As of 12/06/2024
Indus: 44,643 -123.19 -0.3%
Trans: 16,879 -97.04 -0.6%
Utils: 1,036 -11.79 -1.1%
Nasdaq: 19,860 +159.51 +0.8%
S&P 500: 6,090 +15.16 +0.2%
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YTD
+18.4%
+6.2%
+17.4%
+32.3%
+27.7%
|
44,000 or 46,000 by 12/15/2024
17,025 or 18,000 by 12/15/2024
1,025 or 1,100 by 12/15/2024
20,000 or 18,500 by 12/15/2024
6,200 or 5,900 by 12/15/2024
|
As of 12/06/2024
Indus: 44,643 -123.19 -0.3%
Trans: 16,879 -97.04 -0.6%
Utils: 1,036 -11.79 -1.1%
Nasdaq: 19,860 +159.51 +0.8%
S&P 500: 6,090 +15.16 +0.2%
|
YTD
+18.4%
+6.2%
+17.4%
+32.3%
+27.7%
| |
44,000 or 46,000 by 12/15/2024
17,025 or 18,000 by 12/15/2024
1,025 or 1,100 by 12/15/2024
20,000 or 18,500 by 12/15/2024
6,200 or 5,900 by 12/15/2024
| ||
Below is the updated forecast for 2024 as of the close on November 29, 2024. Captions appear below the pictures for guidance, so be sure to scroll down far enough to read them.
On some of the charts (all except the CPI chart) the prediction in red is based on the work of Edgar Lawrence Smith in the 1930s. Smith said that the stock market followed a 10-year cycle. Each year tended to repeat the behavior of the year a decade earlier. In other words, if you averaged all years ending in 1 (2001, 1991, 1981 and so on), that would give you a forecast for 2011. For 2012, you'd make a similar average, only use 2002, 1992, 1982, and so on. That's what I did for the market forecast charts which follow.
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