As of 12/04/2020
  Indus: 30,218 +248.74 +0.8%  
  Trans: 12,742 +155.26 +1.2%  
  Utils: 856 -10.76 -1.2%  
  Nasdaq: 12,464 +87.05 +0.7%  
  S&P 500: 3,699 +32.40 +0.9%  
YTD
 +5.9%  
 +16.9%  
-2.6%  
 +38.9%  
 +14.5%  
  Targets    Overview: 11/30/2020  
  Up arrow30,700 or 28,250 by 12/15/2020
  Up arrow13,500 or 11,700 by 12/15/2020
  Down arrow830 or 925 by 12/15/2020
  Up arrow12,500 or 11,400 by 12/15/2020
  Up arrow3,750 or 3,400 by 12/15/2020
CPI (updated daily): Arrows on 11/2/20
As of 12/04/2020
  Indus: 30,218 +248.74 +0.8%  
  Trans: 12,742 +155.26 +1.2%  
  Utils: 856 -10.76 -1.2%  
  Nasdaq: 12,464 +87.05 +0.7%  
  S&P 500: 3,699 +32.40 +0.9%  
YTD
 +5.9%  
 +16.9%  
-2.6%  
 +38.9%  
 +14.5%  
  Targets    Overview: 11/30/2020  
  Up arrow30,700 or 28,250 by 12/15/2020
  Up arrow13,500 or 11,700 by 12/15/2020
  Down arrow830 or 925 by 12/15/2020
  Up arrow12,500 or 11,400 by 12/15/2020
  Up arrow3,750 or 3,400 by 12/15/2020
CPI (updated daily): Arrows on 11/2/20

Bulkowski on the Ladder Bottom Candle Pattern

 

In my book, Encyclopedia of Candlestick ChartsEncyclopedia of Candlestick Charts book., pictured on the right, I explore the entire range of candlestick patterns from abandoned babies to windows (not exactly A to Z, but you get the idea), in both bull and bear markets, using almost 5 million candle lines in the tests.

The book takes an in-depth look at 103 candlestick patterns and reports on behavior and rank (3 types: reversal rate, frequency, and overall performance), identification guidelines, performance statistics (tables of general statistics, height, and volume), trading tactics (tables of statistics on reversal rates and performance indicators), and wraps each chapter with a sample trade. I share a sliver of that information below. If you like what you read here, then you will love the book. Help support this website and buy a copy by clicking on the above link.

The ladder bottom looks like a simple candle and it is, but the requirements still make it rare. Out of over 4.7 million candle lines, I found 451 ladder bottoms. The five candle lines are responsible for that. I liken it to flipping a coin and having it show heads five times in a row.

The ladder bottom acts as a bullish reversal 56% of the time, so it is close to random. The overall performance ranks 41, so the post breakout trend is not exceptional either. You might think that this candle adds to a growing list of candles that act about randomly, but that may not be the case with this one. Often, the candle is quite tall, and I measure the breakout as being a close above the top or below the bottom of the candlestick pattern. Thus, price has to climb a long way to stage an upward breakout, whereas downward breakouts should be easier to achieve since price is often closer to the bottom than the top. Besides, each candle pattern teaches us something about the market. Okay, so I just made that last bit up...

Important Results
Discussion
Identification Guidelines
Three Trading Tidbits
Example
See Also

Ladder Bottom Candlestick: Important Results

Theoretical performance: Bullish reversal
Tested performance: Bullish reversal 56% of the time
Frequency rank: 80
Overall performance rank: 41
Best percentage meeting price target: 27% (bull market, up breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: -7.07% (bear market, down breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 8 (bear market, down breakout)

All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts.

The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions.

The ideal ladder bottom candlestick
Ladder Bottom

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Ladder Bottom Candlestick: Discussion

The ladder bottom acts in theory as it does in reality, as a bullish reversal of the downtrend but only 56% of the time. I consider that "near random," but performance may be a function of height, as I explained in the introduction.

What I find startling is the 27% in which the post breakout trend meets the price target. The measure rule, which determines a price target, says that the height of the candle pattern added to the top or subtracted from the bottom of the candle pattern gives you the target. Of course, height is again the culprit. Since this candle is tall, it would be difficult to meet the full height-based price target without encountering a minor high or low along the way.

The best move after 10 days is a drop of 7.07% in a bear market, ranking 8th for performance. I consider moves of 6% to be good, so this is very good. In fact, upward breakouts in a bear market show average rises 10 days after the breakout of 6.76%, which is also a good score. It appears that if you are currently in a bear market then the ladder bottom is the candlestick of choice...if you can find it.

Ladder Bottom Candlestick: Identification Guidelines

CharacteristicDiscussion
Number of candle linesFive.
Price trend leading to the patternDownward.
ConfigurationLook for a series of 5 candles in a downward price trend. The first three days should be tall black candles, each with a lower open and close. The 4th day should be a black candle with an upper shadow, and the last day should be a white candle that gaps open above the body of the prior day.

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Ladder Bottom Candlestick: Three Trading Tidbits

If you want a few bones from my Encyclopedia of candlestick charts book, here are three to chew on. The pages refer to the book where the tips appear.

  1. Use candle color as the entry signal in a bull market -- page 467.
  2. Ladder bottom candles taller than the median show price that moves farther after the breakout than those shorter than the median -- page 462-463.
  3. Volume gives performance clues -- page 464.

Ladder Bottom Candlestick: Example

The ladder bottom candlestick on the daily scale

The chart shows a ladder bottom forming in Agrium on the daily scale. In this example, three tall black candles appear in a downward price trend, each with a lower open and close (lower bodies). Day 4 is a black candle of any size with an upper shadow. Some sources I saw require a tall upper shadow but this pattern is too rare to add such a complexity. The last day is a white candle in which the opening price gaps above the top of the prior body. Some sources also require the last day to be a tall candle, but I do not.

As the picture shows, this ladder bottom acts as a bullish reversal of the downward retrace in an upward price trend. Got that? In other words, the primary price trend is upward. Then price begins a downward retrace, and at the bottom of the retrace, the ladder bottom appears. When the candle pattern completes, price breaks out upward and rejoins the upward trend.

I have found that the best performing candlesticks are those that rejoin an existing price trend after a retracement. This is an example of that situation, and one you should keep in mind if you trade candles.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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See Also

 

Support this site! Clicking any of the books (below) takes you to Amazon.com. If you buy ANYTHING while there, they pay for the referral.

My novels:  Bumper's Story Head's Law

Chart Patterns: After the Buy Getting Started in Chart Patterns, Second Edition Trading Basics Fundamental Analysis and Position Trading Swing and Day Trading Visual Guide to Chart Patterns Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns 2nd Edition Trading Classic Chart Patterns

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