As of 12/27/2024
  Indus: 42,992 -333.59 -0.8%  
  Trans: 16,031 -73.46 -0.5%  
  Utils: 987 -4.51 -0.5%  
  Nasdaq: 19,722 -298.33 -1.5%  
  S&P 500: 5,971 -66.75 -1.1%  
YTD
 +14.1%  
 +0.8%  
 +12.0%  
 +31.4%  
 +25.2%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024  
  Up arrow44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,500 by 01/15/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025
As of 12/27/2024
  Indus: 42,992 -333.59 -0.8%  
  Trans: 16,031 -73.46 -0.5%  
  Utils: 987 -4.51 -0.5%  
  Nasdaq: 19,722 -298.33 -1.5%  
  S&P 500: 5,971 -66.75 -1.1%  
YTD
 +14.1%  
 +0.8%  
 +12.0%  
 +31.4%  
 +25.2%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024  
  Up arrow44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,500 by 01/15/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025

Bulkowski's Event Pattern Failure Rank

This is an alphabetical listing of event patterns that shows the performance rank of each event pattern by its failure rate. Ties are allowed. A rank of 1 means the event pattern has the smallest failure rate. N/A in the list below means the event pattern uses a different method to gauge performance than the other event patterns (usually the measure from the breakout to the swing high or swing low, not to the highest high or lowest low before a trend change). Thus, a performance comparison would be unfair and meaningless. For more information see the book Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, Second Edition.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Bull Market Event Patterns

Event PatternBreakeven Failure
Rate Rank
Dead-Cat BounceN/A
Dead-Cat Bounce, InvertedN/A
Flag, Earnings, up breakout1
Same Store Sales, Bad, down breakout1
Stock Downgrade, down breakout1
Earnings Surprise, Bad, down breakout2
Stock Upgrade, up breakout2
Same Store Sales, Good, up breakout3
Stock Upgrade, down breakout3
FDA Drug Approvals, down breakout4
Stock Downgrade, up breakout4
Earnings Surprise, Good, up breakout5
FDA Drug Approvals, up breakout6

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See Also

 

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