As of 12/06/2024
Indus: 44,643 -123.19 -0.3%
Trans: 16,879 -97.04 -0.6%
Utils: 1,036 -11.79 -1.1%
Nasdaq: 19,860 +159.51 +0.8%
S&P 500: 6,090 +15.16 +0.2%
|
YTD
+18.4%
+6.2%
+17.4%
+32.3%
+27.7%
|
44,000 or 46,000 by 12/15/2024
17,025 or 18,000 by 12/15/2024
1,025 or 1,100 by 12/15/2024
20,000 or 18,500 by 12/15/2024
6,200 or 5,900 by 12/15/2024
|
As of 12/06/2024
Indus: 44,643 -123.19 -0.3%
Trans: 16,879 -97.04 -0.6%
Utils: 1,036 -11.79 -1.1%
Nasdaq: 19,860 +159.51 +0.8%
S&P 500: 6,090 +15.16 +0.2%
|
YTD
+18.4%
+6.2%
+17.4%
+32.3%
+27.7%
| |
44,000 or 46,000 by 12/15/2024
17,025 or 18,000 by 12/15/2024
1,025 or 1,100 by 12/15/2024
20,000 or 18,500 by 12/15/2024
6,200 or 5,900 by 12/15/2024
| ||
My book, Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, pictured on the left, takes an in-depth look at candlesticks, including performance statistics.
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The on neck candlestick pattern is a peculiar name for a candle that does not work well as a continuation. Yes, it functions in theory as it does in reality, but the continuation rate is what I consider "near random." Once price breaks out, the trend is decent for upward breakouts, but not so good for downward ones.
Theoretical performance: Bearish continuation
Tested performance: Bearish continuation 56% of the time
Frequency rank: 70
Overall performance rank: 33
Best percentage meeting price target: 64% (bear market, up breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: 8.32% (bear market, up breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 6 (bear market, up breakout)
All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts. The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions. |
On Neck
|
The on neck candlestick pattern is a two line candle with a downward price trend leading to it. A tall black candle is the first to appear followed by a white candle with a close that matches the prior low.
The pattern works in theory as it does in reality, that is, as a bearish continuation 56% of the time. I consider that "near random." The best average move 10 days after the breakout occurs in a bear market after an upward breakout. Price climbs 8.32% when a move of 6% is considered good. That gives it a very high 10-day performance rank of 6 (out of 103 candle types, where 1 is best).
Characteristic | Discussion |
Number of candle lines | Two. |
Price trend leading to the pattern | Downward. |
Configuration | Look for a tall black candle in a downward price trend. Following that, a white candle has a close that matches (or nearly matches) the prior low. |
If you want a few bones from my Encyclopedia of candlestick charts book, here are three to chew on. The pages refer to the book where the tips appear.
The on neck candlestick pattern shown on the daily chart is circled in red. Price forms a tall black candle followed by a white candle. The closing price of the white candle is at or near the low of the black candle. Both appear in a downward price trend, as required.
In this example, the on neck breaks out downward two days after it completes in what looks to be a high wave candle (it would be a long legged doji or even a Rickshaw man but the body has a height and the shadows should be longer for a rickshaw man). The downtrend reverses there and moves up only to reverse and eventually continue moving lower, joining the primary down trend already in existence.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
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Written by and copyright © 2005-2024 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information. Some pattern names are the registered trademarks of their respective owners. I reached enlightenment, and all I got was this STUPID AURA.