Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 04/26/2024
  Indus: 38,240 +153.86 +0.4%  
  Trans: 15,171 -126.01 -0.8%  
  Utils: 884 -10.33 -1.2%  
  Nasdaq: 15,928 +316.14 +2.0%  
  S&P 500: 5,100 +51.54 +1.0%  
YTD
 +1.5%  
-4.6%  
 +0.3%  
 +6.1%  
 +6.9%  
  Targets    Overview: 04/12/2024  
  Up arrow39,800 or 37,150 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow16,200 or 15,000 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow885 or 850 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,800 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow5,250 or 5,025 by 05/01/2024
As of 04/26/2024
  Indus: 38,240 +153.86 +0.4%  
  Trans: 15,171 -126.01 -0.8%  
  Utils: 884 -10.33 -1.2%  
  Nasdaq: 15,928 +316.14 +2.0%  
  S&P 500: 5,100 +51.54 +1.0%  
YTD
 +1.5%  
-4.6%  
 +0.3%  
 +6.1%  
 +6.9%  
  Targets    Overview: 04/12/2024  
  Up arrow39,800 or 37,150 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow16,200 or 15,000 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow885 or 850 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,800 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow5,250 or 5,025 by 05/01/2024

April 2024 Headlines

Archives


Monday 4/29/24. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Dow utilities on the daily scale.

I show the Dow utilities on the daily scale.

Outlined in red is a chart pattern called an ascending broadening wedge. That has two trendlines (red lines in this example) trending upward but widening (diverging).

Stocks showing ascending broadening wedges breakout downward 52% of the time. I'm surprised it's not higher. Because the index is near the top trendline, we'll see if it breaks out upward first (by closing above the top red line).

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Up 253.58 points.
Tuesday: Up 263.71 points.
Wednesday: Down 42.77 points.
Thursday: Down 375.12 points.
Friday: Up 153.86 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were up 253.26 points or 0.7%.
The Nasdaq composite was up 645.89 points or 4.2%.
The S&P 500 index was up 132.73 points or 2.7%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     4.1% down from the high of 39,889.05 on 03/21/2024.
     3.0% up from the low of 37,122.95 on 01/18/2024.
Nasdaq
     3.7% down from the high of 16,538.86 on 03/21/2024.
     10.0% up from the low of 14,477.57 on 01/05/2024.
S&P 500
     3.1% down from the high of 5,264.85 on 03/28/2024.
     8.9% up from the low of 4,682.11 on 01/05/2024.

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  37,942  38,091  38,214  38,363  38,487 
Weekly  37,378  37,809  38,185  38,616  38,992 
Monthly  36,316  37,278  38,573  39,535  40,830 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  5,054  5,077  5,096  5,119  5,137 
Weekly  4,916  5,008  5,061  5,153  5,207 
Monthly  4,795  4,947  5,106  5,259  5,417 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  15,683  15,805  15,893  16,016  16,103 
Weekly  15,010  15,469  15,725  16,184  16,440 
Monthly  14,613  15,270  15,880  16,538  17,148 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is either underway or should be starting soon. The sessions could be more volatile.

Here's a symbol list of 130 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACN, AEIS, AFL, ALGT, ALL, AEO, AEP, AON, AMAT, ATR, ARCB, AXS, BSET, BECN, BZH, BMRN, BFH, BCO, BBW, CHKP, CVX, CSCO, CLF, ED, CSGP, COST, COTY, CR, CCRN, CCK, DVN, DFS, DSGR, DTE, BOOM, EIX, EFX, EL, FIS, FE, FIVN, GIS, GMS, HOV, HURC, IDXX, NSP, IBP, ISRG, JNJ, KBH, KLAC, KLIC, LHX, LZB, LEN, M, MCHX, MS, MLI, NFG, NTGR, NEU, NEE, OGE, ORI, OXM, PKE, PRFT, PCG, PHM, KWR, DGX, ROST, RES, SAIA, SAND, SIGI, SMTC, SCI, SKX, SMAR, SO, SCCO, SWN, SPSC, SXI, SUM, TFX, TER, TXN, TTD, TOL, TWLO, VMC, WWW, IDU, FXI, BOTZ, ITB, IHI, EEM, EWQ, EWH, EWM, EPP, EZA, EWY, TUR, GLD, XHB, XAR, XLU. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Semiconductor1. Homebuilding
2. Homebuilding2. Shoe
3. Shoe3. Building Materials
4. Semiconductor Cap Equip.4. Cement and Aggregates
5. Cement and Aggregates5. Retail (Special Lines)
6. Retail (Special Lines)6. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
7. Apparel7. Apparel
8. Building Materials8. Semiconductor
9. Retail Building Supply9. Furn/Home Furnishings
10. Furn/Home Furnishings10. Retail Building Supply
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Electric Utility (Central)50. Biotechnology
51. Healthcare Information51. Petroleum (Producing)
52. Food Processing52. Human Resources
53. Human Resources53. Natural Gas (Diversified)
54. Insurance (Diversified)54. Electric Utility (West)
55. Electric Utility (West)55. Healthcare Information
56. Chemical (Diversified)56. Toiletries/Cosmetics
57. Medical Services57. Medical Services
58. Toiletries/Cosmetics58. Chemical (Diversified)
59. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment59. Short ETFs
60. Short ETFs60. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and Training "Miles" (#Ad) New

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Friday 4/26/24. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 113 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACN, AFL, ALGT, AEE, AEP, AEL, AME, AMGN, APA, ADM, BCPC, BECN, BIG, BKNG, BFH, BMY, BRKR, BG, CACI, CNP, CENX, CNA, CL, COTY, DECK, DFS, ELV, EME, EL, EVH, EXC, FE, FORM, GIS, GILD, HQY, HP, HON, HUM, JBHT, HURC, IDXX, JBLU, JNJ, LLY, LMT, M, MLM, MAS, MRK, META, MGEE, MS, MYGN, NTAP, NWL, NEU, NOC, NWPX, NUS, OGE, ASGN, OXM, PRFT, PFE, PCG, PLXS, DGX, RMBS, RGA, ROST, R, CRM, SCCO, LUV, SWN, SRDX, TRGP, TFX, TDC, TER, TXT, TDG, TZOO, TG, VMI, VEEV, WU, WWW, WDAY, IYM, IHE, SOXX, ITB, EWK, EWH, EWS, EZA, EWL, PXJ, XLB, XLU, USO. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and Training "Miles" (#Ad) New

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
APHDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/25/202404/04/2024Electronics
ADPTriangle, symmetrical      03/15/202404/24/2024IT Services
BCPCHead-and-shoulders top      02/29/202403/21/2024Chemical (Specialty)
BIODouble Top, Adam and Eve      02/16/202403/22/2024Medical Supplies
BMRNDouble Top, Adam and Adam      04/12/202404/24/2024Biotechnology
BLDRHead-and-shoulders top      03/08/202404/04/2024Retail Building Supply
CALScallop, descending      03/27/202404/24/2024Shoe
CLSPipe top      04/01/202404/08/2024Electronics
EDDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      03/26/202404/16/2024Electric Utility (East)
COTYPipe bottom      04/08/202404/15/2024Toiletries/Cosmetics
DFSPipe bottom      04/08/202404/15/2024Financial Services
DDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      03/26/202404/16/2024Electric Utility (East)
DRQHead-and-shoulders top      02/27/202404/03/2024Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
DUKBroadening top      03/11/202404/19/2024Electric Utility (East)
ELVTriple bottom      03/01/202404/12/2024Medical Services
FRDTriangle, ascending      04/05/202404/25/2024Building Materials
GISPipe bottom      04/08/202404/15/2024Food Processing
NSPTriple bottom      04/05/202404/16/2024Human Resources
JBLUDead-cat bounce      04/23/202404/23/2024Air Transport
RAMPTriangle, symmetrical      03/11/202404/03/2024Computer Software and Svcs
NFLXDouble Top, Eve and Eve      03/21/202404/08/2024Internet
NTNXDouble Top, Eve and Eve      03/08/202404/11/2024E-Commerce
OUTScallop, ascending and inverted      02/20/202404/19/2024Advertising
PORTriple bottom      03/14/202404/16/2024Electric Utility (West)
RESHead-and-shoulders top      04/08/202404/23/2024Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
TWLOTriple top      03/13/202404/01/2024E-Commerce
UHALTriangle, ascending      01/31/202404/03/2024Trucking/Transp. Leasing
VLOPipe top      04/01/202404/08/2024Petroleum (Integrated)
VECOBig M      03/01/202404/09/2024Precision Instrument
MDRXTriangle, descending      03/18/202404/25/2024Healthcare Information
WWWPipe bottom      04/08/202404/15/2024Shoe

 

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Thursday 4/25/24. Cryptocurrency: Ethereum (ETH-USD)

The Nasdaq climbed by 0.1% or 16.11 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 748 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.7% on 416 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.8% on 332 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 55.6% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 275/488 or 56.4% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 76/162 or 46.9% of the time.

Since I post this the night before, check how the futures are trading before market open. Large moves can affect the opening direction.

Picture of the Ethereum on the daily scale.

$ $ $

I show a picture of Ethereum on the daily scale.

Let's go through it by the letters.

At A, we see a strong uptrend, what I call a straight-line run up. There are few pauses along the way in a breath-taking rise.

At B, we see a messy retrace. Price can't decide on a direction so it falls and retraces. Rinse. Repeat.

At C, we see a potential double bottom. It hasn't confirmed as a valid double bottom because the currency hasn't closed above line D, which is the highest peak between the two bottoms. If the double bottom confirms, then look for the currency to rise. Until then, there's a substantial risk that it'll tumble (like 44% or something like that).

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 104 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ANF, AFL, AMZN, AEE, AEO, AEL, AME, AMN, APH, ANIK, APA, ATO, BSET, BSX, BRC, BMY, CACI, CDNS, CPB, CNP, CHD, CINF, CLF, CMTL, COTY, CR, CCK, DECK, XRAY, DFS, ECL, EL, EG, EVH, FAST, FE, GME, GIS, HQY, HP, HUM, JBHT, HURC, IDA, NSP, JBLU, K, LDOS, LLY, LPLA, MANH, MCHX, MAS, MGEE, MS, NWPX, NUS, NVDA, OGE, OLN, OMC, ASGN, ON, OXM, PDCO, PCG, PG, PEG, PSTG, RL, RGA, RCKY, RGLD, SCCO, TDY, TXT, UGI, UNM, VEEV, WRB, WSO, WU, WWW, WDAY, ZBRA, ITA, IHE, FXI, EWK, EWH, EWM, PHO, XLB. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  14,508.72    
 Weekly S2  14,671.11  162.39   
 Monthly S1  15,110.73  439.62   
 Weekly S1  15,191.93  81.20   
 Daily S2  15,524.17  332.24   
 Daily S1  15,618.46  94.29   
 Low  15,634.44  15.98   Yes! The Low is close to the Daily S1.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  15,712.58  78.14   
 Close  15,712.75  0.17   Yes! The Close is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 Daily Pivot  15,728.73  15.98   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the Close.
 50% Down from Intraday High  15,736.72  7.99   Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 Weekly Pivot  15,743.60  6.88   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  15,760.86  17.26   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 Open  15,805.60  44.74   
 Daily R1  15,823.02  17.42   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the Open.
 Monthly Pivot  15,824.80  1.78   Yes! The Monthly Pivot is close to the Daily R1.
 High  15,839.00  14.20   Yes! The High is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 Daily R2  15,933.29  94.29   
 Weekly R1  16,264.42  331.13   
 Monthly R1  16,426.81  162.39   
 Weekly R2  16,816.09  389.28   
 Monthly R2  17,140.88  324.79   

Wednesday 4/24/24. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

The CPI turned bullish today (Tuesday, after the close). The vertical green bar on the far right of the chart shows this. Two bands of neutral signal preceded the green bar.

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This chart shows how the CPI has changed over time. The thin green line shows the timing of the CPI reaching bottom (bearish) before heading higher.

A reading of 35 is the separator between bearish and neutral. Sixty-five is the threshold to turn a neutral signal bullish. Currently, the CPI is 77.1.

Signals can change for up to a week, so that's a factor. My guess is that yes, the S&P 500 has turned bullish, that the retrace is over.

Notice that from November to March, how the CPI hugged the upper portion of the 0 to 100 range. Compare that to the July to November line, where it hugged zero (the bottom of the range).

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 116 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABM, AXDX, ACIW, AFL, ALL, AEE, AEL, AFG, APA, ASH, BAX, BBY, BMRN, BA, BOOT, BFH, BMY, BRKR, CACI, CNP, CI, CINF, CLF, CNA, CL, CMCO, COTY, CRH, FANG, DFS, D, DUK, EIX, EL, EG, FDS, FICO, FISV, FNV, GIS, HBI, HE, HQY, HOLX, HUBG, HURC, JAZZ, JBLU, KELYA, KMB, LZB, LANC, L, MCHX, MTRN, MRK, MGEE, MS, MLI, NFG, NUS, ASGN, OR, OXM, PKG, PANW, PCG, POR, PPL, PG, QTWO, DGX, RLI, SAND, SRE, SHW, SO, SCCO, SNPS, TMO, UHAL, VFC, VMI, VMC, WRB, WMT, WU, WWW, ZBRA, ITA, IYK, FXL, FXI, IYF, EWO, EWK, EWG, EWH, EWI, EWM, EWS, EWP, EWL, THD, PBE, PHO, XLP. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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Tuesday 4/23/24. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 0.7% or 253.58 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 708 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 387 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.7% on 321 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 54.7% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 284/518 or 54.8% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 54/114 or 47.4% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring head-and-shoulders, complex bottoms.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 104 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ALB, ALL, AMZN, AEE, APA, ACGL, AVY, BECN, BBY, BMRN, CBT, CACI, CLS, CNP, CLNE, CNA, GLW, CSGP, DSGR, EVRG, FAST, FORM, FDP, FRD, GGG, HL, HSII, HWM, HURC, JKHY, JAZZ, JBLU, K, KMT, KMB, KSS, KLIC, LHX, LZB, LAMR, LEG, RAMP, LPLA, M, MCHX, MAS, MTRX, MRCY, MU, MUR, NFG, NOV, NKE, NWPX, ASGN, OTEX, POR, PG, DGX, NOW, STR, SKX, SXI, SCS, SRDX, TPR, TGT, TKR, RIG, UNM, VLO, WLK, WOLF, WWW, IEZ, FDN, FXI, BOTZ, IYZ, IXC, IGE, IYF, EWK, ECH, EWI, EWM, EWS, EWL, EWT, EWU, XRT. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  36,302.71    
 Monthly S1  37,271.34  968.64   
 Weekly S2  37,304.20  32.86   Yes! The Weekly S2 is close to the Monthly S1.
 Daily S2  37,761.98  457.78   
 Weekly S1  37,772.09  10.11   Yes! The Weekly S1 is close to the Daily S2.
 Low  37,985.07  212.98   
 Daily S1  38,000.98  15.91   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Low.
 Weekly Pivot  38,079.45  78.47   
 Open  38,116.89  37.44   Yes! The Open is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  38,161.59  44.70   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Open.
 50% Down from Intraday High  38,216.11  54.52   
 Daily Pivot  38,224.07  7.96   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  38,239.98  15.91   Yes! The Close is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  38,270.64  30.66   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Close.
 High  38,447.16  176.52   
 Daily R1  38,463.07  15.91   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the High.
 Weekly R1  38,547.34  84.27   
 Monthly Pivot  38,580.20  32.86   Yes! The Monthly Pivot is close to the Weekly R1.
 Daily R2  38,686.16  105.96   
 Weekly R2  38,854.70  168.54   
 Monthly R1  39,548.83  694.13   
 Monthly R2  40,857.69  1,308.86   

Monday 4/22/24. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the S and P 500 on the daily scale.

This is a chart of the S&P 500 index on the daily scale.

The horizontal green line shows where we (the index, that is) are now compared to where we've been.

The red lines highlight a support zone, bottoming with a 50% Fibonacci retrace of the rise from A to B. Does that make sense?

Translation: I measured the move from valley A to peak B, took half of it and found it matched the bottom red line. Between the two red lines are where the index paused in its move higher.

It's where I expect the index will find support. It might not drop to the top red line or it might drop below the bottom one.

Indeed, I find it hard to believe the index will drop to the red line. My gut says that it'll turn before then. Let's wait and see.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Down 248.13 points.
Tuesday: Up 63.86 points.
Wednesday: Down 45.66 points.
Thursday: Up 22.07 points.
Friday: Up 211.02 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were up 3.16 points or 0.0%.
The Nasdaq composite was down 893.08 points or 5.5%.
The S&P 500 index was down 156.18 points or 3.0%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     4.8% down from the high of 39,889.05 on 03/21/2024.
     2.3% up from the low of 37,122.95 on 01/18/2024.
Nasdaq
     7.6% down from the high of 16,538.86 on 03/21/2024.
     5.6% up from the low of 14,477.57 on 01/05/2024.
S&P 500
     5.7% down from the high of 5,264.85 on 03/28/2024.
     6.1% up from the low of 4,682.11 on 01/05/2024.

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  37,636  37,811  37,957  38,132  38,278 
Weekly  37,220  37,603  37,995  38,378  38,770 
Monthly  36,218  37,102  38,496  39,380  40,773 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  4,914  4,941  4,980  5,006  5,045 
Weekly  4,815  4,891  5,030  5,106  5,245 
Monthly  4,751  4,859  5,062  5,170  5,373 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  15,007  15,144  15,360  15,498  15,714 
Weekly  14,528  14,905  15,600  15,977  16,673 
Monthly  14,365  14,824  15,681  16,140  16,997 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is either underway or should be starting soon. The sessions could be more volatile.

Here's a symbol list of 147 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, ACIW, AEIS, AES, AA, ALGT, ALL, AEE, AMGN, AR, APA, AAPL, ATR, ADP, AVY, AVA, BECN, BIG, BFH, BRKR, BBW, CBT, CAL, CLS, COR, CNP, CENX, CHKP, CHD, CIEN, CLNE, CLF, CNX, CGNX, CL, CMCO, CAG, GLW, CSGP, CCRN, DSGR, BOOM, EZPW, FFIV, FICO, FAST, FE, FIVN, FLEX, FORM, GOOGL, HQY, HSII, HWM, HUBG, IIIN, PODD, IBKR, ISRG, K, KELYA, KFRC, LZB, LRCX, LANC, LLY, RAMP, M, MANH, MCHX, MAS, META, MU, MLKN, MUR, ^IXIC, NOV, NFLX, NWL, NKE, NI, NWPX, OGE, ON, OMI, OXM, PANW, PATK, PAYX, PYPL, PG, PGR, PHM, RRC, ROG, SAND, SLB, SRE, SCI, NOW, SHOP, STR, SO, SUM, SRDX, TXN, RIG, UGI, VLO, VECO, WAT, WLK, WOLF, WDAY, IYC, IEZ, FTEC, FDN, QQQ, IXC, IXN, ITB, EWK, ECH, EZA, EWP, EWT, THD, QLD, XHB, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Homebuilding1. Homebuilding
2. Shoe2. Shoe
3. Building Materials3. Apparel
4. Cement and Aggregates4. Semiconductor
5. Retail (Special Lines)5. Cement and Aggregates
6. Semiconductor Cap Equip.6. Retail (Special Lines)
7. Apparel7. Building Materials
8. Semiconductor8. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
9. Furn/Home Furnishings9. Retail Store
10. Retail Building Supply10. Retail Building Supply
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Biotechnology50. Biotechnology
51. Petroleum (Producing)51. Air Transport
52. Human Resources52. Insurance (Diversified)
53. Natural Gas (Diversified)53. Human Resources
54. Electric Utility (West)54. Healthcare Information
55. Healthcare Information55. Electric Utility (West)
56. Toiletries/Cosmetics56. Toiletries/Cosmetics
57. Medical Services57. Medical Services
58. Chemical (Diversified)58. Chemical (Diversified)
59. Short ETFs59. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
60. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment60. Short ETFs

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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Friday 4/19/24. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 100 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: AEIS, AKAM, ALK, AMZN, AMED, AME, ANIK, APA, APOG, ARCB, AZTA, BMI, BECN, BIO, BMRN, BMY, BRKR, BLDR, CDNS, CLS, CIEN, CLNE, CNA, CNX, CGNX, ED, CAG, CXW, CSGP, DUK, ELV, EFX, XOM, FFIV, FAST, FLS, HTLD, HSIC, HOV, JBHT, INFN, IRM, JAZZ, JBLU, LZB, LRCX, RAMP, MRTN, MU, MSFT, MCO, MUR, NOV, NWL, NEE, NKE, NWPX, ORI, ON, PETS, POR, RRC, RCKY, RGLD, SAIA, SCI, STR, SO, SUM, TECH, TXN, TMO, RIG, TWLO, VLO, VECO, WAT, WLK, WOLF, WDAY, IYC, IEZ, FTEC, IXN, ECH, EEM, EWJ, THD, QLD, DBA, PBE, USO, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
ANFThree Falling Peaks      03/05/202404/03/2024Apparel
AMWDPipe top      02/26/202403/04/2024Building Materials
AMATTriple top      03/07/202404/15/2024Semiconductor Cap Equip.
ATRDouble Top, Adam and Adam      03/07/202403/28/2024Packaging and Container
AVNTHead-and-shoulders top      03/28/202404/09/2024Chemical (Specialty)
BMIDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      03/14/202404/11/2024Precision Instrument
BAXDouble Top, Eve and Eve      03/08/202404/01/2024Medical Supplies
BECNPipe top      04/01/202404/08/2024Retail Building Supply
BERYHead-and-shoulders top      02/22/202403/28/2024Packaging and Container
BBYTriple top      03/22/202404/09/2024Retail (Special Lines)
BIGRoof      03/18/202404/11/2024Retail Store
BKHDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/11/202404/09/2024Electric Utility (West)
BRTriple top      03/07/202404/09/2024Information Services
CACIDouble Top, Eve and Adam      03/05/202403/28/2024IT Services
CALDouble Top, Eve and Eve      03/21/202403/27/2024Shoe
CENXFlag, high and tight      02/26/202404/15/2024Metals and Mining (Div.)
CHKPHead-and-shoulders top      02/06/202404/09/2024E-Commerce
CGNXHead-and-shoulders top      03/14/202404/09/2024Precision Instrument
CMCOPipe top      03/25/202404/01/2024Machinery
CXWDouble Top, Eve and Adam      03/25/202404/09/2024Industrial Services
GLWTriple top      03/04/202403/28/2024Telecom. Equipment
CTSHead-and-shoulders top      03/22/202404/11/2024Electronics
DDSPipe top      03/25/202404/01/2024Retail Store
DSGRDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/21/202404/04/2024Metal Fabricating
^DJUDouble Top, Eve and Adam      03/28/202404/09/2024None
EBAYDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/14/202403/28/2024Internet
EIXDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/21/202404/08/2024Electric Utility (West)
FFIVDouble Top, Eve and Adam      03/12/202404/09/2024Internet
FTNTDouble Top, Adam and Adam      03/08/202404/04/2024Computer Software and Svcs
FWRDDouble Top, Adam and Adam      03/28/202404/09/2024Trucking/Transp. Leasing
HLITTriple top      03/21/202404/04/2024Telecom. Equipment
HSICPipe top      02/20/202402/26/2024Medical Supplies
HNIDouble Top, Adam and Eve      02/29/202403/28/2024Furn/Home Furnishings
HOVDiamond top      03/21/202404/09/2024Homebuilding
HUBGDouble Top, Adam and Adam      03/28/202404/08/2024Trucking/Transp. Leasing
IBPDiamond top      03/25/202404/08/2024Retail Building Supply
ISRGTriple top      03/04/202403/27/2024Medical Supplies
JKHYDouble Top, Adam and Adam      03/28/202404/09/2024IT Services
KScallop, ascending and inverted      03/14/202404/16/2024Food Processing
KELYATriple top      03/04/202403/28/2024Human Resources
KLACTriple top      03/04/202403/21/2024Semiconductor Cap Equip.
KLICHead-and-shoulders top      02/16/202404/01/2024Semiconductor Cap Equip.
LRCXTriple top      03/07/202404/04/2024Semiconductor Cap Equip.
LANCDouble Top, Eve and Eve      03/04/202403/28/2024Food Processing
LDOSDouble Top, Eve and Eve      03/07/202403/28/2024IT Services
RAMPPipe top      04/01/202404/08/2024Computer Software and Svcs
MTSITriple top      04/04/202404/17/2024Semiconductor
MGYDouble Top, Adam and Adam      04/05/202404/12/2024Petroleum (Producing)
MKTXTriple top      03/12/202404/08/2024Securities Brokerage
MTRXHead-and-shoulders top      03/15/202404/08/2024Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
MRCYDouble Top, Adam and Adam      04/01/202404/09/2024Computers and Peripherals
MUPipe top      04/01/202404/08/2024Semiconductor
MLITriple top      03/21/202404/08/2024Metal Fabricating
MURPipe top      04/01/202404/08/2024Petroleum (Integrated)
NOVPipe top      04/01/202404/08/2024Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
NKEPipe bottom      04/01/202404/08/2024Shoe
NVDADouble Top, Adam and Adam      03/08/202403/25/2024Semiconductor
ORIDiamond top      04/01/202404/08/2024Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
ASGNHead-and-shoulders top      03/13/202403/28/2024Human Resources
ORCLHead-and-shoulders top      03/12/202404/04/2024Computer Software and Svcs
OXMDiamond top      03/08/202404/11/2024Apparel
PNWDouble Top, Eve and Adam      03/28/202404/09/2024Electric Utility (West)
PPGDouble Top, Eve and Eve      02/27/202404/01/2024Chemical (Diversified)
QCOMDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/07/202404/09/2024Telecom. Equipment
ROGTriple top      03/15/202404/09/2024Electronics
SCHWBroadening top      03/26/202404/17/2024Securities Brokerage
SREHead-and-shoulders top      02/23/202404/02/2024Electric Utility (West)
SPSCPipe top      02/05/202402/12/2024E-Commerce
SUMDouble Top, Eve and Adam      03/04/202404/01/2024Cement and Aggregates
TECHDouble Top, Eve and Adam      12/28/202303/08/2024Biotechnology
TEVADouble Top, Adam and Adam      03/27/202404/08/2024Drug
TXTDouble Top, Eve and Eve      03/27/202404/08/2024Diversified Co.
TKRDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/22/202404/08/2024Metal Fabricating
TJXDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/28/202403/28/2024Retail Store
TDGTriangle, ascending      03/22/202404/18/2024Aerospace/Defense
RIGPipe top      04/01/202404/08/2024Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
TREXDouble Top, Adam and Eve      02/27/202403/25/2024Building Materials
UGIDouble Top, Eve and Adam      03/13/202404/08/2024Natural Gas (Distributor)
VEEVDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/14/202403/27/2024Healthcare Information
WLKPipe top      04/01/202404/08/2024Chemical (Basic)
WOLFTriple top      03/08/202404/01/2024Semiconductor
QTECHead-and-shoulders top      03/04/202403/21/2024Electronics
SOXXHead-and-shoulders top      03/21/202404/04/2024Semiconductor

 

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Thursday 4/18/24. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq dropped by -1.1% or -181.88 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 180 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 1.3% on 90 occasions.
     Average loss was -1.1% on 90 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 50.0% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 275/487 or 56.5% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 76/162 or 46.9% of the time.

Since I post this the night before, check how the futures are trading before market open. Large moves can affect the opening direction.

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

$ $ $

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

The horizontal green line shows where the Nasdaq found support over the prior days. It plunged through support on Monday.

At B, the index formed a chart pattern called a right-angled and ascending broadening pattern. This pattern had a downward breakout.

The index pulled back to A. A pullback is a common occurrence among chart patterns where the security (stock) returns to the breakout price (or approaches it). This is a classic example of a pullback working normally.

According to my book, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, 3rd Edition, these types of broadening patterns breakout downward 45%. A pullback happens 63% of the time.

What does all of this mean? Nothing is certain but my guess is that you'll see the index continue lower, at least for another day. The CPI, which I discussed yesterday, is still pinned at 0, which is the lowest it can go. Of course, a strong rebound could erase that value and change the CPI to bullish.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 214 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, ABM, AYI, AEIS, AMD, AES, AKAM, ALB, ALL, AMZN, AMED, AEE, AXP, AMWD, AME, APH, APA, APOG, ADSK, AVA, AZTA, BSET, BECN, BZH, BMRN, BRC, BFH, BMY, BBW, BLDR, CBT, CACI, CDNS, CALM, CAL, CE, CLS, CX, CLNE, CNO, CGNX, CMCO, CAG, CXW, CR, CMI, XRAY, DDS, DOV, DUK, ECL, EIX, EVH, EXC, EXPD, FAST, FLS, GPS, GIS, GPN, GL, GMS, GPRO, GFF, HTLD, HSII, HELE, HSIC, HSY, HOV, HWM, JBHT, HUN, IDA, IBP, IPAR, ISRG, JBLU, JNJ, KFRC, LRCX, LAMR, RAMP, MTSI, MRTN, MDC, META, MU, MSFT, MOS, MUR, ^IXIC, NOV, NTAP, NWL, NKE, NWPX, NUS, NTNX, NVDA, OXY, OGE, OMCL, ORCL, OUT, PKE, PATK, PCTY, PLXS, PPL, PEG, KWR, RL, RMBS, RRC, RGS, RHI, ROL, ROST, R, SAIA, SCI, NOW, SHW, STR, SWX, SUM, TPR, TPX, TDC, TXN, TXT, TTD, TKR, TOL, RIG, TRV, TWLO, UNM, VLO, WRB, WERN, WU, WLK, WEX, XEL, ITA, IYC, IEZ, IDU, FTEC, FDN, QTEC, FXL, FXI, BOTZ, QQQ, IGV, IXN, SOXX, ITB, ECH, EEM, EWH, EWJ, THD, TUR, QLD, PPA, PEJ, PJP, PHO, ROBO, XRT, XAR, XLU, USO, SMH, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  15,436.43    
 Daily S2  15,462.45  26.02   Yes! The Daily S2 is close to the Monthly S2.
 Monthly S1  15,559.90  97.45   
 Daily S1  15,572.91  13.01   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Monthly S1.
 Low  15,654.51  81.60   
 Close  15,683.37  28.86   Yes! The Close is close to the Low.
 Weekly S1  15,695.39  12.02   Yes! The Weekly S1 is close to the Close.
 Weekly S2  15,707.42  12.02   Yes! The Weekly S2 is close to the Weekly S1.
 Daily Pivot  15,764.97  57.55   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  15,770.07  5.10   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 50% Down from Intraday High  15,805.77  35.70   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  15,841.47  35.70   
 Daily R1  15,875.43  33.96   
 Open  15,942.29  66.86   
 High  15,957.03  14.74   Yes! The High is close to the Open.
 Monthly Pivot  16,049.38  92.35   
 Daily R2  16,067.49  18.11   Yes! The Daily R2 is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 Weekly R1  16,067.97  0.48   Yes! The Weekly R1 is close to the Daily R2.
 Weekly Pivot  16,080.00  12.02   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the Weekly R1.
 Monthly R1  16,172.85  92.85   
 Weekly R2  16,452.58  279.73   
 Monthly R2  16,662.33  209.75   

Wednesday 4/17/24. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

This chart shows the signals. Red is bearish, white is neutral, and green is bullish. The most recent signal is bearish, as the chart shows.

The CPI has been bearish for about two weeks now.

In this chart, I circled with what looks like cyan the clusters that I thought might be significant. When a cluster appeared, the market dropped. That idea worked well for the first three circles at the start of the year but flopped for the final two (Feb and March 2024).

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This chart shows the CPI line only, where signals below 35 are bearish and above 65 are bullish. At A, I highlight where the CPI turned bearish.

This chart doesn't show any hint of a rebound yet.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 163 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, AXDX, AEIS, AES, AKAM, AMED, AEO, AEP, AMWD, APA, APOG, AZTA, BECN, BZH, BMRN, BAH, BRC, BFH, CLS, COR, CLNE, CLF, CNA, CMCO, CAG, COST, BOOM, EQT, EL, EXPD, FICO, FDX, FLEX, FDP, GPS, IT, GNW, GMS, GFF, GES, HSII, DHI, IBP, ITGR, IRM, JNJ, KBH, K, KLIC, LAMR, LEN, LLY, RAMP, MHO, MAN, MAS, MDC, MRCY, MU, MOS, MLI, MUR, NOV, NWL, NKE, NWPX, NUS, ASGN, PTEN, PCTY, PEN, PFE, PCG, PNW, POR, PHM, RRC, R, SLB, SAIC, SCI, SHW, STR, SRDX, TPR, TDOC, TPX, TOL, RIG, TWLO, VLO, VMI, WMT, WLK, WSC, WDAY, IAI, IYC, IEZ, FXI, IHF, IEV, IGV, MXI, ILF, IGE, ITB, EWA, EWO, EWK, EWZ, ECH, EEM, EWG, EWH, EIS, EWI, EWJ, EWM, EWW, EPP, EZA, EWY, EWD, EWL, EWT, EWU, QLD, PEJ, ROBO, XHB, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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Tuesday 4/16/24. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow dropped by -0.7% or -248.13 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 605 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.7% on 301 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.8% on 304 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close lower 50.2% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 284/518 or 54.8% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 54/113 or 47.8% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Eve & Eve double tops.

$ $ $

Picture of 'Training Miles' book.

I released a new novel (fiction) titled, Training "Miles", pictured on the right. This is available now in both paperback and e-book. If you have a blog or social media account, then I'd appreciate you telling your followers that the book is available. If you do post a note, then please let me know. I'm having trouble getting the word out about my latest two books. [The other book: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth, same deal except it's non-fiction. Let me know if you mention it in a social media post that it's now available (in print only). It makes a terrific school graduation present according to my friend Ronda.]

About Training "Miles":

Miles is a crystal ball who wants to be a good orb. Not only is it his job to protect his sisters, but he believes he should be in charge.

Sister Sindy thinks otherwise.

When Miles leaves home to help an autistic girl, will his desire to protect the girl cost him his life? Will Sindy remain the family bully or will she help the girl, too?

Find out by reading this inspirational novel about the life of crystal balls that will delight you as often as it brings tears.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 177 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACN, ACIW, ADBE, AEIS, AMD, AES, AKAM, ALRM, ALL, AMED, AEO, AEP, AEL, AMWD, APOG, AMAT, ATR, ANET, AIZ, ADSK, AZTA, BECN, BZH, BIO, BMRN, BOOT, BAH, BRC, BFH, BLDR, CDNS, CNC, CENX, CF, CIEN, CTAS, CLNE, CLF, CNA, CMCO, COP, COST, XRAY, FANG, DDS, DOV, DRQ, DTE, BOOM, WIRE, EFX, EL, FICO, FAST, FDX, FWRD, GNW, GPN, GFS, GFF, THG, HIG, HTLD, HSII, HNI, HON, HWM, HUBG, IDXX, ILMN, INFN, IIIN, ITGR, INTU, IRM, KALU, KSS, KLIC, LZB, LH, LRCX, LANC, L, MHO, MANH, MAN, MCHX, MLM, MDT, MRK, MLI, NFLX, NOC, OMCL, ASGN, OMI, PCTY, PRFT, PFE, PCG, PINC, PGR, PHM, RRC, ROL, ROP, CRM, SLB, SAIC, SCI, NOW, SHW, SLGN, STR, SCCO, SPSC, SXI, SRDX, SNPS, TPR, TRGP, TECH, TDOC, TDC, TOL, RIG, TREX, TWLO, UNM, VFC, MDRX, VRSN, V, VC, WMT, WAT, WERN, WPM, WSC, WDAY, IYK, IHE, FTEC, QTEC, FXL, IAT, ITB, EWK, EWZ, EEM, EWH, EWJ, EWW, EPP, EWS, EWT, PBE, ROBO, XHB, XRT, UNG, VHT, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  36,488.74    
 Weekly S2  37,072.64  583.90   
 Monthly S1  37,111.92  39.29   Yes! The Monthly S1 is close to the Weekly S2.
 Daily S2  37,197.55  85.63   
 Weekly S1  37,403.88  206.32   
 Daily S1  37,466.33  62.45   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Weekly S1.
 Low  37,657.79  191.46   
 Close  37,735.11  77.32   
 Daily Pivot  37,926.57  191.46   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  37,936.28  9.71   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 50% Down from Intraday High  38,022.30  86.02   
 Open  38,075.38  53.08   Yes! The Open is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  38,108.32  32.95   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Open.
 Daily R1  38,195.35  87.03   
 Weekly Pivot  38,208.54  13.18   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the Daily R1.
 High  38,386.81  178.27   
 Monthly Pivot  38,500.49  113.68   
 Weekly R1  38,539.77  39.29   Yes! The Weekly R1 is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 Daily R2  38,655.59  115.82   
 Monthly R1  39,123.67  468.08   
 Weekly R2  39,344.44  220.77   
 Monthly R2  40,512.24  1,167.80   

Monday 4/15/24. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Nasdaq on the daily scale.

I show the Nasdaq composite on the daily scale.

What I see that's remarkable is that the index has held up so well. Compare the sideways move in the Nasdaq with the steep drop in the Dow industrials.

I show the Dow in the inset.

Of course the industrials are only 30 stocks while the Nasdaq has substantially more issues, weighted by high-tech stocks.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Down 11.24 points.
Tuesday: Down 9.13 points.
Wednesday: Down 422.16 points.
Thursday: Down 2.43 points.
Friday: Down 475.84 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were down 920.8 points or 2.4%.
The Nasdaq composite was down 73.43 points or 0.5%.
The S&P 500 index was down 80.93 points or 1.6%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     4.8% down from the high of 39,889.05 on 03/21/2024.
     2.3% up from the low of 37,122.95 on 01/18/2024.
Nasdaq
     2.2% down from the high of 16,538.86 on 03/21/2024.
     11.7% up from the low of 14,477.57 on 01/05/2024.
S&P 500
     2.7% down from the high of 5,264.85 on 03/28/2024.
     9.4% up from the low of 4,682.11 on 01/05/2024.

Options Expiration

Many options expire this week, so traders will be looking to close out their positions, and that suggests increased volatility (large daily price swings).

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  37,618  37,801  38,060  38,242  38,502 
Weekly  37,155  37,569  38,291  38,705  39,427 
Monthly  36,571  37,277  38,583  39,289  40,595 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  5,068  5,096  5,135  5,163  5,203 
Weekly  5,035  5,079  5,152  5,196  5,269 
Monthly  4,986  5,055  5,160  5,228  5,334 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  15,998  16,086  16,214  16,303  16,430 
Weekly  15,871  16,023  16,244  16,396  16,616 
Monthly  15,600  15,888  16,213  16,501  16,826 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season will be starting in about 1 days.

Here's a symbol list of 144 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ABT, ANF, ACN, ADBE, AEIS, AMD, AFL, AKAM, ALRM, AA, AEO, AEL, ANIK, ADM, ANET, AIZ, AGO, AZTA, BALL, BIG, BIO, BIIB, BOOT, BFH, BMY, BG, CBT, CNP, CF, CHKP, CVX, CIEN, CINF, CNX, CMCO, CMTL, COP, CSGS, DHR, XRAY, FANG, DDS, DRQ, DTE, BOOM, EIX, EL, FICO, FDX, FWRD, GNW, GL, GS, HSII, HSIC, HWM, HUBG, JBHT, IDXX, ITW, INFN, INTC, KALU, KFRC, KSS, LZB, LANC, LEG, LMT, MANH, MAN, MCHX, MDT, MRK, NEU, NOC, NUS, OR, PKG, PRFT, PPG, PPL, PFG, RL, RRC, RJF, RCKY, ROL, SAIC, SHW, STR, SKX, SCCO, TRGP, TFX, TDC, RIG, VFC, VLO, VRSN, V, VC, WAT, WERN, WPM, WSC, WDAY, IAI, IYK, IHE, QTEC, FXL, BOTZ, IYH, SLV, IYF, IHI, EWK, EWZ, EEM, EWH, EIS, EPP, EWS, EWT, PBE, PEJ, SSO, XLV, XAR, VHT. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Homebuilding1. Homebuilding
2. Shoe2. Shoe
3. Apparel3. Retail (Special Lines)
4. Semiconductor4. Apparel
5. Cement and Aggregates5. Semiconductor
6. Retail (Special Lines)6. Cement and Aggregates
7. Building Materials7. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
8. Semiconductor Cap Equip.8. Building Materials
9. Retail Store9. Retail Building Supply
10. Retail Building Supply10. Furn/Home Furnishings
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Biotechnology50. Biotechnology
51. Air Transport51. Medical Supplies
52. Insurance (Diversified)52. Air Transport
53. Human Resources53. Healthcare Information
54. Healthcare Information54. Human Resources
55. Electric Utility (West)55. Electric Utility (West)
56. Toiletries/Cosmetics56. Chemical (Diversified)
57. Medical Services57. Medical Services
58. Chemical (Diversified)58. Toiletries/Cosmetics
59. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment59. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
60. Short ETFs60. Short ETFs

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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Saturday Supplement 4/13/24. Invest for Two-Comma Wealth Available Now.

Picture of 'Invest for two-comma wealth' book.

I released a new stock market book titled, Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (#Ad). It's available from Amazon.com at the link.

Invest for Two-Comma Wealth ($1,000,000) is an entry-level yet comprehensive book about investing in the securities markets to grow your net worth. From annuities, bonds, and CDs, to common stocks, meme stocks, and cryptocurrency, the book explains each topic in an easy-to-understand manner.

It teaches you about scams, and how to avoid them, including those “free” lunch seminars that try to sell you something, either immediately or months later. It explains why owning your home may not be a good investment and buying gold coins with huge sales charges put you at a disadvantage.

Follow Susan as she does everything right and Basketcase Bob who serves as an example of what not to do.

If knowledge is the way to wealth, then this book is for you. Use the information in this book to invest for the long term and discover that one day you’ve joined the two-comma club.

Price $20, soft cover, print only, 300+ pages.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (#Ad)

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Friday 4/12/24. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 172 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ACN, AES, AFL, ALRM, AEO, AEP, AFG, APA, AAPL, ADM, AIZ, AGO, ATO, AVA, AZTA, BECN, BIG, BKH, BFH, BBW, BG, CBT, CNP, CRL, CHKP, CVX, CINF, CLNE, CLX, CNO, CNX, CMCO, ED, CONN, COTY, CCRN, CW, DHR, DDS, DFS, DTE, EBAY, ECL, EFX, EL, EVRG, EZPW, FAST, FDX, FE, FLS, FWRD, GE, GPN, GL, GS, GGG, GES, HE, HELE, HP, HSIC, HD, HWM, HUBG, HUM, IDA, INFN, IIIN, INTU, IRM, JAZZ, K, KELYA, KEYS, KFRC, KSS, LZB, LH, LEG, LNC, LMT, L, LXU, MAN, MA, MTRX, MDC, MDT, MRK, MGEE, MCO, MLI, NJR, NTNX, OGE, OLN, OTEX, PANW, PKE, PATK, PTEN, PETS, PFE, PNW, POR, PPL, PFG, PGR, RGS, RHI, ROK, RCKY, SAIA, SAIC, SMG, SEIC, SIGI, SRE, SHOP, SLGN, LUV, SWX, SPSC, TPR, TPX, RIG, TZOO, TWLO, UIS, UNM, VFC, MDRX, WRB, WSO, WERN, WSM, WSC, WOLF, WDAY, IHE, IDU, DDM, FDN, ICF, IHF, IAT, ILF, IYF, EWA, EWZ, EWH, EIS, EWM, EWW, EPP, XLV, VHT, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
ANFHorn top      03/04/202403/18/2024Apparel
AAFlag      04/04/202404/11/2024Aerospace/Defense
AIZPipe top      03/25/202404/01/2024Insurance (Diversified)
BMYDouble Top, Eve and Adam      03/13/202403/28/2024Drug
CFDouble Top, Eve and Adam      03/20/202404/04/2024Chemical (Basic)
CONNTriple bottom      03/15/202404/11/2024Retail (Special Lines)
^DJTHead-and-shoulders top      03/22/202404/04/2024None
BOOMTriple top      03/20/202404/04/2024Metal Fabricating
FTVTriple top      02/28/202403/22/2024Industrial Services
GPNDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/15/202403/13/2024Computer Software and Svcs
GLDead-cat bounce      04/11/202404/11/2024Insurance (Life)
GSDouble Top, Adam and Adam      03/28/202404/04/2024Securities Brokerage
ITWHead-and-shoulders top      03/18/202403/28/2024Metal Fabricating
IIINDouble Top, Adam and Adam      03/21/202404/01/2024Building Materials
KSSPipe top      03/25/202404/01/2024Retail Store
MHOPipe top      03/25/202404/01/2024Homebuilding
MASTriple top      03/21/202404/04/2024Building Materials
MDTPipe top      03/25/202404/01/2024Medical Supplies
NBRTriple top      03/15/202404/03/2024Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
NUSBroadening top, right-angled and ascending      02/29/202404/09/2024Toiletries/Cosmetics
PATKPipe top      02/26/202403/04/2024Retail Building Supply
KWRDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/21/202403/28/2024Chemical (Specialty)
RLITriple top      02/28/202403/28/2024Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
RCKYBroadening bottom      03/01/202403/28/2024Shoe
SEEHorn top      02/26/202403/11/2024Packaging and Container
SKXDouble Top, Eve and Adam      03/01/202403/14/2024Shoe
SRDouble Top, Eve and Eve      03/05/202403/28/2024Natural Gas (Distributor)
TXNTriangle, symmetrical      03/07/202404/11/2024Semiconductor
TGPennant      04/01/202404/11/2024Chemical (Specialty)
WOLFPipe bottom      02/20/202402/26/2024Semiconductor
IGVTriangle, descending      03/15/202404/11/2024Computer Software and Svcs

 

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Thursday 4/11/24. Bitcoin Review

The Nasdaq dropped by -0.8% or -136.28 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 272 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.8% on 136 occasions.
     Average loss was -1.2% on 136 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 50.0% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 274/486 or 56.4% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 76/162 or 46.9% of the time.

Since I post this the night before, check how the futures are trading before market open. Large moves can affect the opening direction.

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

$ $ $

I show a picture of bitcoin on the daily scale.

The cryptocurrency has made a strong push higher since the January low but is it running out of steam?

I don't think so. It's paused here and formed a chart pattern called a symmetrical triangle. I show that in red on the chart.

In stocks, symmetricals breakout upward 60% of the time. We see that here, when the currency closed above the top red line. Unfortunately, the breakout didn't hold and the currency returned to do more work in the triangle.

Given the strong push upward since January, I think we'll see the uptrend continue. That's just a guess. Symmetricals can be treacherous.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 173 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ANF, ABM, ACN, AEIS, AES, AFL, APD, AKAM, ALRM, AEO, AFG, AMGN, APOG, AIZ, ADSK, AXS, AZTA, BSET, BZH, BMY, BLDR, CAL, CENX, CF, CIEN, CNO, CMCO, GLW, CSGP, CCRN, CSGS, DECK, DDS, DFS, DTE, BOOM, ECL, EL, EXPI, EZPW, FDS, FICO, FARO, FDX, GFS, GS, GPRO, GES, HBI, HLIT, HSII, HELE, HSIC, HNI, DHI, HWM, HUN, INFN, IIIN, IPAR, TILE, IPI, IRM, JKHY, KBH, KFRC, KSS, LZB, LH, LAMR, LANC, LEN, LLY, LNC, MHO, MANH, MRO, MRTN, MLM, MTRN, MDT, MRK, NWL, NWPX, NOVT, NUS, ASGN, OTEX, PATK, PETS, PFG, PG, PHM, KWR, RMBS, RJF, REGN, ROG, ROP, R, SAIC, SCI, NOW, SHOP, SKX, LUV, SNPS, TPR, TDY, TPX, TDC, TOL, RIG, TZOO, TREX, SLCA, UPS, UNM, VFC, VMI, MDRX, WEX, WSC, WWW, WDAY, IYC, IYE, IHE, DDM, FTEC, IYH, IEV, IGV, IXC, ITB, EWO, EWQ, EIS, EWI, EWY, EWL, PXJ, PJP, PHO, ROBO, XLV, XHB, XRT, XAR, XLK, VHT. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  15,514.39    
 Weekly S2  15,791.77  277.38   
 Monthly S1  15,842.37  50.61   
 Weekly S1  15,981.06  138.69   
 Daily S2  16,046.14  65.08   
 Low  16,092.02  45.88   
 Open  16,104.01  11.99   
 Daily S1  16,108.25  4.24   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Open.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  16,133.27  25.02   
 50% Down from Intraday High  16,146.01  12.74   
 Daily Pivot  16,154.13  8.12   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  16,158.76  4.63   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 Close  16,170.36  11.60   
 Monthly Pivot  16,190.62  20.26   
 High  16,200.01  9.39   Yes! The High is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 Daily R1  16,216.24  16.23   
 Weekly Pivot  16,235.86  19.62   
 Daily R2  16,262.12  26.26   
 Weekly R1  16,425.15  163.03   
 Monthly R1  16,518.60  93.45   
 Weekly R2  16,679.95  161.34   
 Monthly R2  16,866.85  186.90   

Wednesday 4/10/24. A Look At Indicators

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

The CPI has turned neutral after being bearish, as the chart shows.

The switch from bearish to neutral could be a signal that the big retrace I've been expecting isn't happening yet.

I'm looking for the uptrend to flip the neutral bars to bullish.

Picture of the percent down indicators

The red line is the percentage of stocks at least 20% below their 1-year high (plotted upside down). The blue line is the average percentage drop of stocks below their 1-year high (plotted upside down).

Shown as a red line on the above chart...
On Tuesday, 22% of stocks in my database are in bear market territory (down at least 20% from their 1-year high).
A week ago, it was 23%.
The fewest was 21% on 03/28/2024.
And the most was 56% on 10/27/2023.
Shown as a blue line on the above chart...
The 514 stocks in my database are down an average of 13% from their yearly high.
A week ago, the average was 13%.
The peak was 11% on 03/28/2024.
And the bottom was 25% on 10/27/2023.

I've decided not to include this portion of the post in the future. Why? Because the indicators on this chart just followed what the index is doing. They don't add value. If you disagree, then write me and convince me and I'll consider giving it a stay of execution.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 126 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ANF, AES, AFL, AEO, AFG, ANIK, APOG, ANET, ASH, AIZ, BIG, BKNG, BCO, BLDR, CBT, CACI, CX, CENX, CF, CHKP, CHD, CIEN, CINF, CNO, CL, CMCO, CONN, GLW, CROX, DECK, DDS, DUK, EXC, EZPW, FICO, FDX, FE, FISV, FCX, FRD, IT, GNW, HLIT, HQY, HTLD, HSII, HELE, HSIC, HOV, HUN, ITGR, KEYS, KFRC, KMB, KSS, LDOS, LLY, LNC, LMT, LPLA, MANH, MAN, MRO, MLM, MTDR, MDT, MRK, MLKN, NFLX, NTGR, NTAP, OMCL, ORCL, PAYX, PCTY, PETS, PFG, RMBS, RJF, RGA, RNG, SIGI, NOW, SLGN, SCCO, SNPS, TPR, TRGP, TEVA, TMO, RIG, TZOO, TG, TREX, UNM, VECO, WSC, ZBRA, IHE, DDM, ICF, ILF, IEO, IYF, EWI, EPP, EWS, EZA, EWY, EWP, EWT, THD, PXJ, XLF, XLU. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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Tuesday 4/9/24. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow dropped by 0.0% or -11.24 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 1373 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 743 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.6% on 630 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 54.1% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 284/517 or 54.9% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 54/113 or 47.8% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring descending broadening wedges.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 112 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ANF, A, AKAM, ALB, AEO, AEL, AXP, AIG, ASH, AZTA, BLDR, CACI, CENX, CDAY, CVX, CHD, CIEN, CLX, GLW, CSGS, DDS, EVRG, EXC, EZPW, FDX, FLEX, FWRD, FDP, FRD, GNW, GFF, THG, HL, HP, HUBG, HUN, IDXX, INTC, IPI, KELYA, KMT, LHX, LDOS, RAMP, LMT, L, MGY, MANH, MAN, MRO, MTDR, MTRN, MTRX, MGEE, NFG, NTGR, NEU, OLN, OTEX, ORCL, PTEN, PNW, PXD, QCOM, DGX, RL, RTX, RGS, ROST, SAND, SLB, STR, SKYW, LUV, SR, SCS, TDY, TFX, TEVA, TXT, TKR, RIG, TZOO, TG, VMI, VRTX, VC, WPM, WSC, ZBRA, IAI, FXI, IEV, MXI, ILF, IEO, EWO, EWK, EWZ, EEM, EWQ, EWG, EWI, EWS, EWD, EWT, PXJ. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  37,648.67    
 Weekly S2  37,833.49  184.82   
 Monthly S1  38,270.74  437.25   
 Weekly S1  38,363.15  92.41   
 Daily S2  38,765.73  402.59   
 Daily S1  38,829.27  63.53   
 Low  38,857.70  28.43   
 Close  38,892.80  35.10   
 Open  38,916.40  23.60   
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  38,917.10  0.70   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Open.
 Daily Pivot  38,921.23  4.13   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 50% Down from Intraday High  38,935.45  14.21   Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  38,953.80  18.35   
 Daily R1  38,984.77  30.96   
 High  39,013.20  28.43   
 Daily R2  39,076.73  63.54   
 Monthly Pivot  39,079.89  3.16   Yes! The Monthly Pivot is close to the Daily R2.
 Weekly Pivot  39,089.07  9.18   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 Weekly R1  39,618.73  529.65   
 Monthly R1  39,701.96  83.23   
 Weekly R2  40,344.65  642.70   
 Monthly R2  40,511.11  166.46   

Monday 4/8/24. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Dow industrials on the daily scale.

Not a lot is happening today in the Dow industrials, which I show on the daily scale.

A double top appears at AB, confirmed as a valid chart when the index closes below the lowest valley between the two peaks.

That happens, I think, on the bar before C.

The index has dropped to the brown line, a line of support. I drew that from today (Friday) to the left, so see how it lines up with prior price action.

Below that is a more substantial support, shown by the green lines (and cleverly labeled 'Support?'), setup by a sideways move in the index during December 2023/January 2024.

If we have a serious retrace, I would expect the index to touch the green area and rebound upward.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Down 240.52 points.
Tuesday: Down 396.61 points.
Wednesday: Down 43.1 points.
Thursday: Down 530.16 points.
Friday: Up 307.06 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were down 903.33 points or 2.3%.
The Nasdaq composite was down 130.94 points or 0.8%.
The S&P 500 index was down 50.01 points or 1.0%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     2.5% down from the high of 39,889.05 on 03/21/2024.
     4.8% up from the low of 37,122.95 on 01/18/2024.
Nasdaq
     1.8% down from the high of 16,538.86 on 03/21/2024.
     12.2% up from the low of 14,477.57 on 01/05/2024.
S&P 500
     1.1% down from the high of 5,264.85 on 03/28/2024.
     11.2% up from the low of 4,682.11 on 01/05/2024.

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  38,411  38,657  38,849  39,095  39,287 
Weekly  37,837  38,371  39,093  39,626  40,348 
Monthly  37,652  38,278  39,084  39,709  40,515 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  5,130  5,167  5,195  5,232  5,260 
Weekly  5,087  5,146  5,205  5,264  5,323 
Monthly  4,967  5,086  5,175  5,294  5,383 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  15,972  16,111  16,219  16,357  16,465 
Weekly  15,818  16,033  16,262  16,477  16,706 
Monthly  15,540  15,894  16,217  16,571  16,893 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season will be starting in about 8 days.

Here's a symbol list of 108 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, AEIS, A, AKAM, ALK, AMZN, ARCB, ADM, AZTA, BMI, BALL, BAX, BECN, BZH, BIIB, BOOT, BFH, BMY, CACI, CALM, CX, CDAY, CHD, CIEN, CSCO, CLNE, CLX, CXW, CSGS, EIX, EQT, FDX, FNV, GD, GPN, GFS, GPRO, HL, HP, HUBG, HUM, HUN, ILMN, INTC, IPI, KALU, LLY, LPLA, LXU, MANH, MCHX, MOS, NFG, NTGR, PTEN, PETS, PFE, PINC, PFG, PG, PRU, DGX, RTX, RGS, RCKY, ROST, SCI, NOW, LUV, SWX, SWN, SPSC, SCS, TPR, TPX, RIG, TZOO, UHAL, UGI, VECO, VRTX, VC, WLK, WOLF, WWD, WDAY, XEL, IYK, IHE, BOTZ, SLV, EWG, THD, TUR, ROBO, XLV. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Homebuilding1. Apparel
2. Shoe2. Shoe
3. Retail (Special Lines)3. Semiconductor
4. Apparel4. Retail (Special Lines)
5. Semiconductor5. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
6. Cement and Aggregates6. Homebuilding
7. Semiconductor Cap Equip.7. Cement and Aggregates
8. Building Materials8. Furn/Home Furnishings
9. Retail Building Supply9. Building Materials
10. Furn/Home Furnishings10. Retail Building Supply
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Biotechnology50. Natural Gas (Distributor)
51. Medical Supplies51. Petroleum (Integrated)
52. Air Transport52. Food Processing
53. Healthcare Information53. Electric Utility (Central)
54. Human Resources54. Electric Utility (East)
55. Electric Utility (West)55. Medical Services
56. Chemical (Diversified)56. Electric Utility (West)
57. Medical Services57. Toiletries/Cosmetics
58. Toiletries/Cosmetics58. Chemical (Diversified)
59. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment59. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
60. Short ETFs60. Short ETFs

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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Friday 4/5/24. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 268 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, AXDX, ADTN, AMD, AES, AFL, ATSG, AKAM, ALB, ALL, AEO, AXP, AME, AMAT, ANET, ARW, ASH, AVY, AZTA, BMI, BCPC, BSET, BAX, BZH, BIG, BKNG, BOOT, BAH, BRC, BCO, BMY, BRKR, CBT, CX, COR, CNC, CENX, CHKP, CHD, CIEN, CINF, CTAS, CNA, CNO, CGNX, CMCO, CAG, CONN, GLW, CSGP, CTS, ^DJT, DTE, BOOM, EXP, EMN, EBAY, ELV, EME, EMR, EFX, EQT, EL, XOM, FFIV, FICO, FARO, FAST, FDX, FIVN, FTV, FNV, IT, GPN, GFS, GS, GPRO, GGG, HBI, THG, HIG, HL, HOV, JBHT, HUN, IEX, IDXX, ITW, ILMN, NSP, PODD, INTC, JKHY, KBH, KELYA, KMT, KEYS, KLAC, KLIC, LH, LRCX, LDOS, LNC, L, LXU, MTSI, MCHX, MAS, MTRX, META, MSFT, MS, NBR, ^IXIC, NFG, NOV, NEE, NWPX, NVDA, OLN, ASGN, ON, OTEX, ORCL, OR, OMI, PDCO, PCTY, PEN, PFE, PPG, PFG, PG, PGR, PRU, PEG, KWR, QCOM, DGX, RJF, RGA, RNG, ROK, ROL, ROP, RES, R, ^GSPC, SAIA, CRM, SAND, SEIC, SRE, SHW, SHOP, SO, SWX, SWN, SR, SXI, SCS, SSYS, TPR, TDY, TXN, TTD, TMO, TKR, TOL, TDG, RIG, TZOO, UHAL, UPS, UNM, VEEV, VRTX, VC, VMC, WAT, WSO, WEX, XEL, IYM, IAI, IYK, IYC, IHE, DDM, FTEC, FDN, QTEC, FXL, FXI, BOTZ, QQQ, ICF, IHF, IYZ, IEV, IGV, MXI, IXN, ILF, SOXX, IYF, IHI, EWA, EWK, EWQ, EWG, EWH, EWI, EWJ, EWS, EWT, TUR, QLD, IBB, PBE, PEJ, PXJ, PHO, SSO, ROBO, XLY, XLV, XHB, XLI, XLB, SPY, XLK, USO, SMH, VIS, VAW, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
AESPipe bottom      03/11/202403/18/2024Electric Utility (East)
ADouble Top, Eve and Eve      03/08/202403/21/2024Precision Instrument
ALRMThree Falling Peaks      02/29/202403/21/2024Computer Software and Svcs
ALBUgly double bottom      03/05/202403/15/2024Chemical (Diversified)
ALGTPipe bottom      03/11/202403/18/2024Air Transport
ARPipe bottom      03/11/202403/18/2024Natural Gas (Diversified)
ARCBPipe bottom      03/11/202403/18/2024Trucking/Transp. Leasing
ARWUgly double bottom      02/13/202403/19/2024Electronics
ASHBroadening top, right-angled and ascending      03/07/202404/04/2024Chemical (Basic)
ADSKDiamond top      02/09/202403/21/2024Computer Software and Svcs
ADPDouble Top, Adam and Adam      03/22/202403/28/2024IT Services
BBWDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/15/202404/01/2024Retail (Special Lines)
CLSDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      03/11/202403/19/2024Electronics
CRLDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/08/202403/22/2024Biotechnology
CSCOTriple top      03/12/202404/01/2024Computers and Peripherals
CNATriangle, ascending      02/28/202403/22/2024Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
DECKTriple top      03/14/202404/01/2024Shoe
^DJIDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/21/202403/28/2024None
DOVHead-and-shoulders top      03/13/202403/28/2024Machinery
EQTPipe bottom      03/11/202403/18/2024Natural Gas (Diversified)
EXPDDouble Top, Eve and Eve      03/07/202403/22/2024Air Transport
FDXCup with handle      12/18/202303/22/2024Air Transport
GMEDouble Top, Eve and Adam      03/06/202403/26/2024Retail (Special Lines)
GILDDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      02/16/202402/29/2024Biotechnology
GGGDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/14/202403/21/2024Machinery
HBIBroadening top      03/08/202404/04/2024Apparel
HQYTriple top      02/27/202404/02/2024Healthcare Information
HSYDiamond top      03/11/202404/03/2024Food Processing
PODDTriangle, symmetrical      02/22/202404/04/2024Medical Supplies
INTCHead-and-shoulders complex top      02/15/202404/01/2024Semiconductor
IBKRScallop, ascending      03/04/202404/03/2024Securities Brokerage
IPGFalling wedge      03/18/202404/04/2024Advertising
IPIDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      03/14/202403/22/2024Chemical (Diversified)
IRMTriangle, symmetrical      03/08/202404/04/2024Industrial Services
JBLUTriangle, ascending      02/14/202404/04/2024Air Transport
KSSPipe bottom      03/11/202403/18/2024Retail Store
MLMRectangle top      03/04/202404/04/2024Cement and Aggregates
MTRNDouble Top, Adam and Adam      03/21/202403/27/2024Metals and Mining (Div.)
MDTTriple bottom      03/01/202403/25/2024Medical Supplies
MLKNDead-cat bounce      03/28/202403/28/2024Furn/Home Furnishings
MSCup with handle      01/02/202404/04/2024Securities Brokerage
MYGNTriple top      02/15/202403/06/2024Biotechnology
NFGHead-and-shoulders bottom      01/24/202402/14/2024Natural Gas (Diversified)
OGETriangle, ascending      02/21/202403/26/2024Electric Utility (Central)
OMCLHead-and-shoulders complex bottom      02/09/202403/20/2024Healthcare Information
PDCODouble Top, Adam and Adam      03/12/202403/28/2024Medical Supplies
PENHead-and-shoulders top      01/16/202403/06/2024Medical Supplies
PLXSDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      03/18/202403/26/2024Electronics
PINCTriple bottom      02/08/202403/15/2024Healthcare Information
PGDouble Top, Eve and Adam      03/13/202403/28/2024Household Products
DGXTriple bottom      02/01/202403/01/2024Medical Services
RLDouble Top, Adam and Adam      02/23/202403/21/2024Apparel
RRCUgly double bottom      02/07/202403/14/2024Petroleum (Producing)
RNGDouble Top, Eve and Adam      03/12/202403/21/2024Computer Software and Svcs
ROKDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/21/202403/28/2024Diversified Co.
ROSTHead-and-shoulders bottom      05/11/202306/01/2023Retail (Special Lines)
RGLDUgly double bottom      02/28/202403/20/2024Metals and Mining (Div.)
RESPipe bottom      01/16/202401/22/2024Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
RPipe bottom      02/12/202402/20/2024Trucking/Transp. Leasing
^GSPCDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/21/202403/28/2024None
SBHBig M      01/02/202402/15/2024Toiletries/Cosmetics
SCHWCup with handle      12/15/202304/04/2024Securities Brokerage
SEEThree Falling Peaks      02/27/202403/28/2024Packaging and Container
NOWTriangle, symmetrical      03/05/202404/04/2024IT Services
SHWTriple top      03/08/202403/28/2024Chemical (Basic)
SODouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      02/16/202403/01/2024Electric Utility (East)
SXIDouble Top, Eve and Eve      03/25/202404/01/2024Diversified Co.
SUMPipe bottom      03/11/202403/18/2024Cement and Aggregates
TPRBroadening wedge, descending      02/23/202404/01/2024Apparel
TDOCTriangle, symmetrical      03/05/202403/28/2024Healthcare Information
TTDPipe bottom      03/11/202403/18/2024Advertising
UPSDouble Top, Adam and Adam      03/13/202403/22/2024Air Transport
WMTDouble Top, Eve and Eve      03/12/202403/21/2024Retail Store
WPMUgly double bottom      02/26/202403/20/2024Metals and Mining (Div.)
XELUgly double bottom      03/06/202403/26/2024Electric Utility (West)

 

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Thursday 4/4/24. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq climbed by 0.2% or 37.01 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 720 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.8% on 417 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.8% on 303 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 57.9% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 274/485 or 56.5% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 76/162 or 46.9% of the time.

Since I post this the night before, check how the futures are trading before market open. Large moves can affect the opening direction.

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

$ $ $

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

The index found support at the red line, mostly during Wednesday's trading activity (that is, a week ago). The index gapped around that support at A, forming a large hole on the chart.

The gap filled quickly (on 4/3) and hit resistance at the green line. From there, it plunged and recovered slightly.

To me, this suggests the index is going to struggle to rise. I'd guess another down day on Thursday before trying to push through resistance going up to 16,500, probably having trouble piercing 16,400.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 170 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, ACIW, AYI, AMD, AKAM, ALK, AA, DOX, AEL, AMWD, APOG, AMAT, AWI, ADSK, AZTA, BCPC, BSET, BZH, BBY, BIG, CDNS, CALM, CAL, CPB, CX, CNP, CNX, COST, COTY, CROX, CSGS, DHR, DECK, DVN, FANG, DDS, DRQ, DTE, BOOM, WIRE, EOG, EL, EG, EVH, EXPD, FFIV, FDS, FDX, FIS, FLEX, FTNT, GPS, GNW, GPN, GFS, GFF, HLIT, HL, HELE, HP, HD, HOV, HUBG, IDA, ILMN, IBP, INTC, ISRG, JNJ, KFRC, LEN, RAMP, LOW, MHO, MTSI, M, MGY, MAN, MLM, MTRN, MRK, MGEE, NWL, NEE, JWN, ORI, PANW, PTEN, PEN, PCG, PPL, PG, PRU, PEG, PSTG, QTWO, RHI, RCKY, ROST, RES, SAND, SMG, SRE, SMTC, SHOP, SKX, SKYW, SO, LUV, SCS, SRDX, SNPS, TRGP, TPX, TER, TOL, TDG, RIG, TZOO, UGI, UNH, VFC, VLO, VECO, V, WERN, WLK, WSM, WOLF, WWW, IYK, IYE, IEZ, BOTZ, IYZ, SLV, IGE, IEO, EWA, EWO, EWZ, ECH, EEM, EWJ, EWW, EWS, EZA, EWD, EWT, PEJ, PXJ, PJP, XRT, UNG, USO, VIS. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  15,550.09    
 Monthly S1  15,913.77  363.69   
 Daily S2  16,091.07  177.30   
 Weekly S2  16,149.13  58.05   
 Low  16,169.31  20.18   
 Open  16,178.80  9.49   Yes! The Open is close to the Low.
 Daily S1  16,184.27  5.47   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Open.
 Weekly S1  16,213.29  29.03   
 Monthly Pivot  16,226.32  13.02   Yes! The Monthly Pivot is close to the Weekly S1.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  16,234.80  8.48   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 50% Down from Intraday High  16,255.03  20.23   
 Daily Pivot  16,262.50  7.48   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  16,275.25  12.75   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 Close  16,277.46  2.21   Yes! The Close is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 High  16,340.74  63.28   
 Weekly Pivot  16,343.34  2.60   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the High.
 Daily R1  16,355.70  12.36   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the Weekly Pivot.
 Weekly R1  16,407.50  51.81   
 Daily R2  16,433.93  26.43   
 Weekly R2  16,537.55  103.61   
 Monthly R1  16,590.00  52.46   
 Monthly R2  16,902.55  312.54   

Wednesday 4/3/24. A Look At Indicators

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

The CPI is 10.3, which is bearish, hence the vertical red line on the far right of the chart.

As you can see, the index has been climbing since the November low without a significant retrace (like 30%). It did move sideways in late December to January (circled), so my guess is that's where the retrace will rebound (find support).

However, we first have to see the index make a meaningful drop. This could be the start of the retrace but I've been fooled before, so we'll have to wait and see.

Picture of the percent down indicators

The red line is the percentage of stocks at least 20% below their 1-year high (plotted upside down). The blue line is the average percentage drop of stocks below their 1-year high (plotted upside down).

Shown as a red line on the above chart...
On Tuesday, 23% of stocks in my database are in bear market territory (down at least 20% from their 1-year high).
A week ago, it was 23%.
The fewest was 21% on 03/28/2024.
And the most was 56% on 10/27/2023.
Shown as a blue line on the above chart...
The 514 stocks in my database are down an average of 13% from their yearly high.
A week ago, the average was 13%.
The peak was 11% on 03/28/2024.
And the bottom was 25% on 10/27/2023.

I show green lines to illustrate the trend from November as I mentioned in the discussion of the prior chart.

According to this chart, there's nothing to worry about. The trend is still upward even if today (Tuesday) was a down day.

The prior chart is bearish and this is bullish. Go figure. Because signals on the CPI chart can change for up to a week, let's pretend the trend remains up for another week and then reevaluate.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 178 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, ACIW, AYI, A, ALRM, AA, AEL, AIG, AMWD, AMGN, ANIK, AR, AON, AAPL, AGO, ATO, ADSK, AVNT, BMI, BCPC, BSET, BFH, BBW, CDNS, CPB, CENX, CDAY, CRL, CIEN, CLNE, CNX, CMCO, CONN, COST, COTY, CRH, DHR, DECK, XRAY, EFX, EL, EG, EVH, XOM, EZPW, FDS, FICO, FDX, FE, FLEX, FNV, GE, GPN, GGG, GFF, HL, HSII, HELE, HP, HOV, HURC, IIIN, IPAR, IPG, ISRG, JBLU, KALU, KMT, KFRC, LZB, LAMR, LEG, M, MANH, MAN, MCHX, MLM, MTDR, MRCY, MS, MLI, NJR, NWL, NEE, NI, NOVT, NTNX, OMCL, ON, OTEX, PANW, PDCO, PYPL, PEN, PETS, PPL, PINC, PG, RNG, RHI, RCKY, ROP, CRM, SAND, SEE, SCI, STR, SKX, SWX, SCS, SSYS, SUM, SRDX, TECH, TDOC, TDY, TPX, TXT, TMO, TZOO, TG, TREX, VEEV, VRTX, WDAY, XEL, ITB, IHE, FTEC, BOTZ, ICF, IHF, IEV, IGV, IXC, IXN, SLV, IYF, IHI, EWK, EIS, EWJ, EWW, EWS, EWP, EWT, TUR, EWU, PBE, PHO, ROBO, XLF, XLV, XHB, XLK, SMH, VAW, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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Tuesday 4/2/24. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow dropped by -0.6% or -240.52 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 701 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 363 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.7% on 338 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 51.8% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 284/516 or 55.0% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 54/113 or 47.8% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring bump-and-run reversal top.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 225 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, ANF, AXDX, ACIW, AYI, AMD, AES, ATSG, ALGT, AEO, AEP, AEL, AMWD, AR, ATR, ARCB, AWI, AGO, ATO, ADSK, ADP, AVNT, BMI, BCPC, BIG, BIO, BKH, BA, BOOT, BRC, BBW, BG, CALM, CAL, CPB, CLS, CRL, CHD, CI, CINF, CLNE, CNA, CNX, CMCO, CONN, CSGP, CRH, CCRN, DHR, DECK, XRAY, DVN, DDS, DSGR, ^DJT, ^DJI, DTE, EME, EFX, EQT, EL, EVRG, EVH, EXC, EXPD, XOM, EZPW, FICO, FARO, FDX, FE, FLEX, FLS, FMC, FTV, FNV, FCX, FDP, GD, GNW, GFF, THG, HLIT, HTLD, HL, HSII, HOV, HUBG, HUM, ILMN, INCY, NSP, IIIN, IPAR, IBKR, JKHY, JBLU, KELYA, KMT, KFRC, KSS, LZB, LAMR, LEG, MANH, MAN, MRO, MKTX, MRTN, MLM, MDC, MSFT, MS, MLI, MUR, NWL, NEE, NI, OMCL, ASGN, PANW, PKE, PAYX, PCTY, PYPL, PEN, PETS, PXD, PINC, PSTG, QTWO, RTX, RGS, RGA, ROP, ^GSPC, SAND, SMG, SEE, SEIC, SRE, SLGN, SMAR, SXI, SUM, SRDX, TGT, TECH, TDY, TPX, TDC, TTD, TDG, RIG, TZOO, TREX, TWLO, V, WSC, WOLF, WWW, IYK, IYC, ITB, FXI, BOTZ, ICF, IYH, IHF, IAT, IEV, ILF, IYF, IHI, EIS, EWW, EPP, EWD, EWT, TUR, EWU, PPA, PHO, ROBO, XLF, GLD, XHB, XLB, XAR, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  37,873.36    
 Monthly S1  38,720.10  846.75   
 Weekly S2  38,979.48  259.38   
 Weekly S1  39,273.16  293.69   
 Daily S2  39,300.58  27.41   Yes! The Daily S2 is close to the Weekly S1.
 Monthly Pivot  39,304.58  4.00   Yes! The Monthly Pivot is close to the Daily S2.
 Daily S1  39,433.71  129.14   
 Low  39,491.22  57.50   
 Close  39,566.85  75.63   
 Weekly Pivot  39,570.88  4.02   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the Close.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  39,614.90  44.03   
 Daily Pivot  39,624.36  9.45   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 61.8% Down from Intraday High.
 50% Down from Intraday High  39,653.11  28.75   Yes! The 50% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  39,691.32  38.21   
 Daily R1  39,757.49  66.18   
 Open  39,807.93  50.44   
 High  39,815.00  7.07   Yes! The High is close to the Open.
 Weekly R1  39,864.56  49.56   
 Daily R2  39,948.14  83.57   
 Monthly R1  40,151.32  203.19   
 Weekly R2  40,162.28  10.95   Yes! The Weekly R2 is close to the Monthly R1.
 Monthly R2  40,735.80  573.52   

Monday 4/1/24. April Market Forecast Update

Forecast

Here's the updated 2024 market forecast, presented in slider format.

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Up 75.66 points.
Tuesday: Up 320.33 points.
Wednesday: Up 401.37 points.
Thursday: Up 269.24 points.
Friday: Down 305.47 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were up 1092.6 points or 2.8%.
The Nasdaq composite was up 406.29 points or 2.5%.
The S&P 500 index was up 137.26 points or 2.7%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     0.2% down from the high of 39,889.05 on 03/21/2024.
     7.2% up from the low of 37,122.95 on 01/18/2024.
Nasdaq
     1.0% down from the high of 16,538.86 on 03/21/2024.
     13.1% up from the low of 14,477.57 on 01/05/2024.
S&P 500
     0.2% down from the high of 5,264.85 on 03/28/2024.
     12.2% up from the low of 4,682.11 on 01/05/2024.

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  39,646  39,727  39,798  39,878  39,949 
Weekly  38,357  39,082  39,486  40,211  40,614 
Monthly  37,795  38,801  39,345  40,351  40,895 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  5,236  5,245  5,255  5,264  5,274 
Weekly  5,086  5,170  5,216  5,300  5,345 
Monthly  4,839  5,047  5,154  5,362  5,469 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  16,309  16,344  16,383  16,418  16,456 
Weekly  15,703  16,041  16,290  16,628  16,877 
Monthly  15,036  15,708  16,123  16,795  17,211 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is over.

Here's a symbol list of 158 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ANF, AES, A, ALK, ALGT, AMED, AEL, ANIK, AR, APA, ARCB, ARW, ASH, AIZ, ATO, ADSK, AVA, BECN, BZH, BERY, BIG, BA, BAH, BRC, BCO, CPB, CLS, COR, CLF, CNA, CNX, CAG, CONN, XRAY, DVN, DSGR, EIX, EOG, EQT, EG, EXC, EXPD, XOM, FICO, FARO, FDX, FIS, FE, FIVN, FLEX, FCX, GME, IT, GIS, GGG, HBI, THG, HLIT, HP, HOV, ILMN, IPI, JNJ, KBH, K, KSS, LZB, LEG, LEN, L, MHO, MRO, MDC, MLKN, MUR, NFG, NEU, NEE, NI, NOC, NUS, PDCO, PTEN, PAYX, PCTY, PFE, PCG, PXD, PPL, PFG, PGR, PSTG, DGX, RGS, ROP, R, SAND, SHW, SLGN, SKX, SMAR, SCCO, SWN, SCS, SUM, SRDX, TGT, TDOC, TDC, TTD, TDG, RIG, TRV, TZOO, TG, UIS, VFC, WRB, WPM, WSC, WOLF, IAI, IYK, IYE, ITB, IEZ, IHE, IAT, IGE, IYF, ECH, EWW, EWD, EWL, EWU, IBB, PXJ, GLD, UNG, VHT. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Apparel1. Apparel
2. Shoe2. Shoe
3. Semiconductor3. Semiconductor
4. Retail (Special Lines)4. Retail (Special Lines)
5. Semiconductor Cap Equip.5. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
6. Homebuilding6. Homebuilding
7. Cement and Aggregates7. Cement and Aggregates
8. Furn/Home Furnishings8. Furn/Home Furnishings
9. Building Materials9. Building Materials
10. Retail Building Supply10. Retail Building Supply
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Natural Gas (Distributor)50. Natural Gas (Distributor)
51. Petroleum (Integrated)51. Petroleum (Integrated)
52. Food Processing52. Food Processing
53. Electric Utility (Central)53. Electric Utility (Central)
54. Electric Utility (East)54. Electric Utility (East)
55. Medical Services55. Medical Services
56. Electric Utility (West)56. Electric Utility (West)
57. Toiletries/Cosmetics57. Toiletries/Cosmetics
58. Chemical (Diversified)58. Chemical (Diversified)
59. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment59. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
60. Short ETFs60. Short ETFs

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth (Ad)

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