As of 11/01/2024
Indus: 42,052 +288.73 +0.7%
Trans: 16,351 +99.18 +0.6%
Utils: 1,019 -17.89 -1.7%
Nasdaq: 18,240 +144.77 +0.8%
S&P 500: 5,729 +23.35 +0.4%
|
YTD
+11.6%
+2.8%
+15.6%
+21.5%
+20.1%
|
43,100 or 41,250 by 11/15/2024
16,800 or 15,700 by 11/15/2024
1,075 or 1,000 by 11/15/2024
19,000 or 17,600 by 11/15/2024
5,900 or 5,600 by 11/15/2024
|
As of 11/01/2024
Indus: 42,052 +288.73 +0.7%
Trans: 16,351 +99.18 +0.6%
Utils: 1,019 -17.89 -1.7%
Nasdaq: 18,240 +144.77 +0.8%
S&P 500: 5,729 +23.35 +0.4%
|
YTD
+11.6%
+2.8%
+15.6%
+21.5%
+20.1%
| |
43,100 or 41,250 by 11/15/2024
16,800 or 15,700 by 11/15/2024
1,075 or 1,000 by 11/15/2024
19,000 or 17,600 by 11/15/2024
5,900 or 5,600 by 11/15/2024
| ||
The bullish three-line strike candlestick pattern is another rare candle with decent performance. The few samples found, 69, may be the reason why the pattern works so well.
Often, the best performing candles are those that you can't find (they don't occur frequently), and since you can't find them, reliable testing is impossible. Drawing conclusions from what appears to be top-rated performance is risky and should be avoided. In other words, this candle doesn't perform as well as the numbers suggest.
Theory says that this candle is bullish, but since the last candle line takes price below the open of the first candle, I really don't see how that is bullish. I found that the pattern acts as a bearish reversal 65% of the time. The reason for the comparatively high reversal rate is because price closes near the bottom of the candlestick pattern and all a reversal has to do it post a close below the bottom of the candle pattern. That is much easier to do than close above the other end (the top).
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Theoretical performance: Bullish continuation.
Tested performance: Bearish reversal 65% of the time
Frequency rank: 95
Overall performance rank: 2
Best percentage meeting price target: 50% (bear market, down breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: 16.91% (bear market, up breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 1 (bear market, up breakout)
All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts. The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions. |
Bullish Three-Line Strike
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Theory differs from actual behavior for the bullish three-line strike candlestick pattern. It is supposed to act as a bullish continuation, but it actually is a bearish reversal. With a frequency rank of 95, you will not find many of them in your lifetime. However, the overall performance ranks 2 where 1 is best. That is likely due to the low sample count.
The best average move in 10 days averages 16.91%. When 6% is considered good, a 16.91% rise is huge!. It is also due to just two patterns. Thus, do not expect to achieve anywhere near that kind of return in 10 days. That high number also accounts for the best 10-day performance rank of 1, which occurred in a bear market after an upward breakout.
Characteristic | Discussion |
Number of candle lines | Four. |
Price trend leading to the pattern | Upward |
Configuration | Look for three white candles each with a higher close. A tall black candle should open higher, but close below the open of the first candle. |
If you want a few bones from my Encyclopedia of candlestick charts book, here are three to chew on. The pages refer to the book where the tips appear.
The daily chart shows a bullish three-line strike candlestick pattern. Price forms three white candles, each with a higher close, in an upward price trend. A black candle opens higher but price plummets so that it closes below the opening price of the first candle. The next day, price gaps open lower and closes lower still, staging a downward breakout.
This bullish three-line strike candlestick pattern acts as a bearish reversal of the upward price trend. That disobeys candle theory which says that this candlestick pattern acts as a continuation of the prevailing price trend.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
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