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Bulkowski's Blog Archive: ^DJI
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Busted
Patterns		 Candles Chart
Patterns		 Event
Patterns		 Small Patterns
As of 04/23/2019
  Industrials: 26,656 +145.34 +0.5%  
  Transports: 11,003 +26.03 +0.2%  
  Utilities: 773 +1.99 +0.3%  
  Nasdaq: 8,121 +105.55 +1.3%  
  S&P 500: 2,934 +25.71 +0.9%  
YTD
 +14.3%  
 +20.0%  
 +8.4%  
 +22.4%  
 +17.0%  
  Tom's Targets    Overview: 04/12/2019  
  Up arrow26,900 or 25,500 by 05/01/2019
  Up arrow11,200 or 10,500 by 05/01/2019
  Up arrow825 or 755 by 05/01/2019
  Up arrow8,250 or 7,850 by 05/15/2019
  Up arrow2,975 or 2,800 by 05/01/2019
As of 04/23/2019
  Industrials: 26,656 +145.34 +0.5%  
  Transports: 11,003 +26.03 +0.2%  
  Utilities: 773 +1.99 +0.3%  
  Nasdaq: 8,121 +105.55 +1.3%  
  S&P 500: 2,934 +25.71 +0.9%  
YTD
 +14.3%  
 +20.0%  
 +8.4%  
 +22.4%  
 +17.0%  
  Tom's Targets    Overview: 04/12/2019  
  Up arrow26,900 or 25,500 by 05/01/2019
  Up arrow11,200 or 10,500 by 05/01/2019
  Up arrow825 or 755 by 05/01/2019
  Up arrow8,250 or 7,850 by 05/15/2019
  Up arrow2,975 or 2,800 by 05/01/2019

Written by and copyright © 2005-2019 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information. Some pattern names are the registered trademarks of their respective owners.

 

Blog Posting: February 4, 2008, Dow Down From Here (^DJI)

The Dow Jones Industrial Average showing Fibonacci retrace values

The chart shows the Dow Jones Industrial Average with Fibonacci retrace values highlighted. They are the three red lines at 38%, 50%, and 62%, and they mark the upward retrace of the move from A to B.

The lines represent common reversal points. So far, a reversal hasn't happened, but we are right at the 62% line after a week of strong gains. Based on this and other charts, I sold a stock this morning (Charlotte Russe Holding, CHIC), expecting a short term reversal to occur.

Of course, the Dow could continue rising and the next turning point would be 75%. However, if that were to happen, I would say that the bull run is intact, and I would have to look for the next turning point.

 

Aftermath

The Dow Jones transports on the daily scale

As the chart shows, the Dow touched the 62% retrace line and then tumbled, climbed again to the 62% retrace line and then moved lower. What more is there to say?

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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Written by and copyright © 2005-2019 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information. Some pattern names are the registered trademarks of their respective owners. Welcome to Psychiatric voice mail. If you are obsessive compulsive, please press 1 repeatedly.