As of 07/01/2022
Indus: 31,097 +321.83 +1.0%
Trans: 13,289 +132.53 +1.0%
Utils: 993 +23.33 +2.4%
Nasdaq: 11,128 +99.11 +0.9%
S&P 500: 3,825 +39.95 +1.1%
|
YTD
-14.4%
-19.4%
+1.2%
-28.9%
-19.7%
|
 32,300 or 29,900 by 07/15/202214,000 or 12,500 by 07/15/20221,000 or 925 by 07/15/202212,100 or 10,750 by 07/15/20224,000 or 3,700 by 07/15/2022 |
As of 07/01/2022
Indus: 31,097 +321.83 +1.0%
Trans: 13,289 +132.53 +1.0%
Utils: 993 +23.33 +2.4%
Nasdaq: 11,128 +99.11 +0.9%
S&P 500: 3,825 +39.95 +1.1%
|
YTD
-14.4%
-19.4%
+1.2%
-28.9%
-19.7%
| |
|
32,300 or 29,900 by 07/15/202214,000 or 12,500 by 07/15/20221,000 or 925 by 07/15/202212,100 or 10,750 by 07/15/20224,000 or 3,700 by 07/15/2022 | ||
As of 5/19/17, I stopped updating this test portfolio because getting quotes for the many funds I follow became too difficult.
This page shows a test portfolio based on trading Vanguard mutual funds showing the best performance. You can find background information and what my tests revealed in Trading Mutual Funds.
Warning: I am not recommending that you use this portfolio to build a trading system or to trade the funds listed in the portfolio. I just show this model as an experiment of how a system based mutual fund portfolio would do in real life.
You should conduct your own research to verify this trading idea and performance before relying on the results. Historical testing may not reflect real-time trading and past performance does not guarantee future results. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information.
As mentioned previously, for full details on the historical experiments used to test this trading setup, see Trading Mutual Funds.
The idea behind this portfolio is simplicity itself: Trade the winners. Periodically review the portfolio and substitute another fund if it is performing better than one owned.
I used the following guidelines to construct and maintain the portfolio.
The historical performance of this portfolio is better than one based on trading the worst performing funds.
Index and non-index funds work better than either index or non-index funds alone.
In the table, the Buy/Sell columns show the dates when shares were purchased/sold at the NAV. The Net Change column is the profit or loss of the trade, expressed as a percentage (shares x sell price) - (shares x buy price). If the trade is still open, the closing price as of the date the list was created is used as the sale price. The S&P Change column is the change in the S&P 500 index between the Buy and Sell dates, using the opening prices. The Max Loss column shows the largest drop below the buy price during the time the fund was held.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
| Stock | Buy | Shares | Price | Sell | Price | Net Change | S&P Change | Max Loss |
| VMVIX | 02/04/2008 | 2,902 | $17.23 | 10/02/2008 | $13.99 | -18.8% | -16.8% | -17.9% |
| VISVX | 02/04/2008 | 3,966 | $12.61 | 10/02/2008 | $11.17 | -11.4% | -16.8% | -12.8% |
| VEIRX | 10/02/2008 | 1,081 | $41.00 | 06/02/2009 | $32.83 | -19.9% | -18.8% | -41.9% |
| VHDYX | 10/02/2008 | 3,197 | $12.70 | 06/02/2009 | $10.27 | -19.1% | -18.8% | -43.8% |
| VFWIX | 06/02/2009 | 2,696 | $12.18 | 01/05/2010 | $14.51 | 19.1% | 20.1% | -8.8% |
| VGENX | 06/02/2009 | 869 | $40.85 | 01/05/2010 | $46.12 | 12.9% | 20.1% | -17.2% |
| VSTCX | 01/05/2010 | 3,123 | $12.82 | 09/02/2010 | $13.02 | 1.6% | -4.6% | -7.5% |
| VISGX | 01/05/2010 | 2,373 | $16.48 | 09/02/2010 | $16.58 | 0.6% | -4.6% | -8.2% |
| VMGRX | 09/02/2010 | 3,712 | $10.60 | 05/03/2011 | $14.09 | 32.9% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
| VPACX | 09/02/2010 | 5,059 | $8.04 | 05/03/2011 | $9.30 | 15.6% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
| VWIGX | 05/03/2011 | 2,496 | $18.85 | 01/04/2012 | $15.48 | -17.9% | -6.1% | -27.0% |
| VEURX | 05/03/2011 | 2,157 | $24.24 | 01/04/2012 | $19.30 | -20.4% | -6.1% | -29.4% |
| VHDYX | 01/04/2012 | 2,483 | $15.55 | 09/05/2012 | $17.08 | 9.8% | 10.0% | -0.3% |
| VIVAX | 01/04/2012 | 2,257 | $18.44 | 09/05/2012 | $20.10 | 9.0% | 10.0% | -1.2% |
| VSTCX | 09/05/2012 | 2,502 | $18.13 | 05/02/2013 | $21.27 | 17.3% | 12.7% | -5.1% |
| VISGX | 09/05/2012 | 1,809 | $23.44 | 05/02/2013 | $27.00 | 15.2% | 12.7% | -5.5% |
| VPACX | 05/02/2013 | 5,064 | $10.51 | 12/03/2013 | $10.69 | 1.7% | 13.7% | -10.1% |
| VTRIX | 05/02/2013 | 1,605 | $30.43 | 12/03/2013 | $33.68 | 10.7% | 13.7% | -6.9% |
| VSTCX | 12/03/2013 | 2,095 | $25.83 | 08/04/2014 | $27.63 | 7.0% | 7.0% | -2.6% |
| VWUSX | 12/03/2013 | 2,356 | $22.95 | 08/04/2014 | $24.96 | 8.7% | 7.0% | -1.3% |
| Stock | Buy | Shares | Price | Sell | Price | Net Change | S&P Change | Max Loss |
| VQNPX | 08/04/2014 | 1,738 | $33.83 | 04/02/2015 | $36.78 | 8.7% | 6.9% | -3.9% |
| VPACX | 08/04/2014 | 5,146 | $11.25 | 06/02/2015 | $11.45 | 1.8% | 9.5% | -10.3% |
| VSTCX | 04/02/2015 | 2,060 | $31.04 | 12/02/2015 | $29.92 | -3.6% | 2.0% | -11.5% |
| VISGX | 06/02/2015 | 1,582 | $37.25 | 03/02/2016 | $31.77 | -14.7% | -6.3% | -24.7% |
| VMGIX | 03/02/2016 | 1,347 | $37.32 | 10/04/2016 | $41.34 | 10.7% | 9.4% | -0.3% |
| VEXRX | 12/02/2015 | 830 | $74.27 | 10/04/2016 | $77.96 | 5.0% | 2.9% | -19.7% |
| VWIGX | 10/04/2016 | 2,845 | $22.74 | Open | $25.73 | 13.2% | 10.5% | -8.7% |
| VGENX | 10/04/2016 | 1,103 | $50.49 | Open | $50.11 | -0.8% | 9.4% | -4.0% |
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