As of 12/06/2024
Indus: 44,643 -123.19 -0.3%
Trans: 16,879 -97.04 -0.6%
Utils: 1,036 -11.79 -1.1%
Nasdaq: 19,860 +159.51 +0.8%
S&P 500: 6,090 +15.16 +0.2%
|
YTD
+18.4%
+6.2%
+17.4%
+32.3%
+27.7%
|
44,000 or 46,000 by 12/15/2024
17,025 or 18,000 by 12/15/2024
1,025 or 1,100 by 12/15/2024
20,000 or 18,500 by 12/15/2024
6,200 or 5,900 by 12/15/2024
|
As of 12/06/2024
Indus: 44,643 -123.19 -0.3%
Trans: 16,879 -97.04 -0.6%
Utils: 1,036 -11.79 -1.1%
Nasdaq: 19,860 +159.51 +0.8%
S&P 500: 6,090 +15.16 +0.2%
|
YTD
+18.4%
+6.2%
+17.4%
+32.3%
+27.7%
| |
44,000 or 46,000 by 12/15/2024
17,025 or 18,000 by 12/15/2024
1,025 or 1,100 by 12/15/2024
20,000 or 18,500 by 12/15/2024
6,200 or 5,900 by 12/15/2024
| ||
In my book, Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, pictured on the right, I explore the entire range of candlestick patterns from abandoned babies to windows (not exactly A to Z, but you get the idea), in both bull and bear markets, using almost 5 million candle lines in the tests.
The book takes an in-depth look at 103 candlestick patterns and reports on behavior and rank (3 types: reversal rate, frequency, and overall performance), identification guidelines, performance statistics (tables of general statistics, height, and volume), trading tactics (tables of statistics on reversal rates and performance indicators), and wraps each chapter with a sample trade. I share a sliver of that information below. If you like what you read here, then you will love the book. Help support this website and buy a copy by clicking on the above link.
The bullish kicking candlestick pattern is composed of two marubozu candlesticks: a black one as the first candle followed by a white one with an upward gap between. The candlestick acts as a bullish reversal both in theory and in reality, but only 53% of the time. That is what I call "near random."
As you might imagine, two marubozu's with a gap between is a rare combination, ranking 100th out of 103 candle types, where 1 is most frequent. The overall performance is a weak 96 out of 103, too. That suggests the post breakout trend is short.
Theoretical performance: Bullish reversal
Tested performance: Bullish reversal 53% of the time
Frequency rank: 100
Overall performance rank: 96
Best percentage meeting price target: 52% (bull market, up breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: 2.78% (bull market, up breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 57 (bull market, up breakout)
All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts. The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions. |
Bullish Kicking
|
The bullish kicking candle acts as a bullish reversal of the existing price trend 53% of the time. That is almost random, so do not try to guess the breakout direction from this candle pattern. The candle has a frequency rank of 100 out of 103. That means the candle was rare enough that I only included partial statistics in my Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts book. The overall performance 10 days after the breakout is 96, probably due to the dearth of samples.
The best average move 10 days after the breakout was a rise of 2.78% in a bull market. That move ranked 57. I consider moves of 6% or more to be good, so this is well short of the mark. It says that the price trend after the breakout tends to remain weak.
Characteristic | Discussion |
Number of candle lines | Two. |
Price trend leading to the pattern | None required. |
Configuration | Look for a tall black marubozu candle followed by an upward gap then a tall white marubozu candle. |
If you want a few bones from my Encyclopedia of candlestick charts book, here are three to chew on. The pages refer to the book where the tips appear.
Circled in red is a bullish kicking candlestick on the daily scale. This one appears in a brief downward retrace of the up trend. When price breaks out upward, a bullish reversal confirms and price rejoins the upward move already underway.
The chart shows a good example of the black and white marubozu candles. The first one is a tall black marubozu. That is a candle without any shadows. An upward gap appears between the black and white candles. A white marubozu candle follows as the second line of the pattern, and it also has no shadows.
This chart is an example of the preferred setup for the bullish kicking candlestick pattern, that of a bearish retracement in an upward price trend. You will find that when price breaks out in the direction of the primary trend, your trades are more likely to be successful.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
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