical Supplies
HONPipe top      10/20/202510/27/2025Aerospace/Defense
HUMDouble Top, Eve and Eve      10/08/202510/28/2025Medical Services
HURCPipe top      10/20/202510/27/2025Machinery
ILMNUgly double bottom      10/14/202510/30/2025Biotechnology
INCYDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      10/20/202510/28/2025Drug
NSPDead-cat bounce      11/04/202511/04/2025Human Resources
IBKRPipe bottom      10/13/202510/20/2025Securities Brokerage
IRMHead-and-shoulders top      10/07/202510/24/2025Industrial Services
KSSPipe bottom      10/06/202510/13/2025Retail Store
LHDouble Top, Adam and Adam      10/01/202510/21/2025Medical Services
LDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      10/16/202510/29/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
LXUBroadening top      10/06/202511/04/2025Building Materials
MYGNDead-cat bounce      11/04/202511/04/2025Biotechnology
NTGRHead-and-shoulders top      10/02/202510/31/2025Telecom. Equipment
NWLDead-cat bounce      10/31/202510/31/2025Household Products
NEUDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      10/20/202510/29/2025Chemical (Specialty)
NEEDouble Top, Adam and Adam      10/16/202510/28/2025Electric Utility (East)
OXYTriple top      09/02/202509/30/2025Petroleum (Producing)
OTEXTriple top      10/10/202510/29/2025E-Commerce
ORCLPipe top      10/06/202510/13/2025Computer Software and Svcs
OMIDead-cat bounce      10/31/202510/31/2025Medical Supplies
PPLDouble Top, Adam and Eve      10/16/202510/21/2025Electric Utility (East)
QTWODouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      10/17/202510/29/2025E-Commerce
KWRDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      10/10/202510/30/2025Chemical (Specialty)
RLPipe top      10/20/202510/27/2025Apparel
RGADouble Top, Adam and Eve      09/04/202510/07/2025Insurance (Life)
SAIATriple top      09/17/202510/22/2025Trucking/Transp. Leasing
CRMDouble Top, Adam and Eve      10/21/202510/31/2025E-Commerce
SEEDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      10/14/202511/03/2025Packaging and Container
NOWDouble Top, Eve and Eve      09/24/202510/30/2025IT Services
SPSCDead-cat bounce      10/31/202510/31/2025E-Commerce
TPRTriple top      09/24/202510/15/2025Apparel
TECHPipe top      10/20/202510/27/2025Biotechnology
TDOCTriple top      10/03/202510/27/2025Healthcare Information
TFXTriple top      09/11/202510/22/2025Diversified Co.
TDCDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      10/10/202510/31/2025Computer Software and Svcs
TTDDouble Top, Eve and Eve      10/07/202510/24/2025Advertising
TREXDead-cat bounce      11/05/202511/05/2025Building Materials
UISDead-cat bounce      11/06/202511/06/2025Computers and Peripherals
UNHTriple top      10/09/202510/28/2025Medical Services
WSCTriple top      10/08/202510/27/2025Industrial Services
WWWDead-cat bounce      11/05/202511/05/2025Shoe
WDAYDouble Top, Eve and Eve      09/29/202510/22/2025Computer Software and Svcs

 

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Thursday 11/6/25. Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq climbed by 0.6% or 151.16 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 540 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.7% on 332 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.7% on 208 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 61.5% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 302/546 or 55.3% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 87/181 or 48.1% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the monthly scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the monthly scale.

I didn't see anything on the intraday chart worth remarking on so I flipped to the "all data" scale. It appears to be from about 1985.

I was struck by the percentage change over the period shown. The green box at the top of the chart says 23,399%. One dollar invested in the Nasdaq composite would be, um, wonderful. Of course, to make that kind of gain requires holding for 40 years. It highlights the value of buy-and-hold for the long term.

If you're a day trader, consider splitting your portfolio into intraday trades and buy-and-hold investments. One day you'll burn out from day trading (perhaps as you near retirement) and want a trading style that takes almost no work and yields tremendous gains (with additional risk).

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 124 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ANF, ADBE, AEIS, AFL, APD, ALB, AA, ALKS, ALGT, AEO, AIG, AMGN, AMN, AMAT, ARCB, ACGL, ANET, ASH, AIZ, AVA, AZTA, BALL, BIO, BOOT, BRC, BFH, BCO, BBW, CNC, CRL, CHD, CLNE, CLF, CNO, CMCO, ED, COTY, DDS, BOOM, EME, EG, EZPW, FMC, FWRD, FCX, GNW, HL, HD, HON, HUM, HUN, HURC, IBP, INTU, ISRG, IRM, JKHY, K, KLIC, LZB, L, LOW, LXU, MTSI, MTRX, MU, NFG, NTGR, NEU, NWPX, NTNX, NVDA, PEG, RL, RMBS, RRC, SBH, SEE, SLGN, SKYW, SO, LUV, SR, SNPS, TRGP, TGT, TECH, TDC, TEVA, TREX, UIS, VFC, WAT, WERN, WEX, WSM, WWW, IEV, IGV, IYF, ITB, EWZ, EWG, EIS, EWP, THD, PXJ, PHO, ROBO, XLF, SPY, XAR. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  21,410.70    
 Monthly S1  22,455.25  1,044.55   
 Daily S2  23,124.74  669.49   
 Weekly S2  23,145.22  20.48   Yes! The Weekly S2 is close to the Daily S2.
 Monthly Pivot  23,237.62  92.40   
 Low  23,286.87  49.25   
 Daily S1  23,312.27  25.40   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Low.
 Weekly S1  23,322.51  10.24   Yes! The Weekly S1 is close to the Daily S1.
 Open  23,358.07  35.56   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  23,420.44  62.37   
 50% Down from Intraday High  23,461.70  41.26   
 Daily Pivot  23,474.40  12.70   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  23,499.80  25.40   Yes! The Close is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  23,502.96  3.16   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Close.
 High  23,636.53  133.57   
 Daily R1  23,661.93  25.40   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the High.
 Weekly Pivot  23,671.25  9.32   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the Daily R1.
 Daily R2  23,824.06  152.81   
 Weekly R1  23,848.54  24.48   Yes! The Weekly R1 is close to the Daily R2.
 Weekly R2  24,197.28  348.74   
 Monthly R1  24,282.17  84.89   
 Monthly R2  25,064.54  782.37   

Wednesday 11/5/25. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

The CPI turned bearish more than a week ago. The current value is 14.3, where 0 is the lowest it can go. Bearish is a reading below 35.

The bearish signal won't change, meaning that signals can change for up to a week. This signal is older than a week.

The inset, pictured in the red square in the lower right, shows the CPI line without signal changes. The only caution I can offer is that when the CPI value is that low, it tends to bounce higher. That bounce will follow the index higher, too.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 141 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ADBE, ADTN, A, ALB, AA, AMWD, APA, ACGL, ASH, ADP, AXS, BALL, BAX, BBY, BIO, BKH, BOOT, BRC, BFH, BBW, CENX, CRL, CIEN, CI, CLF, CNO, CL, CAG, COTY, CTS, CMI, ^DJT, EMN, EME, EFX, EL, EXPD, EZPW, FFIV, FMC, FDP, FRD, GAP, IT, GD, GS, HL, HELE, HON, HOV, HUM, HURC, NSP, IBP, INTC, INTU, K, KMT, KEYS, KFRC, KMB, KLIC, LXU, MHO, MTRX, MGEE, MUR, MYGN, NFG, NTAP, NI, OXY, OMCL, OR, PATK, PYPL, POR, PPL, RL, REGN, RGS, RGA, ROL, SBH, SEIC, SMTC, SWX, SR, SCS, SNPS, TGT, TECH, TTD, TZOO, UIS, VFC, WAT, WEX, WWW, ITA, IHF, IEV, IGV, MXI, SLV, IGE, ITB, EWA, EWC, EWQ, EPP, EWS, EZA, EWD, THD, EWU, PPA, PEJ, PHO, XHB, XLI, VIS. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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Tuesday 11/4/25. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow dropped by -0.5% or -226.19 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 816 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.7% on 414 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.8% on 402 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 50.7% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 322/587 or 54.9% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 61/125 or 48.8% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Southwest Water: SWWC stock.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 115 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ABM, ACIW, ADBE, AEIS, AES, APD, AMZN, AEE, AMWD, ATR, ADM, ASH, BAX, BSX, BBW, BG, CIEN, CTAS, CSCO, CLF, CNA, CNX, CR, DECK, FANG, DTE, ELV, EMR, EXC, XOM, EZPW, FRD, IT, GILD, GL, HL, HSII, HP, HD, HON, IBP, IBKR, JNJ, KFRC, LEG, LDOS, RAMP, LOW, M, MTRX, MU, MYGN, NFLX, NWL, OGE, ORCL, PFE, RJF, REGN, ROL, ROST, SAIA, SBH, SCHW, SMG, SHW, SLGN, SGI, SCCO, TDC, TEVA, TTD, TSCO, TDG, RIG, TZOO, TWLO, UNM, WRB, WAT, WERN, WU, WWW, WWD, XEL, ITA, IYM, IDU, IEV, MXI, ITB, EWZ, EWQ, EIS, EWM, EWY, EWD, THD, TUR, XLY, GLD, XHB, XLB, USO, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  44,354.51    
 Monthly S1  45,845.59  1,491.09   
 Daily S2  46,828.62  983.03   
 Weekly S2  46,881.51  52.89   Yes! The Weekly S2 is close to the Daily S2.
 Monthly Pivot  46,943.12  61.61   
 Daily S1  47,082.65  139.53   
 Weekly S1  47,109.09  26.45   Yes! The Weekly S1 is close to the Daily S1.
 Low  47,135.96  26.87   Yes! The Low is close to the Weekly S1.
 Close  47,336.68  200.72   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  47,350.40  13.72   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Close.
 Daily Pivot  47,389.99  39.59   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 50% Down from Intraday High  47,416.64  26.66   Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  47,482.89  66.24   
 Weekly Pivot  47,574.87  91.98   
 Daily R1  47,644.02  69.15   
 Open  47,697.33  53.31   Yes! The Open is close to the Daily R1.
 High  47,697.33  0.00   Yes! The High is close to the Open.
 Weekly R1  47,802.45  105.13   
 Daily R2  47,951.36  148.91   
 Weekly R2  48,268.23  316.87   
 Monthly R1  48,434.20  165.98   
 Monthly R2  49,531.73  1,097.52   

Monday 11/3/25. 2025 Forecast Update

2025 Forecast

Here's the updated 2025 market forecast, presented in slider format.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Up 337.47 points.
Tuesday: Up 161.78 points.
Wednesday: Down 74.37 points.
Thursday: Down 109.88 points.
Friday: Up 40.75 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were up 355.75 points or 0.8%.
The Nasdaq composite was up 520.12 points or 2.2%.
The S&P 500 index was up 48.51 points or 0.7%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     1.0% down from the high of 48,040.64 on 10/29/2025.
     29.9% up from the low of 36,611.78 on 04/07/2025.
Nasdaq
     1.2% down from the high of 24,019.99 on 10/29/2025.
     60.5% up from the low of 14,784.03 on 04/07/2025.
S&P 500
     1.2% down from the high of 6,920.34 on 10/29/2025.
     41.5% up from the low of 4,835.04 on 04/07/2025.

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  47,172  47,367  47,543  47,738  47,914 
Weekly  46,957  47,260  47,650  47,953  48,344 
Monthly  44,430  45,996  47,019  48,585  49,607 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  6,780  6,810  6,845  6,875  6,909 
Weekly  6,752  6,796  6,858  6,902  6,964 
Monthly  6,401  6,621  6,770  6,990  7,140 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  23,449  23,587  23,767  23,905  24,084 
Weekly  23,220  23,473  23,746  23,999  24,272 
Monthly  21,486  22,605  23,313  24,432  25,140 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is either underway or should be starting soon. The sessions could be more volatile.

Here's a symbol list of 124 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, ADTN, AES, APD, AA, AMZN, AFG, AMWD, ATR, ARCB, ADM, ARW, AVA, BALL, BIIB, BA, CX, CNP, CDAY, CVX, CI, CSCO, CNX, CGNX, GLW, D, DTE, EXP, EBAY, ELV, EMR, EXC, FICO, FDX, FMC, FRD, GE, GNW, GILD, HLIT, HTLD, HL, HELE, HSY, HD, JBHT, ILMN, IBP, IBKR, TILE, KLIC, LAMR, LEG, LPLA, MDT, META, MSFT, MOS, MUR, NBR, NFG, NWL, OTEX, OMI, PRU, RRC, RES, SAIA, CRM, SBH, NOW, SLGN, SGI, SCCO, SPSC, SSYS, TOL, TWLO, UNM, VRTX, WRB, WMT, WAT, WERN, WWW, WWD, IYM, IEZ, IDU, FDN, FXI, IHF, IAT, IYF, IHI, EWO, EWK, EEM, EWQ, EWG, EWM, EWD, EWL, THD, TUR, PBE, GLD, XLB, XLU, UNG, VAW, MGK. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Semiconductor Cap Equip.1. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
2. Semiconductor2. Semiconductor
3. Telecom. Equipment3. Telecom. Equipment
4. Electronics4. Electronics
5. Machinery5. Diversified Co.
6. Diversified Co.6. Apparel
7. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment7. Furn/Home Furnishings
8. Furn/Home Furnishings8. Machinery
9. Apparel9. Computers and Peripherals
10. Computers and Peripherals10. Long ETFs
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Food Processing50. Food Processing
51. Packaging and Container51. Trucking/Transp. Leasing
52. Insurance (Prop/Casualty)52. Insurance (Diversified)
53. Chemical (Diversified)53. Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
54. IT Services54. Chemical (Basic)
55. Chemical (Basic)55. IT Services
56. Information Services56. Information Services
57. Household Products57. Medical Services
58. Medical Services58. Household Products
59. Human Resources59. Human Resources
60. Short ETFs60. Short ETFs

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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