As of 10/03/2024
  Indus: 42,012 -184.93 -0.4%  
  Trans: 15,745 -226.81 -1.4%  
  Utils: 1,058 -6.74 -0.6%  
  Nasdaq: 17,918 -6.64 0.0%  
  S&P 500: 5,700 -9.60 -0.2%  
YTD
 +11.5%  
-1.0%  
 +20.0%  
 +19.4%  
 +19.5%  
  Targets    Overview: 09/30/2024  
  Up arrow43,500 or 41,600 by 10/15/2024
  Up arrow16,800 or 15,700 by 10/15/2024
  Up arrow1,125 or 1,025 by 10/15/2024
  Up arrow19,000 or 17,600 by 10/15/2024
  Up arrow5,900 or 5,600 by 10/15/2024
As of 10/03/2024
  Indus: 42,012 -184.93 -0.4%  
  Trans: 15,745 -226.81 -1.4%  
  Utils: 1,058 -6.74 -0.6%  
  Nasdaq: 17,918 -6.64 0.0%  
  S&P 500: 5,700 -9.60 -0.2%  
YTD
 +11.5%  
-1.0%  
 +20.0%  
 +19.4%  
 +19.5%  
  Targets    Overview: 09/30/2024  
  Up arrow43,500 or 41,600 by 10/15/2024
  Up arrow16,800 or 15,700 by 10/15/2024
  Up arrow1,125 or 1,025 by 10/15/2024
  Up arrow19,000 or 17,600 by 10/15/2024
  Up arrow5,900 or 5,600 by 10/15/2024

Bulkowski's Alaska Air (3) Trading Quiz

Released 5/10/2021.

ALK: Quiz

Below is a slider quiz to test your trading ability. Captions appear below the pictures for guidance, so be sure to scroll down far enough to read them.

 

1 / 3
chart pattern

What chart patterns can you find? Look for the following: Big W, double top, double bottom, head-and-shoulders top, symmetrical triangle, descending scallop, plus one ascending and inverted scallop.

Answers are on the next slide.
2 / 3
chart pattern

AADT is an Adam & Adam double top. The big W spans the Eve & Eve double bottom and ends at the head of the Head-and-shoulders top. The symmetrical triangle shows an upward breakout.


Question 1: Do you buy, short, or avoid trading this stock?
Question 2: If trading this one, what is the target price?
Question 3: If trading this one, what is the stop price?
My answers appear on the next slide.
3 / 3
chart pattern

Answer 1: Buy because of the upward breakout.

Answer 2: Measure the height of the triangle and add it to the breakout price. The result is the target and price reaches or exceeds the target 66% of the time, so consider multiplying the height by 66% and then adding it to the breakout price. The breakout price is the price at which the stock pierces one of the triangle trendlines.

Answer 3: The bottom of the triangle is usually a good stop location and that also agrees with a volatility stop location. Here's the details as of the day before the breakout: Volatility stop: $27.20 -8.4%. 2x volatility: $1.71 Minor low stop: 28.22 -5.0% on 03/21/2005.

If you bought the stock, you'd have taken a loss. If you still held on as it declined, that would be a mistake. The day after the prior chart, price peaked at 31.40 and dropped to a low of 25.55, for a potential loss of 19%. Price did recover, but you should not have ridden out the decline. Overhead resistance at line A formed a solid wall accompanied by high volume, a potent resistance level.

The End.

See Also

 
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