Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 08/06/2025
  Indus: 44,193 +81.38 +0.2%  
  Trans: 15,565 +130.75 +0.8%  
  Utils: 1,102 -8.35 -0.8%  
  Nasdaq: 21,169 +252.87 +1.2%  
  S&P 500: 6,345 +45.87 +0.7%  
YTD
 +3.9%  
-2.1%  
 +12.1%  
 +9.6%  
 +7.9%  
  Targets    Overview: 07/30/2025  
  Up arrow45,300 or 43,200 by 08/15/2025
  Up arrow16,300 or 14,800 by 08/15/2025
  Up arrow1,150 or 1,050 by 08/15/2025
  Up arrow21,700 or 20,500 by 08/15/2025
  Up arrow6,500 or 6,200 by 08/15/2025
As of 08/06/2025
  Indus: 44,193 +81.38 +0.2%  
  Trans: 15,565 +130.75 +0.8%  
  Utils: 1,102 -8.35 -0.8%  
  Nasdaq: 21,169 +252.87 +1.2%  
  S&P 500: 6,345 +45.87 +0.7%  
YTD
 +3.9%  
-2.1%  
 +12.1%  
 +9.6%  
 +7.9%  
  Targets    Overview: 07/30/2025  
  Up arrow45,300 or 43,200 by 08/15/2025
  Up arrow16,300 or 14,800 by 08/15/2025
  Up arrow1,150 or 1,050 by 08/15/2025
  Up arrow21,700 or 20,500 by 08/15/2025
  Up arrow6,500 or 6,200 by 08/15/2025

August 2025 Headlines

Archives


Thursday 8/7/25. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq climbed by 1.2% or 252.87 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 189 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.8% on 117 occasions.
     Average loss was -1.0% on 72 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 61.9% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 296/535 or 55.3% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 86/179 or 48.0% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

This looks like a complicated chart, but it's not. Really.

The slanted red line on the left of the chart follows an uptrend for a time (3+ days). The horizontal red line on the right supports price. Actually both red lines show support.

I drew the horizontal green line to see where overhead resistance might prevent price from rising. From a week ago Monday to Wednesday, the green line held down price.

Today (Wednesday), it looks like price is moving sideways to down. Indeed, the CPI (Chart Pattern Indicator) has turned slightly bearish with a 33 reading. That suggests the index is going down. Coupled with overhead resistance (green line), and I think a downward move is likely, but I could be wrong, of course.

In the middle bottom of the chart, AB, is a double bottom. I almost forgot about that. Price made a quick drop going into the pattern and then soared back out. You see that quick decline, quick rise pattern more in diamonds than double bottoms, so it's unusual here.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 152 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACN, ADTN, AMD, A, DOX, AMED, AMWD, ANIK, AR, APA, ATR, ANET, AIZ, AVY, BAX, BMRN, BAH, BCO, BRKR, BG, CBT, CAL, CE, CENX, CF, CRL, CHD, CLF, CNX, COP, CXW, COST, CR, CCRN, CSGS, DECK, DDS, DOV, BOOM, EMR, EOG, EL, EXPI, XOM, FDX, FIS, FLS, FMC, FTV, FWRD, FRD, GPN, GOOGL, HLIT, HE, HELE, HOLX, HON, ILMN, IBP, IRM, KALU, KELYA, KMT, LHX, LRCX, LNC, RAMP, LOW, M, MGY, MAN, MKTX, MLM, MAS, MTDR, MSFT, MS, MOS, MUR, NWL, NEE, OXY, OLN, ASGN, ON, OTEX, OUT, OXM, PTEN, PCTY, PETS, POR, PPG, ROK, RGLD, SAIA, SLB, SHOP, SGI, LUV, TGT, TECH, TDOC, TXT, TKR, TDG, TREX, VLO, VRSN, WMT, WAT, WLK, WPM, WMB, WWW, IYE, FDN, ICF, IYH, IYZ, IEO, EWA, EWO, EWC, EWG, EIS, EWI, EWJ, EWM, EWW, EPP, EWS, EZA, EWP, THD, EWU, PXJ, XLE, VHT, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

Top

© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  19,558.71    
 Weekly S2  20,165.05  606.33   
 Monthly S1  20,364.07  199.02   
 Weekly S1  20,667.23  303.17   
 Daily S2  20,850.54  183.30   
 Monthly Pivot  20,910.77  60.23   
 Low  20,937.49  26.72   
 Open  20,955.22  17.73   Yes! The Open is close to the Low.
 Daily S1  21,009.98  54.76   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  21,031.61  21.63   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily S1.
 50% Down from Intraday High  21,060.69  29.07   
 Weekly Pivot  21,062.36  1.67   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  21,089.76  27.40   
 Daily Pivot  21,096.93  7.17   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  21,169.42  72.49   
 High  21,183.88  14.46   Yes! The High is close to the Close.
 Daily R1  21,256.37  72.49   
 Daily R2  21,343.32  86.95   
 Weekly R1  21,564.54  221.22   
 Monthly R1  21,716.13  151.58   
 Weekly R2  21,959.67  243.54   
 Monthly R2  22,262.83  303.17   

Wednesday 8/6/25. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

The most recent signal is neutral. That's a value between 35 and 65 with a current reading of 55.

The inset in the red square on the right shows the raw CPI without signal changes illustrated. The pattern reminds me of a symmetrical triangle as it wobbles up and down. The swings are narrower on each pass. It speaks of indecision.

Indeed, that's what neutral means. Because I'm bullish, I like to suggest the markets will rise, but with Trump and his tariff wars, there's no telling what is going to happen.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 145 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACN, AMD, AES, ALL, AMED, APH, AON, ADSK, AVA, AZTA, BALL, BZH, BIIB, BMRN, BCO, BRKR, BG, CBT, CAL, CLS, CNC, CENX, CHKP, CHD, CSCO, CLF, CTSH, CR, CCRN, CCK, DHR, DECK, DDS, EBAY, EMR, EL, EXPI, FDS, FDX, FIS, FISV, FMC, FWRD, IT, GFS, HE, HQY, HP, HSIC, HOV, HUM, ITW, ILMN, IIIN, IPAR, IBKR, INTU, JAZZ, KELYA, KFRC, KLAC, KLIC, LRCX, LEN, LNC, RAMP, L, MTSI, M, MANH, MTDR, MRCY, MSFT, MCO, MS, MYGN, NFLX, ASGN, OTEX, OMI, PCTY, PETS, DGX, RL, RCKY, ROG, ROL, ROP, SAIA, CRM, SBH, SMG, SR, SRDX, TECH, TDOC, TDC, MZTI, TDG, TREX, VECO, VEEV, VRSN, VRTX, V, WEX, ZBRA, IYM, IYE, QTEC, FXL, MXI, IXN, SOXX, EWA, EWO, EWK, ECH, EWH, EIS, EWM, EWW, EPP, EWS, EWY, EWP, EWL, EWT, THD, PEJ, XLE. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

Top


Tuesday 8/5/25. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 1.3% or 585.06 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 273 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.8% on 148 occasions.
     Average loss was -1.0% on 125 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 54.2% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 313/574 or 54.5% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 61/125 or 48.8% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Teleflex 2 (TFX) stock.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 116 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, ANF, ABM, ADTN, APD, ALRM, AA, ALGT, AMZN, DOX, ADSK, BMRN, BCO, BRKR, BG, CE, CNP, CIEN, CINF, CTAS, CSCO, GLW, ^DJI, EOG, EPAM, EXPI, EXPD, EZPW, HQY, HL, HNI, HUN, IDA, INTU, JKHY, JAZZ, KSS, LAMR, LEG, L, M, MGY, MTDR, MTRX, MLKN, ^IXIC, NTAP, NWPX, NTNX, OMCL, ASGN, ORCL, PKE, PAYX, PINC, RRC, RNG, RHI, ROST, ^GSPC, SLB, SIGI, STR, SKYW, LUV, SWX, SXI, SCS, SRDX, TTD, TZOO, VMC, WU, WLK, ZBRA, IAI, IHE, FTEC, FDN, QQQ, IYH, IYZ, IGV, IXN, ILF, SLV, IGE, IEO, EWA, EWZ, EEM, EWM, EWY, EWT, TUR, QLD, PEJ, PJP, SSO, XLF, GLD, SPY, XLK, USO, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

Top

© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  42,500.98    
 Weekly S2  42,547.46  46.48   
 Monthly S1  43,337.31  789.84   
 Weekly S1  43,360.55  23.25   Yes! The Weekly S1 is close to the Monthly S1.
 Daily S2  43,564.33  203.78   
 Low  43,724.02  159.69   
 Open  43,724.02  0.00   Yes! The Open is close to the Low.
 Daily S1  43,868.99  144.97   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  43,901.40  32.41   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily S1.
 50% Down from Intraday High  43,956.19  54.79   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  44,010.98  54.79   
 Daily Pivot  44,028.67  17.69   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Weekly Pivot  44,153.77  125.09   
 Close  44,173.64  19.88   Yes! The Close is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 Monthly Pivot  44,177.01  3.37   Yes! The Monthly Pivot is close to the Close.
 High  44,188.36  11.35   Yes! The High is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 Daily R1  44,333.33  144.97   
 Daily R2  44,493.01  159.68   
 Weekly R1  44,966.85  473.84   
 Monthly R1  45,013.34  46.49   
 Weekly R2  45,760.07  746.73   
 Monthly R2  45,853.04  92.97   

Monday 8/4/25. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Dow industrials on the daily scale.

I show a chart of the Dow industrials on the daily scale.

The imposition of tariffs by Trump and weakening jobs report sent the markets tumbling.

That tumble formed a chart pattern called a double top. I show the twin peaks at AB.

The pattern confirms as valid when the index closed below the valley between the two peaks. That happened at C (closed below the red line).

How far could the index drop? A notable support area appears circled at D. It's what I call a knot. I studied knots and they do well as support and resistance areas.

I'm not suggesting the index will drop to D, but it could. It could drop farther than D, too.

Top

A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Down 64.36 points.
Tuesday: Down 204.57 points.
Wednesday: Down 171.71 points.
Thursday: Down 330.3 points.
Friday: Down 542.4 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were down 1313.34 points or 2.9%.
The Nasdaq composite was down 458.19 points or 2.2%.
The S&P 500 index was down 150.63 points or 2.4%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     3.3% down from the high of 45,054.36 on 01/31/2025.
     19.1% up from the low of 36,611.78 on 04/07/2025.
Nasdaq
     3.8% down from the high of 21,457.48 on 07/31/2025.
     39.7% up from the low of 14,784.03 on 04/07/2025.
S&P 500
     2.9% down from the high of 6,427.02 on 07/31/2025.
     29.0% up from the low of 4,835.04 on 04/07/2025.

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

Top

Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  43,129  43,359  43,570  43,800  44,011 
Weekly  42,352  42,971  43,959  44,577  45,565 
Monthly  42,306  42,947  43,982  44,623  45,658 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  6,171  6,205  6,246  6,279  6,321 
Weekly  6,078  6,158  6,293  6,372  6,507 
Monthly  6,028  6,133  6,280  6,385  6,532 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  20,387  20,518  20,692  20,824  20,997 
Weekly  19,992  20,321  20,889  21,218  21,787 
Monthly  19,386  20,018  20,738  21,370  22,090 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

Top

Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is either underway or should be starting soon. The sessions could be more volatile.

Here's a symbol list of 233 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ABT, ANF, ACN, ACIW, ADBE, AFL, A, APD, AKAM, ALK, AA, ALGT, DOX, AEO, AXP, AFG, ASH, AGO, ATO, AVY, AXS, BMI, BZH, BBY, BKNG, BFH, BRKR, BBW, BG, CDNS, CAL, CE, CNP, CINF, CTAS, CNA, CNO, CTSH, COST, CROX, CTS, DHR, DECK, DVN, ^DJI, D, DOV, EXP, EMN, ECL, EME, EMR, EPAM, EXPI, XOM, FIVN, FTNT, FNV, GAP, IT, GNW, GPN, GFS, GGG, HBI, HIG, HQY, HSII, DHI, HUBG, JBHT, HUN, IDA, ILMN, NSP, IIIN, INTC, IPAR, IBKR, TILE, IPI, KMB, KLIC, LH, LEG, LDOS, RAMP, LMT, LOW, M, MKTX, MTDR, MDT, MU, MLKN, MOS, MLI, MYGN, NTAP, NWL, NEU, NEE, NWPX, NOVT, NTNX, OXY, ORI, OMCL, OTEX, OR, OMI, PKG, PKE, PTEN, PYPL, PETS, PNW, PPG, PINC, PFG, PGR, QTWO, KWR, RL, RGS, RGA, RNG, RHI, ROK, ROG, RES, R, CRM, SAND, SLB, SCHW, SEE, SEIC, NOW, STR, SKX, SKYW, LUV, SPSC, SXI, SCS, TRGP, TGT, TDOC, TDC, TMO, TJX, RIG, TZOO, UHAL, UIS, VLO, VECO, VEEV, WERN, WLK, WEX, WSC, WWW, XEL, IYM, IYC, IEZ, IHE, DDM, FTEC, QTEC, FXL, FXI, IAT, IYZ, IEV, MXI, IXN, ILF, IGE, IEO, IYF, EWA, EWC, ECH, EEM, EWQ, EWG, EWH, EIS, EWI, EWM, EWS, EZA, EWY, EWL, PBE, PEJ, PXJ, PJP, XLY, XLF, GLD, XLI, XLB, XRT, XLK, VHT, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Aerospace/Defense1. Metals and Mining (Div.)
2. Metals and Mining (Div.)2. Internet
3. Semiconductor3. Investment Co. (Foreign)
4. Internet4. Chemical (Specialty)
5. Chemical (Specialty)5. Aerospace/Defense
6. Investment Co. (Foreign)6. Electric Utility (Central)
7. Electric Utility (Central)7. Electric Utility (East)
8. Electric Utility (East)8. Securities Brokerage
9. Semiconductor Cap Equip.9. Drug
10. Computer Software and Svcs10. Computer Software and Svcs
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Chemical (Diversified)50. Advertising
51. Advertising51. Precision Instrument
52. Precision Instrument52. Chemical (Basic)
53. Chemical (Basic)53. Air Transport
54. Toiletries/Cosmetics54. Shoe
55. Air Transport55. Petroleum (Producing)
56. Shoe56. Toiletries/Cosmetics
57. Medical Services57. Medical Services
58. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment58. Trucking/Transp. Leasing
59. Trucking/Transp. Leasing59. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
60. Human Resources60. Human Resources

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

Top


Friday 8/1/25. 2025 Forecast Update

Here's the updated 2025 market forecast, presented in slider format.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 164 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ACN, A, AKAM, ALL, DOX, AMED, AEE, AFG, AME, APH, AGO, AVNT, AVA, AXS, BALL, BAX, BBY, BMY, CACI, CDNS, CAL, CPB, CX, CRL, CHKP, CTAS, CNO, CGNX, CTSH, CTS, CMI, DHR, XRAY, DTE, EME, EVRG, EXC, EXPD, FFIV, FIVN, FMC, FORM, GNW, HBI, HSII, HSIC, HOLX, HD, HUN, ITW, NSP, ITGR, IBKR, IPI, INTU, JKHY, KALU, KLIC, LZB, LEG, LNC, LXU, MGY, MANH, MKTX, MLM, MA, MTRX, MRK, META, MSFT, MLKN, MCO, MYGN, ^IXIC, NFLX, NEE, NOC, NUS, NTNX, ORI, OMCL, ORCL, OR, OMI, PANW, PKE, PNW, KWR, QCOM, RL, REGN, RGS, RNG, ROP, ^GSPC, SBH, SEE, SRE, SLGN, SCCO, SPSC, SXI, SCS, TEVA, TXN, MZTI, TJX, TZOO, TWLO, UGI, WRB, WERN, WLK, WWD, WDAY, FTEC, FXI, IEV, IGV, IXN, SLV, EWA, ECH, EWQ, EWG, EWH, EWM, EPP, EWS, EZA, EWD, EWL, THD, GLD, XLK, VHT, MGK. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

Top

Archives

 

Support this site! Clicking any of the books (below) takes you to Amazon.com If you buy ANYTHING while there, they pay for the referral.
Legal notice for paid links: "As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases."

My Stock Market Books
My Novels

Copyright © 2005-2025 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved.
Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information.
Some pattern names are registered trademarks of their respective owners.
Home Advertise Contact Privacy/Disclaimer