As of 12/06/2024
  Indus: 44,643 -123.19 -0.3%  
  Trans: 16,879 -97.04 -0.6%  
  Utils: 1,036 -11.79 -1.1%  
  Nasdaq: 19,860 +159.51 +0.8%  
  S&P 500: 6,090 +15.16 +0.2%  
YTD
 +18.4%  
 +6.2%  
 +17.4%  
 +32.3%  
 +27.7%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/02/2024  
  Down arrow44,000 or 46,000 by 12/15/2024
  Down arrow17,025 or 18,000 by 12/15/2024
  Down arrow1,025 or 1,100 by 12/15/2024
  Up arrow20,000 or 18,500 by 12/15/2024
  Up arrow6,200 or 5,900 by 12/15/2024
As of 12/06/2024
  Indus: 44,643 -123.19 -0.3%  
  Trans: 16,879 -97.04 -0.6%  
  Utils: 1,036 -11.79 -1.1%  
  Nasdaq: 19,860 +159.51 +0.8%  
  S&P 500: 6,090 +15.16 +0.2%  
YTD
 +18.4%  
 +6.2%  
 +17.4%  
 +32.3%  
 +27.7%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/02/2024  
  Down arrow44,000 or 46,000 by 12/15/2024
  Down arrow17,025 or 18,000 by 12/15/2024
  Down arrow1,025 or 1,100 by 12/15/2024
  Up arrow20,000 or 18,500 by 12/15/2024
  Up arrow6,200 or 5,900 by 12/15/2024

Bulkowski's 2024 Forecast Update

Below is the updated forecast for 2024 as of the close on October 31, 2024. Captions appear below the pictures for guidance, so be sure to scroll down far enough to read them.

On some of the charts (all except the CPI chart) the prediction in red is based on the work of Edgar Lawrence Smith in the 1930s. Smith said that the stock market followed a 10-year cycle. Each year tended to repeat the behavior of the year a decade earlier. In other words, if you averaged all years ending in 1 (2001, 1991, 1981 and so on), that would give you a forecast for 2011. For 2012, you'd make a similar average, only use 2002, 1992, 1982, and so on. That's what I did for the market forecast charts which follow.


1 / 5
chart pattern indicator

This is a chart of the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI) on the daily scale.

The CPI remains bearish with a reading heading toward 0. I remarked yesterday (Wednesday) that the indicator usually bounces off a low value and moves higher quickly. However, we may be in for a retrace because we've pierced some underlying support in the market indices.

The next chart looks at the Dow industrials.
2 / 5
Dow industrials chart

This is the Dow industrials on the daily scale. The forecast is in red.

The forecast has been way off the mark this year. The forecast gain is predicted to be 6%, which would mean a drop from the present level. However, the forecast is for strength going into the end of the year.

The next chart looks at the Nasdaq forecast.
3 / 5
Nasdaq chart

This is the Nasdaq.

The Nasdaq is performing almost three times as well as forecast.

The S&P 500 forecast for 2024 is next.
4 / 5
S and P chart

Here's the S&P 500 index on the daily scale for 2024

The S&P 500 index is also doing very well this year compared to the forecast..

10-year forecast next.
5 / 5
10-year forecast in Dow industrials

Here's the updated Dow Industrials 10-year forecast.

If the forecast is correct, you should be able to double your money in 10 years by investing in Dow stocks or market related ETFs.

The end.

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