As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
|
 44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025 16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/20251,050 or 975 by 01/01/202520,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/20256,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025 |
As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
| |
|
44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/202516,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/20251,050 or 975 by 01/01/202520,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/20256,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025 | ||
My book,
Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts
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Dark cloud cover is a two line candlestick that has poor reversal performance. Just 60% of the time, price changes direction from up to down in a bull market. However, once the turn is made and price breaks out, price trends, ranking 22nd out of 103 candle patterns, where 1 is best.
|
Theoretical performance: Bearish reversal
Tested performance: Bearish reversal 60% of the time
Frequency rank: 46
Overall performance rank: 22
Best percentage meeting price target: 62% (bear market, down breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: 5.36% (bear market, up breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 19 (bull market, up breakout)
All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts. The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions. |
Dark Cloud Cover
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I like the name, dark cloud cover, but have trouble remembering it when I am searching for candles. Maybe it is because the pattern has a reputation as a reversal candle -- and it does reverse -- but nothing like the expectations. Just 60% of the time does a reversal occur.
The frequency rank is 46 out of 103, so it is about mid list in terms of showing in a historical price trend. Once it does appear, it ranks 22nd for performance and that means price has a tendency to trend after the breakout.
The best average move 10 days after the breakout belongs to dark cloud cover with upward breakouts in a bear market. Price climbs 5.36%. A good move would be 6%, so this is a bit short. The best performance rank after 10 days is 19th, which is quite good.
| Characteristic | Discussion |
| Number of candle lines | Two. |
| Price trend leading to the pattern | Upward. |
| Configuration | Look for two candles in an upward price trend. The first candle is a tall white one followed by a black candle with an opening price above the top of the white candle (an opening price above the prior high), but a close below the mid point of the white body. |
If you want a few bones from my Encyclopedia of candlestick charts book, here are three to chew on. The pages refer to the book where the tips appear.
Dark cloud cover, circled in A, appears on the daily scale. Price moves in a brisk upward trend, forming a tall white candle. The next day, the clouds move in forming a black candle that begins the day with a higher open but closes below the middle of the white candle. The change from bullish to bearish occurs in just one candle. It also represents a trend change from up to down when price breaks out downward. That happens when price closes below the lowest low in the dark cloud cover. Thereafter, price trends lower in a comparatively smooth move downward.
Shown is not the preferred setup. The best setup for the dark cloud cover candlestick is for it to appear when price is trending lower. An upward retrace of that down move appears followed by dark cloud cover. It signals a reversal and when price breaks out downward, and the stock joins the downward primary trend already in existence. It is like a swimmer moving with the current turning against the current to avoid a buoy followed by a resumption of him swimming with the current.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
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