As of 10/23/2020
  Indus: 28,336 -28.09 -0.1%  
  Trans: 11,880 +131.58 +1.1%  
  Utils: 894 +2.40 +0.3%  
  Nasdaq: 11,548 +42.27 +0.4%  
  S&P 500: 3,465 +11.90 +0.3%  
YTD
-0.7%  
 +9.0%  
 +1.7%  
 +28.7%  
 +7.3%  
  Targets    Overview: 09/29/2020  
  Up arrow29,300 or 27,400 by 11/01/2020
  Up arrow12,000 or 11,000 by 11/01/2020
  Up arrow915 or 840 by 11/01/2020
  Up arrow12,800 or 11,300 by 11/01/2020
  Up arrow3,700 or 3,400 by 11/01/2020
CPI (updated daily): Arrows on 9/25/20
As of 10/23/2020
  Indus: 28,336 -28.09 -0.1%  
  Trans: 11,880 +131.58 +1.1%  
  Utils: 894 +2.40 +0.3%  
  Nasdaq: 11,548 +42.27 +0.4%  
  S&P 500: 3,465 +11.90 +0.3%  
YTD
-0.7%  
 +9.0%  
 +1.7%  
 +28.7%  
 +7.3%  
  Targets    Overview: 09/29/2020  
  Up arrow29,300 or 27,400 by 11/01/2020
  Up arrow12,000 or 11,000 by 11/01/2020
  Up arrow915 or 840 by 11/01/2020
  Up arrow12,800 or 11,300 by 11/01/2020
  Up arrow3,700 or 3,400 by 11/01/2020
CPI (updated daily): Arrows on 9/25/20

Bulkowski's Frontier Airlines Trading Quiz

 

Released 9/29/2020.

FRNT: Quiz

Below is a slider quiz to test your trading ability. Captions appear below the pictures for guidance, so be sure to scroll down far enough to read them.

 

1 / 4
chart pattern
What chart patterns can you find? Look for the following: right-angled and ascending broadening formation, high and tight flag, big W (failed), head-and-shoulders top, double bottom.
Answers are on the next slide.
2 / 4
chart pattern

The failed big W are the two Ws that don't line up (they are supposed to in a working pattern). The Adam & Eve double bottom didn't work well, either. The two parallel lines on the right are a high and tight flag (HTF). Price moved from 6.71 to 13.08 in just over a month then backtracked and it looked like it was breaking out of the flag portion of the HTF.

Question: How do you trade the HTF pattern? The next page shows the price action and how I traded it.

This is from my trading notebook. Date: 12/23/04. Filled at: 11.69. Stop: 10.33. Upside target: 15. Future S&P direction (guess): Up.

Buy reason: High, tight flag with upward breakout as oil prices drop. A HTF is supposed to have a large up move - about half the length of the prior uptrend. That would mean a 3-point move up from the low of 10.73. That's about a 30% climb. I felt it was worth the risk.

The next slide shows the price action.
3 / 4
chart pattern

Clearly the airline was not cooperating as price tumbled instead of taking off.

What do you do now? Price looks like it might find support around the round number 10, which also corresponds to the consolidation region in early November.

Question: Do you hold on a bit longer, sell, or maybe even buy more (averaging down)?

The next page slide what I did.
4 / 4
chart pattern

Date: 1/4/2005. Filled at: 10.334. Sell reason: Hit stop on market sell off.

The stock hit my stop loss order and I was taken out for a loss of about 12%. Ouch. The good news is it could have been worse. I could have sold near the triple bottom low of about 8.

This chart shows the main reason I don't trade high and tight flags anymore. In fact, recent statistics rank it 30 out of 39 for performance where 1 is best.

The end.

See Also

 
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