As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
|
 44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025 16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/20251,050 or 975 by 01/01/202520,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/20256,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025 |
As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
| |
|
44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/202516,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/20251,050 or 975 by 01/01/202520,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/20256,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025 | ||
The two crows candlestick acts as a bearish reversal but only about randomly. Thus, you cannot depend on this breaking out downward or upward, for that matter. The overall performance is on the far side of mid list, so the price trend after the breakout is just mediocre.
A look at the performance numbers shows that the best performance comes from patterns that obey the primary trend: upward breakouts in a bull market or downward ones in a bear market. Those "trade with the trend" setups look as if they will do well.
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Theoretical performance: Bearish reversal
Tested performance: Bearish reversal 54% of the time
Frequency rank: 64
Overall performance rank: 61
Best percentage meeting price target: 54% (bear market, down breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: -4.84% (bear market, down breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 26 (bull market, up breakout)
All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts. The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions. |
 Two Crows
|
The two crows candlestick acts as a bearish reversal in theory as well as in reality, but testing shows that it acts that way only 54% of the time. I consider that "near random" because you will not be able to predict the breakout direction with any accuracy. The overall performance rank is 61, which is well down the performance list from 1 (best). With a frequency rank of 64, the two crows candlestick should be plentiful enough to find.
The best average move 10 days after the breakout is a drop of 4.84% after a downward breakout in a bear market. I consider moves higher than 6% to be good ones, so this candlestick falls well short of that. The best 10-day performance rank is 26 and that happens after an upward breakout in a bull market. That gauge is a comparison with other candle types, and the two crows does well.
| Characteristic | Discussion |
| Number of candle lines | Three. |
| Price trend leading to the pattern | Upward. |
| Configuration | Look for a tall white candle in an upward price trend. Following that, a black candle has a body that gaps above the prior candle's body. The last day is another black candle, but this one opens within the prior candle's body and closes within the body of the first candle in the pattern. |
If you want a few bones from my Encyclopedia of candlestick charts book, here are three to chew on. The pages refer to the book where the tips appear.
The two crows candlestick appears circled in red on the daily scale. In an upward price trend, look for a tall white candle. Following that is a black candle with a body that gaps above the prior candle's body, like that shown. The last day is another black candlestick that opens within the body of the prior black body but closes within the body of the white candle.
In this example, the breakout from the two crows candlestick is upward because price first closes above the top of the candlestick pattern. Thus, this candle acts as a bullish continuation of the upward price trend.
An appealing setup for the two crows is to find the pattern when the primary trend is downward. The two crows appear as part of an upward retrace of the downward trend. Once price breaks out lower, the stock joins the existing trend and they head off toward zero together.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
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