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Thomas Bulkowski’s successful investment activities allowed him to retire at age 36. He is an internationally known author and trader with 30+ years of stock market experience and widely regarded as a leading expert on chart patterns. He may be reached at

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Bulkowski's Frontier Oil Trade

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Busted
Patterns
Candles Chart
Patterns
Event
Patterns
Small Patterns
Market
Industrials (^DJI):
Transports (^DJT):
Utilities (^DJU):
Nasdaq (^IXIC):
S&P500 (^GSPC):
As of 07/20/2017
21,612 -28.97 -0.1%
9,483 -92.64 -1.0%
720 5.10 0.7%
6,390 4.96 0.1%
2,473 -0.38 0.0%
YTD
9.4%
4.9%
9.1%
18.7%
10.5%
Tom's Targets    Overview: 07/14/2017
21,850 or 21,000 by 08/01/2017
9,950 or 9,400 by 08/01/2017
725 or 685 by 08/01/2017
6,450 or 6,175 by 08/01/2017
2,525 or 2,400 by 08/01/2017

Written by and copyright © 2005-2017 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information.

Frontier Oil Trade Setup

Picture of FTO on the daily scale.

In November 2010, I became interested in Frontier Oil (FTO) stock, shown in the figure. Buy indications? The stock was trending higher along with the industry but not the S&P 500 index.

On the weekly scale, I found a flat base pattern.

The commodity channel index (CCI) said to buy the day before. The RSI and Bollinger bands said nothing of interest. I usually ignore all three anyway...

I saw overhead resistance at 17 and 25, so with the stock trading at 15.50, there was nearby overhead resistance. I considered this a long-term holding, so I used no stop.

This is what I wrote in my notebook about the trade: "Chart pattern traded: Descending triangle, trendline breakout, and flat base. Descending triangle is long-term from peak in June '09, but bottom is irregular. Trendline is on top of the descending triangle. Flat base goes back to Jan 2009.

"Buy reason: Upward breakout from down trendline on weekly scale since June 2009. Overhead resistance at 17 is going to be a problem. And who knows about environmental regulation going into 2012. I don't see this doing much, but it could begin trending based on the monthly scale and past rises followed by 1-2 years of flat movement."

I bought the stock and received a fill at 15.47 on 11/26/10.

Frontier Oil Trade Sale

Fast forward to mid February. With price shooting up in a fast, straight-line run, I decided to protect some of my profits with a stop. From my notebook, "2/16/11. I placed a stop below February 14's low, at 24.68. This is 3-lines back (including today's). I want to make sure I capture the rapid rise upward with a trailing stop."

I raised the stop again, on 2/17. "2/17/11 stop raised to 25.35, below 3 day low."

I show the February 17's candle at A so the low three lines back (including A) is where the dashed line is. A week later, the stock hit my stop and took me out at 25.35 for a 64% gain in about three months.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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See Also

  • Coldwater Creek (CWTR), congestion breakout on entry, hit stop on exit, 83% in 7 weeks.
  • CNO 2.0. Fibonacci retrace on entry, inverted dead-cat bounce on exit. I made 90% in 2 months.
  • Encore Wire (WIRE), rounded bottom on entry, inverted dead-cat bounce on exit, +24% in 2 months.
  • Hudson Highland Group (HHGP), head-and-shoulders on entry, hit stop on exit, +55% in 3 months.
  • National Fuel Gas (NFG), ascending triangle on entry, hit target on exit, +23% in 3 months.
  • Vivus, full retrace of gap on entry, sell on symmetrical triangle breakout and bad news, 37% in 7 months.

Written by and copyright © 2005-2017 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information. Patent: A method of publicizing inventions so others can copy them.