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Thomas Bulkowski’s successful investment activities allowed him to retire at age 36. He is an internationally known author and trader with 30+ years of stock market experience and widely regarded as a leading expert on chart patterns. He may be reached at

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Kindle
Paperback
Nook
Chart Patterns: After the Buy
Getting Started in Chart Patterns, Second Edition book.
Trading Basics: Evolution of a Trader book.
Fundamental Analysis and Position Trading: Evolution of a Trader book.
Swing and Day Trading: Evolution of a Trader book.
Visual Guide to Chart Patterns book.
Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns 2nd Edition book.

Bulkowski's Chart Pattern Failure Rank

Class Elliott Wave Fundamentals Psychology Quiz Research Setups Software Tutorials More...
Busted
Patterns
Candles Chart
Patterns
Event
Patterns
Small Patterns
Market
Industrials (^DJI):
Transports (^DJT):
Utilities (^DJU):
Nasdaq (^IXIC):
S&P500 (^GSPC):
As of 03/23/2017
20,657 -4.72 0.0%
8,936 -51.04 -0.6%
703 -1.87 -0.3%
5,818 -3.95 -0.1%
2,346 -2.49 -0.1%
YTD
4.5%
-1.2%
6.5%
8.1%
4.8%
Tom's Targets    Overview: 03/14/2017
21,250 or 20,600 by 04/15/2017
9,500 or 8,700 by 04/15/2017
675 or 715 by 04/01/2017
5,950 or 5,650 by 04/15/2017
2,425 or 2,325 by 04/15/2017
Mutt Losers: None YTD
Mutt Winners: None YTD

Written by and copyright © 2005-2017 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information.

This is a list of chart patterns that shows the performance rank of each formation by its failure rate. A chart pattern fails if price does not move more than 5% away from the breakout price before reversing trend (a 20% trend change). A rank of 1 (best) means the chart pattern has the smallest failure rate. N/A means the chart pattern uses a different method to gauge performance than the other chart patterns (usually the measure from the breakout to the swing high or swing low, not to the highest high or lowest low before a trend change). Thus, a performance comparison would be unfair and meaningless. For more information see the book Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, Second Edition.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Bull Market Chart Patterns

Chart Pattern

Break even Failure
Rate Rank

Gaps

N/A

Measured Move Down

N/A

Measured Move Up

N/A

Flags, down breakout

1

Flags, High and Tight, up breakout

1

Broadening Wedges, Ascending, up breakout

2

Bump-and-Run Reversal Bottoms, up breakout

2

Head-and-Shoulders Tops, Complex, down breakout

2

Head-and-Shoulders Tops, down breakout

2

Pennants, down breakout

2

Pennants, up breakout

2

Bump-and-run Reversal Tops, down breakout

3

Head-and-Shoulders Bottoms, up breakout

3

Islands, Long, down breakout

3

Diamond Bottoms, up breakout

4

Diamond Tops, down breakout

4

Double Bottoms, Eve & Adam, up breakout

4

Double Bottoms, Eve & Eve, up breakout

4

Flags, up breakout

4

Head-and-Shoulders Bottoms, Complex, up breakout

4

Scallops, Ascending and Inverted, up breakout

4

Triple Bottoms, up breakout

4

Cup-with-Handle, up breakout

5

Double Bottoms, Adam & Adam, up breakout

5

Double Bottoms, Adam & Eve, up breakout

5

Horn Tops, down breakout

5

Pipe Bottom, up breakout

5

Rounding Bottoms, up breakout

5

Three Rising Valleys, up breakout

5

Broadening Wedges, Descending, up breakout

6

Double Tops, Adam & Adam, down breakout

6

Broadening Wedges, Descending, down breakout

7

Triangles, Descending, up breakout

7

Diamond Bottoms, down breakout

8

Scallops, Inverted and Descending, down breakout

8

Triple Tops, down breakout

8

Wedges, Rising, up breakout

8

Broadening Wedges, Ascending, down breakout

9

Cup-with-Handle, Inverted, down breakout

9

Double Tops, Eve & Eve, down breakout

9

Horn Bottoms, up breakout

9

Pipe Tops, down breakout

9

Rectangles Tops, down breakout

9

Rectangles Tops, up breakout

9

Rounding Tops, up breakout

9

Triangles, Ascending, down breakout

9

Triangles, Symmetrical, up breakout

9

Broadening Bottoms, up breakout

10

Diamond Tops, up breakout

10

Rectangles Bottoms, up breakout

10

Rounding Tops, down breakout

10

Scallops, Ascending, up breakout

10

Three Falling Peaks, down breakout

10

Broadening Formations, Right-Angled and Ascending, up breakout

11

Double Tops, Eve & Adam, down breakout

11

Islands, Long, up breakout

11

Triangles, Symmetrical, down breakout

11

Wedges, Falling, up breakout

11

Broadening Formations, Right-Angled and Descending, down breakout

12

Double Tops, Adam & Eve, down breakout

12

Triangles, Ascending, up breakout

12

Broadening Tops, up breakout

13

Scallops, Descending, down breakout

13

Wedges, Falling, down breakout

13

Broadening Bottoms, down breakout

14

Islands Reversals, up breakout

14

Triangles, Descending, down breakout

14

Broadening Formations, Right-Angled and Descending, up breakout

15

Islands Reversals, down breakout

15

Rectangles Bottoms, down breakout

15

Broadening Tops, down breakout

16

Scallops, Descending, up breakout

16

Broadening Formations, Right-Angled and Ascending, down breakout

17

Wedges, Rising, down breakout

18

Scallops, Ascending, down breakout

19

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Written by and copyright © 2005-2017 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information. A transistor protected by a fast-acting fuse will protect the fuse by blowing first.