As of 12/27/2024
  Indus: 42,992 -333.59 -0.8%  
  Trans: 16,031 -73.46 -0.5%  
  Utils: 987 -4.51 -0.5%  
  Nasdaq: 19,722 -298.33 -1.5%  
  S&P 500: 5,971 -66.75 -1.1%  
YTD
 +14.1%  
 +0.8%  
 +12.0%  
 +31.4%  
 +25.2%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024  
  Up arrow44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,500 by 01/15/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025
As of 12/27/2024
  Indus: 42,992 -333.59 -0.8%  
  Trans: 16,031 -73.46 -0.5%  
  Utils: 987 -4.51 -0.5%  
  Nasdaq: 19,722 -298.33 -1.5%  
  S&P 500: 5,971 -66.75 -1.1%  
YTD
 +14.1%  
 +0.8%  
 +12.0%  
 +31.4%  
 +25.2%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024  
  Up arrow44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,500 by 01/15/2025
  Up arrow1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025
  Up arrow6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025

Patterns for the Weekend Details

Copyright © 2020 by Thomas Bulkowski and ThePatternSite.com. All rights reserved.

 

Weekly screen for chart patterns ending between 08/27/2020 and 09/03/2020. Many may be still in development. If no securities appear, then I have not identified any new patterns.

Definitions
RS is relative strength (where 1 is best). For other definitions, see the glossary.
’Breakout is upward/downward 100% of the time’ means price breaks out up/down by definition, not by statistically measuring the rate.
All numbers assume a bull market and are based on the breakout direction that occurs most often.
For more information, consult my book, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns.
 
American Equity Investment Life Holding (AEL)
Industry: Insurance (Life)
Industry RS rank: 53 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 360 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $23.88
1 Month avg volatility: $1.04. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $21.58 or 9.6% below the close.
Change YTD: -20.21%
Volume: 459,100 shares. 3 month avg: 625,883 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Triangle, symmetrical continuation pattern from 08/07/2020 to 09/03/2020
WARNING: A dead-cat bounce occurred on 03/12/2020. There is a 38% chance that a 15% or higher decline will occur (or has occurred since then) by 09/10/2020.
Breakout is upward 54% of the time.
Average rise: 31%.
Break-even failure rate: 9%.
Throwbacks occur 37% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Avery Dennison Corp (AVY)
Industry: Packaging and Container
Industry RS rank: 23 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 321 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $119.08
1 Month avg volatility: $2.36. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $126.06 or 5.9% above the close.
Change YTD: -8.97%
Volume: 557,800 shares. 3 month avg: 661,129 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Triangle, descending reversal pattern from 07/23/2020 to 09/01/2020
Breakout is downward 64% of the time.
Average decline: 16%.
Break-even failure rate: 16%.
Pullbacks occur 54% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 54% of the time.

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Century Aluminum Co. (CENX)
Industry: Metals and Mining (Div.)
Industry RS rank: 28 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 11 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $10.15
1 Month avg volatility: $0.60. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $8.80 or 13.3% below the close.
Change YTD: 35.06%
Volume: 819,700 shares. 3 month avg: 2,285,742 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe bottom reversal pattern from 08/17/2020 to 08/24/2020
WARNING: A dead-cat bounce occurred on 06/11/2020. There is a 26% chance that a 15% or higher decline will occur (or has occurred since then) by 09/10/2020 and a 38% chance by 12/10/2020.
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 45%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 44% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 83% of the time.

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Chicos FAS Inc. (CHS)
Industry: Apparel
Industry RS rank: 50 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 579 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $1.26
1 Month avg volatility: $0.10. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $1.52 or 20.3% above the close.
Change YTD: -66.93%
Volume: 1,042,500 shares. 3 month avg: 2,783,222 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Wednesday.
 
Chart pattern: Horn top reversal pattern from 08/10/2020 to 08/24/2020
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 21%.
Break-even failure rate: 7%.
Pullbacks occur 33% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 70% of the time.

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Ciena Corp (CIEN)
Industry: Telecom. Equipment
Industry RS rank: 14 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 204 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $45.46
1 Month avg volatility: $1.48. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $49.97 or 9.9% above the close.
Change YTD: 6.49%
Volume: 22,893,200 shares. 3 month avg: 3,226,991 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Dead-cat bounce continuation pattern from 09/03/2020 to 09/03/2020
Breakout is downward 67% of the time.
Average decline: 18%.

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E-Trade Financial Corp (ETFC)
Industry: Securities Brokerage
Industry RS rank: 38 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 137 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $54.60
1 Month avg volatility: $1.06. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $51.90 or 4.9% below the close.
Change YTD: 20.34%
Volume: 2,598,600 shares. 3 month avg: 2,308,982 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Triangle, ascending reversal pattern from 07/09/2020 to 09/02/2020
Breakout is upward 70% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 13%.
Throwbacks occur 57% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 75% of the time.

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Exelon Corp. (EXC)
Industry: Electric Utility (East)
Industry RS rank: 47 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 470 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $37.29
1 Month avg volatility: $0.91. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $35.02 or 6.1% below the close.
Change YTD: -18.21%
Volume: 8,402,500 shares. 3 month avg: 5,244,875 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Bottom, Adam and Adam reversal pattern from 08/21/2020 to 09/01/2020
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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GameStop Corp (GME)
Industry: Retail (Special Lines)
WARNING: This industry is within the top 7 that Dead-cat bounce often.
Industry RS rank: 15 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 4 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $7.82
1 Month avg volatility: $0.51. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $6.23 or 20.4% below the close.
Change YTD: 28.62%
Volume: 14,205,500 shares. 3 month avg: 3,063,175 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Wednesday.
 
Chart pattern: Flag, high and tight continuation pattern from 07/20/2020 to 09/03/2020
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 69%.
Throwbacks occur 54% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 90% of the time.

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Gartner Inc (IT)
Industry: IT Services
Industry RS rank: 29 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 252 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $131.58
1 Month avg volatility: $2.50. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $125.49 or 4.6% below the close.
Change YTD: -14.61%
Volume: 492,200 shares. 3 month avg: 564,655 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Monday.
 
Chart pattern: Triangle, ascending reversal pattern from 08/11/2020 to 09/03/2020
Breakout is upward 70% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 13%.
Throwbacks occur 57% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 75% of the time.

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Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV)
Industry: Homebuilding
Industry RS rank: 26 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 102 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $33.40
1 Month avg volatility: $2.51. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $25.79 or 22.8% below the close.
Change YTD: 60.04%
Volume: 287,800 shares. 3 month avg: 1,539,280 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Flag, high and tight continuation pattern from 07/14/2020 to 09/03/2020
WARNING: A dead-cat bounce occurred on 06/11/2020. There is a 26% chance that a 15% or higher decline will occur (or has occurred since then) by 09/10/2020 and a 38% chance by 12/10/2020.
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 69%.
Throwbacks occur 54% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 90% of the time.

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Infinera Corp. (INFN)
Industry: Telecom. Equipment
Industry RS rank: 14 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 210 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $6.38
1 Month avg volatility: $0.40. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $7.57 or 18.6% above the close.
Change YTD: -19.65%
Volume: 10,571,200 shares. 3 month avg: 1,624,214 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Dead-cat bounce continuation pattern from 09/03/2020 to 09/03/2020
Breakout is downward 67% of the time.
Average decline: 18%.

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Installed Building Products Inc (IBP)
Industry: Retail Building Supply
Industry RS rank: 8 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 108 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $89.55
1 Month avg volatility: $2.74. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $83.09 or 7.2% below the close.
Change YTD: 30.03%
Volume: 297,700 shares. 3 month avg: 201,345 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Wednesday.
 
Chart pattern: Rectangle top continuation pattern from 08/10/2020 to 08/31/2020
Breakout is upward 68% of the time.
Average rise: 39%.
Break-even failure rate: 9%.
Throwbacks occur 64% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 80% of the time.

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Inter Parfums Inc. (IPAR)
Industry: Toiletries/Cosmetics
Industry RS rank: 27 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 479 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $45.17
1 Month avg volatility: $1.84. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $41.23 or 8.7% below the close.
Change YTD: -37.88%
Volume: 116,300 shares. 3 month avg: 72,294 shares.
This security may be thinly traded (less than 100k shares)!
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Friday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Wednesday.
 
Chart pattern: Triangle, symmetrical continuation pattern from 08/11/2020 to 09/03/2020
Breakout is upward 54% of the time.
Average rise: 31%.
Break-even failure rate: 9%.
Throwbacks occur 37% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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KLA-Tencor Corporation (KLAC)
Industry: Semiconductor Cap Equip.
WARNING: This industry is within the top 7 that Dead-cat bounce often.
Industry RS rank: 13 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 100 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $201.41
1 Month avg volatility: $5.43. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $224.90 or 11.7% above the close.
Change YTD: 13.04%
Volume: 1,803,400 shares. 3 month avg: 1,563,420 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Triple top reversal pattern from 08/17/2020 to 09/02/2020
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 19%.
Break-even failure rate: 10%.
Pullbacks occur 61% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 40% of the time.

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Lawson Products (LAWS)
Industry: Metal Fabricating
Industry RS rank: 30 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 280 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $42.25
1 Month avg volatility: $1.60. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $36.81 or 12.9% below the close.
Change YTD: -18.91%
Volume: 17,900 shares. 3 month avg: 11,408 shares.
This security may be thinly traded (less than 100k shares)!
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe bottom reversal pattern from 08/17/2020 to 08/24/2020
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 45%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 44% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 83% of the time.

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Lowes Companies, Inc (LOW)
Industry: Retail Building Supply
Industry RS rank: 8 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 38 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $161.52
1 Month avg volatility: $3.48. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $177.44 or 9.9% above the close.
Change YTD: 34.87%
Volume: 5,691,600 shares. 3 month avg: 6,401,252 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Wednesday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Adam and Adam reversal pattern from 08/27/2020 to 09/02/2020
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 19%.
Break-even failure rate: 8%.
Pullbacks occur 61% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 72% of the time.

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Marchex, Inc (MCHX)
Industry: Advertising
Industry RS rank: 56 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 533 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $1.82
1 Month avg volatility: $0.07. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $1.66 or 8.7% below the close.
Change YTD: -51.85%
Volume: 67,800 shares. 3 month avg: 97,160 shares.
This security may be thinly traded (less than 100k shares)!
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Tuesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Wednesday.
 
Chart pattern: Triangle, symmetrical continuation pattern from 08/13/2020 to 09/03/2020
Breakout is upward 54% of the time.
Average rise: 31%.
Break-even failure rate: 9%.
Throwbacks occur 37% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Masco Corp. (MAS)
Industry: Building Materials
WARNING: This industry is within the top 7 that Dead-cat bounce often.
Industry RS rank: 43 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 94 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $57.16
1 Month avg volatility: $1.05. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $61.79 or 8.1% above the close.
Change YTD: 19.11%
Volume: 1,752,900 shares. 3 month avg: 2,351,771 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Adam and Eve reversal pattern from 08/18/2020 to 09/02/2020
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 18%.
Break-even failure rate: 14%.
Pullbacks occur 59% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 69% of the time.

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Micron Technology (MU)
Industry: Semiconductor
WARNING: This industry is within the top 7 that Dead-cat bounce often.
Industry RS rank: 1 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 439 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $46.33
1 Month avg volatility: $1.19. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $43.47 or 6.2% below the close.
Change YTD: -13.85%
Volume: 20,526,400 shares. 3 month avg: 38,182,855 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe bottom reversal pattern from 08/17/2020 to 08/24/2020
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 45%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 44% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 83% of the time.

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Morgan Stanley (MS)
Industry: Securities Brokerage
Industry RS rank: 38 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 147 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $52.75
1 Month avg volatility: $0.98. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $50.24 or 4.8% below the close.
Change YTD: 3.19%
Volume: 10,959,300 shares. 3 month avg: 7,779,832 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Wednesday.
 
Chart pattern: Triangle, ascending reversal pattern from 07/16/2020 to 09/01/2020
Breakout is upward 70% of the time.
Average rise: 35%.
Break-even failure rate: 13%.
Throwbacks occur 57% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 75% of the time.

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Olin Corp. (OLN)
Industry: Chemical (Basic)
Industry RS rank: 17 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 512 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $11.45
1 Month avg volatility: $0.58. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $10.21 or 10.9% below the close.
Change YTD: -33.62%
Volume: 2,502,900 shares. 3 month avg: 1,697,154 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Thursday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Monday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe bottom reversal pattern from 08/17/2020 to 08/24/2020
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 45%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 44% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 83% of the time.

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Ralph Lauren Corp. (RL)
Industry: Apparel
Industry RS rank: 50 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 535 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $74.15
1 Month avg volatility: $2.44. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $67.05 or 9.6% below the close.
Change YTD: -36.74%
Volume: 2,173,200 shares. 3 month avg: 1,365,482 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Monday.
 
Chart pattern: Triangle, symmetrical continuation pattern from 07/24/2020 to 09/01/2020
Breakout is upward 54% of the time.
Average rise: 31%.
Break-even failure rate: 9%.
Throwbacks occur 37% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Regis Corp (RGS)
Industry: Toiletries/Cosmetics
Industry RS rank: 27 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 550 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $7.09
1 Month avg volatility: $0.52. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $8.65 or 22.1% above the close.
Change YTD: -60.32%
Volume: 793,000 shares. 3 month avg: 193,511 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Tuesday.
 
Chart pattern: Dead-cat bounce continuation pattern from 08/31/2020 to 08/31/2020
Breakout is downward 67% of the time.
Average decline: 18%.

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Skechers USA Inc (SKX)
Industry: Shoe
Industry RS rank: 22 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 385 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $29.71
1 Month avg volatility: $0.95. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $27.67 or 6.9% below the close.
Change YTD: -31.21%
Volume: 875,300 shares. 3 month avg: 3,234,920 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Wednesday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Triangle, symmetrical continuation pattern from 08/07/2020 to 09/03/2020
Breakout is upward 54% of the time.
Average rise: 31%.
Break-even failure rate: 9%.
Throwbacks occur 37% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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Teladoc, Inc (TDOC)
Industry: Healthcare Information
Industry RS rank: 5 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 19 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $203.02
1 Month avg volatility: $12.93. Volatility stop (for downward breakout): $245.19 or 20.8% above the close.
Change YTD: 142.50%
Volume: 4,840,800 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Thursday.
 
Chart pattern: Double Top, Adam and Adam reversal pattern from 08/21/2020 to 09/02/2020
WARNING: A dead-cat bounce occurred on 08/05/2020. There is a 26% chance that a 15% or higher decline will occur (or has occurred since then) by 11/04/2020 and a 38% chance by 02/03/2021.
Breakout is downward 100% of the time.
Average decline: 19%.
Break-even failure rate: 8%.
Pullbacks occur 61% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 72% of the time.

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Valero Energy (VLO)
Industry: Petroleum (Integrated)
Industry RS rank: 54 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 457 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $52.33
1 Month avg volatility: $1.89. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $47.89 or 8.5% below the close.
Change YTD: -44.12%
Volume: 3,612,700 shares. 3 month avg: 3,584,486 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Friday.
 
Chart pattern: Triangle, symmetrical continuation pattern from 06/19/2020 to 09/03/2020
WARNING: A dead-cat bounce occurred on 03/12/2020. There is a 38% chance that a 15% or higher decline will occur (or has occurred since then) by 09/10/2020.
Breakout is upward 54% of the time.
Average rise: 31%.
Break-even failure rate: 9%.
Throwbacks occur 37% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 66% of the time.

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WEX Inc (WEX)
Industry: Information Services
Industry RS rank: 37 out of 59
Stock RS rank: 386 out of 579
9/3/20 close: $164.66
1 Month avg volatility: $4.83. Volatility stop (for upward breakout): $153.68 or 6.7% below the close.
Change YTD: -21.39%
Volume: 378,300 shares.
Since 2009 bear market, the best buy day (fewest up closes) is Monday, and best sell day (most up closes) is Wednesday.
 
Chart pattern: Pipe bottom reversal pattern from 08/17/2020 to 08/24/2020
WARNING: A dead-cat bounce occurred on 03/09/2020. There is a 38% chance that a 15% or higher decline will occur (or has occurred since then) by 09/07/2020.
Breakout is upward 100% of the time.
Average rise: 45%.
Break-even failure rate: 5%.
Throwbacks occur 44% of the time.
Price hits measure rule target 83% of the time.

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