As of 12/20/2024   Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%     Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%     Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%     Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%     S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%	YTD  +13.7%   0.0%    +11.9%    +30.4%    +24.3%	Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024     44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025   16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/2025   1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025   20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025   6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025
Chart Pattern Indicator: on 12/5/24

As of 12/20/2024   Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%     Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%     Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%     Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%     S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%	YTD  +13.7%   0.0%    +11.9%    +30.4%    +24.3%
Targets    Overview: 12/12/2024     44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025   16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/2025   1,050 or 975 by 01/01/2025   20,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/2025   6,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025
Chart Pattern Indicator: on 12/5/24

Bulkowski on the Downside Tasuki Gap Candle Pattern

My book, Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, pictured on the left, takes an in-depth look at candlesticks, including performance statistics.

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The downside Tasuki gap is supposed to be a bearish continuation pattern, but testing shows that it acts as a bullish reversal, ranking 47th out of 103 candle patterns. That is, of course, mid list. The frequency rank is 68 which suggests you will not find one of these in every grocery store. Perhaps they are only in the finer department stores where the high dollar items are sold. Anyway, the overall performance is quite good, and a check of the numbers shows that the downside Tasuki gap is a respectable performer in all markets except for downward breakouts in a bull market.

Downside Tasuki Gap: Important Results

Theoretical performance: Bearish continuation Tested performance: Bullish reversal 54% of the time Frequency rank: 68 Overall performance rank: 23 Best percentage meeting price target: 44% (bear market, down breakout) Best average move in 10 days: 4.69% (bear market, up breakout) Best 10-day performance rank: 30 (bull market, up breakout) All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts. The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions.

Downside Tasuki Gap

Downside Tasuki Gap: Discussion

As I mentioned in the introduction, the downside Tasuki gap is supposed to act as a bearish continuation, but testing shows that it acts as a bullish reversal 54% of the time. That is what I call "near random." However, the overall performance rank is 23rd so the post breakout trend is a decent one.

The best average move 10 days after the breakout is a rise of 4.69% in a bear market. I consider moves of 6% or higher to be good ones, so this is well short of appealing. The best 10 day performance rank is 30th out of 103 candles after an upward breakout in a bull market. Since that represents the highest rank, the pattern could be a much stronger performer when compared to other candlestick types.

Downside Tasuki Gap: Identification Guidelines

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Downside Tasuki Gap: Three Trading Tidbits

If you want a few bones from my Encyclopedia of candlestick charts book, here are three to chew on. The pages refer to the book where the tips appear.

1. Downside Tasuki gap candles that appear within a third of the yearly low perform best -- page 301.
2. A 4 to 6 week downward move with a downside Tasuki gap is likely to see a reversal -- page 304.
3. Look for the downside Tasuki gap to form as part of an inverted and ascending scallop -- page 304.

Downside Tasuki Gap: Example

The chart shows a downside Tasuki gap circled in red on the daily scale. In this example, price trends lower for two months leading to the first black candle of the downside Tasuki gap.

The next day, price gaps open lower forming another black candle but leaving a small space (price gap) between the bottom of the first candle and the top of the second. The last day a white candle appears that opens within the body of the second candle and closes within the gap, completing the downside Tasuki gap.

The trend leading to the downside Tasuki gap is downward and so is the breakout (a downward breakout occurs when price closes below the bottom of the chart pattern). Anyway, this downside Tasuki gap acts as a bearish continuation pattern, just as candle theory predicts.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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See Also

• The downside gap three methods looks similar
• Could you be looking at a morning star?
• Tall candles show support and resistance.
• Two candlestick tips could improve profitability.
• Candles near the yearly low perform best.
• Chart pattern breakouts: Which candlesticks appear most often the day before breakouts?
• Shadows. Do tall candle shadows predict price turns? Yes and no.
• Tall candles at peaks and valleys. Tall candles appear at turning points.

Copywight 1995 Elmer Fudd. All wights wesewved.