As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
|
44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025
16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/2025
1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025
20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025
|
As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
| |
44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025
16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/2025
1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025
20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025
| ||
My book, Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, pictured on the left, takes an in-depth look at candlesticks, including performance statistics.
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The closing white marubozu candlestick shares a lot with watching grass grow: neither is very exciting. The candlestick acts as a continuation pattern 55% of the time, but that is what I call near random. Overall performance, rank 70, places the candlestick well behind the pack. Is there anything redeeming about the closing white marubozu? Let’s take a closer look.
Theoretical performance: Continuation
Tested performance: Continuation 55% of the time
Frequency rank: 15
Overall performance rank: 70
Best percentage meeting price target: 73% (bear market, down breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: -5.36% (bear market, down breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 27 (bear market, down breakout)
All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts. The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions. |
Closing White Marubozu
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The closing white marubozu candlestick is a tall white candle with no upper shadow, but it does have a leg to stand on (a lower shadow). It acts as a continuation of the prevailing price trend. With a frequency rank of 15, it is as common as ants at a picnic. Unfortunately the overall performance rank is a lousy 70. After the breakout, price does not trend far, which is why the rank is so poor (1 is best out of 103 candlestick types).
The best average move 10 days after the breakout is a respectable drop of 5.36%, and that occurs after a downward breakout in a bear market, placing the performance rank at 27, too.
Characteristic | Discussion |
Number of candle lines | One. |
Price trend leading to the pattern | None required. |
Configuration | Look for a tall white candle with a lower shadow but no upper one. |
If you want a few bones from my Encyclopedia of candlestick charts book, here are three to chew on. The pages refer to the book where the tips appear.
The closing white marubozu candle appears in the daily chart at A. It is a tall white candlestick with a lower shadow and price closes at the high for the day, meaning it has no upper shadow. This one appears in an upward price trend, but the trend could just as easily have been downward. The breakout is upward when price closes above the top of the closing white marubozu candle the next day.
You might think that the closing white marubozu begins a three white soldiers candlestick pattern, but this example has two flaws. First, the price trend is upward instead of downward and second, price should open within the body of the prior candle. It does not during the second day of the three candle line pattern. In other words, the bodies should overlap more than they do.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
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