As of 12/24/2024
  Indus: 43,297 +390.08 +0.9%  
  Trans: 16,063 +127.24 +0.8%  
  Utils: 993 +4.93 +0.5%  
  Nasdaq: 20,031 +266.24 +1.3%  
  S&P 500: 6,040 +65.97 +1.1%  
YTD
 +14.9%  
 +1.0%  
 +12.7%  
 +33.4%  
 +26.6%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024  
  Up arrow44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,500 by 01/15/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025
As of 12/24/2024
  Indus: 43,297 +390.08 +0.9%  
  Trans: 16,063 +127.24 +0.8%  
  Utils: 993 +4.93 +0.5%  
  Nasdaq: 20,031 +266.24 +1.3%  
  S&P 500: 6,040 +65.97 +1.1%  
YTD
 +14.9%  
 +1.0%  
 +12.7%  
 +33.4%  
 +26.6%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024  
  Up arrow44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,500 by 01/15/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025

Patterns for the Weekend Details

Copyright © 2023 by Thomas Bulkowski and ThePatternSite.com. All rights reserved.

 

Weekly screen for chart patterns found in the last week. Many may be still in development. If no securities appear, then I have not identified any new patterns.

Definitions
RS is relative strength (where 1 is best). For other definitions, see the glossary.
'Breakout is upward/downward 100% of the time' means price breaks out up/down by definition, not by statistically measuring the rate.
All numbers assume a bull market and are based on the breakout direction that occurs most often.
For more information, consult my book, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns.
 
3M Company (MMM)
Industry: Diversified Co.
Industry RS rank: 38 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 423 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $102.32
1 Month avg volatility: $2.09. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $107.74 or 5.3% above the close.
Change YTD: -14.68%
Volume: 4,175,900 shares. 3 month avg: 3,021,471 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Eve and Adam reversal pattern from 08/31/2023 to 09/12/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 15%.
Break-even failure rate: 13%.
Pullbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 72% of the time.

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American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (AEO)
Industry: Apparel
Industry RS rank: 46 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 229 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $15.30
1 Month avg volatility: $0.53. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $16.44 or 7.5% above the close.
Change YTD: 9.60%
Volume: 4,368,400 shares. 3 month avg: 4,309,748 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Wednesday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 08/28/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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ArcBest Corp (ARCB)
Industry: Trucking/Transp. Leasing
Industry RS rank: 19 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 242 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $103.20
1 Month avg volatility: $3.76. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $113.49 or 10.0% above the close.
Change YTD: 47.34%
Volume: 890,100 shares. 3 month avg: 234,063 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Adam and Adam reversal pattern from 08/21/2023 to 09/01/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 19%.
Break-even failure rate: 8%.
Pullbacks occur 61% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 72% of the time.

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Avient (AVNT)
Industry: Chemical (Specialty)
Industry RS rank: 25 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 405 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $38.03
1 Month avg volatility: $0.86. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $39.86 or 4.8% above the close.
Change YTD: 12.65%
Volume: 415,300 shares. 3 month avg: 523,769 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 08/28/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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Avista (AVA)
Industry: Electric Utility (West)
Industry RS rank: 56 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 563 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $34.78
1 Month avg volatility: $0.58. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $33.25 or 4.4% below the close.
Change YTD: -21.56%
Volume: 650,700 shares. 3 month avg: 396,820 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Horn bottom reversal pattern from 08/21/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 9%.
Throwbacks occur 29% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 76% of the time.

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BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc (BMRN)
Industry: Biotechnology
Industry RS rank: 41 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 414 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $87.68
1 Month avg volatility: $1.91. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $96.30 or 9.8% above the close.
Change YTD: -15.28%
Volume: 1,410,700 shares. 3 month avg: 1,330,032 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Head-and-shoulders top reversal pattern from 08/09/2023 to 09/13/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 22%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Pullbacks occur 50% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 55% of the time.

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Bread Financial Holdings (BFH)
Industry: Information Services
Industry RS rank: 23 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 243 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $35.23
1 Month avg volatility: $0.93. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $37.74 or 7.1% above the close.
Change YTD: -6.45%
Volume: 544,400 shares. 3 month avg: 943,408 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Wednesday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Adam and Eve reversal pattern from 07/31/2023 to 08/07/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 18%.
Break-even failure rate: 14%.
Pullbacks occur 59% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 69% of the time.

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Bruker Corp (BRKR)
Industry: Precision Instrument
Industry RS rank: 48 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 503 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $67.45
1 Month avg volatility: $1.62. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $61.49 or 8.8% below the close.
Change YTD: -1.32%
Volume: 2,167,200 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Eve and Eve reversal pattern from 08/24/2023 to 09/11/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 40%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Throwbacks occur 55% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 67% of the time.

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Comtech Telecommunications Corp (CMTL)
Industry: Telecom. Equipment
Industry RS rank: 57 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 595 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $8.81
1 Month avg volatility: $0.31. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $9.47 or 7.5% above the close.
Change YTD: -27.43%
Volume: 110,900 shares. 3 month avg: 255,535 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Monday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Eve and Adam reversal pattern from 07/26/2023 to 08/31/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 15%.
Break-even failure rate: 13%.
Pullbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 72% of the time.

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Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP)
Industry: Cement and Aggregates
Industry RS rank: 2 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 56 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $177.96
1 Month avg volatility: $4.30. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $188.14 or 5.7% above the close.
Change YTD: 33.96%
Volume: 294,600 shares. 3 month avg: 553,088 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 08/28/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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Exelon Corp. (EXC)
Industry: Electric Utility (East)
Industry RS rank: 51 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 412 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $41.84
1 Month avg volatility: $0.54. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $40.20 or 3.9% below the close.
Change YTD: -3.22%
Volume: 3,742,000 shares. 3 month avg: 5,244,875 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Broadening bottom reversal pattern from 08/08/2023 to 09/13/2023
Breakout is upward 53% of the time.
Average rise: 27%.
Break-even failure rate: 10%.
Throwbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 59% of the time.

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Globe Life Inc. (GL)
Industry: Insurance (Life)
Industry RS rank: 14 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 368 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $110.84
1 Month avg volatility: $1.43. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $113.76 or 2.6% above the close.
Change YTD: -8.05%
Volume: 478,900 shares. 3 month avg: 643,200 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Eve and Adam reversal pattern from 07/24/2023 to 08/07/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 15%.
Break-even failure rate: 13%.
Pullbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 72% of the time.

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Goldman Sachs Group, The (GS)
Industry: Securities Brokerage
Industry RS rank: 49 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 276 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $344.57
1 Month avg volatility: $5.84. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $325.18 or 5.6% below the close.
Change YTD: 0.35%
Volume: 2,752,500 shares. 3 month avg: 2,673,269 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Monday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Eve and Adam reversal pattern from 08/23/2023 to 09/06/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Throwbacks occur 57% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Hanover Insurance Group, The (THG)
Industry: Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
Industry RS rank: 31 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 523 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $111.05
1 Month avg volatility: $1.89. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $105.20 or 5.3% below the close.
Change YTD: -17.82%
Volume: 280,900 shares. 3 month avg: 179,998 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Monday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Eve and Adam reversal pattern from 08/24/2023 to 09/11/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Throwbacks occur 57% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Harmonic Inc (HLIT)
Industry: Telecom. Equipment
Industry RS rank: 57 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 579 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $9.89
1 Month avg volatility: $0.30. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $10.52 or 6.4% above the close.
Change YTD: -24.50%
Volume: 1,791,800 shares. 3 month avg: 585,235 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Eve and Eve reversal pattern from 08/18/2023 to 08/31/2023
WARNING: A dead-cat bounce occurred on 08/01/2023. There is a 26% chance that a 15% or higher decline will occur (or has occurred since then) by 10/31/2023 and a 38% chance by 01/30/2024.
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 18%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 59% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 73% of the time.

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Home Depot, Inc (HD)
Industry: Retail Building Supply
Industry RS rank: 18 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 237 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $329.63
1 Month avg volatility: $4.47. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $339.24 or 2.9% above the close.
Change YTD: 4.36%
Volume: 2,691,600 shares. 3 month avg: 4,416,295 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Diamond top reversal pattern from 07/27/2023 to 09/14/2023
Breakout is downward 69% of the time.
Average decline: 21%.
Break-even failure rate: 6%.
Pullbacks occur 57% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 76% of the time.

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Hub Group Inc. (HUBG)
Industry: Trucking/Transp. Leasing
Industry RS rank: 19 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 434 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $81.95
1 Month avg volatility: $1.78. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $76.75 or 6.3% below the close.
Change YTD: 3.09%
Volume: 278,400 shares. 3 month avg: 343,494 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Adam and Eve reversal pattern from 08/23/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 37%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 59% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Insperity (NSP)
Industry: Human Resources
Industry RS rank: 54 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 564 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $98.04
1 Month avg volatility: $1.88. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $101.84 or 3.9% above the close.
Change YTD: -13.70%
Volume: 249,100 shares. 3 month avg: 131,942 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Eve and Eve reversal pattern from 08/16/2023 to 08/31/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 18%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 59% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 73% of the time.

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Kaiser Aluminum Corp (KALU)
Industry: Metals and Mining (Div.)
Industry RS rank: 40 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 137 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $80.60
1 Month avg volatility: $2.08. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $73.30 or 9.1% below the close.
Change YTD: 6.11%
Volume: 80,400 shares. 3 month avg: 141,669 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Adam and Adam reversal pattern from 08/25/2023 to 09/07/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Lancaster Colony Corp (LANC)
Industry: Food Processing
Industry RS rank: 58 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 527 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $171.93
1 Month avg volatility: $3.91. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $158.30 or 7.9% below the close.
Change YTD: -12.86%
Volume: 194,500 shares. 3 month avg: 112,417 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Monday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Adam and Eve reversal pattern from 08/23/2023 to 09/08/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 37%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 59% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Loews Corp (L)
Industry: Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
Industry RS rank: 31 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 182 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $64.54
1 Month avg volatility: $0.70. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $62.67 or 2.9% below the close.
Change YTD: 10.65%
Volume: 955,600 shares. 3 month avg: 964,671 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Eve and Adam reversal pattern from 08/22/2023 to 09/06/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Throwbacks occur 57% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI)
Industry: Semiconductor
WARNING: This industry is within the top 7 that Dead-cat bounce often.
Industry RS rank: 7 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 208 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $80.01
1 Month avg volatility: $2.44. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $85.33 or 6.7% above the close.
Change YTD: 27.04%
Volume: 318,800 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 08/28/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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Manhattan Associates (MANH)
Industry: IT Services
Industry RS rank: 11 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 29 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $202.88
1 Month avg volatility: $4.55. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $188.32 or 7.2% below the close.
Change YTD: 67.12%
Volume: 454,200 shares. 3 month avg: 726,191 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Triple bottom reversal pattern from 07/26/2023 to 08/18/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 37%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Throwbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 64% of the time.

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Masco Corp. (MAS)
Industry: Building Materials
WARNING: This industry is within the top 7 that Dead-cat bounce often.
Industry RS rank: 17 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 264 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $55.88
1 Month avg volatility: $1.13. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $58.54 or 4.8% above the close.
Change YTD: 19.73%
Volume: 1,363,400 shares. 3 month avg: 2,351,771 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 08/28/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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Morgan Stanley (MS)
Industry: Securities Brokerage
Industry RS rank: 49 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 355 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $89.07
1 Month avg volatility: $1.45. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $85.03 or 4.5% below the close.
Change YTD: 4.76%
Volume: 8,082,900 shares. 3 month avg: 7,185,892 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Wednesday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Eve and Eve reversal pattern from 08/25/2023 to 09/12/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 40%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Throwbacks occur 55% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 67% of the time.

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Nabors Industries, Ltd. (NBR)
Industry: Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
Industry RS rank: 10 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 207 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $135.90
1 Month avg volatility: $4.44. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $123.76 or 8.9% below the close.
Change YTD: -12.25%
Volume: 185,900 shares. 3 month avg: 10,861,705 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Three Rising Valleys reversal pattern from 05/31/2023 to 08/23/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 41%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 60% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 58% of the time.

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Nisource Inc. (NI)
Industry: Electric Utility (Central)
Industry RS rank: 52 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 422 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $27.74
1 Month avg volatility: $0.35. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $26.77 or 3.5% below the close.
Change YTD: 1.17%
Volume: 3,139,000 shares. 3 month avg: 3,688,512 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Eve and Adam reversal pattern from 08/15/2023 to 09/06/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Throwbacks occur 57% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Old Republic International Corp (ORI)
Industry: Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
Industry RS rank: 31 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 226 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $27.66
1 Month avg volatility: $0.30. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $27.00 or 2.4% below the close.
Change YTD: 14.53%
Volume: 1,498,600 shares. 3 month avg: 1,253,378 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Adam and Eve reversal pattern from 08/22/2023 to 09/06/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 37%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 59% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Oracle Corporation (ORCL)
Industry: Computer Software and Svcs
Industry RS rank: 5 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 48 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $113.66
1 Month avg volatility: $3.25. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $121.63 or 7.0% above the close.
Change YTD: 40.16%
Volume: 19,730,200 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Big M reversal pattern from 06/15/2023 to 09/11/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 17%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 63% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 57% of the time.

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Paypal Holdings, Inc (PYPL)
Industry: Financial Services
Industry RS rank: 28 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 535 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $64.44
1 Month avg volatility: $1.38. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $60.55 or 6.0% below the close.
Change YTD: -9.52%
Volume: 14,399,400 shares. 3 month avg: 21,592,165 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Ugly double bottom reversal pattern from 08/18/2023 to 09/08/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 34%.
Break-even failure rate: 8%.
Throwbacks occur 59% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 76% of the time.

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Reinsurance Group of America (RGA)
Industry: Insurance (Life)
Industry RS rank: 14 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 223 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $144.15
1 Month avg volatility: $2.51. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $137.38 or 4.7% below the close.
Change YTD: 1.45%
Volume: 305,500 shares. 3 month avg: 326,800 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Eve and Adam reversal pattern from 08/21/2023 to 09/05/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Throwbacks occur 57% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Steelcase (SCS)
Industry: Furn/Home Furnishings
Industry RS rank: 50 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 131 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $8.91
1 Month avg volatility: $0.22. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $9.35 or 5.0% above the close.
Change YTD: 26.03%
Volume: 452,700 shares. 3 month avg: 708,518 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Monday.
 
Chart pattern: Broadening top, right-angled and ascending reversal pattern from 08/08/2023 to 09/11/2023
Breakout is downward 66% of the time.
Average decline: 15%.
Break-even failure rate: 20%.
Pullbacks occur 65% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 32% of the time.

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Travelers Companies Inc, The (TRV)
Industry: Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
Industry RS rank: 31 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 420 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $165.96
1 Month avg volatility: $2.19. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $159.87 or 3.7% below the close.
Change YTD: -11.48%
Volume: 1,222,300 shares. 3 month avg: 1,525,757 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Triple bottom reversal pattern from 08/22/2023 to 09/08/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 37%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Throwbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 64% of the time.

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Trex Company (TREX)
Industry: Building Materials
WARNING: This industry is within the top 7 that Dead-cat bounce often.
Industry RS rank: 17 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 45 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $66.90
1 Month avg volatility: $1.94. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $70.90 or 6.0% above the close.
Change YTD: 58.04%
Volume: 724,100 shares. 3 month avg: 245,355 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Monday.
 
Chart pattern: Head-and-shoulders complex top reversal pattern from 07/18/2023 to 09/01/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 23%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Pullbacks occur 67% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 53% of the time.

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Twilio Inc Cl A (TWLO)
Industry: E-Commerce
Industry RS rank: 9 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 385 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $64.62
1 Month avg volatility: $2.02. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $60.08 or 7.0% below the close.
Change YTD: 31.99%
Volume: 1,719,800 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Monday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Adam and Adam reversal pattern from 08/08/2023 to 08/18/2023
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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V. F. Corp (VFC)
Industry: Apparel
Industry RS rank: 46 out of 60
Stock RS rank: 554 out of 627
9/14/23 close: $18.11
1 Month avg volatility: $0.66. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $19.49 or 7.6% above the close.
Change YTD: -34.41%
Volume: 9,256,600 shares. 3 month avg: 2,795,366 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Monday.
 
Chart pattern: Head-and-shoulders top reversal pattern from 07/19/2023 to 09/01/2023
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 22%.
Break-even failure rate: 4%.
Pullbacks occur 50% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 55% of the time.

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