As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
|
44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025
16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/2025
1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025
20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025
|
As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
| |
44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025
16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/2025
1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025
20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025
| ||
Released 2/19/2020.
Below is a slider tutorial for adjusting the location of stop loss orders. Captions appear below the pictures in red for guidance, so be sure to scroll down far enough to read them.
Below are the statistics from the tests, in case you're interested.
When price rises halfway to the target, should you raise the stop to breakeven? No. Why? Because the statistics suggest you'll hurt performance.
To test this, I used 463 stocks and found 2,333 double bottoms (found manually over the decades). I excluded patterns if the breakout date was in a bear market.
The following table shows the performance statistics for the benchmark using a stop located a penny below the lowest valley in the pattern with a target of the height of the double bottom added to the top of the pattern (the measure rule target). I compare the benchmark to tests showing the result of raising the stop to breakeven (the "Breakeven Stop" column), and raising the stop halfway up the pattern ("Stop Raised Halfway" column).
Description | Benchmark | Breakeven Stop | Result | Stop Raised Halfway | Result |
Winning trades: | 1,727 | 1,042 | Worse | 1,564 | Worse |
Average profit from winners: | 11.84% | 11.98% | Better | 11.98% | Better |
Profit per share: | $4.54 | $4.86 | Better | $4.61 | Better |
Losing trades: | 582 | 1,270 | Worse | 752 | Worse |
Average loss from losers: | 11.07% | 3.05% | Better | 7.82% | Better |
Loss per share: | $4.75 | $1.33 | Better | $3.36 | Better |
Net profit per share: | $2.17 | $1.45 | Worse | $2.01 | Worse |
Total net profit: | $5,071 | $3,372 | Worse | $4,688 | Worse |
Win/loss ratio: | 74% | 45% | Worse | 67% | Worse |
5% failures: | 17.7% | 15.6% | Better | 17.6% | Even |
Hold time (days): | 56 | 36 | Better | 48 | Better |
Best | Worst | Worse |
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