As of 12/27/2024
  Indus: 42,992 -333.59 -0.8%  
  Trans: 16,031 -73.46 -0.5%  
  Utils: 987 -4.51 -0.5%  
  Nasdaq: 19,722 -298.33 -1.5%  
  S&P 500: 5,971 -66.75 -1.1%  
YTD
 +14.1%  
 +0.8%  
 +12.0%  
 +31.4%  
 +25.2%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024  
  Up arrow44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,500 by 01/15/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025
As of 12/27/2024
  Indus: 42,992 -333.59 -0.8%  
  Trans: 16,031 -73.46 -0.5%  
  Utils: 987 -4.51 -0.5%  
  Nasdaq: 19,722 -298.33 -1.5%  
  S&P 500: 5,971 -66.75 -1.1%  
YTD
 +14.1%  
 +0.8%  
 +12.0%  
 +31.4%  
 +25.2%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024  
  Up arrow44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,500 by 01/15/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025

Patterns for the Weekend Details

Copyright © 2020 by Thomas Bulkowski and ThePatternSite.com. All rights reserved.

 

Weekly screen for chart patterns ending between 09/03/2020 and 09/10/2020. Many may be still in development. If no securities appear, then I have not identified any new patterns.

Definitions
RS is relative strength (where 1 is best). For other definitions, see the glossary.
’Breakout is upward/downward 100% of the time’ means price breaks out up/down by definition, not by statistically measuring the rate.
All numbers assume a bull market and are based on the breakout direction that occurs most often.
For more information, consult my book, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns.
 
Alarm.com Holdings inc (ALRM)
Industry: Computer Software and Svcs
Industry RS rank: 11 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 81 out of 579
9/10/20 close: $57.22
1 Month avg volatility: $1.80. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $62.17 or 8.7% above the close.
Change YTD: 33.16%
Volume: 351,100 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Wednesday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 08/24/2020 to 08/31/2020
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY)
Industry: Retail (Special Lines)
WARNING: This industry is within the top 7 that Dead-cat bounce often.
Industry RS rank: 9 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 56 out of 579
9/10/20 close: $11.98
1 Month avg volatility: $0.67. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $14.00 or 16.8% above the close.
Change YTD: -30.75%
Volume: 15,542,900 shares. 3 month avg: 4,821,077 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Wednesday.
 
Chart pattern: Broadening top reversal pattern from 08/10/2020 to 09/09/2020
WARNING: A dead-cat bounce occurred on 07/09/2020. There is a 26% chance that a 15% or higher decline will occur (or has occurred since then) by 10/08/2020 and a 38% chance by 01/07/2021.
Breakout is downward 50% of the time.
Average decline: 15%.
Break-even failure rate: 18%.
Pullbacks occur 48% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 37% of the time.

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Cummins Inc. (CMI)
Industry: Machinery
Industry RS rank: 23 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 86 out of 579
9/10/20 close: $207.16
1 Month avg volatility: $4.30. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $196.25 or 5.3% below the close.
Change YTD: 15.76%
Volume: 1,114,900 shares. 3 month avg: 1,327,631 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Broadening top, right-angled and descending continuation pattern from 08/18/2020 to 09/10/2020
Breakout is upward 51% of the time.
Average rise: 28%.
Break-even failure rate: 19%.
Throwbacks occur 52% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 63% of the time.

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DJ 20 Transportation (^DJT)
Industry: None
Industry RS rank: 8 out of 59
9/10/20 close: $11,178.97
1 Month avg volatility: $178.63. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $11,692.29 or 4.6% above the close.
Change YTD: 2.55%
Volume: 132,467,300 shares. 3 month avg: 217,732,529 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Diamond top reversal pattern from 08/28/2020 to 09/10/2020
Breakout is downward 69% of the time.
Average decline: 21%.
Break-even failure rate: 6%.
Pullbacks occur 57% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 76% of the time.

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Dominion Resources Inc. (D)
Industry: Electric Utility (East)
Industry RS rank: 51 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 429 out of 579
9/10/20 close: $78.73
1 Month avg volatility: $1.27. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $82.25 or 4.5% above the close.
Change YTD: -4.94%
Volume: 3,685,700 shares. 3 month avg: 2,249,422 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Broadening top, right-angled and ascending reversal pattern from 08/20/2020 to 09/09/2020
Breakout is downward 66% of the time.
Average decline: 15%.
Break-even failure rate: 20%.
Pullbacks occur 65% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 32% of the time.

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Microsoft Corp (MSFT)
Industry: Computer Software and Svcs
Industry RS rank: 11 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 158 out of 579
9/10/20 close: $205.37
1 Month avg volatility: $5.78. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $226.31 or 10.2% above the close.
Change YTD: 30.23%
Volume: 34,784,300 shares. 3 month avg: 21,460,729 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 08/24/2020 to 08/31/2020
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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Patterson Companies Inc. (PDCO)
Industry: Medical Supplies
Industry RS rank: 17 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 288 out of 579
9/10/20 close: $23.84
1 Month avg volatility: $1.05. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $26.88 or 12.7% above the close.
Change YTD: 16.41%
Volume: 946,900 shares. 3 month avg: 1,885,975 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 08/24/2020 to 08/31/2020
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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Visa (V)
Industry: Financial Services
Industry RS rank: 22 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 259 out of 579
9/10/20 close: $201.54
1 Month avg volatility: $4.10. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $215.20 or 6.8% above the close.
Change YTD: 7.26%
Volume: 7,219,200 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 08/24/2020 to 08/31/2020
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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iShares Expanded Tech-software Sector (IGV)
Industry: Computer Software and Svcs
Industry RS rank: 11 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 106 out of 579
9/10/20 close: $301.00
1 Month avg volatility: $7.26. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $325.83 or 8.3% above the close.
Change YTD: 29.16%
Volume: 720,600 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe top reversal pattern from 08/24/2020 to 08/31/2020
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 20%.
Break-even failure rate: 11%.
Pullbacks occur 41% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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