As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
|
 44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025 16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/20251,050 or 975 by 01/01/202520,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/20256,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025 |
As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
| |
|
44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/202516,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/20251,050 or 975 by 01/01/202520,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/20256,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025 | ||
My book,
Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts
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The dragonfly doji is an interesting name for a candle that is supposed to act as a bullish reversal. It is a reversal candle, but only half the time. Random, in other words. If you see a dragonfly doji in the bush, do not be frightened. The 10-day performance after the breakout ranks it 98th out of 103 candles, where 1 is best. In other words, ignore it. Its bite is usually not fatal. Usually.
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Theoretical performance: bullish reversal during a decline, otherwise indecision
Tested performance: Reversal 50% of the time
Frequency rank: 44
Overall performance rank: 98
Best percentage meeting price target: 80% (bear market, down breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: -5.02% (bear market, down breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 17 (bull market, down breakout)
All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts. The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions. |
Dragonfly Doji
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Based on how the dragonfly doji works in the marketplace, it acts as a reversal 50% of the time. Thus, it is neither a reversal nor a continuation candle. It represent indecision. Because the lower shadow is so long and the closing price is pegged at the top of the candlestick, upward breakouts predominate. A frequency rank of 44 means it is more plentiful than many other candles, so you should see it often in a historical price series. The performance rank, at 98, is near the bottom of the list. Do not expect price to trend for long after a dragonfly doji.
The 80% meeting the measure rule target is a good score. In a bear market after a downward breakout (which is rare), the decline is quite respectable: 5.02%, but the best 10-day performance rank (17) occurs after a downward breakout in a bull market. I would have expected that a bear market would score higher, but other candlesticks seem to disagree.
| Characteristic | Discussion |
| Number of candle lines | One. |
| Price trend leading to the pattern | None required. |
| Configuration | Look for a long lower shadow with a small body (open and close are within pennies of each other). |
If you want a few bones from my Encyclopedia of candlestick charts book, here are three to chew on. The pages refer to the book where the tips appear.
The daily chart shows a dragonfly doji (A) at the end of an uptrend. The long lower shadow would suggest a bullish move according to some authors on candlesticks. However, when the opening and closing prices match, it speaks of indecision.
In this example, price breaks out downward and when that happens, the move can be a decent one. Price retraces about half of the prior up move before resuming the rise at a more leisurely pace.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
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