As of 10/03/2024
Indus: 42,012 -184.93 -0.4%
Trans: 15,745 -226.81 -1.4%
Utils: 1,058 -6.74 -0.6%
Nasdaq: 17,918 -6.64 0.0%
S&P 500: 5,700 -9.60 -0.2%
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YTD
+11.5%
-1.0%
+20.0%
+19.4%
+19.5%
|
43,500 or 41,600 by 10/15/2024
16,800 or 15,700 by 10/15/2024
1,125 or 1,025 by 10/15/2024
19,000 or 17,600 by 10/15/2024
5,900 or 5,600 by 10/15/2024
|
As of 10/03/2024
Indus: 42,012 -184.93 -0.4%
Trans: 15,745 -226.81 -1.4%
Utils: 1,058 -6.74 -0.6%
Nasdaq: 17,918 -6.64 0.0%
S&P 500: 5,700 -9.60 -0.2%
|
YTD
+11.5%
-1.0%
+20.0%
+19.4%
+19.5%
| |
43,500 or 41,600 by 10/15/2024
16,800 or 15,700 by 10/15/2024
1,125 or 1,025 by 10/15/2024
19,000 or 17,600 by 10/15/2024
5,900 or 5,600 by 10/15/2024
| ||
Released 8/1/2023.
Below is the updated forecast for 2023 as of the close on August 1, 2023. Captions appear below the pictures for guidance, so be sure to scroll down far enough to read them.
On some of the charts (all except the CPI chart) the prediction in red is based on the work of Edgar Lawrence Smith in the 1930s. Smith said that the stock market followed a 10-year cycle. Each year tended to repeat the behavior of the year a decade earlier. In other words, if you averaged all years ending in 1 (2001, 1991, 1981 and so on), that would give you a forecast for 2011. For 2012, you'd make a similar average, only use 2002, 1992, 1982, and so on. That's what I did for the market forecast charts which follow.
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My Stock Market Books
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My Novels
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