As of 03/05/2021
  Indus: 31,496 +572.16 +1.9%  
  Trans: 13,628 +408.32 +3.1%  
  Utils: 814 +13.86 +1.7%  
  Nasdaq: 12,920 +196.68 +1.5%  
  S&P 500: 3,842 +73.47 +1.9%  
YTD
 +2.9%  
 +9.0%  
-5.9%  
 +0.2%  
 +2.3%  
  Targets    Overview: 02/26/2021  
  Up arrow32,750 or 30,700 by 03/15/2021
  Up arrow14,500 or 12,900 by 03/15/2021
  Up arrow850 or 770 by 03/15/2021
  Up arrow14,200 or 12,700 by 03/15/2021
  Up arrow4,000 or 3,700 by 03/15/2021
CPI (updated daily): Arrows on 3/5/21
As of 03/05/2021
  Indus: 31,496 +572.16 +1.9%  
  Trans: 13,628 +408.32 +3.1%  
  Utils: 814 +13.86 +1.7%  
  Nasdaq: 12,920 +196.68 +1.5%  
  S&P 500: 3,842 +73.47 +1.9%  
YTD
 +2.9%  
 +9.0%  
-5.9%  
 +0.2%  
 +2.3%  
  Targets    Overview: 02/26/2021  
  Up arrow32,750 or 30,700 by 03/15/2021
  Up arrow14,500 or 12,900 by 03/15/2021
  Up arrow850 or 770 by 03/15/2021
  Up arrow14,200 or 12,700 by 03/15/2021
  Up arrow4,000 or 3,700 by 03/15/2021
CPI (updated daily): Arrows on 3/5/21

Bulkowski's Alaska Air 1 Trading Quiz

 

Released 2/11/2021.

ALK: Quiz

Below is a slider quiz to test your trading ability. Captions appear below the pictures for guidance, so be sure to scroll down far enough to read them.

 

1 / 4
chart pattern

What chart patterns can you find? Look for the following: 2 head-and-shoulders bottoms, double top, descending triangle, inverted and descending scallop, falling wedge, rectangle bottom, V bottom.

Answers are on the next slide.
2 / 4
chart pattern

The stock has broken out upward from the head-and-shoulders bottom (far right, in April) when price closed above the down-sloping neckline.

Question 1: Do you buy, short, or avoid trading this stock?
Question 2: If trading this one, what is the target price?
Question 3: If trading this one, what is the stop price?
My answers appear on the next slide.
3 / 4
chart pattern

The head-and-shoulders bottom is LHR in this chart.

Answer 1: Since the breakout is upward, buy, but expect a throwback because the rectangle overhead sets up resistance.

Answer 2: Compute the target price using the height from the head low to the neckline directly above. Then add the height to the stock where price pierces the neckline to get the target. In this case, the target is (18.25 - 15.28) + 16.87 or 19.84.

Answer 3: Volatility is 91 cents so a stop no closer than 15.79 is wise. The right shoulder low is at 15.55 and it looks like a solid block with a flat bottom. It's a good stop location. Potential loss: 10% measured from the close to the stop.

As the above chart shows, price climbed without throwing back (it didn't return to the breakout price or neckline within a month or at all, in this case). The stock issued a quarterly earnings report and the stock gapped lower.

Question: If you held the stock, should you sell?

More on the next slide.
4 / 4
chart pattern

Answer: Sell. The top is a head-and-shoulders so you should sell.

You can see the head-and-shoulders top but it looks like a complex one: dual shoulders on each side of the head. The sell signal occurred when price closed below the up-sloping neckline at 27.30. The stock bottomed at 18.74

The end.

See Also

 
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My novels:  Bumper's Story Head's Law

Chart Patterns: After the Buy Getting Started in Chart Patterns, Second Edition Trading Basics Fundamental Analysis and Position Trading Swing and Day Trading Visual Guide to Chart Patterns Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns 2nd Edition Trading Classic Chart Patterns

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