As of 10/03/2024
Indus: 42,012 -184.93 -0.4%
Trans: 15,745 -226.81 -1.4%
Utils: 1,058 -6.74 -0.6%
Nasdaq: 17,918 -6.64 0.0%
S&P 500: 5,700 -9.60 -0.2%
|
YTD
+11.5%
-1.0%
+20.0%
+19.4%
+19.5%
|
43,500 or 41,600 by 10/15/2024
16,800 or 15,700 by 10/15/2024
1,125 or 1,025 by 10/15/2024
19,000 or 17,600 by 10/15/2024
5,900 or 5,600 by 10/15/2024
|
As of 10/03/2024
Indus: 42,012 -184.93 -0.4%
Trans: 15,745 -226.81 -1.4%
Utils: 1,058 -6.74 -0.6%
Nasdaq: 17,918 -6.64 0.0%
S&P 500: 5,700 -9.60 -0.2%
|
YTD
+11.5%
-1.0%
+20.0%
+19.4%
+19.5%
| |
43,500 or 41,600 by 10/15/2024
16,800 or 15,700 by 10/15/2024
1,125 or 1,025 by 10/15/2024
19,000 or 17,600 by 10/15/2024
5,900 or 5,600 by 10/15/2024
| ||
The upside gap three methods candlestick is another rare candlestick, so take the performance numbers with a large dose of skepticism. The pattern is supposed to act as a bullish continuation, but I found it really functions as a bearish reversal. However, the reversal rate is what I call "near random." The frequency rank is 85, so you may not be able to find this pattern often enough to consider trading it. However, based on the few samples, it performs quite well in most markets 10 days after the breakout.
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My book, Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, pictured on the left, takes an in-depth look at candlesticks, including performance statistics.
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$ $ $
Theoretical performance: Bullish continuation
Tested performance: Bearish reversal 59% of the time
Frequency rank: 85
Overall performance rank: 27
Best percentage meeting price target: 39% (bull market, up breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: 4.92% (bull market, up breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 12 (bull market, up breakout)
All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts. The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions. |
Upside Gap Three Methods
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The upside gap three methods candlestick is supposed to act as a bullish continuation pattern, but my tests revealed that it functions as a bearish reversal 59% of the time. I consider that "near random" because you cannot tell with any accuracy which direction the breakout will occur.
The overall performance rank is 27, which is quite high. Looking at the numbers, we find that the best average move 10 days after the breakout is a rise of 4.92% in a bull market. That ranks 12th, but it is well short of the 6% move that I consider good.
Characteristic | Discussion |
Number of candle lines | Three. |
Price trend leading to the pattern | Upward. |
Configuration | Look for two tall white candles in an upward price trend. There should be a gap between them, including between the shadows. The last day is a black candle that fills the gap created by the first two days. |
If you want a few bones from my Encyclopedia of candlestick charts book, here are three to chew on. The pages refer to the book where the tips appear.
The upside gap three methods candlestick appears on the daily chart circled in red. The first two candles are white ones, tall and handsome with a gap between them. The last day a black candle fills the gap. That means the price action opens above the lower shadow of the second day and has a low below the upper shadow of the first day.
Imagine shorting the stock on the downward breakout from this upside gap three methods candlestick. Wow! Price moves up leading to the candle and then breaks out downward the day after the pattern completes. Thus, the candle is a reversal of the upward trend. But the downtrend last just a day before beginning its rise to a new high, and a strong trend it is, too, soaring almost 40% in a month.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
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