Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 01/17/2025
  Indus: 43,488 +334.70 +0.8%  
  Trans: 16,431 -169.75 -1.0%  
  Utils: 1,013 +1.53 +0.2%  
  Nasdaq: 19,630 +291.91 +1.5%  
  S&P 500: 5,997 +59.32 +1.0%  
YTD
 +2.2%  
 +3.4%  
 +3.0%  
 +1.7%  
 +2.0%  
  Targets    Overview: 01/15/2025  
  Up arrow44,700 or 41,600 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow17,200 or 15,700 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 950 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 18,670 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,700 by 02/01/2025
As of 01/17/2025
  Indus: 43,488 +334.70 +0.8%  
  Trans: 16,431 -169.75 -1.0%  
  Utils: 1,013 +1.53 +0.2%  
  Nasdaq: 19,630 +291.91 +1.5%  
  S&P 500: 5,997 +59.32 +1.0%  
YTD
 +2.2%  
 +3.4%  
 +3.0%  
 +1.7%  
 +2.0%  
  Targets    Overview: 01/15/2025  
  Up arrow44,700 or 41,600 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow17,200 or 15,700 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 950 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 18,670 by 02/01/2025
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,700 by 02/01/2025

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Tuesday 1/21/25. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 0.8% or 334.7 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 614 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 339 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.6% on 275 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 55.2% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 299/551 or 54.3% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 57/120 or 47.5% of the time.

$ $ $

I show another slider trading quiz featuring Varian Semiconductor: VSEA stock.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 182 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: A, ALK, ALB, AMZN, AME, ANIK, APA, ARCB, ADP, AXS, AZTA, BSET, BAX, BZH, BRKR, BLDR, CDAY, CRL, CINF, CTAS, CLX, CNO, CGNX, CMTL, GLW, CRH, CCK, CMI, ^DJT, ^DJI, BOOM, EXP, EME, EMR, EFX, EXPI, FFIV, FICO, FIVN, FTNT, FTV, FWRD, GME, GIS, GPN, GFS, GL, GMS, GFF, GES, DHI, HOV, HUBG, HUN, HURC, IDA, IDXX, NSP, INTC, IPI, KALU, KBH, KEYS, LZB, LEG, LNC, RAMP, MTSI, MANH, MLM, MAS, MRK, MCO, NBR, NFG, NWL, NEU, NKE, JWN, NOVT, NTNX, OGE, ORI, OMC, OTEX, OUT, PTEN, PAYX, PCTY, PPG, PPL, PINC, PFG, RMBS, RGS, RCKY, RES, ^GSPC, SLB, SAIC, SMG, SEE, SEIC, SIGI, SMAR, SR, SXI, TPR, TRGP, TPX, TDC, TEVA, TXN, TXT, TTD, TOL, TZOO, TWLO, UGI, UIS, UNM, VFC, WRB, WU, WOLF, WDAY, IYM, IAI, IYC, IEZ, IHE, DDM, QTEC, FXL, FXI, BOTZ, IYZ, IGV, MXI, IXN, IGE, EWO, EWK, EWQ, EWG, EWH, EWI, EZA, EWP, EWD, TUR, EWU, PPA, DBA, PEJ, PXJ, PHO, SSO, ROBO, XLY, XLI, XLB, SPY, XAR, VIS, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

Top

© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  40,919.64    
 Weekly S2  41,186.96  267.32   
 Monthly S1  42,203.74  1,016.77   
 Weekly S1  42,337.40  133.66   
 Weekly Pivot  42,995.32  657.93   
 Monthly Pivot  43,128.98  133.66   
 Daily S2  43,143.84  14.86   Yes! The Daily S2 is close to the Monthly Pivot.
 Low  43,312.55  168.71   
 Open  43,312.55  0.00   Yes! The Open is close to the Low.
 Daily S1  43,315.84  3.29   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Open.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  43,442.70  126.86   
 50% Down from Intraday High  43,482.90  40.20   
 Daily Pivot  43,484.54  1.64   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  43,487.83  3.29   Yes! The Close is close to the Daily Pivot.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  43,523.10  35.27   
 High  43,653.25  130.15   
 Daily R1  43,656.54  3.29   Yes! The Daily R1 is close to the High.
 Daily R2  43,825.24  168.71   
 Weekly R1  44,145.76  320.52   
 Monthly R1  44,413.08  267.32   
 Weekly R2  44,803.68  390.61   
 Monthly R2  45,338.32  534.64   

Friday 1/17/25. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 140 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, AXDX, AMZN, DOX, AEP, AFG, AIG, AMWD, AMGN, AMAT, ACGL, ASH, ATO, ADP, BSET, BAX, BKNG, BMY, BR, CPB, CLS, CNP, CRL, CTAS, CSCO, CNO, CL, CMTL, COTY, CSGS, DHR, DFS, D, DTE, DUK, BOOM, EMR, EL, EVRG, EXC, FFIV, FICO, FIVN, FTV, FNV, GME, GAP, GD, GL, HQY, HTLD, HELE, HUBG, PODD, TILE, IPI, KLAC, LHX, LRCX, LPLA, LXU, MTSI, MGY, MS, MUR, ^IXIC, NFG, NJR, NI, NOC, NVDA, OGE, PDCO, PTEN, PCTY, PNW, POR, PPG, PPL, PINC, PFG, PEG, QCOM, RL, RGA, RLI, ROL, RES, SAIA, SCHW, SEE, SHW, SO, LUV, SWX, SPSC, TPX, TDC, TMO, TSCO, TRV, TWLO, UGI, UPS, VFC, WLK, WEX, WPM, XEL, IAI, IYK, IHE, FTEC, IEV, IXC, IXN, EWK, EWQ, EWM, EWS, EWY, EWD, EWL, EWT, TUR, QLD, ROBO, GLD, XLK, XLU, SMH, VHT. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

Top

 

 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
ANFPipe bottom      12/09/202412/16/2024Apparel
ABMDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/18/202401/07/2025Industrial Services
ACIWDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/30/202401/07/2025IT Services
AESDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/19/202412/30/2024Electric Utility (East)
AFLDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/18/202401/13/2025Insurance (Diversified)
ALBDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      01/02/202501/10/2025Chemical (Diversified)
AEEDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202401/06/2025Electric Utility (Central)
AEPDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202401/08/2025Electric Utility (Central)
AIGDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/18/202401/10/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
ARCBDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/30/202401/13/2025Trucking/Transp. Leasing
ACGLDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/20/202401/13/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
ATODouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202401/06/2025Natural Gas (Diversified)
BMRNTriangle, ascending      11/11/202401/03/2025Biotechnology
BRBroadening bottom      12/20/202401/10/2025Information Services
CORDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/19/202401/02/2025Biotechnology
CNPDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/10/202401/08/2025Electric Utility (Central)
CENXDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/20/202401/03/2025Metals and Mining (Div.)
CTASDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/20/202412/30/2024Industrial Services
CNODouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/18/202401/10/2025Insurance (Diversified)
CMTLDead-cat bounce      01/13/202501/13/2025Telecom. Equipment
GLWTriple bottom      12/18/202401/13/2025Telecom. Equipment
CTSPipe top      11/04/202411/11/2024Electronics
CMITriple bottom      12/20/202401/03/2025Machinery
CWDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/18/202401/13/2025Machinery
DFSDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/18/202401/10/2025Financial Services
DTEHead-and-shoulders bottom      12/10/202412/30/2024Electric Utility (Central)
EBAYDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/30/202401/03/2025Internet
ELDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      01/03/202501/10/2025Toiletries/Cosmetics
EVRGDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/19/202401/13/2025Electric Utility (Central)
FFIVTriple bottom      12/20/202401/13/2025Internet
FAROTriple bottom      12/20/202401/13/2025Precision Instrument
FRDPipe top      12/02/202412/09/2024Building Materials
GMEHorn top      12/23/202401/06/2025Retail (Special Lines)
GLPipe bottom      12/02/202412/09/2024Insurance (Life)
GSDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/18/202401/13/2025Securities Brokerage
GFFDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/30/202401/08/2025Building Materials
HIGDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/20/202401/10/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
HDDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/20/202401/08/2025Retail Building Supply
DHIDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      12/19/202401/13/2025Homebuilding
HUBGDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/20/202401/13/2025Trucking/Transp. Leasing
IEXDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      01/03/202501/13/2025Machinery
PODDDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/19/202401/02/2025Medical Supplies
IPARTriple bottom      12/23/202401/13/2025Toiletries/Cosmetics
IBKRDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      12/20/202401/02/2025Securities Brokerage
KALUTriple bottom      12/20/202401/08/2025Metals and Mining (Div.)
LZBTriple bottom      12/20/202401/10/2025Furn/Home Furnishings
LLYDouble Top, Adam and Adam      12/20/202401/13/2025Drug
LDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/19/202401/13/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
LOWTriple bottom      12/20/202401/08/2025Retail Building Supply
MTSIDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      01/02/202501/13/2025Semiconductor
MTRXDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/30/202401/13/2025Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
^IXICTriple top      12/16/202401/06/2025None
NFGDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      11/07/202412/20/2024Natural Gas (Diversified)
NIDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/19/202401/06/2025Electric Utility (Central)
NTNXDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      01/02/202501/13/2025E-Commerce
OXMDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/12/202412/30/2024Apparel
PAYXDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/18/202401/06/2025IT Services
PPGDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      01/03/202501/10/2025Chemical (Diversified)
PPLDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/19/202401/13/2025Electric Utility (East)
RTXTriple bottom      12/09/202401/06/2025Aerospace/Defense
ROGHorn top      11/25/202412/09/2024Electronics
SAIADouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      01/02/202501/10/2025Trucking/Transp. Leasing
SKYWDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/18/202412/30/2024Air Transport
SODouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      01/06/202501/13/2025Electric Utility (East)
SNPSHead-and-shoulders bottom      12/20/202401/14/2025Computer Software and Svcs
TDYDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      01/06/202501/13/2025Aerospace/Defense
TPXTriple bottom      12/10/202401/08/2025Furn/Home Furnishings
TXNDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      12/20/202401/02/2025Semiconductor
TDGTriple bottom      11/22/202401/08/2025Aerospace/Defense
TWLOTriple bottom      12/20/202401/13/2025E-Commerce
UGIHead-and-shoulders bottom      12/06/202401/07/2025Natural Gas (Distributor)
UPSDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/20/202401/13/2025Air Transport
VFCTriple bottom      12/30/202401/08/2025Apparel
VMITriple bottom      12/20/202401/13/2025Metal Fabricating
WRBDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/20/202401/10/2025Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
WSCDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      12/20/202412/30/2024Industrial Services
ZBRATriple bottom      12/18/202401/13/2025Computers and Peripherals

 

Top


Thursday 1/16/25. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq climbed by 2.5% or 466.84 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 38 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 1.4% on 18 occasions.
     Average loss was -1.1% on 20 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close lower 52.6% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 286/515 or 55.5% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 83/171 or 48.5% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

I don't have a lot to say about the chart. The index followed the channel down. I show the channel as two nearly parallel lines.

At A, the index completed what's called a throwback. That's when a chart pattern (in this case, the channel) breaks out upward but quickly (within a month but it usually happens in about a week to 10 days) returns to the breakout price. That's what you see at A.

As to what all of this means for the index going forward, I haven't a clue.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 214 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, AES, AFL, ATSG, ALGT, AMZN, AEO, AFG, AIG, AMWD, AMN, AAPL, ARCB, ACGL, AWI, AGO, AVNT, BECN, BZH, BIO, BMRN, BKH, BFH, BLDR, CX, COR, CIEN, CTAS, CNO, CNX, CMTL, COP, COST, COTY, CCK, DHR, DFS, ^DJT, DOV, DUK, EXP, EME, EFX, EQT, EXPI, FFIV, FICO, FAST, FLS, FWRD, FNV, GME, IT, GE, GL, GMS, GGG, GFF, HQY, HTLD, HSII, HNI, HD, DHI, HOV, HWM, HUBG, JBHT, IDA, ITW, IBP, IIIN, IPI, ISRG, IRM, K, KELYA, KFRC, KLAC, LZB, LANC, LEG, LNC, LOW, LXU, MHO, MTSI, MGY, MAN, MLM, MAS, META, MGEE, MLKN, MCO, MLI, MUR, NFG, NFLX, NTAP, NEU, NOC, NUS, OGE, OLN, ORCL, OMI, PATK, PDCO, PTEN, PYPL, PFE, POR, PPG, PFG, PHM, RMBS, RRC, RJF, RHI, ROK, RES, R, SAIA, SBH, SEE, SIGI, SMTC, NOW, SHW, SLGN, SCCO, LUV, SCS, SSYS, SRDX, TPX, TXT, TOL, TSCO, TREX, UHAL, VFC, VLO, VMI, VRTX, V, VMC, WRB, WSO, WERN, WLK, WEX, XEL, ITA, IYM, IAI, IYC, IYE, IEZ, FXL, FXI, IAT, IYZ, IGV, IXC, MXI, ILF, IGE, IEO, IYF, ITB, IHI, EWK, EWZ, EEM, EWQ, EWG, EWH, EIS, EWI, EWM, EZA, EWY, EWP, EWD, EWT, IBB, PEJ, PXJ, PJP, PHO, XLE, XLF, GLD, XHB, XLI, XLB, XRT, USO, VIS, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

Top

© 2025 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  18,392.36    
 Weekly S2  18,523.44  131.09   
 Monthly S1  18,951.79  428.35   
 Weekly S1  19,017.34  65.54   
 Daily S2  19,203.57  186.23   
 Low  19,299.32  95.75   
 Open  19,350.31  50.99   
 Daily S1  19,357.40  7.09   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Open.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  19,394.66  37.26   
 50% Down from Intraday High  19,424.11  29.45   
 Daily Pivot  19,453.15  29.04   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  19,453.56  0.41   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily Pivot.
 Close  19,511.23  57.67   
 Weekly Pivot  19,512.64  1.41   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the Close.
 High  19,548.90  36.26   
 Monthly Pivot  19,578.19  29.29   
 Daily R1  19,606.98  28.79   
 Daily R2  19,702.73  95.75   
 Weekly R1  20,006.54  303.81   
 Monthly R1  20,137.62  131.09   
 Weekly R2  20,501.84  364.22   
 Monthly R2  20,764.02  262.17   

 

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