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Bulkowski’s Event Pattern Failure Rank
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Market
Industrials (^DJI):
Transports (^DJT):
Utilities (^DJU):
Nasdaq (^IXIC):
S&P 500 (^GSPC):
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As of 07/29/2010
10,467.16 -30.72 -0.3%
4,415.02 -5.30 -0.1%
387.34 -5.78 -1.5%
2,251.69 -12.87 -0.6%
1,101.53 -4.60 -0.4%
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YTD
0.4%
7.7%
-2.7%
-0.8%
-1.2%
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Tom’s Targets
375 by 08/15/2010
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CPI: on 07/07/2010 |
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Written by and copyright © 2005-2010 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved.
This is an alphabetical listing of event patterns that shows the performance rank of each event pattern by its
failure rate. Ties are allowed. A rank of 1 means the event pattern has the smallest failure rate. N/A in the list
below means the event pattern uses a different
method to gauge performance than the other event patterns (usually the measure from the breakout to the swing high or
swing low, not to the highest high or lowest low before a trend change). Thus, a performance comparison would be
unfair and meaningless. For more information
see the book Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, Second Edition.
Bull Market Event Patterns
| Event Pattern | Breakeven Failure Rate Rank |
| Dead-Cat Bounce | N/A |
| Dead-Cat Bounce, Inverted | N/A |
| Flag, Earnings, up breakout | 1 |
| Same Store Sales, Bad, down breakout | 1 |
| Stock Downgrade, down breakout | 1 |
| Earnings Surprise, Bad, down breakout | 2 |
| Stock Upgrade, up breakout | 2 |
| Same Store Sales, Good, up breakout | 3 |
| Stock Upgrade, down breakout | 3 |
| FDA Drug Approvals, down breakout | 4 |
| Stock Downgrade, up breakout | 4 |
| Earnings Surprise, Good, up breakout | 5 |
| FDA Drug Approvals, up breakout | 6 |
-- Thomas Bulkowski
Copyright © 2005-2010 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. A truly wise man never plays leapfrog with a unicorn.
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