As of 04/02/2020
  Indus: 21,413 +469.93 +2.2%  
  Trans: 7,446 +93.13 +1.3%  
  Utils: 729 +21.32 +3.0%  
  Nasdaq: 7,487 +126.73 +1.7%  
  S&P 500: 2,527 +46.40 +1.9%  
YTD
-25.0%  
-31.7%  
-17.0%  
-16.6%  
-21.8%  
  Targets    Overview: 03/15/2020  
  Down arrow19,000 or 25,600 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow6,700 or 9,000 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow600 or 800 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow7,000 or 8,400 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow2,300 or 2,900 by 04/15/2020
CPI (updated daily): Arrows on 4/1/20
As of 04/02/2020
  Indus: 21,413 +469.93 +2.2%  
  Trans: 7,446 +93.13 +1.3%  
  Utils: 729 +21.32 +3.0%  
  Nasdaq: 7,487 +126.73 +1.7%  
  S&P 500: 2,527 +46.40 +1.9%  
YTD
-25.0%  
-31.7%  
-17.0%  
-16.6%  
-21.8%  
  Targets    Overview: 03/15/2020  
  Down arrow19,000 or 25,600 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow6,700 or 9,000 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow600 or 800 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow7,000 or 8,400 by 04/15/2020
  Down arrow2,300 or 2,900 by 04/15/2020
CPI (updated daily): Arrows on 4/1/20

Bulkowski on the Shooting Star Candle Pattern

 

My book, Encyclopedia of Candlestick ChartsEncyclopedia of Candlestick Charts book., pictured on the left, takes an in-depth look at candlesticks, including performance statistics.

If you click on this link and then buy the book (or anything) at Amazon.com, the referral will help support this site. Thanks. -- Tom Bulkowski

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The shooting star candlestick comes in two varieties, a single candle line and a two line candle. This page discusses the one candle line. In an uptrend, a small body candle appears with a tall upper shadow and no lower one (or a very small one). The candle looks like a gravestone doji but it is not a doji because the opening and closing prices are not the same.

The candle looks as if price has reversed direction. Examining the performance statistics confirms that the shooting star acts as a reversal 59% of the time. However, I still consider that "near random" performance. Thus, although price reverses more often than not, do not depend on that happening.

Important Results
Discussion
Identification Guidelines
Three Trading Tidbits
Example
Other Examples
See Also

Shooting Star: Important Results

Theoretical performance: Bearish reversal
Tested performance: Bearish reversal 59% of the time
Frequency rank: 37
Overall performance rank: 55
Best percentage meeting price target: 84% (bear market, down breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: 3.86% (bear market, up breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 46 (bull market, up breakout)

All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts.

The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions.

The ideal shooting star candlestick
Shooting Star

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Shooting Star: Discussion

Day traders that I know depend on the shooting star more often than I think they should, but my statistics are based on the daily charts, not intra day ones. I found that the shooting star candle acts as a bearish reversal 59% of the time. I consider that "near random" performance.

The overall performance is a mid list 55, where 1 is best and 103 is worst. The best average move 10 days after the breakout belongs to shooting stars after an upward breakout in a bear market. Price rises an average of 3.86%. I consider moves of 6% or more to be good, so the shooting star falls well short. The numbers suggest that this candle looks better than it performs.

Shooting Star: Identification Guidelines

CharacteristicDiscussion
Number of candle linesOne.
Price trend leading to the patternUpward.
ConfigurationLook for a small bodied candle (but not a doji) with little or no lower shadow and a tall upper shadow at least twice the height of the body.

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Shooting Star: Three Trading Tidbits

If you want a few bones from my Encyclopedia of candlestick charts book, here are three to chew on. The pages refer to the book where the tips appear.

  1. Shooting star candles that appear within a third of the yearly low perform best -- page 663.
  2. For the best performance, select shooting star candles as part of an upward retracement in a downward price trend -- page 664-665.
  3. Shooting stars within a third of the yearly low frequently act as reversals -- page 665.

Shooting Star: Example

The shooting star candlestick on the daily scale

Pictured in the daily chart at A is an example of a shooting star that appears as part of a retrace in a downward price trend. Unfortunately, the downward trend is not a long one, so this is not a perfect example.

Price moves down from the highest peak on the chart, bottoms, and then bounces. A shooting star with a tall upper shadow, no lower one, and a small body appears. The shooting star signals a change in momentum from up to down with the bulls forcing price to a peak but the bears battling back so that price closes near where it opens. The next day, and in the coming days, price moves lower.

This is an example of how a shooting star is supposed to work. With the close near the low, it should not take much for price to breakout downward (a close below the bottom of the candlestick) and yet it does so only 59% of the time.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Top of page More

Shooting Star: Other Examples

See Also

 

Support this site! Clicking any of the books (below) takes you to Amazon.com. If you buy ANYTHING while there, they pay for the referral.

My novels:  Bumper's Story Head's Law

Chart Patterns: After the Buy Getting Started in Chart Patterns, Second Edition Trading Basics Fundamental Analysis and Position Trading Swing and Day Trading Visual Guide to Chart Patterns Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns 2nd Edition Trading Classic Chart Patterns

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