Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 04/29/2024
  Indus: 38,386 +146.43 +0.4%  
  Trans: 15,214 +42.68 +0.3%  
  Utils: 897 +12.67 +1.4%  
  Nasdaq: 15,983 +55.18 +0.3%  
  S&P 500: 5,116 +16.21 +0.3%  
YTD
 +1.8%  
-4.3%  
 +1.7%  
 +6.5%  
 +7.3%  
  Targets    Overview: 04/29/2024  
  Up arrow39,325 or 37,000 by 05/15/2024
  Up arrow15,820 or 14,600 by 05/15/2024
  Up arrow925 or 865 by 05/15/2024
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,200 by 05/15/2024
  Up arrow5,250 or 4,850 by 05/15/2024
As of 04/29/2024
  Indus: 38,386 +146.43 +0.4%  
  Trans: 15,214 +42.68 +0.3%  
  Utils: 897 +12.67 +1.4%  
  Nasdaq: 15,983 +55.18 +0.3%  
  S&P 500: 5,116 +16.21 +0.3%  
YTD
 +1.8%  
-4.3%  
 +1.7%  
 +6.5%  
 +7.3%  
  Targets    Overview: 04/29/2024  
  Up arrow39,325 or 37,000 by 05/15/2024
  Up arrow15,820 or 14,600 by 05/15/2024
  Up arrow925 or 865 by 05/15/2024
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,200 by 05/15/2024
  Up arrow5,250 or 4,850 by 05/15/2024

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Tuesday 4/30/24. Slider Trading Quiz!

The Dow climbed by 0.4% or 146.43 points. Since 10/01/1928 the Dow made 1145 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.6% on 608 occasions.
     Average loss was -0.6% on 537 occasions.
Expect the Dow to close higher 53.1% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Dow closing higher has been right 285/519 or 54.9% of the time.
     The prediction of the Dow closing lower has been right 54/114 or 47.4% of the time.

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I show another slider trading quiz featuring Head-and-shoulders, complex tops .

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Here's a symbol list of 124 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: AFL, AA, ALL, AEO, AMN, ANIK, AAPL, ARCB, ACGL, AIZ, AXS, BSET, BKH, BMY, CX, CNC, CSCO, CNA, CMTL, COTY, CCRN, CTS, DFS, EMN, EBAY, ELV, WIRE, EL, XOM, EZPW, FIS, FE, FCX, GIS, GILD, HQY, HL, HUM, ILMN, INCY, NSP, IPAR, JAZZ, JBLU, JNJ, KLAC, KLIC, LHX, LRCX, LLY, MAN, MRK, MCO, MS, NEE, NWPX, NTNX, OXY, OGE, OXM, PYPL, PCG, PXD, PFG, PHM, QCOM, RGS, SAIA, SAND, SIGI, SHW, SKYW, SWN, SRDX, TOL, UNH, VMI, WAT, WMB, WWW, WDAY, ITA, IYK, IYE, FDN, IAT, IYZ, IXC, MXI, ILF, IHI, EWK, EEM, EWH, EWJ, EWM, EPP, EZA, EWY, EWT, TUR, EWU, PPA, PEJ, XLE, XLB, VIS, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

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The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Dow industrials, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and Training "Miles" (#Ad) New

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  36,365.05    
 Monthly S1  37,375.57  1,010.52   
 Weekly S2  37,426.87  51.30   
 Weekly S1  37,906.48  479.61   
 Daily S2  38,145.19  238.71   
 Low  38,215.47  70.28   
 Weekly Pivot  38,233.99  18.52   Yes! The Weekly Pivot is close to the Low.
 Daily S1  38,265.64  31.65   
 Open  38,282.16  16.52   Yes! The Open is close to the Daily S1.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  38,288.33  6.17   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Open.
 50% Down from Intraday High  38,310.84  22.51   
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  38,333.34  22.50   
 Daily Pivot  38,335.92  2.58   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  38,386.09  50.17   
 High  38,406.20  20.11   
 Daily R1  38,456.37  50.17   
 Daily R2  38,526.65  70.28   
 Monthly Pivot  38,622.08  95.43   
 Weekly R1  38,713.60  91.52   
 Weekly R2  39,041.11  327.51   
 Monthly R1  39,632.60  591.49   
 Monthly R2  40,879.11  1,246.51   

Monday 4/29/24. Market Monday: The Week Ahead

My Prediction

Picture of the Dow utilities on the daily scale.

I show the Dow utilities on the daily scale.

Outlined in red is a chart pattern called an ascending broadening wedge. That has two trendlines (red lines in this example) trending upward but widening (diverging).

Stocks showing ascending broadening wedges breakout downward 52% of the time. I'm surprised it's not higher. Because the index is near the top trendline, we'll see if it breaks out upward first (by closing above the top red line).

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A Brief Look Back

The following is a brief review of how the markets performed over time. The numbers refer to the close-to-close move in the Dow industrials.

Monday: Up 253.58 points.
Tuesday: Up 263.71 points.
Wednesday: Down 42.77 points.
Thursday: Down 375.12 points.
Friday: Up 153.86 points.

For the Week...

The Dow industrials were up 253.26 points or 0.7%.
The Nasdaq composite was up 645.89 points or 4.2%.
The S&P 500 index was up 132.73 points or 2.7%.

Year to Date...

Dow Industrials
     4.1% down from the high of 39,889.05 on 03/21/2024.
     3.0% up from the low of 37,122.95 on 01/18/2024.
Nasdaq
     3.7% down from the high of 16,538.86 on 03/21/2024.
     10.0% up from the low of 14,477.57 on 01/05/2024.
S&P 500
     3.1% down from the high of 5,264.85 on 03/28/2024.
     8.9% up from the low of 4,682.11 on 01/05/2024.

Options Expiration

No options expire this week.

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Swing Traders: Pivot Points

The following is based on an SFO article in December 2004 by John Seekinger, titled, "Take a two-dimensional approach." He offers these tips.

IndexS2S1PivotR1R2
Dow Industrials (^DJI): Daily  37,942  38,091  38,214  38,363  38,487 
Weekly  37,378  37,809  38,185  38,616  38,992 
Monthly  36,316  37,278  38,573  39,535  40,830 
S&P500 (^GSPC): Daily  5,054  5,077  5,096  5,119  5,137 
Weekly  4,916  5,008  5,061  5,153  5,207 
Monthly  4,795  4,947  5,106  5,259  5,417 
Nasdaq (^IXIC): Daily  15,683  15,805  15,893  16,016  16,103 
Weekly  15,010  15,469  15,725  16,184  16,440 
Monthly  14,613  15,270  15,880  16,538  17,148 

Here are the formulas:

Pivot point: P = (H + L + C)/3
First resistance level: R1 = (2 * P) - L
First support level: S1 = (2 * P) - H)
Second resistance level: R2 = P + (R1 - S1)
Second support level: S2 = P - (R1 - S1)
H = high price , L=low price, C=closing price

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Earnings, Chart Patterns & Industries

Earnings season is either underway or should be starting soon. The sessions could be more volatile.

Here's a symbol list of 130 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACN, AEIS, AFL, ALGT, ALL, AEO, AEP, AON, AMAT, ATR, ARCB, AXS, BSET, BECN, BZH, BMRN, BFH, BCO, BBW, CHKP, CVX, CSCO, CLF, ED, CSGP, COST, COTY, CR, CCRN, CCK, DVN, DFS, DSGR, DTE, BOOM, EIX, EFX, EL, FIS, FE, FIVN, GIS, GMS, HOV, HURC, IDXX, NSP, IBP, ISRG, JNJ, KBH, KLAC, KLIC, LHX, LZB, LEN, M, MCHX, MS, MLI, NFG, NTGR, NEU, NEE, OGE, ORI, OXM, PKE, PRFT, PCG, PHM, KWR, DGX, ROST, RES, SAIA, SAND, SIGI, SMTC, SCI, SKX, SMAR, SO, SCCO, SWN, SPSC, SXI, SUM, TFX, TER, TXN, TTD, TOL, TWLO, VMC, WWW, IDU, FXI, BOTZ, ITB, IHI, EEM, EWQ, EWH, EWM, EPP, EZA, EWY, TUR, GLD, XHB, XAR, XLU. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

The below industries were the best (rank 1) or worst performing of those I follow.

This WeekLast Week
1. Semiconductor1. Homebuilding
2. Homebuilding2. Shoe
3. Shoe3. Building Materials
4. Semiconductor Cap Equip.4. Cement and Aggregates
5. Cement and Aggregates5. Retail (Special Lines)
6. Retail (Special Lines)6. Semiconductor Cap Equip.
7. Apparel7. Apparel
8. Building Materials8. Semiconductor
9. Retail Building Supply9. Furn/Home Furnishings
10. Furn/Home Furnishings10. Retail Building Supply
Best Performing AboveWorst Performing Below
50. Electric Utility (Central)50. Biotechnology
51. Healthcare Information51. Petroleum (Producing)
52. Food Processing52. Human Resources
53. Human Resources53. Natural Gas (Diversified)
54. Insurance (Diversified)54. Electric Utility (West)
55. Electric Utility (West)55. Healthcare Information
56. Chemical (Diversified)56. Toiletries/Cosmetics
57. Medical Services57. Medical Services
58. Toiletries/Cosmetics58. Chemical (Diversified)
59. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment59. Short ETFs
60. Short ETFs60. Oilfield Svcs/Equipment

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and Training "Miles" (#Ad) New

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Friday 4/26/24. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

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Here's a symbol list of 113 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ACN, AFL, ALGT, AEE, AEP, AEL, AME, AMGN, APA, ADM, BCPC, BECN, BIG, BKNG, BFH, BMY, BRKR, BG, CACI, CNP, CENX, CNA, CL, COTY, DECK, DFS, ELV, EME, EL, EVH, EXC, FE, FORM, GIS, GILD, HQY, HP, HON, HUM, JBHT, HURC, IDXX, JBLU, JNJ, LLY, LMT, M, MLM, MAS, MRK, META, MGEE, MS, MYGN, NTAP, NWL, NEU, NOC, NWPX, NUS, OGE, ASGN, OXM, PRFT, PFE, PCG, PLXS, DGX, RMBS, RGA, ROST, R, CRM, SCCO, LUV, SWN, SRDX, TRGP, TFX, TDC, TER, TXT, TDG, TZOO, TG, VMI, VEEV, WU, WWW, WDAY, IYM, IHE, SOXX, ITB, EWK, EWH, EWS, EZA, EWL, PXJ, XLB, XLU, USO. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

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You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and Training "Miles" (#Ad) New

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
APHDouble Top, Adam and Eve      03/25/202404/04/2024Electronics
ADPTriangle, symmetrical      03/15/202404/24/2024IT Services
BCPCHead-and-shoulders top      02/29/202403/21/2024Chemical (Specialty)
BIODouble Top, Adam and Eve      02/16/202403/22/2024Medical Supplies
BMRNDouble Top, Adam and Adam      04/12/202404/24/2024Biotechnology
BLDRHead-and-shoulders top      03/08/202404/04/2024Retail Building Supply
CALScallop, descending      03/27/202404/24/2024Shoe
CLSPipe top      04/01/202404/08/2024Electronics
EDDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      03/26/202404/16/2024Electric Utility (East)
COTYPipe bottom      04/08/202404/15/2024Toiletries/Cosmetics
DFSPipe bottom      04/08/202404/15/2024Financial Services
DDouble Bottom, Adam and Adam      03/26/202404/16/2024Electric Utility (East)
DRQHead-and-shoulders top      02/27/202404/03/2024Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
DUKBroadening top      03/11/202404/19/2024Electric Utility (East)
ELVTriple bottom      03/01/202404/12/2024Medical Services
FRDTriangle, ascending      04/05/202404/25/2024Building Materials
GISPipe bottom      04/08/202404/15/2024Food Processing
NSPTriple bottom      04/05/202404/16/2024Human Resources
JBLUDead-cat bounce      04/23/202404/23/2024Air Transport
RAMPTriangle, symmetrical      03/11/202404/03/2024Computer Software and Svcs
NFLXDouble Top, Eve and Eve      03/21/202404/08/2024Internet
NTNXDouble Top, Eve and Eve      03/08/202404/11/2024E-Commerce
OUTScallop, ascending and inverted      02/20/202404/19/2024Advertising
PORTriple bottom      03/14/202404/16/2024Electric Utility (West)
RESHead-and-shoulders top      04/08/202404/23/2024Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
TWLOTriple top      03/13/202404/01/2024E-Commerce
UHALTriangle, ascending      01/31/202404/03/2024Trucking/Transp. Leasing
VLOPipe top      04/01/202404/08/2024Petroleum (Integrated)
VECOBig M      03/01/202404/09/2024Precision Instrument
MDRXTriangle, descending      03/18/202404/25/2024Healthcare Information
WWWPipe bottom      04/08/202404/15/2024Shoe

 

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