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Bulkowski's Chart Pattern Failure Rank

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Busted
Patterns
Candles Chart
Patterns
Event
Patterns
Small Patterns
As of 11/13/2019
  Indus: 27,784 +92.10 +0.3%  
  Trans: 10,843 -116.63 -1.1%  
  Utils: 844 +12.11 +1.5%  
  Nasdaq: 8,482 -3.99 0.0%  
  S&P 500: 3,094 +2.20 +0.1%  
YTD
 +19.1%  
 +18.2%  
 +18.4%  
 +27.8%  
 +23.4%  
  Targets    Overview: 10/31/2019  
  Up arrow28,200 or 27,100 by 12/01/2019
  Up arrow11,300 or 10,100 by 11/15/2019
  Up arrow870 or 800 by 12/01/2019
  Up arrow8,700 or 8,200 by 12/01/2019
  Up arrow3,150 or 2,950 by 11/15/2019
As of 11/13/2019
  Indus: 27,784 +92.10 +0.3%  
  Trans: 10,843 -116.63 -1.1%  
  Utils: 844 +12.11 +1.5%  
  Nasdaq: 8,482 -3.99 0.0%  
  S&P 500: 3,094 +2.20 +0.1%  
YTD
 +19.1%  
 +18.2%  
 +18.4%  
 +27.8%  
 +23.4%  
  Targets    Overview: 10/31/2019  
  Up arrow28,200 or 27,100 by 12/01/2019
  Up arrow11,300 or 10,100 by 11/15/2019
  Up arrow870 or 800 by 12/01/2019
  Up arrow8,700 or 8,200 by 12/01/2019
  Up arrow3,150 or 2,950 by 11/15/2019

Written by and copyright © 2005-2019 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information. Some pattern names are the registered trademarks of their respective owners.

This is a list of chart patterns that shows the performance rank of each formation by its failure rate. A chart pattern fails if price does not move more than 5% away from the breakout price before reversing trend (a 20% trend change). A rank of 1 (best) means the chart pattern has the smallest failure rate. N/A means the chart pattern uses a different method to gauge performance than the other chart patterns (usually the measure from the breakout to the swing high or swing low, not to the highest high or lowest low before a trend change). Thus, a performance comparison would be unfair and meaningless. For more information see the book Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, Second Edition.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Bull Market Chart Patterns

Chart Pattern

Break even Failure
Rate Rank

Gaps

N/A

Measured Move Down

N/A

Measured Move Up

N/A

Flags, down breakout

1

Flags, High and Tight, up breakout

1

Broadening Wedges, Ascending, up breakout

2

Bump-and-Run Reversal Bottoms, up breakout

2

Head-and-Shoulders Tops, Complex, down breakout

2

Head-and-Shoulders Tops, down breakout

2

Pennants, down breakout

2

Pennants, up breakout

2

Bump-and-run Reversal Tops, down breakout

3

Head-and-Shoulders Bottoms, up breakout

3

Islands, Long, down breakout

3

Diamond Bottoms, up breakout

4

Diamond Tops, down breakout

4

Double Bottoms, Eve & Adam, up breakout

4

Double Bottoms, Eve & Eve, up breakout

4

Flags, up breakout

4

Head-and-Shoulders Bottoms, Complex, up breakout

4

Scallops, Ascending and Inverted, up breakout

4

Triple Bottoms, up breakout

4

Cup-with-Handle, up breakout

5

Double Bottoms, Adam & Adam, up breakout

5

Double Bottoms, Adam & Eve, up breakout

5

Horn Tops, down breakout

5

Pipe Bottom, up breakout

5

Rounding Bottoms, up breakout

5

Three Rising Valleys, up breakout

5

Broadening Wedges, Descending, up breakout

6

Double Tops, Adam & Adam, down breakout

6

Broadening Wedges, Descending, down breakout

7

Triangles, Descending, up breakout

7

Diamond Bottoms, down breakout

8

Scallops, Inverted and Descending, down breakout

8

Triple Tops, down breakout

8

Wedges, Rising, up breakout

8

Broadening Wedges, Ascending, down breakout

9

Cup-with-Handle, Inverted, down breakout

9

Double Tops, Eve & Eve, down breakout

9

Horn Bottoms, up breakout

9

Pipe Tops, down breakout

9

Rectangles Tops, down breakout

9

Rectangles Tops, up breakout

9

Rounding Tops, up breakout

9

Triangles, Ascending, down breakout

9

Triangles, Symmetrical, up breakout

9

Broadening Bottoms, up breakout

10

Diamond Tops, up breakout

10

Rectangles Bottoms, up breakout

10

Rounding Tops, down breakout

10

Scallops, Ascending, up breakout

10

Three Falling Peaks, down breakout

10

Broadening Formations, Right-Angled and Ascending, up breakout

11

Double Tops, Eve & Adam, down breakout

11

Islands, Long, up breakout

11

Triangles, Symmetrical, down breakout

11

Wedges, Falling, up breakout

11

Broadening Formations, Right-Angled and Descending, down breakout

12

Double Tops, Adam & Eve, down breakout

12

Triangles, Ascending, up breakout

12

Broadening Tops, up breakout

13

Scallops, Descending, down breakout

13

Wedges, Falling, down breakout

13

Broadening Bottoms, down breakout

14

Islands Reversals, up breakout

14

Triangles, Descending, down breakout

14

Broadening Formations, Right-Angled and Descending, up breakout

15

Islands Reversals, down breakout

15

Rectangles Bottoms, down breakout

15

Broadening Tops, down breakout

16

Scallops, Descending, up breakout

16

Broadening Formations, Right-Angled and Ascending, down breakout

17

Wedges, Rising, down breakout

18

Scallops, Ascending, down breakout

19

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See Also

Written by and copyright © 2005-2019 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information. Some pattern names are the registered trademarks of their respective owners. A transistor protected by a fast-acting fuse will protect the fuse by blowing first.