As of 10/06/2025   Indus: 46,695 -63.31 -0.1%     Trans: 15,890 +49.75 +0.3%     Utils: 1,133 +8.02 +0.7%     Nasdaq: 22,942 +161.16 +0.7%     S&P 500: 6,740 +24.49 +0.4%	YTD  +9.8%   0.0%    +15.3%    +18.8%    +14.6%	Targets    Overview: 09/30/2025     48,000 or 45,750 by 10/15/2025   16,700 or 15,200 by 10/15/2025   1,200 or 1,100 by 10/15/2025   23,000 or 21,800 by 10/15/2025   6,800 or 6,500 by 10/15/2025
Chart Pattern Indicator: on 10/1/25

As of 10/06/2025   Indus: 46,695 -63.31 -0.1%     Trans: 15,890 +49.75 +0.3%     Utils: 1,133 +8.02 +0.7%     Nasdaq: 22,942 +161.16 +0.7%     S&P 500: 6,740 +24.49 +0.4%	YTD  +9.8%   0.0%    +15.3%    +18.8%    +14.6%
Targets    Overview: 09/30/2025     48,000 or 45,750 by 10/15/2025   16,700 or 15,200 by 10/15/2025   1,200 or 1,100 by 10/15/2025   23,000 or 21,800 by 10/15/2025   6,800 or 6,500 by 10/15/2025
Chart Pattern Indicator: on 10/1/25

Tuesday 10/7/25. Slider Trading Quiz!

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Southern Peru Copper: PCU, support and resistance.

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Here's a symbol list of 137 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ANF, AMD, AES, AFL, ALK, ALL, AEO, AMN, ANIK, AMAT, ACGL, ANET, AVNT, AZTA, BAX, BZH, BBY, BOOT, BRC, BFH, BLDR, CRL, CLX, CMTL, CSGP, CSGS, XRAY, FANG, DDS, DTE, EFX, EVH, FFIV, FDS, FDX, FISV, FLS, FORM, FRD, GME, GAP, GIS, GNW, GFS, GFF, HTLD, HELE, HSIC, HOLX, DHI, HOV, TILE, IPG, INTU, KALU, KBH, KLIC, LH, LRCX, LAMR, LEG, LEN, LNC, MHO, MANH, MKTX, MAS, MOS, NFLX, NWL, NWPX, ORI, PTEN, PETS, PCG, PPG, PEG, QTWO, KWR, QCOM, RGS, RNG, ROK, RGLD, RES, SAND, SEE, SIGI, SHW, SHOP, SO, SR, TECH, TDOC, TFX, TEVA, TXT, TTD, TREX, UNM, VFC, VRTX, WU, WMB, IYK, IYC, QTEC, FXL, BOTZ, ICF, IXN, SOXX, IGE, ITB, EWJ, EWY, TUR, ROBO, GLD, XHB, XLI, XRT, XAR, SMH. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

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The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

Monday 10/6/25. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

• My Prediction
• A Brief Look Back
• Options Expiration
• Swing Traders: Pivot Points
• Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

My Prediction

This is a chart of the Dow utilities on the daily scale. Let's talk about B first.

B is not a chart of a triple top. Why? Because the index had to close below the lowest valley between the three peaks to confirm it as a valid triple top. Instead, price climbed above the top of the pattern.

Rather, the pattern is an inverted roof chart pattern. That pattern looks like a roof upside down. Price can enter and exit the pattern from either up or down. The breakout direction is random, at 51% upward.

I don't highlight pattern A much nor do I search for them. It's a V-bottom. Due to the way the pattern is defined, the breakout is upward every time. However, it's a mid-list performer (ranking 24 out of 39). The failure rate is 19%, meaning 19% of patterns will fail to see price rise at least 5% above the top of the pattern.

What does this mean? It suggests a continued rise in price but it may struggle to make that climb. The prior peak (in August) will put up resistance to an advance, so it has to push through that.

A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

For the Week...

Year to Date...

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

• Seekinger doesn't look at the range of S2 to R2 as support and resistance levels. Rather, he considers them oversold (S) and overbought (R) areas.
• S2 to R2 range of values across daily, weekly, and monthly periods: If two values are close together then they lend more significance to the area.
• If the market trends on day 1, the odds rise tremendously that the market will be range bound between daily S1 and daily R1 the next day.
• In a quiet market when traders are waiting for an important earnings announcement or economic report, look for daily R1 and S1 levels to hold and for the market to return to the daily pivot.
• A move outside of daily R1 or S1 usually does not mean a breakout.
• The odds suggest that the entire week's price action will remain between weekly R2 and S2.
• Avoid going long when the market moves above weekly R2 (it's overbought) and avoid going short when price moves below weekly S2 (oversold).
• Consider going short at weekly R1 or long at weekly S1 with a profit objective of the weekly pivot.
• Consider going long at weekly S2 or short at weekly R2 with a profit objective of weekly S1 or R1, respectively.

Here are the formulas:

Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season will be starting in about 10 days.

Here's a symbol list of 137 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: MMM, ANF, AMD, AFL, APD, ALKS, AMZN, AME, AMN, ACGL, AZTA, BBY, BAH, BLDR, CAL, CX, CNO, CTSH, CMCO, CMTL, CTS, CMI, DDS, DSGR, ^DJU, D, EBAY, EQT, EXPD, FDX, GME, GAP, GNW, GES, HBI, THG, HLIT, HE, HTLD, HL, HELE, HSIC, HWM, JBHT, NSP, TILE, ISRG, JNJ, KALU, K, KMT, KEYS, KSS, LZB, LH, LXU, MAN, MRTN, META, NFLX, NJR, NKE, NWPX, NOVT, NTNX, ORI, OTEX, PANW, PETS, PCG, PLXS, PINC, PFG, PGR, PRU, PSTG, RES, CRM, SEE, SHOP, SCCO, TECH, TEVA, TXN, TTD, VMI, VRTX, VC, WSC, WWD, IYM, IDU, FDN, QTEC, FXL, BOTZ, ICF, IYH, IHF, IGV, MXI, SOXX, IHI, EWA, EWO, EWQ, EWJ, EPP, EWS, EWD, EWL, THD, TUR, IBB, PBE, PEJ, PXJ, PHO, ROBO, XLI, XLB, XRT, XLU, VHT, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

Friday 10/3/25. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 124 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ADTN, AES, AEP, AME, AMAT, ANET, AGO, ATO, AXS, BSET, BBY, BKH, BFH, BRKR, CDNS, CE, CLS, CNC, CRL, CMCO, CMTL, CXW, CCK, CW, EXP, ECL, EFX, EL, EXPD, FICO, FCX, GME, GILD, GES, HBI, HL, HSII, HELE, HNI, HOLX, HWM, ILMN, INTC, TILE, IPG, JKHY, K, KMT, KSS, KLIC, LRCX, MGY, MTRN, MDT, MGEE, NJR, NWPX, OXY, OGE, ORI, OTEX, PETS, POR, PINC, PFG, PG, KWR, DGX, RGA, RNG, SCI, SLGN, SGI, SR, TGT, TDY, TER, TTD, TRV, TWLO, UHAL, UIS, VFC, VEEV, WSO, WMB, IYM, IYC, FTEC, QTEC, FXL, FXI, BOTZ, IAT, IXN, SOXX, IGE, EWA, EEM, EWQ, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EPP, EZA, EWY, EWL, THD, PHO, ROBO, XLI, XLB, XLK, SMH. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

Thursday 10/2/25. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

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I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite intraday for 5 days.

A triple bottom appears on the chart, shown here by the red line. The green line is what's called a confirmation line. A close above the green line validates the chart pattern as a real triple bottom and signals that price will rise (but not how far).

At B, we see a common occurrence, called a throwback. That's when a chart pattern (a triple bottom in this case) breaks out upward but price soon retraces back to, or close to, the breakout price (the breakout price is the price of the green line). After a throwback completes, the security resumes the rise 65% of the time.

Indeed, the composite climbed on this chart. The rise appears to have met the target (I eyeballed this) which is the height of the triple bottom (from red to green lines) added to the price of the green line.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 129 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: AYI, AKAM, AA, AR, AON, APOG, ATR, ADM, AWI, ATO, AVY, AZTA, BCPC, BBY, BKH, BKNG, BSX, BRC, BFH, BMY, BLDR, CNC, CNP, CHKP, CHD, CNX, CGNX, CMTL, CAG, DHR, ^DJU, D, DTE, EVRG, XOM, FIVN, FTNT, GPN, GES, HBI, THG, HELE, ILMN, NSP, TILE, IPG, JKHY, JNJ, K, KFRC, KLIC, LH, LEG, MANH, MRK, META, MS, NOV, NJR, NEE, NKE, NI, OGE, ORI, OMCL, ASGN, OR, OUT, OMI, PYPL, PEN, POR, PINC, PG, DGX, REGN, RNG, SAIC, SO, SCCO, TECH, TTD, TSCO, UGI, UIS, WSC, WDAY, IEZ, IHE, FXL, ICF, IYH, IEV, SLV, EWA, EWO, EWK, ECH, EEM, EWQ, EWG, EIS, EWI, EWM, EWW, EPP, EWS, EZA, EWY, EWL, EWU, PXJ, PJP, ROBO, XLY, XLV, VHT. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

Wednesday 10/1/25. 2025 Forecast Update

Here's the updated 2025 market forecast, presented in slider format.

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Here's a symbol list of 140 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ANF, ABM, ACIW, AYI, AFL, A, AKAM, ALK, ALKS, AFG, AME, AIZ, BALL, BBY, BKNG, BRC, BFH, CAL, COR, CNP, CINF, CRH, CTS, ^DJU, DTE, EME, EOG, EVH, EXPI, FAST, FDX, FIVN, FLEX, FNV, GAP, GD, GILD, HBI, HLIT, HL, HELE, HUM, IEX, NSP, IBP, TILE, JKHY, JAZZ, K, KFRC, KLAC, KLIC, MANH, MGEE, MS, ^IXIC, NFLX, NJR, NEE, NI, NOC, NWPX, NVDA, OGE, ORI, OLN, OMCL, ASGN, OTEX, OMI, PKG, PKE, PAYX, PYPL, PLXS, POR, PPL, PINC, PFG, RL, RRC, REGN, RGS, RNG, RHI, ROG, ROL, RGLD, ^GSPC, SAND, SAIC, SIGI, SR, SCS, SSYS, TER, TTD, UIS, UPS, VMI, WSO, WLK, WPM, WOLF, WDAY, DDM, FTEC, QQQ, IAT, IYZ, IGE, EWK, EWQ, EWG, EIS, EWJ, EWP, TUR, QLD, PXJ, SSO, XLI, XLB, SPY, XAR, XLK, UNG, USO, VIS, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Orb Foresight (#Ad)

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