As of 04/02/2020
  Indus: 21,413 +469.93 +2.2%  
  Trans: 7,446 +93.13 +1.3%  
  Utils: 729 +21.32 +3.0%  
  Nasdaq: 7,487 +126.73 +1.7%  
  S&P 500: 2,527 +46.40 +1.9%  
YTD
-25.0%  
-31.7%  
-17.0%  
-16.6%  
-21.8%  
  Targets    Overview: 03/15/2020  
  Down arrow19,000 or 25,600 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow6,700 or 9,000 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow600 or 800 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow7,000 or 8,400 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow2,300 or 2,900 by 04/15/2020
CPI (updated daily): Arrows on 4/1/20
As of 04/02/2020
  Indus: 21,413 +469.93 +2.2%  
  Trans: 7,446 +93.13 +1.3%  
  Utils: 729 +21.32 +3.0%  
  Nasdaq: 7,487 +126.73 +1.7%  
  S&P 500: 2,527 +46.40 +1.9%  
YTD
-25.0%  
-31.7%  
-17.0%  
-16.6%  
-21.8%  
  Targets    Overview: 03/15/2020  
  Down arrow19,000 or 25,600 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow6,700 or 9,000 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow600 or 800 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow7,000 or 8,400 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow2,300 or 2,900 by 04/15/2020
CPI (updated daily): Arrows on 4/1/20

Bulkowski on the Bullish Tri-Star Candle Pattern

 

Bullish Tri-Star: Summary

The bullish tri-star candlestick pattern is one of those patterns that almost adds value. Almost. It has a reversal rate just above random -- too far away to complain about, but not far enough to be really useful in detecting a reversal of the primary price trend. It has a frequency rank of 79, making it rare, so you will have trouble finding this candlestick pattern. However, once a breakout occurs the overall performance rank suggests the move might be worth betting on. A closer look at the performance numbers shows that it does perform well across all market conditions and breakout directions. Reversals tend to work better than continuations, according to the numbers.

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My book, Encyclopedia of Candlestick ChartsEncyclopedia of Candlestick Charts book., pictured on the left, takes an in-depth look at candlesticks, including performance statistics.

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-- Tom Bulkowski

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Important Results
Discussion
Identification Guidelines
Three Trading Tidbits
Example
See Also

Bullish Tri-Star: Important Results

Theoretical performance: Bullish reversal
Tested performance: Bullish reversal 60% of the time
Frequency rank: 79
Overall performance rank: 28
Best percentage meeting price target: 77% (bear market, up breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: 5.11% (bear market, up breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 26 (bear market, up breakout)

All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts.

The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions.

The ideal bullish tri-star candlestick
Bullish Tri-Star

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Bullish Tri-Star: Discussion

The bullish tri-star candlestick acts as a bullish reversal in theory and also in reality, but only 60% of the time. That is close to random, 50%. The overall performance rank is 28, which is quite high up the performance list. It suggests the post breakout trend can be a worthwhile move.

The best average move 10 days after the breakout is a rise of 5.11% in a bear market. That ranks 26th. I consider moves of 6% or higher to be good ones, so the bullish tri-star candlestick falls short. Drilling into the data, the numbers shows that the pattern performs slightly better after an upward breakout than a downward one.

Bullish Tri-Star: Identification Guidelines

CharacteristicDiscussion
Number of candle linesThree.
Price trend leading to the patternDownward.
ConfigurationLook for three doji after a downward price trend. The middle doji has a body below the other two.

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Bullish Tri-Star: Three Trading Tidbits

If you want a few bones from my Encyclopedia of candlestick charts book, here are three to chew on. The pages refer to the book where the tips appear.

  1. Bullish tri-star candles that appear within a third of the yearly high tend to act as reversals most often -- page 825.
  2. Select tall candles for the best performance -- page 823-824.
  3. For the best performance look for the bullish tri-star as part of a downward retracement in an upward price trend -- page 825.

Bullish Tri-Star: Example

The bullish tri-star candlestick on the daily scale

The chart shows a bullish tri-star candlestick circled in red on the daily scale. This bullish tri-star appears after a downward price trend that takes the stock much lower, bottoming in the bullish tri-star.

Three doji appear, with the middle one below the bodies of the two adjacent doji. Since the price trend leading to the tri-star is downward and price breaks out upward, this candlestick pattern acts as a bullish reversal. An upward breakout occurs when price closes above the top of the candlestick pattern, by the way.

The price trend shown is not the optimum setup, although this one does well. The setup that I have found to work best is when the primary (longer term) price trend is upward and the bullish tri-star pattern appears as a small downward retracement of that upward price trend. When the stock breaks out upward, price joins the existing primary trend and away it flies.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Top of page More

See Also

 

Support this site! Clicking any of the books (below) takes you to Amazon.com. If you buy ANYTHING while there, they pay for the referral.

My novels:  Bumper's Story Head's Law

Chart Patterns: After the Buy Getting Started in Chart Patterns, Second Edition Trading Basics Fundamental Analysis and Position Trading Swing and Day Trading Visual Guide to Chart Patterns Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns 2nd Edition Trading Classic Chart Patterns

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