As of 02/03/2023
  Indus: 33,926 -127.93 -0.4%  
  Trans: 15,518 -122.49 -0.8%  
  Utils: 954 -22.84 -2.3%  
  Nasdaq: 12,007 -193.87 -1.6%  
  S&P 500: 4,136 -43.28 -1.0%  
YTD
 +2.3%  
 +15.9%  
-1.4%  
 +14.7%  
 +7.7%  
  Targets    Overview: 02/01/2023  
  Up arrow35,100 or 33,150 by 02/15/2023
  Up arrow16,000 or 14,350 by 02/15/2023
  Up arrow1,040 or 950 by 02/15/2023
  Up arrow12,400 or 11,000 by 02/15/2023
  Up arrow4,250 or 3,900 by 02/15/2023
As of 02/03/2023
  Indus: 33,926 -127.93 -0.4%  
  Trans: 15,518 -122.49 -0.8%  
  Utils: 954 -22.84 -2.3%  
  Nasdaq: 12,007 -193.87 -1.6%  
  S&P 500: 4,136 -43.28 -1.0%  
YTD
 +2.3%  
 +15.9%  
-1.4%  
 +14.7%  
 +7.7%  
  Targets    Overview: 02/01/2023  
  Up arrow35,100 or 33,150 by 02/15/2023
  Up arrow16,000 or 14,350 by 02/15/2023
  Up arrow1,040 or 950 by 02/15/2023
  Up arrow12,400 or 11,000 by 02/15/2023
  Up arrow4,250 or 3,900 by 02/15/2023

Bulkowski's Congestion Quiz

This article is a quiz designed to test your knowledge of breakouts.

Two ascending triangles on the daily scale

Look at the chart of two fictitious ascending triangles on the daily scale. The triangle is outlined in blue with a horizontal top trendline and an up-sloping bottom trendline. Both A and B show upward breakouts but there is a difference between the two charts.

Which setup (A or B) represents the best trading opportunity?

The difference, if you didn't find it, is in the five days leading to the breakout. In A, price makes a straight-line run but in B, price runs into a congestion area in the five days before the breakout.

I proved in a study that the differences between trading a chart pattern with a straight-line run (A) and a congestion area (B) is not huge. In the straight-line run, on average, the rise after the breakout will be further, but the risk of failure increases, too. Throwbacks will occur more often and that is usually a bad thing.

When looking for chart patterns, trade those with a congestion area forming just before the breakout. If a straight-line run appears, then consider waiting for a throwback to occur and complete. Once price starts moving up again, then enter the trade.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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My novels:  Remember Me book Bumper's Story book Head's Law book
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