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Thomas Bulkowski’s successful investment activities allowed him to retire at age 36. He is an internationally known author and trader with 30+ years of stock market experience and widely regarded as a leading expert on chart patterns. He may be reached at

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Kindle
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Chart Patterns: After the Buy
Getting Started in Chart Patterns, Second Edition book.
Trading Basics: Evolution of a Trader book.
Fundamental Analysis and Position Trading: Evolution of a Trader book.
Swing and Day Trading: Evolution of a Trader book.
Visual Guide to Chart Patterns book.
Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns 2nd Edition book.

Bulkowski's Event Pattern Failure Rank

Class Elliott Wave Fundamentals Psychology Quiz Research Setups Software Tutorials More...
Busted
Patterns
Candles Chart
Patterns
Event
Patterns
Small Patterns
Market
Industrials (^DJI):
Transports (^DJT):
Utilities (^DJU):
Nasdaq (^IXIC):
S&P500 (^GSPC):
As of 01/13/2017
19,886 -5.27 0.0%
9,202 57.87 0.6%
657 -0.99 -0.2%
5,574 26.63 0.5%
2,275 4.20 0.2%
YTD
0.6%
1.8%
-0.4%
3.5%
1.6%
Tom's Targets    Overview: 12/30/2016
19,250 or 20,250 by 01/15/2017
8,880 or 9,550 by 01/15/2017
625 or 690 by 01/15/2017
5,650 or 5,400 by 01/15/2017
2,350 or 2,240 by 01/15/2017
Indus strength: None YTD
Mutt Losers: None YTD
Mutt Winners: None YTD

Written by and copyright © 2005-2017 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information.

This is an alphabetical listing of event patterns that shows the performance rank of each event pattern by its failure rate. Ties are allowed. A rank of 1 means the event pattern has the smallest failure rate. N/A in the list below means the event pattern uses a different method to gauge performance than the other event patterns (usually the measure from the breakout to the swing high or swing low, not to the highest high or lowest low before a trend change). Thus, a performance comparison would be unfair and meaningless. For more information see the book Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, Second Edition.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Bull Market Event Patterns

Event Pattern

Breakeven Failure
Rate Rank

Dead-Cat Bounce

N/A

Dead-Cat Bounce, Inverted

N/A

Flag, Earnings, up breakout

1

Same Store Sales, Bad, down breakout

1

Stock Downgrade, down breakout

1

Earnings Surprise, Bad, down breakout

2

Stock Upgrade, up breakout

2

Same Store Sales, Good, up breakout

3

Stock Upgrade, down breakout

3

FDA Drug Approvals, down breakout

4

Stock Downgrade, up breakout

4

Earnings Surprise, Good, up breakout

5

FDA Drug Approvals, up breakout

6

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See Also

Written by and copyright © 2005-2017 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information. A truly wise man never plays leapfrog with a unicorn.