As of 12/06/2024
Indus: 44,643 -123.19 -0.3%
Trans: 16,879 -97.04 -0.6%
Utils: 1,036 -11.79 -1.1%
Nasdaq: 19,860 +159.51 +0.8%
S&P 500: 6,090 +15.16 +0.2%
|
YTD
+18.4%
+6.2%
+17.4%
+32.3%
+27.7%
|
44,000 or 46,000 by 12/15/2024
17,025 or 18,000 by 12/15/2024
1,025 or 1,100 by 12/15/2024
20,000 or 18,500 by 12/15/2024
6,200 or 5,900 by 12/15/2024
|
As of 12/06/2024
Indus: 44,643 -123.19 -0.3%
Trans: 16,879 -97.04 -0.6%
Utils: 1,036 -11.79 -1.1%
Nasdaq: 19,860 +159.51 +0.8%
S&P 500: 6,090 +15.16 +0.2%
|
YTD
+18.4%
+6.2%
+17.4%
+32.3%
+27.7%
| |
44,000 or 46,000 by 12/15/2024
17,025 or 18,000 by 12/15/2024
1,025 or 1,100 by 12/15/2024
20,000 or 18,500 by 12/15/2024
6,200 or 5,900 by 12/15/2024
| ||
With the white marubozu candlestick, I am reminded of the story, "The Emperor's New Clothes" where the emperor did not wear any clothes. The white marubozu candle has no shadows! If you can call a candle naked, then maybe this is an example. It appears as a tall white blob on the charts, and it acts as a continuation 56% of the time. That type of performance is what I call near random.
$ $ $
My book, Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, pictured on the left, takes an in-depth look at candlesticks, including performance statistics.
If you click on the above link and then buy the book (or anything) while at Amazon.com, the referral will help support this site. Thanks.
$ $ $
Theoretical performance: Continuation
Tested performance: Continuation 56% of the time
Frequency rank: 27
Overall performance rank: 71
Best percentage meeting price target: 79% (bear market, down breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: -4.79% (bear market, down breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 26 (bull market, down breakout)
All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts. The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions. |
White Marubozu
|
The white marubozu candlestick is a tall white candle with no shadows. It suggests a continuation of the existing price trend but only 56% of the time. Thus, be prepared for price to reverse direction before the breakout or soon thereafter. The frequency rank is high enough, 27, where 1 is the most popular, that you should have no trouble finding this candle in a historical price series. The overall price performance rank is a distant 71 where 1 is best. Thus, do not look for price to breakout and then make a huge move. That could happen but the odds are against it.
The best average move 10 days after a breakout belongs to a bear market where price drops 4.79%. I consider moves of 6% or more to be wonderful, so this falls short. The best performance rank is 26 and that occurs after a downward breakout in a bull market. I think that with many single candle lines, expecting a huge post breakout performance just isn't in the cards.
Characteristic | Discussion |
Number of candle lines | One. |
Price trend leading to the pattern | None required. |
Configuration | Look for a tall white candlestick with no upper or lower shadows. |
If you want a few bones from my Encyclopedia of candlestick charts book, here are three to chew on. The pages refer to the book where the tips appear.
This chart shows an example of a white marubozu candlestick at A. The candle is taller than recent ones, it is white, and it has no shadows. That qualifies it as a white marubozu.
This white marubozu appears just after price reverses from down to up. The upturn is not a long one. It lasts just one more day after the white marubozu before pausing and forming a tweezers top candle pattern (two candles sharing the same high price).
The breakout from the white marubozu is upward when price the next day closes above the marubozu. Thus, the candle line acts as a continuation of the brief upward trend already in progress.
Notice how smooth the price trend was on this chart until after the white marubozu candlestick. Such choppy price action in mid June would alert me to a potential problem with the stock. I would avoid trading it for that reason -- at least until it settled down.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
Support this site! Clicking any of the books (below) takes you to
Amazon.com If you buy ANYTHING while there, they pay for the referral.
Legal notice for paid links: "As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases."
My Stock Market Books
|
My Novels
|
Being "over the hill" is much better than being under it!