As of 11/21/2024
  Indus: 43,870 +461.88 +1.1%  
  Trans: 17,172 +169.53 +1.0%  
  Utils: 1,076 +20.58 +2.0%  
  Nasdaq: 18,972 +6.28 +0.0%  
  S&P 500: 5,949 +31.60 +0.5%  
YTD
 +16.4%  
 +8.0%  
 +22.0%  
 +26.4%  
 +24.7%  
  Targets    Overview: 11/12/2024  
  Up arrow46,000 or 43,000 by 12/01/2024
  Up arrow18,000 or 16,600 by 12/01/2024
  Up arrow1,200 or 1,000 by 12/01/2024
  Up arrow20,000 or 18,400 by 12/01/2024
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,800 by 12/01/2024
As of 11/21/2024
  Indus: 43,870 +461.88 +1.1%  
  Trans: 17,172 +169.53 +1.0%  
  Utils: 1,076 +20.58 +2.0%  
  Nasdaq: 18,972 +6.28 +0.0%  
  S&P 500: 5,949 +31.60 +0.5%  
YTD
 +16.4%  
 +8.0%  
 +22.0%  
 +26.4%  
 +24.7%  
  Targets    Overview: 11/12/2024  
  Up arrow46,000 or 43,000 by 12/01/2024
  Up arrow18,000 or 16,600 by 12/01/2024
  Up arrow1,200 or 1,000 by 12/01/2024
  Up arrow20,000 or 18,400 by 12/01/2024
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,800 by 12/01/2024

Patterns for the Weekend Details

Copyright © 2023 by Thomas Bulkowski and ThePatternSite.com. All rights reserved.

 

Weekly screen for chart patterns found in the last week. Many may be still in development. If no securities appear, then I have not identified any new patterns.

Definitions
RS is relative strength (where 1 is best). For other definitions, see the glossary.
'Breakout is upward/downward 100% of the time' means price breaks out up/down by definition, not by statistically measuring the rate.
All numbers assume a bull market and are based on the breakout direction that occurs most often.
For more information, consult my book, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns.
 
Alcoa (AA)
Industry: Aerospace/Defense
Industry RS rank: 38 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 597 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $27.87
1 Month avg volatility: $0.89. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $26.08 or 6.4% below the close.
Change YTD: -38.71%
Volume: 5,467,200 shares. 3 month avg: 8,355,648 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Triangle, symmetrical continuation pattern from 08/25/2023 to 09/21/2023
Breakout is upward 54% of the time.
Average rise: 31%.
Break-even failure rate: 9%.
Throwbacks occur 37% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Alkermes (ALKS)
Industry: Drug
WARNING: This industry is within the top 7 that Dead-cat bounce often.
Industry RS rank: 17 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 167 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $29.71
1 Month avg volatility: $0.87. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $27.55 or 7.3% below the close.
Change YTD: 13.70%
Volume: 1,350,100 shares. 3 month avg: 949,792 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Monday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe bottom reversal pattern from 08/21/2023 to 08/28/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 45%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 44% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 83% of the time.

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Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)
Industry: Internet
WARNING: This industry is within the top 7 that Dead-cat bounce often.
Industry RS rank: 6 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 40 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $129.33
1 Month avg volatility: $3.09. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $138.43 or 7.0% above the close.
Change YTD: 53.96%
Volume: 68,129,000 shares. 3 month avg: 3,583,803 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Adam and Adam reversal pattern from 08/04/2023 to 09/14/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 19%.
Break-even failure rate: 8%.
Pullbacks occur 61% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 72% of the time.

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APA Corp. (APA)
Industry: Petroleum (Producing)
Industry RS rank: 5 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 143 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $40.14
1 Month avg volatility: $1.17. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $43.78 or 9.1% above the close.
Change YTD: -14.01%
Volume: 3,011,500 shares. 3 month avg: 7,966,826 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Eve and Adam reversal pattern from 08/11/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 15%.
Break-even failure rate: 13%.
Pullbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 72% of the time.

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AptarGroup Inc (ATR)
Industry: Packaging and Container
Industry RS rank: 30 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 255 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $122.22
1 Month avg volatility: $1.98. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $128.31 or 5.0% above the close.
Change YTD: 11.13%
Volume: 335,700 shares. 3 month avg: 241,254 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 08/28/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP)
Industry: IT Services
Industry RS rank: 11 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 212 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $238.72
1 Month avg volatility: $2.92. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $248.94 or 4.3% above the close.
Change YTD: -0.06%
Volume: 1,236,300 shares. 3 month avg: 2,140,888 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Triple top reversal pattern from 07/27/2023 to 09/01/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 19%.
Break-even failure rate: 10%.
Pullbacks occur 61% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 40% of the time.

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Avista (AVA)
Industry: Electric Utility (West)
Industry RS rank: 54 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 551 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $33.94
1 Month avg volatility: $0.53. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $32.87 or 3.2% below the close.
Change YTD: -23.46%
Volume: 603,300 shares. 3 month avg: 396,820 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Eve and Adam reversal pattern from 08/24/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Throwbacks occur 57% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Brinks Co (BCO)
Industry: Industrial Services
Industry RS rank: 14 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 103 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $73.61
1 Month avg volatility: $1.18. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $76.91 or 4.5% above the close.
Change YTD: 37.05%
Volume: 192,900 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Adam and Eve reversal pattern from 08/30/2023 to 09/15/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 18%.
Break-even failure rate: 14%.
Pullbacks occur 59% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 69% of the time.

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Builders FirstSource, Inc (BLDR)
Industry: Retail Building Supply
Industry RS rank: 19 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 16 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $121.02
1 Month avg volatility: $5.35. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $135.71 or 12.1% above the close.
Change YTD: 86.53%
Volume: 2,502,600 shares. 3 month avg: 1,257,223 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Head-and-shoulders top reversal pattern from 07/19/2023 to 09/01/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 22%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Pullbacks occur 50% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 55% of the time.

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Cencora (COR)
Industry: Biotechnology
Industry RS rank: 32 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 99 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $184.93
1 Month avg volatility: $2.80. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $176.42 or 4.6% below the close.
Change YTD: 11.60%
Volume: 1,810,000 shares. 3 month avg: 798,808 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Monday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Adam and Adam reversal pattern from 09/06/2023 to 09/12/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Ceridan HCM Holdings Inc (CDAY)
Industry: Information Services
Industry RS rank: 23 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 412 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $65.99
1 Month avg volatility: $1.52. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $70.76 or 7.2% above the close.
Change YTD: 2.87%
Volume: 2,008,900 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Monday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Eve and Eve reversal pattern from 08/09/2023 to 09/12/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 18%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 59% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 73% of the time.

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Cintas Corp (CTAS)
Industry: Industrial Services
Industry RS rank: 14 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 160 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $504.43
1 Month avg volatility: $6.27. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $491.81 or 2.5% below the close.
Change YTD: 11.69%
Volume: 366,200 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Cup with handle continuation pattern from 07/26/2023 to 09/14/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 34%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 58% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 50% of the time.

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Colgate-Palmolive Co (CL)
Industry: Household Products
Industry RS rank: 41 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 344 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $73.22
1 Month avg volatility: $0.94. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $75.85 or 3.6% above the close.
Change YTD: -7.07%
Volume: 3,314,400 shares. 3 month avg: 3,441,685 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Eve and Adam reversal pattern from 06/20/2023 to 07/27/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 15%.
Break-even failure rate: 13%.
Pullbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 72% of the time.

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Coty (COTY)
Industry: Toiletries/Cosmetics
Industry RS rank: 60 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 247 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $12.27
1 Month avg volatility: $0.35. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $11.10 or 9.5% below the close.
Change YTD: 43.34%
Volume: 5,320,700 shares. 3 month avg: 5,764,371 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Triangle, symmetrical continuation pattern from 08/10/2023 to 09/14/2023
Breakout is upward 54% of the time.
Average rise: 31%.
Break-even failure rate: 9%.
Throwbacks occur 37% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Devon Energy Corp. (DVN)
Industry: Natural Gas (Diversified)
Industry RS rank: 20 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 415 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $46.41
1 Month avg volatility: $1.19. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $50.30 or 8.4% above the close.
Change YTD: -24.55%
Volume: 13,717,100 shares. 3 month avg: 4,704,349 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Eve and Adam reversal pattern from 07/31/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 15%.
Break-even failure rate: 13%.
Pullbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 72% of the time.

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DJ 30 Industrials (^DJI)
Industry: None
Industry RS rank: 9 out of 60
9/21/23 close: $34,070.42
1 Month avg volatility: $285.19. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $34,948.68 or 2.6% above the close.
Change YTD: 2.79%
Volume: 0 shares. Could not calculate the 3 month avg volume.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Eve and Adam reversal pattern from 08/31/2023 to 09/14/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 15%.
Break-even failure rate: 13%.
Pullbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 72% of the time.

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EOG Resources (EOG)
Industry: Natural Gas (Distributor)
Industry RS rank: 43 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 157 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $122.59
1 Month avg volatility: $2.87. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $132.52 or 8.1% above the close.
Change YTD: -5.35%
Volume: 3,611,800 shares. 3 month avg: 2,618,102 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Adam and Eve reversal pattern from 08/04/2023 to 09/14/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 18%.
Break-even failure rate: 14%.
Pullbacks occur 59% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 69% of the time.

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Equitable Resources, Inc (EQT)
Industry: Natural Gas (Diversified)
Industry RS rank: 20 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 37 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $38.74
1 Month avg volatility: $1.02. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $42.20 or 8.9% above the close.
Change YTD: 14.51%
Volume: 6,293,100 shares. 3 month avg: 3,960,946 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Head-and-shoulders top reversal pattern from 08/09/2023 to 09/01/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 22%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Pullbacks occur 50% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 55% of the time.

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Freeport-McMoRan Copper and Gold B (FCX)
Industry: Metals and Mining (Div.)
Industry RS rank: 46 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 402 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $37.23
1 Month avg volatility: $0.88. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $39.69 or 6.6% above the close.
Change YTD: -2.03%
Volume: 12,874,500 shares. 3 month avg: 11,955,349 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Head-and-shoulders complex top reversal pattern from 06/14/2023 to 09/14/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 23%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Pullbacks occur 67% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 53% of the time.

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Insteel Industries Inc (IIIN)
Industry: Building Materials
WARNING: This industry is within the top 7 that Dead-cat bounce often.
Industry RS rank: 13 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 113 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $31.92
1 Month avg volatility: $0.79. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $33.77 or 5.8% above the close.
Change YTD: 15.99%
Volume: 43,200 shares. 3 month avg: 163,711 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 09/05/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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Inter Parfums Inc. (IPAR)
Industry: Toiletries/Cosmetics
Industry RS rank: 60 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 314 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $143.63
1 Month avg volatility: $3.55. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $134.82 or 6.1% below the close.
Change YTD: 48.81%
Volume: 114,500 shares. 3 month avg: 108,312 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe bottom reversal pattern from 09/05/2023 to 09/11/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 45%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 44% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 83% of the time.

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KLA-Tencor Corporation (KLAC)
Industry: Semiconductor Cap Equip.
WARNING: This industry is within the top 7 that Dead-cat bounce often.
Industry RS rank: 12 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 140 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $446.92
1 Month avg volatility: $12.53. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $475.49 or 6.4% above the close.
Change YTD: 18.54%
Volume: 1,055,000 shares. 3 month avg: 1,563,420 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Adam and Adam reversal pattern from 07/31/2023 to 09/06/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 19%.
Break-even failure rate: 8%.
Pullbacks occur 61% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 72% of the time.

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Lennar Corp. Cl A (LEN)
Industry: Homebuilding
Industry RS rank: 1 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 233 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $113.13
1 Month avg volatility: $2.96. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $120.58 or 6.6% above the close.
Change YTD: 25.01%
Volume: 2,926,700 shares. 3 month avg: 3,465,638 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Adam and Adam reversal pattern from 09/01/2023 to 09/11/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 19%.
Break-even failure rate: 8%.
Pullbacks occur 61% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 72% of the time.

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M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO)
Industry: Homebuilding
Industry RS rank: 1 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 17 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $86.50
1 Month avg volatility: $3.22. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $93.81 or 8.5% above the close.
Change YTD: 87.31%
Volume: 280,700 shares. 3 month avg: 297,328 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Wednesday.
 
Chart pattern: Triple top reversal pattern from 07/31/2023 to 08/16/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 19%.
Break-even failure rate: 10%.
Pullbacks occur 61% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 40% of the time.

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Miller, Herman (MLKN)
Industry: Furn/Home Furnishings
Industry RS rank: 42 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 395 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $20.35
1 Month avg volatility: $0.62. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $18.36 or 9.8% below the close.
Change YTD: -3.14%
Volume: 1,014,000 shares. 3 month avg: 361,806 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe bottom reversal pattern from 09/05/2023 to 09/11/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 45%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 44% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 83% of the time.

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Novanta Inc (NOVT)
Industry: Precision Instrument
Industry RS rank: 52 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 431 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $142.04
1 Month avg volatility: $3.97. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $154.26 or 8.6% above the close.
Change YTD: 4.54%
Volume: 282,900 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 08/28/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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Packaging Corp of America (PKG)
Industry: Packaging and Container
Industry RS rank: 30 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 174 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $149.81
1 Month avg volatility: $2.15. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $145.38 or 3.0% below the close.
Change YTD: 17.12%
Volume: 442,400 shares. 3 month avg: 777,560 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Eve and Eve reversal pattern from 08/24/2023 to 09/06/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 40%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Throwbacks occur 55% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 67% of the time.

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Procter and Gamble Co (PG)
Industry: Household Products
Industry RS rank: 41 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 290 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $152.14
1 Month avg volatility: $1.70. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $148.67 or 2.3% below the close.
Change YTD: 0.38%
Volume: 5,088,100 shares. 3 month avg: 7,163,346 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Diamond bottom reversal pattern from 08/23/2023 to 09/21/2023
Breakout is upward 69% of the time.
Average rise: 36%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Throwbacks occur 53% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 81% of the time.

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Pulte Homes Inc. (PHM)
Industry: Homebuilding
Industry RS rank: 1 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 33 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $73.90
1 Month avg volatility: $2.34. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $79.95 or 8.2% above the close.
Change YTD: 62.31%
Volume: 2,871,100 shares. 3 month avg: 4,812,565 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Eve and Eve reversal pattern from 07/27/2023 to 08/08/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 18%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 59% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 73% of the time.

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Range Resources Corp (RRC)
Industry: Petroleum (Producing)
Industry RS rank: 5 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 71 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $29.98
1 Month avg volatility: $0.84. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $32.32 or 7.8% above the close.
Change YTD: 19.82%
Volume: 2,059,500 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Triple top reversal pattern from 08/09/2023 to 09/14/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 19%.
Break-even failure rate: 10%.
Pullbacks occur 61% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 40% of the time.

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Royal Gold, Inc (RGLD)
Industry: Metals and Mining (Div.)
Industry RS rank: 46 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 478 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $113.41
1 Month avg volatility: $2.14. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $108.57 or 4.3% below the close.
Change YTD: 1.20%
Volume: 417,200 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe bottom reversal pattern from 08/14/2023 to 08/21/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 45%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 44% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 83% of the time.

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SAIA Inc (SAIA)
Industry: Trucking/Transp. Leasing
Industry RS rank: 15 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 19 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $390.08
1 Month avg volatility: $12.95. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $419.85 or 7.6% above the close.
Change YTD: 86.04%
Volume: 339,400 shares. 3 month avg: 163,825 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Head-and-shoulders top reversal pattern from 07/31/2023 to 09/07/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 22%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Pullbacks occur 50% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 55% of the time.

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Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW)
Industry: Chemical (Basic)
Industry RS rank: 37 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 101 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $254.38
1 Month avg volatility: $4.13. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $266.39 or 4.7% above the close.
Change YTD: 7.18%
Volume: 1,088,500 shares. 3 month avg: 564,294 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Three Falling Peaks reversal pattern from 07/27/2023 to 09/01/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 17%.
Break-even failure rate: 12%.
Pullbacks occur 59% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 33% of the time.

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Steelcase (SCS)
Industry: Furn/Home Furnishings
Industry RS rank: 42 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 12 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $10.75
1 Month avg volatility: $0.29. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $9.82 or 8.7% below the close.
Change YTD: 52.05%
Volume: 2,256,400 shares. 3 month avg: 708,518 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Triple bottom reversal pattern from 08/08/2023 to 09/11/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 37%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Throwbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 64% of the time.

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Toll Brothers (TOL)
Industry: Homebuilding
Industry RS rank: 1 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 54 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $73.63
1 Month avg volatility: $2.34. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $79.80 or 8.4% above the close.
Change YTD: 47.50%
Volume: 2,976,300 shares. 3 month avg: 2,237,614 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Eve and Adam reversal pattern from 07/14/2023 to 09/01/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 15%.
Break-even failure rate: 13%.
Pullbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 72% of the time.

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TransDigm Group Inc (TDG)
Industry: Aerospace/Defense
Industry RS rank: 38 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 105 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $842.83
1 Month avg volatility: $15.48. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $884.72 or 5.0% above the close.
Change YTD: 33.86%
Volume: 226,900 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 08/28/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH)
Industry: Medical Services
Industry RS rank: 36 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 293 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $501.14
1 Month avg volatility: $7.70. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $477.68 or 4.7% below the close.
Change YTD: -5.48%
Volume: 4,696,200 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Triple bottom reversal pattern from 09/01/2023 to 09/19/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 37%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Throwbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 64% of the time.

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Veeco Instruments Inc (VECO)
Industry: Precision Instrument
Industry RS rank: 52 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 53 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $26.26
1 Month avg volatility: $0.82. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $28.26 or 7.6% above the close.
Change YTD: 41.33%
Volume: 203,000 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 08/07/2023 to 08/14/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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Westlake Chemical Corp (WLK)
Industry: Chemical (Basic)
Industry RS rank: 37 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 190 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $121.03
1 Month avg volatility: $2.65. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $128.22 or 5.9% above the close.
Change YTD: 18.03%
Volume: 438,500 shares. 3 month avg: 812,517 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Three Falling Peaks reversal pattern from 07/28/2023 to 09/18/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 17%.
Break-even failure rate: 12%.
Pullbacks occur 59% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 33% of the time.

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DJ US Home construction index fund (ITB)
Industry: Homebuilding
Industry RS rank: 1 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 148 out of 627
9/21/23 close: $78.76
1 Month avg volatility: $1.68. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $75.07 or 4.7% below the close.
Change YTD: 29.96%
Volume: 7,233,000 shares. 3 month avg: 2,388,375 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Triangle, ascending reversal pattern from 07/20/2023 to 08/16/2023
Breakout is upward 70% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 13%.
Throwbacks occur 57% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 75% of the time.

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