As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
|
 44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/2025 16,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/20251,050 or 975 by 01/01/202520,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/20256,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025 |
As of 12/20/2024
Indus: 42,840 +498.02 +1.2%
Trans: 15,892 +32.54 +0.2%
Utils: 986 +14.76 +1.5%
Nasdaq: 19,573 +199.83 +1.0%
S&P 500: 5,931 +63.77 +1.1%
|
YTD
+13.7%
0.0%
+11.9%
+30.4%
+24.3%
| |
|
44,200 or 41,750 by 01/01/202516,100 or 17,700 by 01/01/20251,050 or 975 by 01/01/202520,500 or 19,300 by 01/01/20256,100 or 5,775 by 01/01/2025 | ||
My book,
Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts
If you click on the above link and then buy the book (or anything) while at Amazon.com, the referral will help support this site. Thanks.
$ $ $
You might think that the short black candlestick would be as plentiful as birds at a feeder, but it is a rare pattern (by my definition, anyway). Using four databases holding 4.7 million candle lines, I dug up just 5,593 of them, which is a lot, but nothing near the tens of thousands that I expected.
There is nothing really remarkable about the short black candle. It acts as a reversal almost randomly, and price does not trend far after the breakout.
|
Theoretical performance: Reversal or continuation
Tested performance: Reversal 52% of the time
Frequency rank: 50
Overall performance rank: 66
Best percentage meeting price target: 95% (up breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: 3.61% (bear market, up breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 49 (bear market, up breakout)
All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts. The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions. |
Short Black Candle
|
The 52% reversal rate is what I call near random, meaning you will probably not be able to tell the breakout direction ahead of time. The frequency rank is 50, almost in the middle of the 103 candle varieties I looked at. Price performance over 10 days ranks it 66, also far down the list of best performers.
Since the candle is short, the price trend after the breakout almost always meets the measure rule target (the candle height added/subtracted from the up/down breakout price, respectively). The best move after the breakout over the coming 10 days averaged just 3.61%, which is well below the 6% to 9% that the best performers show and it places the rank at 49.
| Characteristic | Discussion |
| Number of candle lines | One. |
| Price trend leading to the pattern | None required. |
| Configuration | Look for a short black candle with shadows (upper and lower) that are shorter than the height of the body. |
If you want a few bones from my Encyclopedia of candlestick charts book, here are three to chew on. The pages refer to the book where the tips appear.
The chart shows a short black candle on the daily scale with a downward breakout. The candle appears as part of a retrace of an uptrend. Taking a wider view, the candle position in the surrounding price landscape reminds me of a mat hold candle pattern. Two days before the short black candle at A is a tall white candle followed by several candles that retrace that uptrend and then two tall white candles resume the upward move. Although the mat hold is a five line candle, these types of measured move up patterns always seem to catch my attention. They represent good short-term moves.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
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