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Thomas N. Bulkowski’s successful investment activities allowed him to retire at age 36. He is an internationally known author and trader with almost 30 years of stock market experience and widely regarded as a leading expert on chart patterns. His four books, including the best selling Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, have been translated into six languages. He may be reached at

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Bulkowski’s Event Pattern Failure Rank

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Market
Industrials (^DJI):
Transports (^DJT):
Utilities (^DJU):
Nasdaq (^IXIC):
S&P 500 (^GSPC):
 
As of 07/29/2010
10,467.16 -30.72 -0.3%
4,415.02 -5.30 -0.1%
387.34 -5.78 -1.5%
2,251.69 -12.87 -0.6%
1,101.53 -4.60 -0.4%
 
YTD
0.4%
7.7%
-2.7%
-0.8%
-1.2%
 
Tom’s Targets
10,100 by 08/15/2010
4,200 by 08/15/2010
375 by 08/15/2010
2,100 by 08/15/2010
1,050 by 08/15/2010
Mkt Overview: 07/26/2010

CPI: on 07/07/2010

Written by and copyright © 2005-2010 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved.

This is an alphabetical listing of event patterns that shows the performance rank of each event pattern by its failure rate. Ties are allowed. A rank of 1 means the event pattern has the smallest failure rate. N/A in the list below means the event pattern uses a different method to gauge performance than the other event patterns (usually the measure from the breakout to the swing high or swing low, not to the highest high or lowest low before a trend change). Thus, a performance comparison would be unfair and meaningless. For more information see the book Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, Second Edition.

 

Bull Market Event Patterns

Event Pattern

Breakeven Failure
Rate Rank

Dead-Cat Bounce

N/A

Dead-Cat Bounce, Inverted

N/A

Flag, Earnings, up breakout

1

Same Store Sales, Bad, down breakout

1

Stock Downgrade, down breakout

1

Earnings Surprise, Bad, down breakout

2

Stock Upgrade, up breakout

2

Same Store Sales, Good, up breakout

3

Stock Upgrade, down breakout

3

FDA Drug Approvals, down breakout

4

Stock Downgrade, up breakout

4

Earnings Surprise, Good, up breakout

5

FDA Drug Approvals, up breakout

6

See Also

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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Copyright © 2005-2010 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. A truly wise man never plays leapfrog with a unicorn.